Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - October 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-6 $15.80 $3.80 32%

Simulator Race results

 
IND-1   10/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:254 :502 1:144 1:401   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL MISCHIEF 5 3 21 2½ 1nk 13 11 (mccarthy mich)MORALES EDGAR 122 1.60 56% 0.80 0.30 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIA'S SONG by BELLAMY ROAD)
HAMO 6 6 42 32 31 23 21 (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20 P
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISS CATOMINE by BERNARDINI)
WICKED BEAUTIFUL 4 4 53 53 54 3 3 (medina tomas)PEREZ E 122 4.50 15.80  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MY JIMMY CHEW GIRL by THUNDER GULCH)
POOL NOODLE 2 2 3 42 4 4 46 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 4.20  
  (by CURLIN out of TIZ NEWS by TIZNOW)
VIDEO PRINCESS 3 1 11 1½ 2nk 5 510½ (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 5.00 10% 9.30 9.20  
  (by KANTHAROS out of PRINCESS PHARAOH by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
CAUSE IMA ROSE 1 5 63 6 67 612¾ 618¾ (guida ant)BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00 32.30  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROSE KNOWS SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
 
IND-2   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOULDER BAY 7 6 6 8   64 1hd (dobbsjr robe)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 5% 18.70 2.80 W
UNBRIDLED VICTOR 1 7 7 7   54 2hd (wisner trace)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00 23.50  
10  CONQUERED 9 1 1nk 1½   11 31 (leitch dan)VILLARREAL OSCAR 106 12.00 5% 19.00 2.50 S
KINGOFTHERAINBOW 3 5 3.2 2½   21 4 (richard)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 13.60  
OVERTHETOPJUSTICE 4 8 8 6   7 5 (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 65% 0.50 2.40  
MACHO ALEGRE 2 4 5 4   3 6 (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 15.00 26.00  
OH SO SOCIAL 8 2 2nk 32   43 7 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 119 30.00 5.00  
WHERE'S MOE 6 3 4 55   8 811½ (nance jona)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 12.00 5% 19.00 29.50  
BAKER'S MAN 5 9 913¾ 913¾   915½ 912 (cook bria)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00 24.30  
SCR  FIERCE JUSTICE               (granitz anth)TERRAZA GERMAN 109 6.00    
SCR  GOOD FOREVER               (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 116 4.00    
 
IND-3   10/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE THE CHARGE 6 6 21 21 2½ 1 1¼ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 0.90  
SUNDAY BREEZE 1 5 6 5 32 3 2¼ (devaux cheri)CARROLL DECLAN 122 4.00 2.70  
FOLLOW THE MONEY 2 1 43 6 5 44 3¾ (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 2.50 25% 3.00 3.50 S
THAT KHENNY 4 3 11 11 1½ 2 43 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 6.00 18.70  
HARD LUCK JUSTICE 5 4 5 4 4 56 56 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 119 10.00 16% 5.40 7.10  
CONI'S COUP 3 2 3 32 6 68 66 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.50 23% 3.40 16.70  
SCR  ORESTES               (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00    
 
IND-4   10/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:12 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTAKATIF (IRE) 4 1 34 33 4 3½ 1½ (brown h)ELLIOTT JANE 123 12.00 4.60  
11  JURA 8 5 24 2 2 1nk 2½ (meah m)MCENTEE GRACE 123 3.50 20% 4.10 3.90 P
SPEED WARNING 7 4 14 1 1 2nk 3¾ (engler jeff)FELIX E 120 6.00 25% 3.10 3.50 S
JIMMY DAN 6 8 8 54 54 5 4 (schultz lindsa)CASTANON L 123 4.00 17% 5.00 2.30  
PERFECT PAINTING 2 6 7 8 86 7 53 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 123 5.00 10.20  
BIG PAPER 5 7 6 65 6 42 6 (richardville)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 20.00 6% 15.00 12.70  
READY PURSUIT 3 3 4 4 32 6 7 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 25.20  
NO PROOF 1 2 56 75 7 8 8 (schultz john)PEREZ E 120 30.00 6.90  
SCR  CHARLIES MEDAL               (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
SCR  EDEN PARADISE               (james gerald)RAMOS D 123 30.00    
SCR  NAVY CROSS               (engler j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
SCR  PERUVIAN LUCKY               (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00    
SCR  VERSATILE               (wisner tra)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 15.00    
 
IND-5   10/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:253 :503 1:16 1:283   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLOSIVE SKIES 2 1 5 5 42 1½ 11 (patrick r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 10% 8.90 1.50 W
NIXA 5 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 2½ 21 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 9% 9.90 2.80 P
MALI BALI 1 8 7 7 76 3 3 (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 5.00 11.20  
ZIPSY ROSE LEE 6 6 41 4 6 6 4 (granitz ant)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 3.50 57% 0.80 3.30  
11  KAYS HEAVENLY STAR 9 5 6 6 3½ 45 510¼ (sanchez emma)FIGUEROA JOVAN 119 15.00 20.00  
PADDI'S WISH 7 3 1½ 1nk 2nk 55 611¼ (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 122 30.00 67.20  
10  LUCKY LINDA W 8 4 3½ 3½ 54 7 712½ (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00 9.10  
CAROLYN'S ANGEL 3 9 9 9 9 8 812¾ (fosdick stev)RAMOS D 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
IMA N H LADY CAT 4 7 8 8 89 911¼ 917¼ (hayes michael )HISBY RONALD 122 30.00 83.50  
SCR  EMERSON'S DREAM               (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 125 12.00    
SCR  KNOTTY BLONDE               (richardville)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 30.00    
 
IND-6   10/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:13     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BENVOLIO 10 9 3 43 1nk 12 11 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 1.60  
  (by TAPIT out of MOLLY MORGAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
LUCKY ROMANCE 4 5 1 12 2nk 32 21 (block chris)MOJICA O 121 2.50 51% 1.00 5.10 P
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SPARKLINGROMANCE by SCAT DADDY)
NEW SPELL 1 3 9 87 85 5 32 (simms jr)CASTANON L 121 10.00 4.00  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of BROKEN SPELL by BROKEN VOW)
YELLOW JACKET 6 7 5 5 4 22 42 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 121 10.00 7.40  
  (by COASTLINE out of NO FIGHTING by WAR FRONT)
DADDY'S DINERO 5 4 43 3 32 4 5 (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 31.50  
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of WHITE GOLD by EXCHANGE RATE)
NOBLE GENTLEMAN 2 2 77 65 64 66 65 (demeritte larry)ACHARD ALEX 121 6.00 11.80  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of LOUVE ROYALE by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
CAPTAIN'S FLAG 3 1 66 7 7 710½ 713¾ (granitz)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 7.70  
  (by LORD NELSON out of ZIPSO FACTO by CITY ZIP)
PAPA'S RANSOM 7 8 87 97 98 912½ 814¾ (morey e)FELIX E 121 20.00 43.00  
  (by BERNARDINI out of FULL RANSOM by FULL MANDATE)
SKYPASS 8 6 2 22 53 811 916¼ (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 15.00 20% 3.90 23.80  
  (by SKY MESA out of K'S BAR BEE by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
10  SAINT HELIER 9 10 1215 1216½ 1216 1116½ 1017½ (beckman wh)RAMOS D 121 20.00 18.80  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LOST STARS by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
13  CALL EM KARL 11 11 10 108 1010½ 1016 1117¾ (ewing a)HEARD TYLER 121 20.00 5% 19.00 59.60  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of KAT O MINE by MINESHAFT)
14  POND 12 12 1112 1112 1114½ 1222 1225 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 121 30.00 99.30  
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE RULE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  BACHMAN               (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of PIPER'S NEW SONG by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
SCR  WOODFORD HOLLER               (calhoun w)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of LUCY IN THE SKY by CALEB'S POSSE)
 
IND-7   10/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:114 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) 8 10 10 107 9 32 1¾ (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50 13% 6.80 1.50 W
MILITARY FORCE 5 9 8 7 7 21 2¾ (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 6.00 55% 0.80 4.20 P
12  TOPF ROAD RULES 9 4 1½ 2nk 1½ 11 3 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 123 10.00 13.40  
STORM'S REFLECTION 4 8 9 8 8 74 4 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 123 30.00 56.10  
INHERENT POWERS 2 1 6 5 6 53 56 (livers charl)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 12.00 5% 19.00 23.90  
10  COMMAND CENTRAL 7 7 42 31 32 6 6 (meraz antonio)PRESCOTT R 123 8.00 8% 12.10 18.10  
RED HORNET 3 2 52 6 5 8 711 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 4.00  
JERICHO EXPRESS 1 3 3 43 4 9 811¼ (west m)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 15.00 11.10  
14  SMOKIN' HOT 10 5 2½ 1nk 2½ 4 911¾ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 14.00  
BARRISTER TOM 6 6 7 9 10 1012½ 1026½ (ewing a)HEARD TYLER 123 5.00 7.90  
SCR  FLYING SAMURAI               (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TEXT               (clark rober)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00    
SCR  HE TAKES CHARGE               (klopp randy)RAMOS D 123 6.00    
SCR  LAWMAKER               (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 123 15.00    
 
IND-8   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON MERINGUE 4 1 2½ 2½   1½ 1hd (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 121 3.00 30% 2.30 2.10 W
13  TAP ANCHOR 9 6 4 3½   2½ 2hd (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 7.10  
FEAR AND LOATHING 1 3 1½ 1½   32 3 (toye kara )ANDERSON MCKENNA 121 6.00 14% 6.10 8.00 S
WITHOUT OBJECTION 5 9 911½ 911¾   810½ 48 (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 121 12.00 11.80  
ALL YOUR FAULT 2 4 5 5   45 5 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 4.50 2.40  
11  FISH TAIL 7 8 7 7   6 6 (o'neill dou)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 9.70  
10  SHOTGUN PRO 6 2 31 4   5 710½ (royal madel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00 65.40  
12  ACACIO 8 7 8 8   79 811¾ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 19% 4.40 7.20  
HOG HEAVEN 3 5 64 6   914 917¼ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 8% 11.40 12.50  
SCR  CITY SHACK               (burdess terry)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 20.00    
SCR  IMPLEMENTER               (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 121 30.00    
SCR  KOLTEN'S PRIDE               (short thomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00    
SCR  SHIPCAPTAINNCREW               (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 20.00    
SCR  STEAL THE RHODE               (castaneda ma)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 20.00    
 
IND-9   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DO YA WANNA DANCE 7 7 7 6   3 1nk (roggenkamp e)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 20.00 14.80  
PROUD CIVILIAN 5 5 41 2½   1nk 2nk (brinkman b)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 49% 1.00 2.70 P
VICTOR'S DEAL 1 4 6 54   6 3¼ (richard)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 3.50  
EASY OPERATOR 2 1 1½ 1½   2nk 4 (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 122 4.00 15% 5.50 4.60 DQ↓6
BAD BOY GEIST 4 3 3½ 41   5 5 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 6.00 11% 7.70 4.10  
CHISEL 3 2 2½ 3½   42 63 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 119 6.00 3.50  
DAYKRA 6 6 5 7   712¾ 731 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 12.00 11.70  
SCR  BINGE               (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00    
SCR  BOLD BIZNESS               (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
SCR  SOLAR POWER               (matthews )PEDROZA MARCELINO 116 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.