Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - October 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.96  
CD-2   Win (4/1/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $57.40 $57.40 49.40
CD-3   Win (6/7/11/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $4.04 $4.04  
CD-4   Win (9/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 0 $8.84  
CD-5   Win (4/11/1/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $16.62 $16.62 6.62
CD-6   Win (3/11/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $14.66 $14.66 6.66
CD-7   Win (6/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.54 $5.54  
CD-8   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $17.72  
CD-9   Win (6/5/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.68 $7.68  
CD-10   Win (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $14.18 $14.18 10.18
CD-11   Win (11/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $13.96  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   10/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY JEREMY 4 1 1½ 1½   12 1 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 3.98  
WISTUCKY 6 2 3 31   22 2 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 16.30  
10  RUN JALEN RUN 8 7 6 5   3 34 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 20% 4.10 1.62 S
CLOTH OF GOLD 7 9 7 7   56 4 (richard tobious)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 44.61  
MOHAWK RIVER 1 3 5 42   46 58 (baker james)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 10.47  
14  WISH CAREFULLY 10 4 4 6   711½ 617¾ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16.61  
BOURBON BOSS 5 5 2½ 2½   6 721½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 3.00 58% 0.70 2.74  
13  DANCING NOAH 9 8 9 811½   916½ 822½ (taylor brent)LEBRON VICTOR 119 20.00 48.58  
BIBI BOSS 3 10 1012½ 913   816 926 (guevara gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 9.75  
COALPOWER 2 6 8 1016   1026½ 1046¾ (gonzalez rein)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 35.99  
SCR  GAGLIARDI               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
SCR  HENRO               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
SCR  KING ANTHONY               (hernandez a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  PRETTY FAST               (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00    
SCR  SPIN THE BOULEVARD               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 8.00    
SCR  SURF CITY               (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
 
CD-2   10/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:21 :444 :574     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BYE BYE LIAM 6 5 5 56   33 1nk (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 6% 17.20 27.70 W
BOWSTREET 2 2 1 1nk   1½ 2nk (lobo paulo )TORRES A 119 6.00 7.13  
ORANGE DIABLO 4 6 67 35   4 3½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 34% 2.00 0.74 S
LINZER 1 1 2 2nk   2½ 4 (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 30% 2.30 5.65  
COOKN WIT CATMAN 3 9 710 7   57 5 (catalano wa)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 11.36  
11  GOOD LORD 9 4 3 4   610½ 615 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5.35  
EMPIRE'S CLASSIC 7 7 812 813¼   713½ 715¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 67.51  
PUCKSTER 5 8 920 916¼   814 816¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 65.61  
10  OZONE 8 3 4 6   914½ 928¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 10% 9.20 14.83  
SCR  BURGUNDY ROYALE               (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  HE'S ELUSIVE               (jackson christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
 
CD-3   10/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  COASTAL INVASION 10 2 11 1½   1nk 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 18% 4.70 1.02 W
BLUE SQUALL 5 8 21 2½   2nk 21 (morse randy )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 22% 3.50 2.40 P
TANYA SHOWERS 7 10 7 55   46 31 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 17% 5.00 31.87 S
CLEAR VOICE 8 3 31 33   3 4 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 5.00 10.12  
10  CHILLED 9 4 8 67   69 5 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 20.79  
DANCING PRINCESS 4 11 117 1010   810½ 6 (spicer t)LEBRON VICTOR 119 15.00 81.06  
LEGAL DECEIVER 2 5 5 78   7 711 (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.77  
MUGEN 6 1 4 44   5 811¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 19% 4.20 5.97  
OH MY MIA 3 7 104 910   911 911¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 27.34  
SINTRA 1 6 6 8   1013½ 1016¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 85.01  
12  PINK CONNECTION 11 9 94 1111   1119½ 1133¾ (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 85.19  
SCR  BERNAR MOSA               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  FIGGY               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  MINK'S PALACE               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUSNESS               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  MOENCHANTED               (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   10/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:14 1:414   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TOASTED ROLL 9 3 13 12 13 1 1nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 3.42  
ROSELEE MAY 4 2 34 33 33 2 2nk (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5.38  
SPEAK UP 1 4 68 76 6 3 3 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 13.43  
YAMMY YAMMY BELLA 5 1 912½ 911½ 912¾ 612 413½ (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 30.89  
11  WITHOUT CAUSE 8 8 7 5 5 511 515¾ (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 3.85  
TURINO 6 6 4 6 44 714 619¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 59% 0.70 2.94  
WILLOWY 3 5 23 22 23 4 720½ (catalano w)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 21.77  
10  BIG DREAMER 7 7 56 4 7 817 838 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 6.00 14% 6.30 10.07  
TAZAWAKO (JPN) 2 9 8 8 8 923 967½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 6.40  
SCR  I'M A MESS               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
SCR  LEISURE TIME               (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
SCR  LUZ DIVINA               (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00    
SCR  MAGIC GATHERING               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA               (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
SCR  MONTCLAIR ROAD               (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
SCR  YAREE D TAT               (gilliam b)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
 
CD-5   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:121 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL MEN VIOLIN 4 1 77 7 7 2 1½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 29% 2.50 7.31 W
TRACK PHANTOM 2 2 1½ 1½ 1 1 2½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00 4.73  
11  TOP GUN ROCKET 8 5 31 4 3 3 3 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 24% 3.20 2.12 S
BOURBON'S FAULT 5 4 2½ 2½ 2 45 410½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 7% 13.60 8.10  
BEYOND STOKED 3 3 4 31 4 56 514 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 22.89  
10  MO' SPRESSO 7 6 5 52 5 68 614½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5.14  
TENNESSEE 1 7 10 8 8 710½ 717¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 19% 4.40 3.81  
13  UNREASONABLE 10 8 6 63 6 810½ 818¼ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 42.11  
HIGH ENOUGH 6 10 8 109 1012¾ 917½ 928¼ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 30.00 61.95  
12  MO RHODES 9 9 9 98 911¾ 1017¾ 1028½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.39  
SCR  CASH ONLY               (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
SCR  PENROD               (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
SCR  RESILIENCE               (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
 
CD-6   10/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:122     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP TUNE 5 9 5 4   3.2 11 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 9% 10.10 6.33 W
11  BARBRATINA 9 8 8 74   5 21 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 27% 2.70 1.33 P
ZADORSKY 6 3 6 6   6 3 (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.86 S
DONE ENOUGH 4 5 4 31   1nk 4 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 7.13  
MYA'S HALO 2 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 5 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 20.20  
KRICKLE 1 4 1nk 1nk   4¼ 6 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 122 12.00 53.78  
OUR KEEPSAKE 7 2 7 8   8 712½ (lukas way)TORRES A 122 12.00 13.40  
10  TAKE CHARGE BABE 8 7 9 99   98 815¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 21.28  
HIDDEN CLASS 3 6 3 52   7 920¾ (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 39% 1.50 4.73  
SCR  ASTERNIA               (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
SCR  REGAL RUMOR               (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00    
 
CD-7   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:132 1:263   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAD 4 8 63 5 5 4 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 49% 1.10 1.77 W
SPEEDTAIL 5 5 4 4 31 1½ 2 (mason ingrid)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 62.75  
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 6 4 2nk 3 41 2½ 3 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 24% 3.10 2.24 S
FARM TEAM 7 7 1nk 2½ 1½ 3 4 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 18.40  
16  MIDNIGHT MAESTRO 10 6 52 6 76 67 5 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 31.91  
12  LUKE 9 9 8 96 88 79 612½ (hartman ch)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 13.14  
10  PHENOMENAL DREAM 8 10 10 8 6 8 716¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 19.37  
CURLIN GUNNER 1 3 9 1011 1019 1019½ 824¾ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 27.40  
NUMERO SIETE 2 1 3½ 1½ 2½ 54 928½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 5% 19.00 3.94  
DIRBAS 3 2 7 75 911 917½ 1031¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 8.00 10.30  
SCR  AGAPEE MOU               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00    
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  CREEK               (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
SCR  EVENING NEWS               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  LE GRIS               (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
SCR  WHO'S THE KING               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
 
CD-8   10/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Rags Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:133 1:391   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST SUNSET 4 1 13 1 12 1 1 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 7.86  
GIN GIN 5 4 34 3 32 2 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 8% 11.30 9.07 P
V V'S DREAM 3 5 5 44 4 37 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 71% 0.40 0.19 S
CANDY LANDY 1 2 23 2 22 4 415½ (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 6.83  
FLOORED 2 3 4 5 5 510½ 517¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 28.39  
SCR  SHIMMERING ALLURE               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00    
SCR  TWIRLING GOOD TIME               (bauer a)BEJARANO R 122 4.00    
 
CD-9   10/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OTTO THE CONQUEROR 4 2 1½ 1½   14 14 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 32% 2.10 2.84 W
12  HONOR MARIE 9 4 86 8   34 24 (beckman whitwort)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 10% 9.40 5.85 P
JUST STEEL 1 9 63 53   24 38 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 1.93  
IRIDESCENT 5 5 2½ 2½   4 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 7.81  
11  EPIC BATTLE 8 6 74 64   710 515½ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 11% 8.30 5.97  
CALL ME ANDY 3 7 4 42   5 617 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 16% 5.30 6.77  
10  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX 7 1 52 32   69 717 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 122 12.00 23.45  
BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 2 8 97 9   816 830½ (hancock l)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00 57.05  
GROUP TICKET 6 3 3 7   918 932½ (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 44.19  
SCR  ANDY'S CANDY               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
SCR  MOLLY'S TOWN               (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 122 3.50    
SCR  SPONGE BATH               (catalano wa)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
SCR  STEELER MISCHIEF               (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 20.00    
 
CD-10   10/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Street Sense Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:13 1:392   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERAL ARTS 5 5 57 5 54 2nk 1 (medina robe)TORRES A 122 8.00 34% 2.00 6.09 W
MOONLIGHT 3 4 46 4 4 4 2 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.24 P
INFORMED PATRIOT 4 1 3 3 21 1nk 3 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 5.32  
GETTYSBURG ADDRESS 1 3 12 12 11 31 4 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 3.36  
NORTHERN FLAME 2 2 22 22 3 5 534¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 3.20  
SCR  BARKSDALE               (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
SCR  GENEROUS TIPPER               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
SCR  PARCHMENT PARTY               (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
 
CD-11   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:121 1:253   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKSTER 6 6 1½ 2 1½ 13 1 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5.98  
PERFECT SHOT 8 8 31 3 2½ 23 2 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 7% 14.10 3.70 P
FORESEEN 7 11 11 1113½ 89 4 3 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 31.59  
12  PLAYBACK 11 10 9 7 56 36 4 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 119 10.00 17.46  
MY FAVORITE GIRL 1 4 10 1011½ 77 78 510½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 14.76  
10  PIN UP BETTY 9 1 2½ 1 3 57 613 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 15.54  
11  LADY MOSCATO 10 9 6 4 42 6 719 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 55% 0.80 2.24  
C'EST CHEESE 5 7 4 5 66 810 820½ (beckman whit)RAMOS D 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.25  
SASSY PRINCESS 4 2 74 97 911½ 914 925¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 18% 4.60 3.15  
WINSOME BEAUTY 2 5 8 8 1012 1016½ 1029½ (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 34.90  
ALDORA 3 3 5 65 1114 1120½ 1146½ (catalano wayn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 50.71  
SCR  ARIJANA'S PEARL               (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
SCR  BANG BANG FURY               (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00    
SCR  CHURNING BERNI               (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
SCR  PARADISE LANE               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00    
SCR  WEST OMAHA               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.