Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - October 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (4/1/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (6/7/11/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (9/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (4/11/1/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (3/11/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (6/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-9   Win (6/5/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-11   Win (11/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   10/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HENRO         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
MOHAWK RIVER         (baker james)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
COALPOWER         (gonzalez rein)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
BIBI BOSS         (guevara gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
LUCKY JEREMY Sep29         (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
BOURBON BOSS Sep29 Sep02       (mott riley)TORRES A 119 3.00 58% 0.70    
WISTUCKY Sep29         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
CLOTH OF GOLD Oct11         (richard tobious)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRETTY FAST Oct11 Jul08       (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00    
10  RUN JALEN RUN Sep29         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  SPIN THE BOULEVARD Oct13         (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 8.00    
SCR  GAGLIARDI         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
13  DANCING NOAH         (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
14  WISH CAREFULLY Sep29         (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  KING ANTHONY Sep03         (hernandez a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  SURF CITY Oct07         (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
 
CD-2   10/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINZER Oct07 Aug25 Jul26     (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
BOWSTREET         (lobo paulo )TORRES A 119 6.00    
COOKN WIT CATMAN         (catalano wa)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
ORANGE DIABLO Sep17         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  HE'S ELUSIVE         (jackson christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
PUCKSTER         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
BYE BYE LIAM Sep29         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  BURGUNDY ROYALE Oct01 Aug27 Jul21     (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
EMPIRE'S CLASSIC         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
10  OZONE Aug26 Aug05 Jun29     (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
11  GOOD LORD         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   10/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISCHIEVOUSNESS Sep16         (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
SINTRA Sep02 Jul23 Jun16     (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
LEGAL DECEIVER Sep28         (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
OH MY MIA         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
DANCING PRINCESS Sep27 Jun25 Jun10     (spicer t)LEBRON VICTOR 119 15.00    
BLUE SQUALL Sep27         (morse randy )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
MUGEN Sep21 Jul30       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
TANYA SHOWERS Oct06         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 17% 5.00    
CLEAR VOICE Sep16         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 5.00    
10  CHILLED Oct06         (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
11  COASTAL INVASION         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 18% 4.70    
12  PINK CONNECTION         (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
SCR  BERNAR MOSA         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  MOENCHANTED         (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  FIGGY         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  MINK'S PALACE         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
 
CD-4   10/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK UP Sep30         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
TAZAWAKO (JPN)         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
WILLOWY Sep27 Aug26       (catalano w)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
ROSELEE MAY Sep09         (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
SCR  YAREE D TAT Oct06 Aug02       (gilliam b)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Oct10 Sep07 Aug20 Aug05 Jul06 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA Oct11         (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
SCR  I'M A MESS Oct11 Sep07       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
TURINO Oct11 Sep13       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 59% 0.70    
10  BIG DREAMER Sep28 Aug28       (mott riley)TORRES A 119 6.00 14% 6.30    
11  WITHOUT CAUSE Sep23         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00    
12  TOASTED ROLL Sep28 Aug31       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  LUZ DIVINA Oct11 Sep23 Sep02     (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00    
SCR  LEISURE TIME         (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
SCR  MAGIC GATHERING Sep21         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  MONTCLAIR ROAD Sep21         (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
 
CD-5   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 19% 4.40    
TRACK PHANTOM Oct01         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00    
BEYOND STOKED Sep19         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
REAL MEN VIOLIN Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Jul14   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  CASH ONLY Oct01 Aug30       (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
BOURBON'S FAULT Sep22         (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 7% 13.60    
HIGH ENOUGH Oct01         (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 30.00    
SCR  RESILIENCE Oct01 Sep01       (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
SCR  PENROD Oct01 Aug11       (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
10  MO' SPRESSO Oct01         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
11  TOP GUN ROCKET Sep22         (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
12  MO RHODES Aug11         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  UNREASONABLE Sep17         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
 
CD-6   10/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 3:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRICKLE Sep27 Sep16 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 122 12.00    
MYA'S HALO Sep13 Aug20 Jul16     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
HIDDEN CLASS Sep13 Aug31 Aug03     (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
DONE ENOUGH Oct06 Sep10 Aug05 Jun16   (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
SCR  REGAL RUMOR Sep16 Aug26 Jul31     (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00    
SHARP TUNE May26         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  ASTERNIA Oct06 Sep13 Aug04     (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
ZADORSKY Sep14 Aug13 Jul07 Jun10   (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
OUR KEEPSAKE Oct06 Sep16 Jul31     (lukas way)TORRES A 122 12.00    
10  TAKE CHARGE BABE Sep23         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
11  BARBRATINA Aug11         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
CD-7   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN GUNNER         (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AGAPEE MOU Oct12 Aug05       (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00    
SCR  LE GRIS Sep15 Aug05       (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
NUMERO SIETE Sep29         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
DIRBAS Sep09 Aug12       (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 8.00    
SNEAD Sep24 Aug27       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 49% 1.10    
SPEEDTAIL Oct01 Sep17       (mason ingrid)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY Oct07 Aug20       (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
FARM TEAM Sep15 Aug06       (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
10  PHENOMENAL DREAM Oct12 Sep07 Aug19     (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  CREEK Sep24 Aug31 Aug05     (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
12  LUKE         (hartman ch)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
SCR  BRITISH SEA Sep09 Jul14       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  EVENING NEWS Aug27         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  WHO'S THE KING Oct07         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
16  MIDNIGHT MAESTRO Oct14 Sep17       (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
 
CD-8   10/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Rags Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY LANDY Sep21 Aug01       (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
FLOORED Oct15 Sep21 Aug18     (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
V V'S DREAM Oct06 Sep16 Jul02 May19   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 71% 0.40    
WEST SUNSET Sep16         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
SCR  SHIMMERING ALLURE Oct06 Sep20 Aug13 Jul16 Jun10 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00    
SCR  TWIRLING GOOD TIME Sep27         (bauer a)BEJARANO R 122 4.00    
GIN GIN Sep21 Aug08       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 8% 11.30    
 
CD-9   10/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST STEEL Oct07 Sep04 Aug05 Jul15 Jun17 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
SCR  STEELER MISCHIEF Sep30 Sep03       (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  ANDY'S CANDY Oct14 Sep17       (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
BEAUDACIOUS COLTON Aug13 Jul08 Jun15 May25 May03 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
CALL ME ANDY Sep15 Aug13 Jul02 Jun01   (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
OTTO THE CONQUEROR Sep22 Aug13       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
IRIDESCENT Aug31 Aug11       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00    
SCR  SPONGE BATH Oct08 Aug31 Jul30     (catalano wa)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
GROUP TICKET Sep09 Aug04 Jul20 Jul02 Jun17 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00    
10  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX Oct07 Sep04 Aug13 Jul12 Jun24 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 122 12.00    
11  EPIC BATTLE Sep15 Aug09       (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
12  HONOR MARIE Sep29         (beckman whitwort)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  MOLLY'S TOWN Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 Jul21   (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 122 3.50    
 
CD-10   10/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Street Sense Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GENEROUS TIPPER Oct07 Aug28 Aug05 Jul14   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
GETTYSBURG ADDRESS Aug06         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00    
NORTHERN FLAME Oct07 Sep15 Aug28 Jul21   (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00    
MOONLIGHT Sep28 Jul29       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  PARCHMENT PARTY Sep15         (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
INFORMED PATRIOT Sep22 Aug12       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  BARKSDALE Oct04         (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
LIBERAL ARTS Sep16 Aug13 Jul01 May25   (medina robe)TORRES A 122 8.00 34% 2.00    
 
CD-11   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FAVORITE GIRL Sep30 Sep14       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
WINSOME BEAUTY Oct11 Aug18 Jul16     (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
ALDORA Sep16         (catalano wayn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
SASSY PRINCESS Aug31 Jul23       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 18% 4.60    
C'EST CHEESE Oct06         (beckman whit)RAMOS D 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKSTER Aug26         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
FORESEEN Sep07 Jul22       (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
SCR  ARIJANA'S PEARL Oct13 Sep08       (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
PERFECT SHOT Sep21         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 7% 14.10    
10  PIN UP BETTY Oct06 Sep16       (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
11  LADY MOSCATO Sep30 Sep03 Aug06 Jul13 Jun16 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 55% 0.80    
12  PLAYBACK Jun30         (lobo paulo )TORRES A 119 10.00    
SCR  WEST OMAHA Sep21         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
SCR  PARADISE LANE Oct01 Aug31       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00    
SCR  CHURNING BERNI         (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
SCR  BANG BANG FURY Sep16         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.