Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.40  
KEE-2   Win (1/9/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $10.98 $10.98 2.98
KEE-3   Win (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $49.82 $49.82 41.82
KEE-4   Win (1/8/10/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $12.96 $12.96 2.96
KEE-5   Win (10/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $8.38  
KEE-6   Win (1/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $23.50  
KEE-7   Win (12/8/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $9.04 $9.04  
KEE-8   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.86 $3.86  
KEE-9   Win (1/10/5/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $10.26  
KEE-10   Win (9/10/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $8.04 $8.04 0.04

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :462 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORREST CITY 5 2 21 21   1nk 1hd (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.00 3.20  
ONE GIANT LEAP 1 1 11 11   2nk 2hd (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 1.40 57% 0.80 1.03 P
ATTACHE 6 3 43 4   3 3 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.51 S
CHANCE 4 6 53 5   44 4 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 12.71  
GOLD LUCK 2 5 3 3   55 513½ (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 14.20  
KATTATH 3 4 6 6   68 617 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 13% 6.50 3.84  
 
KEE-2   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :46 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTSVILLE 8 6 7 67   45 1½ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00 4.49 W
LUNDBERG 4 2 2nk 1½   13 2½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 6.24  
PASS LINE 6 4 43 3   33 3 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 5.14  
SMOKE WAGON 9 1 32 2½   23 4 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 5% 19.00 4.73  
FUJIN 5 8 913¾ 712   710½ 510 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00 29.46  
TAMASHI 1 3 1nk 4   57 610¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 63% 0.60 5.94  
LOUIS 2 5 5 55   69 716¼ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 11.00  
AMEREASE 7 9 811¼ 815½   817 830½ (gorder kellyn)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00 30.13  
OFF THE CLOCK 3 7 68 9100   9100 9100 (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 5% 19.00 3.14  
 
KEE-3   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:231 :47       1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE'S LOVE 7 2 3½ 2½   12 1¼ (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 121 20.00 17% 4.90 23.91 W
MISS TAPPY TONE 6 8 8 7   22 2¼ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 118 6.00 4.63  
ROYAL LAUGHTER 4 6 7 8   5 3 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 5.24  
ROYAL BLOOD 8 1 6 4   4 4 (vaccarezza c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 1.51  
WATER FIGHT 1 3 1nk 1½   33 510 (mendieta alejand)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 25.91  
MINNIE'S READY 2 4 2nk 3½   6 612 (von kel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00 43% 1.30 12.90  
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 3 7 5 6   7 713¾ (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 5% 19.00 9.31  
BEAUXS ARTES 5 5 42 52   89 816¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50 18% 4.70 3.79  
 
KEE-4   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:114     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCOMMODATE EVA 5 3 1½ 11   1 1 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 5.48 W
10  MIXER 8 9 5 4   2 2 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 11% 8.50 7.16 P
PROMISEMEANEMPIRE 1 6 2½ 3   3 3 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 3.00 37% 1.70 2.47 S
MYSIDEHUSTLE 6 7 8 7   4 4 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 24% 3.20 4.17  
PAM PAM 2 10 10 9   610 514¾ (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 4.73  
FULLY ENTITLED 4 4 4 6   710¼ 615 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.05  
12  PRAY FOR CHAMPAGNE 10 1 6 87   913¼ 718¾ (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 15.81  
11  ANNAMARIA 9 2 31 21   59 818¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 16.01  
VINO FROM ERNIES 7 8 9 5   812¼ 920¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 15.06  
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT 3 5 7 1011½   1020¾ 1041¼ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 43.40  
SCR  CHIQUITA REINA               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  DESPO'S DREAM               (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  LIAM'S MESSAGE               (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA               (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  SHE'S A SHOPPER               (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00    
SCR  TWO PRACTICAL               (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
 
KEE-5   10/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:131 1:244   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOMAS AQUINAS 9 2 2½ 21 2½ 2½ 1½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 3.19  
ST. ARMANDS KEY 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 1½ 2½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 12.55  
GAMBLIN GEORGE 2 3 3 3 43 44 3 (kelley a)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 34.70  
MANDATORY MEETING 4 4 4 42 32 3 4 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 21% 3.70 12.32  
PHREDDIE MAC 6 10 8 74 7 67 5 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
GOULD'S GOLD 3 9 5 53 5 57 6 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 6.39  
RADIO LIBERTY 7 11 7 8 88 89 7 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 21% 3.70 2.96  
ELM STREET 8 6 6 6 6 78 810 (nihei michel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 48.65  
12  THUNDER BALL 12 12 10 10 99 9 910½ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 54.68  
10  ZVEREV 10 7 12 129 1110¼ 1011 1011¾ (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 3.00 34% 2.00 3.29  
11  MENDELSFLY 11 8 9 97 10 1112½ 1114¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 75.09  
AGAPEE MOU 5 5 11 11 12100 12100 12100 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00 29.39  
SCR  ACT OF MUTINY               (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
SCR  DISATTACHED               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  SHERIFF JOE               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  TRIKARI               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
KEE-6   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:103     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONEVICIOUS 2 2 43 56   34 1nk (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00 10.75  
RUNGIUS 6 8 78 68   4 2nk (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 4.99  
MUMAYAZ 4 6 55 3   1½ 3.15 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 6% 15.30 4.89 S
MONEY RUN 1 4 1½ 1½   2½ 4 (rouck l)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 51% 1.00 3.61  
INDULGE 7 5 6 78   68 5 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 8.03  
GOOD HEART 5 3 2½ 2½   5 611¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 1.74  
TREATY 3 7 814 814   712½ 714½ (barrett a)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 13% 6.80 42.31  
CARMICHAEL 8 1 3 4   818½ 832 (cano munoz)ASHTON GAVIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.31  
 
KEE-7   10/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:122 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONTLINE WARRIOR 2 1 6 64 43 3.2 1¼ (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 20% 3.90 3.52 W
EDGARTOWN 3 3 42 42 32 4¼ 2¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 7% 13.80 4.22 P
REAL MEN VIOLIN 7 5 53 5 6 6 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 23% 3.30 6.09 S
10  MILL STREET 8 10 86 85 8 73 4 (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 11.05  
12  TIRELESS 10 7 74 7 7 84 5 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 29% 2.40 1.81  
PHENOMENAL DREAM 1 9 10 109 9 5 6 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 32.47  
ALL ABOUT TONITE 4 2 11 11 1nk 1nk 7 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.69  
SHARON'S PRINCE 6 4 21 21 2nk 2nk 8 (granitz anthony)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 43.06  
DROBNY 5 8 9 9 10 10 96 (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 16.29  
11  MUGATU 9 6 32 32 5 9 10 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 34.12  
SCR  DEADPAN               (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  OMEX               (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 10.00    
SCR  ROUNDTOP               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50    
SCR  TAPITORO               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SCR  TIME MUSE               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 50.00    
SCR  UNCLE TRULY               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
 
KEE-8   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE PRANKSTER 6 6 4 21   1½ 1 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.00 62% 0.60 0.93 W
MISS ARLINGTON 1 2 1½ 11   2½ 2 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.38 P
LOVER GIRL 5 5 66 5   34 3 (williams matt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00 57.70  
MAGICAL LUTE 2 7 7 7   6 48 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 6.19  
BLACK FOREST 7 1 2½ 32   4 59 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 10.00 18.00  
WILMA MANKILLER 3 4 3 4   5 69 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 12.21  
AUNT BECCA 4 3 52 6   7 714¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 8% 10.80 3.28  
SCR  FILLY CRYSTAL               (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:113 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH ACES 4 3 64 74 63 21 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 4.13  
10  KING CURLIN 9 6 5 53 5 43 2 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 4.00 25% 3.00 6.90 P
GATLINBURG 6 2 1 11 11 11 3 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00 11.56  
SAFE TRIP HOME 5 4 85 85 84 6 4 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 12% 7.10 6.26  
MR MCGREGOR 1 1 32 4 4 3 5 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 33% 2.00 3.34  
TALL BOY 3 10 11 11 116 86 6 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 4.53  
12  FINGAL 11 8 43 3 21 5 7 (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.24  
BASELINE BEATER 2 11 96 106 10 7 8 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 50.16  
OSCAR AWARD 7 12 12 12 127 9 96 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 16.49  
11  BLAMETHEGOODTIMES 10 7 2 21 3 10 1016¾ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 9.86  
13  LE GRIFFON 12 9 10 96 95 1111 1119½ (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 84.79  
ALL CHOKED UP 8 5 75 6 7 1214½ 1229¼ (divito jame)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 40.84  
SCR  AMERICAN DIAMOND               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
SCR  KIGALI               (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
SCR  SOYBEAN MAN               (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00    
 
KEE-10   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. BENEDICTS PREP 9 3 3 22   2 11 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 36% 1.80 3.02 W
10  OH MY GAWD 10 2 1½ 12   1 21 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 36% 1.80 1.63 P
MARMALADE SKYE 3 10 8 3   3 3 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00 75.67  
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 5 9 10 911½   59 4 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 7.91  
ALLINTHECALL 1 7 2½ 5   47 510¾ (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 32.15  
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 7 1 5 78   712½ 612½ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 6% 14.40 3.92  
BIRDIE ROSE 6 6 7 6   611 713 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 121 15.00 10.92  
BE MISS HATTIE 8 4 6 45   814½ 820¾ (davis chris)TORRES A 121 8.00 23.87  
WILD ACCLAIM 2 5 42 8   915½ 921 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 31.09  
MARKET PROFILE 4 8 9 1015   1018½ 1024¼ (heath destin )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 19.61  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.