Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (1/9/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (1/8/10/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (10/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (1/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (12/8/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-9   Win (1/10/5/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-10   Win (9/10/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE GIANT LEAP Apr26 Mar15 Oct28     (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 1.40 57% 0.80    
GOLD LUCK Sep14 Jul13 Jun25 May28 May20 (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
KATTATH Sep14 Aug05 Jan08 Dec18 Oct02 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 13% 6.50    
CHANCE Sep17 Jul21 Jun14 Dec16 Nov13 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
FORREST CITY Sep10 Aug12 Jun27 Jun10 May08 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.00    
ATTACHE Sep24 Sep16 Aug04 Jul14 Jul02 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMASHI Sep08         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 63% 0.60    
LOUIS Aug10 Jul22       (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
OFF THE CLOCK Sep04 Aug10       (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 5% 19.00    
LUNDBERG Jun16 May13 Apr08 Mar12 Apr07 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 4.50    
FUJIN Jul30 Jul07 May14 Mar26 Jan06 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
PASS LINE Sep17 Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 Jun15 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
AMEREASE         (gorder kellyn)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00    
HUNTSVILLE Apr15 Mar04       (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKE WAGON Sep02 Aug01 Jul16 Jul02 May21 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-3   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATER FIGHT Sep29 Sep13 May26 May03 Apr02 (mendieta alejand)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
MINNIE'S READY Sep29 Sep11 Jul31 Jul08 Sep24 (von kel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD Aug28 Jun16 May29 May02 Apr13 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL LAUGHTER Aug24 Jul16 Jun21 Jun10 Apr22 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
BEAUXS ARTES Sep20 Aug26 Jun11 May25 May04 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50 18% 4.70    
MISS TAPPY TONE Apr14 Mar25 Feb23     (hartman chris)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
JACKIE'S LOVE Sep01 Aug11 Jul20 Jun29 Jun10 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 121 20.00 17% 4.90    
ROYAL BLOOD Jul31 Jul09 Jun02 May14 Apr23 (vaccarezza c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
 
KEE-4   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMISEMEANEMPIRE Sep20 Aug26       (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
PAM PAM         (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  TWO PRACTICAL Sep13         (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Oct03 Sep19 Aug31 Aug03 Jun16 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
SCR  CHIQUITA REINA Sep20         (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
FULLY ENTITLED         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ACCOMMODATE EVA Sep16 Aug17       (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MYSIDEHUSTLE Sep16         (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
VINO FROM ERNIES         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
10  MIXER         (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 11% 8.50    
11  ANNAMARIA         (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
12  PRAY FOR CHAMPAGNE Sep13 Aug01       (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00    
SCR  LIAM'S MESSAGE Aug31 Aug12 Jun25 May27 May12 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA Sep16         (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  DESPO'S DREAM Sep20 Aug04       (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S A SHOPPER Jul22         (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. ARMANDS KEY Sep07         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
GAMBLIN GEORGE Sep10 Jul27       (kelley jam)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
GOULD'S GOLD Sep22         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
MANDATORY MEETING Sep02         (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 21% 3.70    
AGAPEE MOU Aug05         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00    
PHREDDIE MAC Sep15 Aug28 Jul21 Jun15   (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
RADIO LIBERTY Aug25         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
ELM STREET Sep25         (nihei michel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
THOMAS AQUINAS Sep09 Aug12 Jul15     (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00    
10  ZVEREV Sep02         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
11  MENDELSFLY Sep10         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
12  THUNDER BALL Sep02 Jul30       (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
SCR  SHERIFF JOE Sep13 Aug25 Jul15     (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  ACT OF MUTINY Sep07 Aug19       (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
SCR  TRIKARI         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
SCR  DISATTACHED         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY RUN Sep08 Aug19 Jun15 Apr12 Mar16 (rouck l)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 51% 1.00    
STONEVICIOUS Sep22 Aug06 May19 May11 Apr08 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00    
TREATY Sep20 Aug06 Jun15 Mar19 Feb12 (barrett roddi)PETERSON FERRIN 121 10.00 13% 6.80    
MUMAYAZ Sep13 Aug11 Apr16 Feb25 Jan06 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 6% 15.30    
GOOD HEART Sep02 Aug11 Jun29 Jun15 Apr28 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
RUNGIUS Sep14 Aug18 Dec10 Nov13 Sep15 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
INDULGE Aug12 Jun23 May05 Apr02 Feb03 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00    
CARMICHAEL Sep15 Aug04 Jun01 May11 Feb05 (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-7   10/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIME MUSE Sep03 Aug06       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 50.00    
PHENOMENAL DREAM Sep07 Aug19       (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
FRONTLINE WARRIOR Sep03 Jul29       (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
EDGARTOWN Sep02         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 7% 13.80    
ALL ABOUT TONITE Aug31 Aug12       (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
DROBNY Sep17         (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
SHARON'S PRINCE Sep10         (granitz anthony)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
REAL MEN VIOLIN Sep15 Aug25 Jul14     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  OMEX Sep15 Aug13 Jul21 Jun15   (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 10.00    
10  MILL STREET Sep02         (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
11  MUGATU Jul31 Jul14 Jun24     (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
12  TIRELESS Sep13         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  DEADPAN Sep02         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  ROUNDTOP Sep02         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50    
SCR  TAPITORO Aug31         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SCR  UNCLE TRULY Sep09         (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
 
KEE-8   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ARLINGTON Sep17 Aug01 Jul07 Jun15 May20 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAGICAL LUTE Sep17 Aug13 Jun24 Jun02 Apr21 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
WILMA MANKILLER Aug31 Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00    
AUNT BECCA Jun11 Apr22 Mar10 Feb01   (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 8% 10.80    
LOVER GIRL Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 May29 Sep10 (williams matt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00    
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE Sep21 Jun11 Dec07 Nov16   (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
LITTLE PRANKSTER Aug30 Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 May02 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.00 62% 0.60    
BLACK FOREST Aug13 Jun29 Jun01 Apr07 Jan22 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  FILLY CRYSTAL Sep15         (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
 
KEE-9   10/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MCGREGOR Sep10 Jul02 Jun02 Apr14 Mar18 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
BASELINE BEATER Sep10 Aug04 May14 Apr15 Mar25 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
TALL BOY Aug05 Jul09 Jun10 May06 Dec17 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
IRISH ACES Aug26 Nov06 Oct03     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
SAFE TRIP HOME Jan01 Dec02       (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 12% 7.10    
GATLINBURG Sep02 Aug02 Jun24 Apr22 Apr02 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00    
OSCAR AWARD Sep17 Aug26 Dec02 Oct29 Sep14 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALL CHOKED UP Sep17 Sep02 Jun08 May21   (divito jame)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00    
SCR  SOYBEAN MAN Aug27 Jun30 May28 May06 Apr15 (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00    
10  KING CURLIN Sep03 Aug18 Jul16 May28 Apr27 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
11  BLAMETHEGOODTIMES Jan14 Dec18 Oct29 Sep11 Aug12 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
12  FINGAL Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 Jan22 (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
13  LE GRIFFON Sep17 Jul14 May27 Sep07 Aug17 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
SCR  KIGALI Sep22 Aug30 Jul16 Jun24 May04 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
SCR  AMERICAN DIAMOND Sep10 Jan05 Jan22     (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO Jun29 May20 Apr19 Mar30 Mar04 (guerrero sal)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
 
KEE-10   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLINTHECALL May04 Mar30       (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
WILD ACCLAIM Sep22 Aug18 Jan18 Dec21   (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
MARMALADE SKYE         (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00    
MARKET PROFILE Jun27 Nov26 Oct30 Sep23   (heath destin )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Aug23 Jul28 Jun11 May18 Apr15 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 12.00    
BIRDIE ROSE Sep15 Aug26 Aug01 Jul08 May02 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 121 15.00    
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL Aug23 Jul21 Jun29 Jun02 May13 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 6% 14.40    
BE MISS HATTIE Sep15 Sep02 Jul31     (davis chris)TORRES A 121 8.00    
ST. BENEDICTS PREP Jul28 Jun23 May12 Sep04 Jul31 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
10  OH MY GAWD         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.