Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $11.78  
KEE-2   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.36 $6.36 0.36
KEE-3   Win (11/12/13/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $4.82 $4.82  
KEE-4   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $5.04  
KEE-5   Win (11/7/12/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $8.68 $8.68  
KEE-6   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.14 $5.14  
KEE-7   Win (10/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
KEE-8   Win (8/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.56 $3.56  
KEE-9   Win (13/15/16/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 14 1 0 $17.20  
KEE-10   Win (9/4/11/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $5.64 $5.64  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:123     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GHOSTLY NIGHT 7 3 2½ 11   12½ 11½ (begley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 4.89  
4  CALTHA 4 1 34 36   34 21½ (esquivel je)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00 7% 12.80 14.24 P
1  DONYA KNOW IT 1 7 67 46½   46 32 (combs bentley)TORRES A 121 3.00 33% 2.00 2.39 S
3  VITAEMI 3 4 1½ 21   22½ 42 (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 33% 2.00 1.06  
2  SACRED BEAUTY 2 2 57 69½   69½ 56¾ (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 121 30.00 35.97  
5  L. A. STAR 5 5 710 712½   710½ 67¾ (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 32.44  
6  PRIDDIS 6 6 44½ 57½   59 78¾ (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 7.39  
 
KEE-2   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :46 1:122     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BALL GOWN 6 1 21½ 1½   13½ 17 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.50 28% 2.60 2.18 W
7  MENDED WE STAND 7 6 44 31½   23½ 27 (bahena ism)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 2.83  
1  HOT SUMMER DREAM 1 7 56½ 56   47 37¼ (pitts helen)TORRES A 118 6.00 16.98  
3  MAHOMEBRED 3 2 11½ 2½   34 47¾ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00 3.38  
2  SHES A SECRET 2 5 31½ 44   58½ 512¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 20% 4.00 3.48  
5  LITURGIA 5 4 67 79½   611 618½ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00 20% 4.10 11.72  
4  FLATTER ME ZEN 4 3 78½ 69½   711 720 (barrett roddi)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00 32.53  
SCR  TAMARA'S WAY               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
 
KEE-3   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  YULETIDE GALLOP 10 1 31 2½   21½ 1¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 31% 2.20 1.41 W
1  ONE RED CENT 1 7 11 1½   11½ 2¼ (jazdzewski j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 7.45  
13  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE 11 3 42 31½   33½ 33¾ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60 S
2  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 2 10 21 43   43½ 43¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 8.74  
5  MY BROTHER CHARLIE 5 9 1010¼ 89¾   68¼ 57¼ (waltz brian)COURT K 119 8.00 ★ 9.67  
4  STING MUSIC 4 4 65½ 79½   58 68¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 18.45  
9  COAL MINER 8 2 53 68½   710¼ 717½ (mccutchen r)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 45.11  
3  VINO FA DANZA 3 6 87¾ 1015¾   1016¼ 818½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00 68.28  
11  IN THE NUMBERS 9 8 98¼ 915¾   916¼ 918¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 40% 1.50 3.24  
7  CHASENTHEONE 7 5 75¾ 58½   813¼ 1021 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 32.02  
6  BROADWAY RED 6 11 1112¾ 1116¼   1117¼ 1121½ (delong ben)ULLOA JOAN 119 15.00 33.86  
SCR  CAPO               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
SCR  JIMMY THE HAT               (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  MUNYHUNGRY               (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
SCR  STEAL THE RHODE               (castaneda marc)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 20.00    
SCR  TAPITBOY               (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 119 4.50    
 
KEE-4   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CAMP DADDY 4 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 1¾ (hernandez ar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 1.52  
5  MAGNIFICENT MILE 3 5 42 52¾   32½ 2¾ (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 35% 1.90 3.54 P
4  HOCUS (GB) 2 4 1nk 1nk   2½ 33¼ (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 3.63  
2  GOODASIWONSWAS 1 3 53 42½   54½ 43¼ (warpool shane)MILLER CHASE 122 2.00 37% 1.70 2.38  
7  HUSKER BUTCH 5 2 31½ 31   42½ 53¼ (von kel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 14.58  
SCR  CLASSY SOCKS               (vance d)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
SCR  O'CONNER SUNSET               (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00    
 
KEE-5   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SPIRIT'S MISCHIEF 9 3 1½ 1½   12½ 14¼ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 23% 3.30 3.34 W
5  MUAZARAH 5 1 2½ 2½   22½ 24¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 7.85  
14  REDEPOSIT 12 10 52 52¾   46 37¼ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 4.06  
6  IN A JAM 6 2 42 42½   56 47¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 13% 6.50 8.35  
1  BRENNAN'S HONOR 1 7 62½ 64¾   66½ 58¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 7.24  
2  GOTTA KEEP HIM 2 5 84 75¾   79 69½ (kenneally eddie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.97  
12  OY VEY 10 4 31 3½   35½ 711¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 15% 5.60 4.00  
9  CHESTNUT CREED 8 8 73½ 85¾   810 813¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 37.25  
7  SMOKEY SMOKEY 7 11 1112½ 1114¾   1013½ 914¼ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 22% 3.50 7.34  
4  NON FUNGIBLE 4 6 95½ 98¼   913 1020¼ (short thomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 30.00 91.39  
13  GOOD POINT 11 9 1215 1220¾   1221½ 1124¾ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00 ######  
3  CAMILAS WARRIOR 3 12 108½ 1011¼   1118 1225¾ (chavez)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 50.00 90.46  
SCR  DRIP D'ORO               (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
SCR  HIGGINSVILLE               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
SCR  IZZIT MIDNIGHT               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  RUNNIN' ROCKET               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-6   10/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:123 1:38   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEAR OAK 7 6 56 55 42 2nk 11 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 61% 0.60 1.57 W
3  TIGER MOON 3 4 43 43 2nk 1nk 21 (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 8% 10.90 1.26 P
4  NEPAL UP 4 5 68½ 66 62¾ 35 37½ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 6.21  
1  NORDIC LIGHT 1 1 21 2½ 1nk 48 414 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.22  
2  CALL ME GUSTO 2 3 31½ 31½ 52½ 514 530¼ (huffman pat)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 20.78  
6  MONKEY ZONE 6 7 710½ 79½ 79¼ 618 646 (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 122 30.00 60.06  
5  COMMANDER CARL 5 2 11 1½ 31½ 720 756 (fletcher wes)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 15.47  
SCR  CARILLO               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TEXT               (clark robert )LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 7 6 1½ 1½   12½ 12½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 49% 1.10 1.00 W
11  FROZEN SOLID 8 4 2½ 2½   22½ 22½ (lynch a)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00 5.57  
7  LAURA'S CHARM 5 7 65½ 68   46 32¾ (kerrick lacy)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 8.31  
6  ROYAL COUNTY 4 8 75¾ 79   56½ 44¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 20.00 6% 15.30 10.10  
4  FRANGO ELECTRICO 3 3 42½ 55   67 59½ (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 50.00 72.40  
1  TWIRLING SAVI 1 2 99¼ 914   911 610 (robertson )SANTANA JR 121 10.00 8% 11.00 17.73  
14  TAKE CHARGE CHLOE 9 9 88¾ 812   810 710 (skeens jeremy)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 24.51  
9  FOUR DAWN 6 5 52½ 44½   77½ 811½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 5.44  
3  SOL HOPE 2 1 31½ 34   36 911¾ (lightner mary)LANERIE J 121 6.00 16% 5.30 11.43  
SCR  AMERICAN STARLET               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
SCR  CORA PEARL               (brinkman bre)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
SCR  COVENANT LADY               (granitz)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 12.00    
SCR  REDIFINED               (lovell mich)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50    
SCR  TROUBLE MAKING               (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:124 1:381   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RAGING SEA 8 6 62½ 42 2½ 1nk 13¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20 50% 1.00 0.78 W
3  POBLANO 3 5 2½ 2½ 1½ 2nk 23¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 18% 4.40 1.93 P
6  SURELY SHIRLEY 6 9 97 96¼ 87 69¼ 37 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 17.20 11.89 S
1  LEXA (FR) 1 2 52½ 32 42 36 47¼ (beckman whitw)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 34.32  
4  LET'S DUET 4 7 85½ 85¾ 65 59 514¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.84  
2  FOREVER AFTER ALL 2 4 1½ 1½ 3½ 47 616½ (stall m)LANERIE J 122 8.00 19.15  
7  EIVISSA 7 1 42 73¾ 54½ 717¼ 739¼ (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 42.90  
9  OVERINDULGENCE 9 3 31½ 52½ 76½ 822¼ 847½ (tomlinson )SANTANA JR 118 30.00 65.62  
5  LAVISH HABITS 5 8 73 63½ 99 924¾ 970½ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 76.53  
SCR  SABRA TUFF               (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
 
KEE-9   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:102 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  BRIGADIER GENERAL 6 3 1½ 1½ 13 12 1½ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 7.60  
13  WAR CAMPAIGN 5 7 77½ 78¼ 56 22 2½ (sims a)LANERIE J 122 3.00 39% 1.50 3.17 P
5  MINNESOTA READY 2 2 52½ 53¼ 23 33 32¼ (pessin l)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00 4.97  
9  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 3 8 89½ 812¼ 79¾ 46 43½ (williamson )LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 8.50  
16  SEARCH ENGINE 8 5 31½ 33 45 59½ 515 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 8% 12.00 12.68  
11  FOREVER SOUPER 4 4 63 64¼ 66¼ 711½ 615½ (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 6.64  
15  WARRIOR JOHNY 7 6 2½ 2½ 35 610 718½ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 26% 2.90 2.39  
2  XAVEY DAVE 1 1 42 43 813¾ 816 826 (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 122 12.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
SCR  ALEX JOON               (schultz lindsa)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  EASTER (FR)               (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
SCR  GUNTON ROE               (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  KINGMAX (IRE)               (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
SCR  KOOLHAUS               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  MAIN EVENT               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
SCR  STRONG QUALITY               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50    
SCR  TATANKA               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
 
KEE-10   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:214 :451 1:112     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CAPTIVATED DRAMA 10 1 2½ 1½   14 16½ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 14% 6.30 1.82 W
1  CRAVENSWORTH 1 10 1011 1012½   38½ 26½ (moquett e)NAVAS YOEL 111 20.00 12.96  
8  HI YAH 7 5 33 31   24 38¼ (williams matt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 8% 11.20 10.83 S
3  INSIGNIS 3 7 87¾ 79   510 413 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
4  DUAL MONARCHY 4 4 44½ 45½   49 514 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 23% 3.30 2.76  
2  DAVID'S TUITION 2 8 98 910   710½ 615¼ (baker james)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 32.57  
5  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN 5 6 54½ 66½   610½ 715½ (vance thomas)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00 16.26  
9  MAHONEY ROAD 8 3 64¾ 56   812 819 (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 121 4.00 34% 1.90 3.69  
6  ENJOYMENT 6 9 77¾ 89   914 920¾ (gorostieta ciri)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00 45.94  
10  THANKGODNGREYHOUND 9 2 1½ 2½   1015½ 1048 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 22.31  
SCR  LIBERTANGO               (catalano w)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.