Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-3   Win (11/12/13/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-5   Win (11/7/12/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-7   Win (10/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (8/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (13/15/16/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (9/4/11/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONYA KNOW IT Sep15 Jul07 Jun16 May14 Mar04 (combs bentley)TORRES A 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
SACRED BEAUTY Jul14 Jun23 May02 Mar20 Feb10 (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 121 30.00    
VITAEMI Sep28 Aug24 Jul27 May16 May02 (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 33% 2.00    
CALTHA Sep16 Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 Jun03 (esquivel je)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00 7% 12.80    
L. A. STAR Sep15 Aug28 Jul30 Jul14 Jun24 (lucas wa)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
PRIDDIS Sep15 Aug12 Jul31 Jun25 Jun03 (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
GHOSTLY NIGHT Aug27 Aug12 Jun09 May19 Apr02 (begley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00    
 
KEE-2   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT SUMMER DREAM Sep24 Sep06 Jul28 Jul10 Jun24 (pitts helen)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SHES A SECRET Sep20 Aug04 Jun24 Jun02 Sep21 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
MAHOMEBRED Jul18 May26 Apr19 Sep07 Aug06 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00    
FLATTER ME ZEN Oct06 Aug31 Aug05 Jun21 Jun01 (barrett roddi)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00    
LITURGIA Sep21 Apr18 Mar29 Mar10 Oct12 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00 20% 4.10    
BALL GOWN Sep20 Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May27 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
MENDED WE STAND Sep20 Aug26 Aug09 Jun02 Apr23 (bahena ism)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  TAMARA'S WAY Sep20 Sep03 Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
 
KEE-3   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE RED CENT Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Jul31 Jul15 (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Sep20 Aug11       (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
VINO FA DANZA Sep20         (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00    
STING MUSIC         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
MY BROTHER CHARLIE Oct01 Jul22       (waltz brian)COURT K 119 8.00    
BROADWAY RED         (delong ben)ULLOA JOAN 119 15.00    
CHASENTHEONE         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPITBOY Sep29 Aug20       (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 119 4.50    
COAL MINER Sep09         (mccutchen r)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  JIMMY THE HAT         (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
11  IN THE NUMBERS         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
12  YULETIDE GALLOP Sep17 Jul30       (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
13  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE Jul12 Jun16 May04     (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUNYHUNGRY         (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
SCR  CAPO Aug09         (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
SCR  STEAL THE RHODE Oct03         (castaneda marc)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 20.00    
 
KEE-4   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  O'CONNER SUNSET Sep22 Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00    
GOODASIWONSWAS Sep27 Sep01 Oct20 Oct03   (warpool shane)MILLER CHASE 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CLASSY SOCKS Sep22 Jun25 Jun04 Mar23 Mar05 (vance d)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
HOCUS (GB) Aug11 Jun17 May21 Apr16   (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00    
MAGNIFICENT MILE Sep16 Aug26 Jul14 Jun20 Jun01 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 35% 1.90    
CAMP DADDY Sep22 Aug19 Jul31 Jun25 May27 (hernandez ar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
HUSKER BUTCH Sep24 Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 (von kel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRENNAN'S HONOR         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00    
GOTTA KEEP HIM Sep10 Aug19       (kenneally eddie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAMILAS WARRIOR         (chavez)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 50.00    
NON FUNGIBLE Sep07         (short thomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 30.00    
MUAZARAH Sep22 Aug27       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
IN A JAM Sep10 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 13% 6.50    
SMOKEY SMOKEY Sep24 Sep03 Aug12     (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  RUNNIN' ROCKET Aug20 Jul15       (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
CHESTNUT CREED         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00    
SCR  IZZIT MIDNIGHT Sep25 Sep08 May22     (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
11  SPIRIT'S MISCHIEF Sep29         (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
12  OY VEY         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 15% 5.60    
13  GOOD POINT Sep25         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
14  REDEPOSIT         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  DRIP D'ORO Sep25 Aug31       (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
SCR  HIGGINSVILLE         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORDIC LIGHT Sep27 Aug16 Jul22 Jun10 Apr29 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CALL ME GUSTO Sep20 Jul19 Jun17 May22 Jul05 (huffman pat)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
TIGER MOON Sep27 Sep08 May06 Mar31 Mar11 (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 8% 10.90    
NEPAL UP Sep27 Aug18 Jun17 May06 Apr20 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 4.00    
COMMANDER CARL Sep27 Sep05 Jul08 Jun02 May14 (fletcher wes)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
MONKEY ZONE Sep23 Sep14 Aug12 Jul19 Jul07 (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 122 30.00    
BEAR OAK Sep30 Aug26 Aug02 Jul02 May27 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  GOLDEN TEXT May18 Feb23 Jan19 Dec30 Sep20 (clark robert )LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  CARILLO Oct03 Sep08 Jul05 Jun06 May17 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING SAVI Aug19 Jun15 Oct22 Jul31 Jul10 (robertson )SANTANA JR 121 10.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  REDIFINED Aug12 Jun03 Mar29 Nov05 Oct08 (lovell mich)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50    
SOL HOPE Sep30 Aug18 Jul13 Feb10 Jan14 (lightner mary)LANERIE J 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
FRANGO ELECTRICO Sep27 Sep07 Aug19 Aug03 Jul06 (bahena ismael)RAMOS D 118 50.00    
SCR  COVENANT LADY Sep12 Aug23 Jul19 Jul07 Jun10 (granitz)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 12.00    
ROYAL COUNTY Aug06 Jun26 May22 Jan12 Nov30 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 20.00 6% 15.30    
LAURA'S CHARM Sep24 Jul22 Jun22 May28 Jan13 (kerrick lacy)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00    
SCR  TROUBLE MAKING Sep02 Aug10 Jun29 May24 Sep05 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 30.00    
FOUR DAWN Sep30 Aug12 Jul16 Nov09 Oct10 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
10  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS Aug19 Jun16 May03 Apr02   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 49% 1.10    
11  FROZEN SOLID Sep27 Jul19 Jun22 May28 Apr29 (lynch a)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00    
SCR  CORA PEARL Sep08 Aug19 Jun15 Apr01 Feb24 (brinkman bre)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
SCR  AMERICAN STARLET Sep02 Jun22 May19 Oct19 Sep13 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
14  TAKE CHARGE CHLOE Sep28 Sep04 Aug08 Jul27 Jul29 (skeens jeremy)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
 
KEE-8   10/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEXA (FR) Sep23 Aug05 Jul05 May24 Apr13 (beckman whitw)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
FOREVER AFTER ALL Sep23 Jun24 May27 May05 Apr21 (stall m)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
POBLANO Sep23 Aug04 Nov26 Oct22   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 18% 4.40    
LET'S DUET Sep23 May12 Apr07 Mar04 Feb17 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LAVISH HABITS Oct01 Aug19 Jul27 Jul05 Jun10 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00    
SURELY SHIRLEY Sep12 Aug03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 17.20    
EIVISSA Sep12 Sep06 Jul29 Jun19 May19 (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
RAGING SEA Sep04 Aug09 Nov04 Oct07 Aug07 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20 50% 1.00    
OVERINDULGENCE Oct01 Aug28 Jul23 Jun11   (tomlinson )SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
SCR  SABRA TUFF Sep23 Aug19 Jul13 Jun17 May05 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
 
KEE-9   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TATANKA Sep14 Jul02 Jun04 Apr22 Apr08 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
XAVEY DAVE Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jun18 Jun03 (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KOOLHAUS Apr16 Jan27 Dec17 Jun17 May12 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  MAIN EVENT Sep21 Aug24 Jul30 Aug06 Jul02 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
MINNESOTA READY Aug05 Jun22 May14 Apr16 Mar16 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
SCR  ALEX JOON Aug12 Jul15 Apr23 Mar26 Nov18 (schultz lindsa)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  EASTER (FR) Aug24 Jul30 Jun22 May20 Apr07 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
SCR  STRONG QUALITY Aug31 Aug12 Jun10 Apr13 Feb25 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50    
BRITAIN'S KITTEN Sep23 Jul08 May27 Apr28 Mar11 (williamson )LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
SCR  KINGMAX (IRE) Jul29 Jul07 Jun10     (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
11  FOREVER SOUPER Sep02 Jul22 Jul01 May14 Jul16 (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00    
SCR  GUNTON ROE Aug20 Jul09 Jan21 Dec28 Sep14 (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
13  WAR CAMPAIGN Sep23 Aug06 Jul02 May25 Apr20 (sims a)LANERIE J 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
14  BRIGADIER GENERAL Sep25 Aug15 Jun22 May06 Feb25 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
15  WARRIOR JOHNY Sep02 Jul02 Jun04 Nov17 Sep24 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
16  SEARCH ENGINE Aug12 May25 Feb28 Feb11 Dec11 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
 
KEE-10   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAVENSWORTH Jul21 Jun17 May05 Nov24   (moquett e)NAVAS YOEL 111 20.00    
DAVID'S TUITION Aug15 Jul18 Jun01     (baker james)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
INSIGNIS Sep07 Jun27 Apr16 Mar15   (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
DUAL MONARCHY Sep14 Aug04 Jun29 May14 Apr08 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Apr21 Mar23 Feb17 Jan15 Dec18 (vance thomas)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00    
ENJOYMENT Dec16 Oct27 Oct05 Sep06 Aug11 (gorostieta ciri)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
SCR  LIBERTANGO Aug30 Jun20 Apr26 Apr08 Feb17 (catalano w)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
HI YAH Sep13 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 (williams matt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 8% 11.20    
MAHONEY ROAD Sep14 Jul08 Mar10 Feb01 Sep29 (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
10  THANKGODNGREYHOUND Sep24 Sep09 Aug03     (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
11  CAPTIVATED DRAMA Sep14 Aug30 Jul14 Jun17 May06 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 14% 6.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.