Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-2   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.30 $2.30 38%
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-7 $50.26 $38.26 319%
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-7-1 $24.95 $21.95 732%
    DD (3/2/6)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-4 $17.59 $8.59 95%
CD-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $6.66 $2.66 67%
    DD (1/7/4)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $15.33 $9.33 156%
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(1/7/4)-(2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-4-3 $57.75 $48.75 542%
CD-5   TRI (6/11/8/2)-(6/11/8/15/2)-(6/11/8/15/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  11-6-2 $30.73 $6.73 28%
CD-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.76 $2.76 46%
CD-8   WIN (4/1/6/13/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  13 $36.30 $26.30 263%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:11     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERMITTENT FAST 3 3 2½ 1nk   1 1 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 24% 3.20 1.48 W
READY FOR TROUBLE 4 6 7 6   2 2 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 5.31  
MILA JUNES 1 7 54 5   4 3 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 8.00 17.60  
KRICKLE 5 5 43 34   35 45 (holsapple )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 2.81  
ALMOND FUDGE 2 4 1½ 2nk   5 514½ (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 17% 4.90 3.38  
LITTLE SASS 7 2 6 7   715½ 625 (demeritte larry)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 18.12  
STEALTHESPOTLIGHT 6 1 3 4   613½ 726 (williams )TORRES A 118 10.00 14% 6.20 16.97  
 
CD-2   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:112 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZZY INDY 3 2 3.2 1nk 1nk 1 1 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 5.00 10% 9.00 3.15 W
STING MUSIC 6 4 1nk 32 3 3 2 (mcpeek kenn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 11% 8.20 4.31 P
VERACRUZIN 1 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 2 3 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 53% 0.90 0.99 S
NOBLE GENTLEMAN 5 3 4 4 46 48 412¾ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 4.97  
RICHIESDERBYSTRIKE 4 6 6 510½ 512 512½ 518½ (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 9.95  
CHAPS KNIGHT 2 5 5 613½ 620 620½ 626¼ (radosevich)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 43.83  
SCR  KYKEON               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
SCR  SHARPENYOURFAITH               (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 112 5.00    
 
CD-3   11/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:27 :534 1:191 1:43   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOPHISTICATED 2 3 2 21 2nk 1nk 1¼ (edwards william)NAVAS YOEL 114 12.00 35% 1.90 2.33 W
FLORIS 3 1 1 11 1nk 2nk 2¼ (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 121 4.00 1.03  
IN A PEACH 1 2 33 33 33 33 33 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 8.00 1.38  
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE               (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
SCR  PRANA               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 3.00    
SCR  ZIGGZAPPA               (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
CD-4   11/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:144 1:402   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU SMART 2 2 3 4 32 21 1 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 8.96  
IMPERATOR FURIOSA 1 6 1 1 1 11 2 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 9% 10.50 4.65 P
SALSALITA VERDE 8 8 8 7 74 6 3 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 3.00 S
TRIBEST (ARG) 4 4 64 5 4 3 4 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 60% 0.70 2.09  
LADY FREE WILL 6 3 2 2 2 4 5 (minnock g)LANERIE J 121 15.00 47.79  
DOMINA 3 7 5 32 53 54 6 (devaux ch)TORRES A 121 8.00 3.55  
SHA GIRL 5 9 7 8 85 7 710½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 23.05  
MISS ANALYZED 7 5 96 9 9 8 811½ (jones la)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 4.00 15.01  
JAYLA 9 1 43 6 64 9 913¾ (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00 53.97  
 
CD-5   11/08/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:144 1:402   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CONVERSING 9 4 7 7 7 3 1¼ (mcgaughey cl)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 27% 2.60 1.10 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TEXTING by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
UTAH BEACH 5 6 5 65 54 4 2¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 2.50 39% 1.60 2.19 P
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY OWN STORY by LASTING APPROVAL)
ORBI ONE 2 3 11 11 1½ 1½ 3 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 21.41 S
  (by ORB out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
AS ONE DOES 6 1 21 21 2½ 2½ 44 (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 31.22  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MOUNT KELLETT by EMPIRE MAKER)
CROSSING 3 2 3 32 32 54 56 (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 30.00 68.43  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
15  FAYETTE SPIRIT 11 7 9 9 9 77 6 (medina ro)TORRES A 121 8.00 7.84  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WEEKEND PARTY by A.P. INDY)
PRESIDER 8 10 8 8 8 6 7 (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 35.34  
  (by CONNECT out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
PROTON SPIRIT 1 5 64 55 6 8 8 (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 34.83  
  (by PROTONICO out of BEHAVIORAL FINANCE by TOUCH GOLD)
WHITEWALKER 7 11 4 43 42 9 911½ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 12% 7.50 8.02  
  (by TAPIT out of HONOURING by SMART STRIKE)
12  EARL OF DASSEL 10 9 11 1111¼ 11 1011¾ 1015¾ (pessin ne)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 57.08  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DR. MELFI by FREUD)
PILKINGTON 4 8 107 10 10 1113¼ 1121½ (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 25.79  
  (by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
SCR  TIZ WICKED STRONG               (baker james)GRAHAM J 121 4.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
SCR  MISSIONAIRE               (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DIVINITE by MR. SIDNEY)
SCR  ODE TO GERSHWIN               (gallagher wil)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 30.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of SUMMER SONG by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
SCR  SAGITTARIUS               (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MORE CHOCOLATE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  GAME KEEPER               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina ro)TORRES A 124 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
SCR  ICE TIME               (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 3.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SIRENUSA by TIZNOW)
 
CD-6   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:211 :441 :57     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SPA 1 6 5 43   4 1nk (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 5.00 3.38 W
CHARRIERE 3 3 32 32   2 2nk (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 11.30  
MISS ARLINGTON 4 4 2nk 1½   1 3 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 22% 3.50 2.50 S
EFFORTLESSLYELGANT 2 5 1nk 2½   3 4 (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 1.80 1.55  
LOVER GIRL 6 2 6 58   5 5 (williams )TORRES A 118 15.00 14.79  
PARODY 5 1 4 610   612¾ 636 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 23% 3.30 5.14  
 
CD-7   11/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 4 3 2 21   1 1 (shirer a)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5.99  
SPARKLE OF HOPE 2 7 53 3   2 2 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 2.80 P
ROC'S PRINCESS 3 8 11 1111   9 3 (gowan william)COURT K 120 20.00 42.37  
PROMISE OF HOPE 6 6 3 5   4 45 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 3.95  
MISS FOXANN 7 1 7 7   6 5 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00 61.00  
PUNCHY GIRL 8 11 8 86   56 6 (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 7.52  
10  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 10 2 1 11   3 7 (danner do)CORREA L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
VOW 5 5 4 6   78 8 (asmussen )TORRES A 120 2.50 76% 0.30 5.80  
ARDEN'S ASSAULT 9 4 6 43   8 913 (santamaria c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 10.57  
11  MUSIC FESTIVAL 11 10 10 9   1011½ 1016¼ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 6.59  
FRANKEL BABY 1 9 9 1010   1117½ 1137 (mcewen j)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 32.36  
 
CD-8   11/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN 12 5 6 6 5 1 1 (jarvis kathy)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.15 W
11  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 10 10 10 8 7 2 2 (begley greg)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00 35.44  
SHERLOCK'S JEWEL 8 9 97 9 8 44 3 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 9.59  
SAFE TRIP HOME 3 2 5 5 6 7 4 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.86  
10  MADISON LUVS DUKE 9 12 129 12 10 9 511 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 10.70  
12  WRITE OFF JERRY 11 8 31 1nk 1nk 3 612¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 15.00 23.28  
EL AHIJADO 6 4 86 11 1211 10 714¼ (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 114 30.00 99.75  
TEPEU 2 1 1½ 2nk 2nk 5 814½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.85  
MIDNIGHT RISING 1 6 42 4 32 6 915½ (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 24% 3.20 6.19  
GATLINBURG 5 3 2½ 33 4 8 1020 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 3.50 13% 6.90 2.71  
CAIRO'S GHOST 7 11 11 10 1110½ 1215¾ 1126¾ (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 24.88  
ROJA REDEMPTION 4 7 75 7 98 1113¾ 1228¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 24.49  
SCR  CANT BE DOIN THAT               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
SCR  SBAGLIATO               (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  ST. ELMO               (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer philip)TORRES A 121 2.50    
 
CD-9   11/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:104     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER HOME 5 2 1½ 1   17 1 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 2.01  
LOOKIN ROYAL 2 9 10 912¾   710½ 2 (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.99 P
OFF THE CHARTS 3 8 8 7   48 3 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00 7% 12.90 25.01 S
12  ROCK THE NILE 9 5 2½ 2   27 4 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 3.36  
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 6 1 3 5   610 511¾ (brennan te)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 22.11  
STORMY EMPIRE 1 3 43 67   5 611¾ (schultz lind)TORRES A 120 6.00 11.54  
ICY STARE DOWN 4 4 6 34   37 715½ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 19% 4.20 3.74  
10  LUNAR ICE 7 10 9 8   913 816 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 47% 1.10 6.25 DH
11  SACRED BEAUTY 8 6 5 4   811½ 816 (roberson dennis)COURT K 120 10.00 28.82 DH
13  GRAN CHEMIN 10 7 74 1013¼   1019 1024¾ (cline robe)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 19.72  
SCR  HIGH SPEED               (delacruz mejia)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  L. A. STAR               (lucas wayne)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN LOUISE               (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.