Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.96 $4.96  
CD-2   Win (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 2.30
CD-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $6.66 $6.66 2.66
CD-4   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $19.92  
CD-5   Win (6/11/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
CD-6   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.76 $8.76 2.76
CD-7   Win (5/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $13.98  
CD-8   Win (4/1/6/13/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 1 $36.30 $36.30 26.30
CD-9   Win (10/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $6.02  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:11     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  INTERMITTENT FAST 3 3 2½ 1nk   13½ 11¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 24% 3.20 1.48 W
4  READY FOR TROUBLE 4 6 77½ 66¾   23½ 21¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 5.31  
1  MILA JUNES 1 7 54 56½   46½ 33¾ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 8.00 17.60  
5  KRICKLE 5 5 43 34   35 45 (holsapple hu)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 2.81  
2  ALMOND FUDGE 2 4 1½ 2nk   57½ 514½ (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 17% 4.90 3.38  
7  LITTLE SASS 7 2 64½ 78¼   715½ 625 (demeritte larry)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 18.12  
6  STEALTHESPOTLIGHT 6 1 32½ 44½   613½ 726 (williams ma)TORRES A 118 10.00 14% 6.20 16.97  
 
CD-2   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:112 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TIZZY INDY 3 2 3.2 1nk 1nk 12½ 14¼ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 5.00 10% 9.00 3.15 W
7  STING MUSIC 6 4 1nk 32 34½ 35½ 24¼ (mcpeek kennet)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 11% 8.20 4.31 P
1  VERACRUZIN 1 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 22½ 34¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 53% 0.90 0.99 S
6  NOBLE GENTLEMAN 5 3 41¼ 42½ 46 48 412¾ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 4.97  
5  RICHIESDERBYSTRIKE 4 6 67¼ 510½ 512 512½ 518½ (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 9.95  
2  CHAPS KNIGHT 2 5 54¾ 613½ 620 620½ 626¼ (radosevich j)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 43.83  
SCR  KYKEON               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
SCR  SHARPENYOURFAITH               (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 112 5.00    
 
CD-3   11/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:27 :534 1:191 1:43   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SOPHISTICATED 2 3 21½ 21 2nk 1nk 1¼ (edwards william)NAVAS YOEL 114 12.00 35% 1.90 2.33 W
4  FLORIS 3 1 11½ 11 1nk 2nk 2¼ (duvall e)ELLIOTT JANE 121 4.00 1.03  
1  IN A PEACH 1 2 33 33 33 33 33 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 8.00 1.38  
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE               (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
SCR  PRANA               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 3.00    
SCR  ZIGGZAPPA               (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
CD-4   11/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:144 1:402   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MALIBU SMART 2 2 32½ 42½ 32 21 11¾ (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 8.96  
1  IMPERATOR FURIOSA 1 6 11½ 11½ 11½ 11 21¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 9% 10.50 4.65 P
8  SALSALITA VERDE 8 8 85½ 73¾ 74 64¼ 35¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 ★ 3.00 S
4  TRIBEST (ARG) 4 4 64 53½ 42½ 32½ 45¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 60% 0.70 2.09  
6  LADY FREE WILL 6 3 21½ 21½ 21½ 42½ 56¼ (minnock g)LANERIE J 121 15.00 47.79  
3  DOMINA 3 7 53½ 32 53 54 66½ (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 8.00 3.55  
5  SHA GIRL 5 9 74½ 84¾ 85 76¾ 710½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 23.05  
7  MISS ANALYZED 7 5 96 94¾ 96½ 87¼ 811½ (jones larr)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 4.00 15.01  
9  JAYLA 9 1 43 63½ 64 98¼ 913¾ (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00 53.97  
 
CD-5   11/08/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:144 1:402   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CONVERSING 9 4 74½ 77½ 75½ 32½ 1¼ (mcgaughey clau)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 27% 2.60 1.10 W
6  UTAH BEACH 5 6 53½ 65 54 42½ 2¼ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 2.50 39% 1.60 2.19 P
2  ORBI ONE 2 3 11 11 1½ 1½ 33¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 21.41 S
7  AS ONE DOES 6 1 21 21 2½ 2½ 44 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 31.22  
4  CROSSING 3 2 31½ 32 32 54 56 (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 30.00 68.43  
15  FAYETTE SPIRIT 11 7 95½ 99¼ 97¾ 77 66¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 121 8.00 ★ 7.84  
9  PRESIDER 8 10 85½ 87¾ 85¾ 66½ 78¼ (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 35.34  
1  PROTON SPIRIT 1 5 64 55 64½ 87¼ 88¼ (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 34.83  
8  WHITEWALKER 7 11 42½ 43 42 98¼ 911½ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 12% 7.50 8.02  
12  EARL OF DASSEL 10 9 117¼ 1111¼ 119¼ 1011¾ 1015¾ (pessin neil)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 57.08  
5  PILKINGTON 4 8 107 109¼ 107¾ 1113¼ 1121½ (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 25.79  
SCR  TIZ WICKED STRONG               (baker james)GRAHAM J 121 4.00    
SCR  MISSIONAIRE               (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
SCR  ODE TO GERSHWIN               (gallagher willi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 30.00    
SCR  SAGITTARIUS               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00    
SCR  GAME KEEPER               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00    
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robe)TORRES A 124 10.00    
SCR  ICE TIME               (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 3.00    
 
CD-6   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:211 :441 :57     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SPA 1 6 53¾ 43   41¾ 1nk (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 5.00 3.38 W
3  CHARRIERE 3 3 32 32   21½ 2nk (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 11.30  
4  MISS ARLINGTON 4 4 2nk 1½   11½ 33½ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 22% 3.50 2.50 S
2  EFFORTLESSLYELGANT 2 5 1nk 2½   31½ 45¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 1.80 1.55  
6  LOVER GIRL 6 2 65¾ 58   55¾ 57¼ (williams ma)TORRES A 118 15.00 14.79  
5  PARODY 5 1 43½ 610   612¾ 636 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 23% 3.30 5.14  
 
CD-7   11/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 4 3 21½ 21   12½ 11¾ (shirer a)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5.99  
2  SPARKLE OF HOPE 2 7 53 31½   22½ 21¾ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 ★ 2.80 P
3  ROC'S PRINCESS 3 8 119¼ 1111   99½ 34¾ (gowan william)COURT K 120 20.00 42.37  
6  PROMISE OF HOPE 6 6 32½ 53½   45½ 45 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 ★ 3.95  
7  MISS FOXANN 7 1 75½ 74½   66½ 55¾ (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00 61.00  
8  PUNCHY GIRL 8 11 85¾ 86   56 65¾ (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 7.52  
10  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 10 2 11½ 11   34½ 77¾ (danner doug)CORREA L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
5  VOW 5 5 42½ 64½   78 89½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 2.50 76% 0.30 5.80  
9  ARDEN'S ASSAULT 9 4 64½ 43   89½ 913 (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 10.57  
11  MUSIC FESTIVAL 11 10 108¼ 97½   1011½ 1016¼ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 ★ 6.59  
1  FRANKEL BABY 1 9 97¼ 1010   1117½ 1137 (mcewen j)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 32.36  
 
CD-8   11/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN 12 5 63½ 64¾ 52¼ 12½ 16¾ (jarvis kathy)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.15 W
11  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 10 10 107½ 86¾ 74½ 22½ 26¾ (begley greg)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00 35.44  
9  SHERLOCK'S JEWEL 8 9 97 96¾ 86½ 44 38½ (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 9.59  
4  SAFE TRIP HOME 3 2 52½ 54½ 64¼ 76¼ 49½ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.86  
10  MADISON LUVS DUKE 9 12 129 129½ 108½ 97¼ 511 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 10.70  
12  WRITE OFF JERRY 11 8 31 1nk 1nk 32½ 612¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 15.00 23.28  
7  EL AHIJADO 6 4 86 119½ 1211 108¾ 714¼ (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 114 30.00 99.75  
3  TEPEU 2 1 1½ 2nk 2nk 54¼ 814½ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.85  
1  MIDNIGHT RISING 1 6 42 43½ 32 65¾ 915½ (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 24% 3.20 6.19  
6  GATLINBURG 5 3 2½ 33 42¼ 87¼ 1020 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.50 13% 6.90 2.71  
8  CAIRO'S GHOST 7 11 118½ 109¼ 1110½ 1215¾ 1126¾ (drury thoma)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 24.88  
5  ROJA REDEMPTION 4 7 75 76¼ 98 1113¾ 1228¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 24.49  
SCR  CANT BE DOIN THAT               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
SCR  SBAGLIATO               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  ST. ELMO               (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer a)TORRES A 121 2.50    
 
CD-9   11/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:104     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FOREVER HOME 5 2 1½ 13½   17 15¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 ★ 2.01  
3  LOOKIN ROYAL 2 9 106¾ 912¾   710½ 25¼ (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.99 P
5  OFF THE CHARTS 3 8 86½ 79½   48 36½ (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00 7% 12.90 25.01 S
12  ROCK THE NILE 9 5 2½ 23½   27 49¾ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 3.36  
9  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 6 1 32½ 56½   610 511¾ (brennan terr)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 22.11  
1  STORMY EMPIRE 1 3 43 67   58½ 611¾ (schultz lindsa)TORRES A 120 6.00 11.54  
7  ICY STARE DOWN 4 4 63½ 34   37 715½ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 19% 4.20 3.74  
10  LUNAR ICE 7 10 96¾ 89¾   913 816 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 47% 1.10 6.25 DH
11  SACRED BEAUTY 8 6 53½ 46½   811½ 816 (roberson dennis)COURT K 120 10.00 28.82 DH
13  GRAN CHEMIN 10 7 74 1013¼   1019 1024¾ (cline robert)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 19.72  
SCR  HIGH SPEED               (delacruz j)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  L. A. STAR               (lucas wayne)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN LOUISE               (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.