Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $7.02  
CD-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.70 $2.70  
CD-3   Win (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.10 $6.10  
CD-4   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.30  
CD-5   Win (1/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $11.64 $11.64 3.64
CD-6   Win (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $29.56 $29.56 21.56
CD-7   Win (4/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $7.04  
CD-8   Win (12/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $9.46  
CD-9   Win (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $15.92 $15.92 7.92
CD-10   Win (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $11.36 $11.36 3.36
CD-11   Win (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.72 $4.72  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STEEL RACER 2 1 1nk 1½   1nk 1¾ (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 2.51  
1  WHAT'S TO DO 1 4 53¾ 42½   2nk 2¾ (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 2.00 42% 1.40 1.76 P
4  MISS TAPPY TONE 3 5 42¼ 52¾   31 31¾ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 118 4.00 2.42  
5  FAST GAL 4 2 2nk 2½   42½ 47½ (porter michael)COURT K 118 6.00 4.90  
6  BYZANTINE 5 3 32 3½   55½ 515¼ (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 17% 4.90 8.57  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD               (compton gre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50    
 
CD-2   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 3 2 1nk 1½   1nk 1nk (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 1.00 73% 0.40 0.35 W
2  JUNIOR BUG 2 3 32 2½   2nk 2nk (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 4.27 P
6  SPEND BENJAMINS 5 5 57 46   32 3¾ (shorter aaron)LANERIE J 121 10.00 10.17  
1  ALL WEST 1 4 44½ 56   45 46 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00 4.66  
5  SAND MOUNTAIN 4 1 2nk 33½   58 516¾ (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121 20.00 50.58  
SCR  SHACKLEFORD STRONG               (divito jame)TORRES A 121 5.00    
 
CD-3   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:214 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THE PRINCESS SAYS 7 2 54 2½   11 11¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 20% 4.00 2.05 W
8  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 8 1 32½ 31   21 21¼ (maker j)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 23% 3.40 3.23 P
3  VALIANT PRAISE 3 6 67 55   43½ 35 (mcpeek kennet)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 12% 7.10 6.13 S
2  LIL TOWN SIS 2 8 89½ 87½   55½ 45½ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 124 8.00 10.86  
1  AUNT JO 1 3 12½ 1½   33 59¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 3.50 25% 3.10 3.62  
4  ISLANDINTHESTREAM 4 7 22½ 42½   66 614¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 5.09  
6  ROCKABILLIE 6 5 77½ 77   79½ 716¼ (silva carlo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 40.62  
5  PROUD PERFORMER 5 4 43½ 65½   89½ 819¾ (king l)TORRES A 122 20.00 47.68  
 
CD-4   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LET'S BE CLEAR 4 4 32½ 33   11 12 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 3.15  
2  HONEY RUN 2 7 65½ 76¾   44 22 (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 113 5.00 9.63  
3  ZING 3 5 76 55   54 33¼ (claire alexi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 53% 0.90 7.12 S
5  MERCY WARREN 5 3 1½ 1½   21 44 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 3.92  
1  LOVE OF MY HEART 1 6 44 45   64¼ 56 (maker j)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 19% 4.20 2.45  
7  PIPELINE GIRL 7 2 2½ 2½   33 67¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 8.39  
6  FOUNDER'S DAY 6 1 54½ 66½   78¼ 712¾ (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.43  
 
CD-5   11/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:221 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHEFFLIN 5 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 1½ (morey e)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.82 W
4  TASTERFOR THE KING 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.00 15% 5.50 5.06 P
6  BE THERE 6 5 54 63½   53¾ 31¾ (zito nichol)TORRES A 124 5.00 7.09  
1  PINFIRE 1 2 31 42   32½ 41¾ (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 36% 1.70 0.98  
8  CUORE SACRO 7 6 64¼ 53   43½ 52¼ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 27% 2.70 5.62  
2  PAPA ALDEN 2 3 41½ 31   63¾ 65¼ (kerrick lacy)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 26.47  
3  WHISKEY AND EASY 3 7 76¾ 79½   710¾ 711 (sharp joe)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00 26.65  
9  UNCLE WILLIAM 8 8 813¼ 819½   818¾ 818¾ (guida e)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 40.40  
SCR  OTIS ON THE CAPE               (paye jose)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00    
 
CD-6   11/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TIMELY PROSPECT 5 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 11 1¼ (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 17% 4.90 13.78 W
3  WASHINGTON'S UNION 3 2 32 31 41½ 21 2¼ (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.49 P
4  JR'S GIFT 4 1 42½ 41½ 31 33½ 33 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 1.80 41% 1.40 1.47 S
1  WESLAN 1 5 76¼ 86¾ 77½ 55½ 44 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 11% 8.40 16.27  
6  DESERT WOLF 6 3 1nk 2nk 2nk 43½ 58 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 2.00 2.23  
7  HARLEEZY 7 8 87¼ 76½ 56 66½ 68¾ (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 11.09  
2  PHILHARMONIC 2 7 64¼ 65 88½ 712½ 716¼ (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 113 15.00 37.99  
8  CARNIVORE 8 6 54 52½ 67 815½ 844¼ (shorter aaron)LANERIE J 121 5.00 4.64  
 
CD-7   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KNIGHTSBRIDGE 3 5 42 31   14½ 110½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 2.52  
1  GIVE ME A REASON 1 4 2½ 41   24½ 210½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 21% 3.70 4.45 P
10  LOU'S LEGACY 8 2 52½ 51¼   47 311¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00 23.31  
6  LEFT TACKLE 5 6 62½ 84¾   811 413¾ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 18% 4.50 8.98  
9  PROMISSIO 7 8 86 74¾   610 514½ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.45  
4  SHARP SHOT 4 1 31½ 2½   35 615 (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 33% 2.00 7.75  
2  POKER RUN 2 3 1½ 1½   57½ 718¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 9.64  
8  MCQUEEN 6 7 75 63¾   710 819¾ (pletcher to)TORRES A 119 5.00 8.49  
SCR  HURACAN XANDER               (zanelli dante)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
SCR  PENROD               (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
 
CD-8   11/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:124 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MAKE THE BOYS WINK 10 6 63½ 53 31½ 12 12 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 ★ 3.73  
6  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS 5 5 53 74½ 83¼ 54½ 22 (cox h)TORRES A 121 4.50 29% 2.40 3.17 P
7  WINGS LIKE EAGLES 6 9 85 96¾ 104¾ 85¾ 33 (mott i)ACHARD ALEX 121 5.00 6% 15.10 7.82 S
12  BE MY SUNSHINE 11 2 21½ 2½ 1½ 22 43 (joseph saff)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 39% 1.50 3.36  
8  SWEET ALYSSA 7 11 106½ 107¾ 62¾ 44 53¼ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 55.05  
2  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 2 8 127½ 118¾ 116¼ 75¼ 64½ (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 12.75  
5  WORK OF FICTION 4 4 42 42½ 41½ 34 75 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 4.40  
13  HURRY UP HANNAH 12 12 95½ 84¾ 94¼ 107¾ 89½ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 17.93  
3  FACCIA BELLA 3 1 11½ 1½ 2½ 64¾ 99¾ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 118 10.00 48.59  
10  SPICY ITALIAN 9 10 74½ 64½ 73¼ 97¾ 1010¼ (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 72.82  
1  LADY COMMANDER 1 7 117 128¾ 129¼ 1111¼ 1115 (fires h)COURT K 121 30.00 77.57  
9  LEMON BOMB 8 3 31½ 31½ 51¾ 1226¼ 1273¼ (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.84  
SCR  BEST PERFORMER               (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 3.50    
SCR  EMPIRICAL VIEW               (divito jame)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
SCR  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE               (molloy thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  STORM BAY               (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 118 8.00    
 
CD-9   11/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:114 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GASOLINE 4 3 43 43½ 32 1½ 15¼ (pletcher to)TORRES A 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.96 W
6  GIANT GAME 5 1 21 22 2nk 2½ 25¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50 26% 2.90 2.54 P
3  WAR CAMPAIGN 2 4 65½ 55 64½ 42½ 38½ (sims a)LANERIE J 121 5.00 22% 3.50 3.13 S
9  DECISION MAKER 7 8 810½ 89¾ 78 65½ 49 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 14.96  
4  BIG BLUE LINE 3 6 76 67 54 55 59½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 23% 3.40 4.31  
2  CONFIDENCE GAME 1 2 11 12 1nk 32½ 610¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5.34  
8  WARRIOR JOHNY 6 7 32 33½ 42½ 77 722½ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 6.46  
10  TWO BIRDS 8 5 53½ 77¼ 828 8100 8100 (hiles a)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 47.17  
SCR  KOOLHAUS               (lobo h)RAMOS D 121 20.00    
SCR  REGULAR GUY               (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bet Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEJANO TWIST 1 9 98¾ 85½   31½ 11½ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.50 26% 2.90 4.68 W
7  MILES AHEAD 7 7 62¼ 52½   41½ 21½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 9% 10.50 5.33 P
8  BANGO 8 5 51¾ 31   11 32½ (foley greg)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 1.20 33% 2.10 0.67 S
2  NECKER ISLAND 2 6 73¾ 73½   52 43½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 8.00 11.08  
6  SIR ALFRED JAMES 6 1 1½ 1½   21 58½ (ginter raym)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 7% 13.80 16.96  
3  MANNY WAH 3 8 86¼ 98   97¾ 69¾ (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 10.00 12.67  
5  EMPIRE OF GOLD 5 2 41½ 42   63 711¼ (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 121 20.00 24.31  
4  EXXEL 4 4 31½ 63   76 813½ (lund valori)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 72.16  
9  AWESOME AARON 9 3 2½ 2½   86¼ 914¾ (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 53.44  
 
CD-11   11/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 7:37
See original race card.
:241 :504 1:161 1:28   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EDGARTOWN 6 1 22½ 21½ 2nk 1nk 11¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 2.00 69% 0.50 1.36 W
9  SURF CITY 8 4 44 43 3.2 2nk 21¾ (oliver victoria)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 6.50  
12  DASHMAN 11 6 55 54½ 41¼ 32 32½ (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 ★ 3.46 S
10  DROBNY 9 3 12½ 11½ 1nk 42½ 48¼ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 119 8.00 19.22 DH
6  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 5 5 75¼ 64¾ 64¼ 56 48¼ (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 10.83 DH
3  MONEYSHOT 2 2 34 33 52¼ 66¼ 611¼ (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 36.60  
4  BRITISH SEA 3 8 87¼ 86¾ 88¼ 811¼ 715 (maker j)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 7% 13.50 9.67  
8  TIGGEROO 7 11 108¾ 98¼ 1010¼ 911¼ 815¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 5% 19.00 60.35  
5  EVENING NEWS 4 7 65¼ 74¾ 74¾ 78¾ 915¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 27.39  
11  UNION RUN 10 9 98¼ 108¾ 99¾ 1011¾ 1015¾ (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 43.70  
2  THE LOOK FACTOR 1 10 1111¼ 1111¼ 1113¼ 1118¼ 1128½ (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 119 6.00 ★ 8.67  
SCR  BLACK DIAMOND               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00    
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR)               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SCR  SHARON'S PRINCE               (granitz a)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
SCR  ST. ARMANDS KEY               (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 2.50    
SCR  WHO'S THE KING               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.