Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-3   Win (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (1/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (4/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (12/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S TO DO Sep15 Jun03 May03 Nov10 Oct10 (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  STEEL RACER Oct18 Sep21 Jul23 Jun29 Jun11 (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD Sep01 Aug10 Apr07 Mar05 Feb04 (compton gre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50    
4  MISS TAPPY TONE Oct12 Apr14 Mar25 Feb23   (hartman chris)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
5  FAST GAL Sep28 Aug28 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (porter michael)COURT K 118 6.00    
6  BYZANTINE May25 Apr27 Feb17 Jan21 May04 (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 17% 4.90    
 
CD-2   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL WEST Apr30 Apr08 Mar10 Feb04 Jan12 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00    
2  JUNIOR BUG Oct11 Sep17 May25 Mar26 Dec30 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Oct11 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (divito jame)TORRES A 121 5.00    
4  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Oct11 Sep17 Aug23 Jul05 May14 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 1.00 73% 0.40    
5  SAND MOUNTAIN Oct12 Apr14 Mar18 Nov09 Jun24 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121 20.00    
6  SPEND BENJAMINS Jul09 Jun10 May06 Apr22 Mar26 (shorter aaron)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
 
CD-3   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT JO Sep23 Sep07 Jul31     (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
2  LIL TOWN SIS Aug27 Jun16 May26 Apr19 Aug01 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 124 8.00    
3  VALIANT PRAISE May04 Apr21 Apr02 Mar05 Feb08 (mcpeek kennet)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 12% 7.10    
4  ISLANDINTHESTREAM May20 Mar08       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
5  PROUD PERFORMER Sep28 Aug29 Aug01 Jul08 May04 (king l)TORRES A 122 20.00    
6  ROCKABILLIE Aug03 Feb26 Feb05 Dec30 Nov17 (silva carlo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
7  THE PRINCESS SAYS Oct23 Sep23 Jul31 Jun02 May14 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
8  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL Oct12 Aug23 Jul21 Jun29 Jun02 (maker j)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
CD-4   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE OF MY HEART Oct08 Aug06 Jun23 May13 Jun25 (maker j)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
2  HONEY RUN Aug12 Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 Jun29 (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 113 5.00    
3  ZING Sep28 Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 (claire alexi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 53% 0.90    
4  LET'S BE CLEAR Aug16 Jul08 Jun14 Mar31 Dec15 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00    
5  MERCY WARREN Sep30 Aug28 Jul23 Jun30 Feb25 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50    
6  FOUNDER'S DAY Sep03 Jul09 Jun21 May20 Apr22 (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PIPELINE GIRL Aug19 Jan29 Jan01 Oct25 Sep21 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
 
CD-5   11/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINFIRE Sep14 Jan21 Dec16 Nov26   (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
2  PAPA ALDEN Apr16         (kerrick lacy)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
3  WHISKEY AND EASY         (sharp joe)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
4  TASTERFOR THE KING Sep14 Nov19 Sep11     (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
5  SHEFFLIN         (morey e)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BE THERE Oct26 Sep04 Aug13 Jun24 Aug28 (zito nichol)TORRES A 124 5.00    
SCR  OTIS ON THE CAPE Oct05 Sep18 Jun24 May23 May08 (paye jose)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00    
8  CUORE SACRO Sep14 Aug11 Jul14 May21 Aug19 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
9  UNCLE WILLIAM         (guida e)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESLAN Sep23 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 11% 8.40    
2  PHILHARMONIC Oct02 Jun23 Jun01 Oct14 Aug20 (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 113 15.00    
3  WASHINGTON'S UNION Oct19 Sep28 Aug26 Jul21 Jun07 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  JR'S GIFT Oct19 Sep23 Sep10 Aug22 Jul19 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 1.80 41% 1.40    
5  TIMELY PROSPECT Aug23 Jul18 Jun15 May25 Apr27 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 17% 4.90    
6  DESERT WOLF Oct15 Sep21 Aug28 Nov26 Oct30 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 2.00    
7  HARLEEZY Sep27 Sep02 Aug10 Jul29 Jul09 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
8  CARNIVORE Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 Jun02 (shorter aaron)LANERIE J 121 5.00    
 
CD-7   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIVE ME A REASON         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  POKER RUN Oct07         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
3  KNIGHTSBRIDGE         (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 4.50    
4  SHARP SHOT Oct11         (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  PENROD Oct01 Aug11       (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
6  LEFT TACKLE         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  HURACAN XANDER         (zanelli dante)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
8  MCQUEEN         (pletcher to)TORRES A 119 5.00    
9  PROMISSIO Oct07         (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  LOU'S LEGACY Aug28 Jun01 May04 Apr13   (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00    
 
CD-8   11/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY COMMANDER Jun25 Apr28 Mar30 Mar04 Feb17 (fires h)COURT K 121 30.00    
2  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Oct11 Sep09 Aug13 Apr08 Mar11 (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
3  FACCIA BELLA Oct01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul15 Jun22 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
SCR  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE Sep10 Aug19 Jun29 May29 Jan22 (molloy thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
5  WORK OF FICTION Aug31 Aug05 Jun25 May17 Apr19 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
6  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS Aug19 Oct13 Jun22 Apr28 Jan29 (cox h)TORRES A 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  WINGS LIKE EAGLES Jun11 May07 Apr16 Feb24 Jan15 (mott i)ACHARD ALEX 121 5.00 6% 15.10    
8  SWEET ALYSSA Oct01 Aug31 Jun15 Apr27 Mar25 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
9  LEMON BOMB Oct11 Sep09 Jul31 Jun24 Oct30 (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SPICY ITALIAN Oct18 Sep16 Aug17 Jul16 Jun11 (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
11  MAKE THE BOYS WINK Oct11 Sep10 Aug13 Jul09 Apr19 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 ★    
12  BE MY SUNSHINE Sep10 Jul01 Apr27 Mar12 Jan08 (joseph saff)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 39% 1.50    
13  HURRY UP HANNAH Sep26 Aug29 Jun13 May14 Apr15 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
SCR  BEST PERFORMER Oct01 Sep03 Jul15 Jun24 May03 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 3.50    
SCR  EMPIRICAL VIEW Oct18 Sep02 Aug04 Jul09   (divito jame)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
SCR  STORM BAY Sep16 Aug05 Jun08 May06   (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 118 8.00    
 
CD-9   11/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REGULAR GUY Jul11 May28 May07 Apr16 Mar24 (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
2  CONFIDENCE GAME Oct21 May06 Feb25 Jan21 Nov26 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
3  WAR CAMPAIGN Oct20 Sep23 Aug06 Jul02 May25 (sims a)LANERIE J 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
4  BIG BLUE LINE Sep13 Aug13 Jun30 Mar24 Feb18 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  GASOLINE Sep21 Feb19 Jan05 Dec02 Sep29 (pletcher to)TORRES A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  GIANT GAME Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 May11 Apr01 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  KOOLHAUS Apr16 Jan27 Dec17 Jun17 May12 (lobo h)RAMOS D 121 20.00    
8  WARRIOR JOHNY Oct20 Sep02 Jul02 Jun04 Nov17 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50    
9  DECISION MAKER Sep21 Aug20 Jun11 May03 Mar26 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
10  TWO BIRDS Sep23 Sep03 Apr20 Mar25 Feb22 (hiles a)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bet Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEJANO TWIST Jul01 Jun03 May06 Apr15 Mar18 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  NECKER ISLAND Oct06 Sep16 Jun18 Apr15 Apr01 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 8.00    
3  MANNY WAH Oct06 Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
4  EXXEL May06 Apr29 Apr01 Mar17 Jan09 (lund valori)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
5  EMPIRE OF GOLD Oct13 Sep24 Aug24 May29 Apr30 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 121 20.00    
6  SIR ALFRED JAMES Oct20 Sep30 Sep16 Sep05 Aug25 (ginter raym)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 7% 13.80    
7  MILES AHEAD Jul01 May04 Mar18 Jan28 Dec26 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 9% 10.50    
8  BANGO Oct06 Sep16 Jul01 Jun03 May04 (foley greg)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 1.20 33% 2.10    
9  AWESOME AARON Sep16 Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 May12 (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
 
CD-11   11/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 7:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHARON'S PRINCE Oct12 Sep10       (granitz a)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
2  THE LOOK FACTOR         (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 119 6.00 ★    
3  MONEYSHOT Oct11 Sep21 Aug05     (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
4  BRITISH SEA Sep09 Jul14       (maker j)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 7% 13.50    
5  EVENING NEWS Aug27         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00    
6  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Sep24 Jul15       (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
7  EDGARTOWN Oct12 Sep02       (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 2.00 69% 0.50    
8  TIGGEROO         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SURF CITY Oct07         (oliver victoria)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
10  DROBNY Oct12 Sep17       (hartman chris)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
11  UNION RUN Oct05 Sep14       (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
12  DASHMAN Sep29         (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  BLACK DIAMOND Sep15 Aug18 Jul21     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00    
SCR  WHO'S THE KING Oct07         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR)         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SCR  ST. ARMANDS KEY Oct12 Sep07       (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.