The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.44 $4.44 -1.56
KEE-2   Win (6/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $31.98 -8.00
KEE-3   Win (1/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.28 $6.28 -1.72
KEE-4   Win (5/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.96 $3.96 -4.04
KEE-5   Win (11/12/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $3.38 $3.38 -4.62
KEE-6   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $16.74 -6.00
KEE-7   Win (5/7/4/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $42.28 -10.00
KEE-8   Win (6/7/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $12.16 $12.16 4.16

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
:231 :473 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBILANT JOANIE 6 4 1 1½   11(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 20% 4.00 1.22 W
10  IMPERATOR FURIOSA 8 1 5 2½   22(colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 4.80  
DERBY WIFE 1 8 2 3   36 3(reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00 31.11  
LADY FREE WILL 2 6 7 64   4411¼ (minnock g)LANERIE J 121 4.00 6.20  
ALTER THE STARS 7 3 6 5   5511¾ (tomlinson michae)ASHTON GAVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.62  
DOODLE DOO 4 5 42 74   69 616½ (obert danielle)STEVENS C 119 50.00 35.72  
VELOCHEETAH 5 2 3 4   712 720½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 57% 0.70 3.13  
FRACING ALLSTAR 3 7 8 87   816 831½ (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 36.35  
SCR  STAGE BELL               (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 121 3.50    
SCR  ZIVA               (hughes g)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
:222 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLIDIFY 3 7 54 4   2½ 1(cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 114 12.00 14.99  
TEE BURNS 7 3 1nk 1½   1½ 2(hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 17% 4.90 2.00 P
PURE PANIC 8 1 2nk 2½   33(foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 4.56  
BLUE KENTUCKY 6 2 4 5   44 4(sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.52  
LYKAN 2 5 65 66   65(young r)FELIX E 121 8.00 20.82  
COUTH 1 4 31 32   5610¼ (stephen anthony)TALAMO JOSEPH 113 30.00 5% 19.00 27.72  
SLAM DUNK SERMON 5 6 7 77   7718¼ (vance thom)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 50% 1.00 3.34  
FRANZ JOSEF 4 8 816½ 819½   822½ 831 (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 11.05  
SCR  THE DISTRACTOR               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
 
KEE-3   10/18/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
:234 :481 1:133 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I FEEL THE NEED 8 9 9 8 6 11(hartman chris)LANERIE J 122 3.50 11% 8.00 2.14 W
EAST SHORE 1 4 64 6 43 32 2(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 2.50 37% 1.70 4.01 P
WINDY BAY 7 3 11 1½ 1½ 236 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 1.60 23% 3.40 2.74 S
MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM 2 6 4 32 2½ 42 4(von kel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 29.10  
STEEL RACER 3 2 5 53 3 53 510½ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6.95  
ROSARIO'S PRAYER 5 7 87 9 8 68 615½ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 9.85  
EFFICACIOUS 9 8 21 2½ 5 711 725 (kintz matthew)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 9% 9.60 8.65  
FLORIS 6 1 32 42 77 811¼ 826¾ (duvall e)ELLIOTT JANE 122 50.00 57.65  
CATHERINE BLAZE 4 5 75 7 98 913¾ 941½ (leonard george )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 27.81  
 
KEE-4   10/18/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:24 :482 1:132 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THESTRAL 5 5 21 2½ 2nk 13 1(amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 35% 1.90 0.98 W
MUSTANG LADY 2 6 74 74 5 35 2(newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 17% 4.80 4.71 P
WITS AND WAGERS 1 2 64 64 6 46 3(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 13.75  
SANDRA D 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 23 48 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 4.00 7.46  
C C CRUISE CONTROL 8 7 53 53 46 59 513¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 20.95  
MARSHSIDE MAMA 6 8 85 8 812¼ 713 615¼ (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 36.63  
SPICY ITALIAN 3 3 4 4 35 69 718 (catalano w)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 10.68  
SUCH SOUNDS 7 4 32 32 7 817 836¾ (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 21% 3.80 4.97  
 
KEE-5   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
:223 :464 1:114     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AIR OF DEFIANCE 10 3 3.2 3.2   116 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 44% 1.30 0.69 W
NYQUIST FREQUENCY 1 4 2nk 1nk   226 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.61 P
13  RIVETAGE 12 1 7 6   4312¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 14.10 S
POPWEISER 4 6 4 5   3413 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 12.59  
YELL COUNTY 2 10 6 4   5515½ (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 119 30.00 64.44  
JUSTIFREAK 6 8 9 8   78 617½ (kenneally eddie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 5.58  
12  ANTHEM KING 11 7 84 9   89 718¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 21% 3.70 24.74  
IT'SMYLUCKYTIME 8 9 118 108   911 820¼ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 13.70  
SO SMOOTH 7 11 1210½ 1210½   1013½ 920¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 16.04  
SPECIAL ELEMENT 3 5 1nk 2nk   67 1021½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 9% 10.70 22.98  
10  NULLIFY 9 2 5 7   1114 1126¾ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 20.00 45.01  
BLUE LINE 5 12 10 118   1219½ 1242¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 30.60  
SCR  BANANA PLAN               (perez manny)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  LOU'S LEGACY               (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
SCR  WORLD FAIR               (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
 
KEE-6   10/18/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
:232 :472 1:13 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKRATCH KAT 5 6 69 6 5 3.2 1nk (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 7.37  
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 2 2 34 32 31 4¼ 2nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.54 P
JAG WARRIOR 3 3 1½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 33 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00 25.25  
PUNCHBOWL 4 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 4(cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 0.80 58% 0.70 0.49  
INSIGNIA 1 4 46 43 6 65(cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 18% 4.50 3.59  
MUSIC STREET 6 5 5 54 4 56(beckman whitw)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 13.57  
 
KEE-7   10/18/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
:23 :482 1:143 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BEACH WALKN 9 8 9 9 9 61nk (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 20.14  
HOLA GATA 4 3 63 6 6 52nk (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 30% 2.30 1.34 P
AROUND THE SUN 2 2 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 28.00  
OUR DOTSIE 3 5 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 4½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 18% 4.60 6.08  
EMPIRICAL VIEW 1 1 31 42 42 31 5(divito james)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 7% 14.00 6.29  
HOLY FOLEY 6 10 11 11 11 862 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 21% 3.70 5.37  
CHARLEE O 7 4 42 3 31 47(waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00 30.42  
MINT EDITION 8 7 5 53 53 78(wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 48.81  
15  CONDONE 12 9 7 8 75 99(oliver victoria)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 8.61  
YARBOROUGH 5 12 1210¾ 12 12 1010(reed r)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 47.19  
12  JENNY LIND 11 6 8 7 85 1111(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 16.45  
11  LAKESIDE MUSIC 10 11 10 10 107 1210¼ 1214¼ (spicer t)LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 70.35  
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  EIVISSA               (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  TITUBA               (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
 
KEE-8   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
:223 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNICKS STORM 6 6 3 2½   13 1(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 20% 4.00 5.08 W
CATALINA CRUSH 5 9 5 32   23 2(casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 51% 1.00 1.69 P
RUNAWAY JOKE 4 10 8 5   45 312¼ (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 20.99  
RUNNIN MUNNIN 1 5 6 8   67 414 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 6% 16.20 5.48  
10  ARMY KID 9 7 7 7   56 514 (rosin w)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 16.35  
TRACK LIGHT 2 4 2 43   7616¼ (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 8.51  
FINISH THE MISSION 3 2 1 1½   3716½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 15.33  
WE MISS ARLINGTON 8 1 42 6   810½ 822¾ (divito james)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 21.74  
11  KARLWITHANARL 10 3 9 9   913½ 923¾ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.63  
STERLING HONOR 7 8 10 1011¾   1014½ 1024¼ (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 9.76  
SCR  ATOMIC               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  DROPTOP CADDY               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  HIGGINSVILLE               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
SCR  OZONE               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  THIS TIME BLUE               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.