Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-3   TRI (1/7/8/9)-(1/7/8/9)-(1/7/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-1-7 $13.70 $1.70 14%
KEE-5   EXA (11/12/3/1)-(11/12/3/13/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  11-1 $25.94 $9.94 62%
    TRI (11/12/3/1)-(11/12/3/13/1)-(11/12/3/13/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  11-1-13 $96.25 $72.25 301%
KEE-8   WIN (6/7/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $12.16 $4.16 52%
    EXA (6/7/2/11)-(6/7/2/8/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-6 $19.02 $3.02 19%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JUBILANT JOANIE 6 4 11½ 1½   12½ 12½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 20% 4.00 1.22 W
10  IMPERATOR FURIOSA 8 1 52¼ 2½   22½ 22½ (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 4.80  
1  DERBY WIFE 1 8 21½ 31½   36 39¾ (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00 31.11  
2  LADY FREE WILL 2 6 73¼ 64   47½ 411¼ (minnock g)LANERIE J 121 4.00 ★ 6.20  
8  ALTER THE STARS 7 3 63¼ 53½   58½ 511¾ (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.62  
5  DOODLE DOO 4 5 42 74   69 616½ (obert danielle)STEVENS C 119 50.00 35.72  
6  VELOCHEETAH 5 2 31½ 42½   712 720½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 57% 0.70 3.13  
3  FRACING ALLSTAR 3 7 84¼ 87   816 831½ (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 36.35  
SCR  STAGE BELL               (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 121 3.50    
SCR  ZIVA               (hughes g)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SOLIDIFY 3 7 54 42½   2½ 12¼ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 114 12.00 14.99  
8  TEE BURNS 7 3 1nk 1½   1½ 22¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 17% 4.90 2.00 P
9  PURE PANIC 8 1 2nk 2½   31½ 33½ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 4.56  
7  BLUE KENTUCKY 6 2 41½ 53½   44 44½ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.52  
2  LYKAN 2 5 65 66   65½ 55¾ (young r)FELIX E 121 8.00 20.82  
1  COUTH 1 4 31 32   55½ 610¼ (stephen antho)TALAMO JOSEPH 113 30.00 5% 19.00 27.72  
6  SLAM DUNK SERMON 5 6 76½ 77   78½ 718¼ (vance th)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 50% 1.00 3.34  
4  FRANZ JOSEF 4 8 816½ 819½   822½ 831 (wismer gle)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 11.05  
SCR  THE DISTRACTOR               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
 
KEE-3   10/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  I FEEL THE NEED 8 9 98½ 84¾ 63½ 11½ 13½ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 122 3.50 11% 8.00 2.14 W
1  EAST SHORE 1 4 64 63¼ 43 32 23½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 2.50 37% 1.70 4.01 P
7  WINDY BAY 7 3 11 1½ 1½ 21½ 36 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 1.60 23% 3.40 2.74 S
2  MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM 2 6 42½ 32 2½ 42 48¾ (von k)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 29.10  
3  STEEL RACER 3 2 53½ 53 32½ 53 510½ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6.95  
5  ROSARIO'S PRAYER 5 7 87 95¾ 87½ 68 615½ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 9.85  
9  EFFICACIOUS 9 8 21 2½ 53½ 711 725 (kintz matthew)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 9% 9.60 8.65  
6  FLORIS 6 1 32 42 77 811¼ 826¾ (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 122 50.00 57.65  
4  CATHERINE BLAZE 4 5 75 74¼ 98 913¾ 941½ (leonard georg)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 27.81  
 
KEE-4   10/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:132 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THESTRAL 5 5 21 2½ 2nk 13 13½ (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 35% 1.90 0.98 W
2  MUSTANG LADY 2 6 74 74 56½ 35 23½ (newton tro)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 17% 4.80 4.71 P
1  WITS AND WAGERS 1 2 64 64 66¾ 46 34¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 13.75  
4  SANDRA D 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 23 48 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00 7.46  
8  C C CRUISE CONTROL 8 7 53 53 46 59 513¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 20.95  
6  MARSHSIDE MAMA 6 8 85 88½ 812¼ 713 615¼ (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 36.63  
3  SPICY ITALIAN 3 3 42½ 42½ 35 69 718 (catalano)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 10.68  
7  SUCH SOUNDS 7 4 32 32 79¾ 817 836¾ (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 21% 3.80 4.97  
 
KEE-5   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:114     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AIR OF DEFIANCE 10 3 3.2 3.2   11½ 16 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 44% 1.30 0.69 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FAYPIEN by GHOSTZAPPER)
1  NYQUIST FREQUENCY 1 4 2nk 1nk   21½ 26 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.61 P
  (by NYQUIST out of IS IT GOLD by INDYGO SHINER)
13  RIVETAGE 12 1 72½ 62¼   45½ 312¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★ 14.10 S
  (by FROSTED out of POSSE NEEDED by CALEB'S POSSE)
4  POPWEISER 4 6 41¾ 51¾   35½ 413 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 12.59  
  (by NYQUIST out of CO COLA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  YELL COUNTY 2 10 62¼ 41¾   56½ 515½ (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 119 30.00 64.44  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FEATHERBED by SMART STRIKE)
6  JUSTIFREAK 6 8 94½ 83½   78 617½ (kenneally edd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 5.58  
  (by JUSTIFY out of THE SCHVAGEN by MATTY G)
12  ANTHEM KING 11 7 84 94½   89 718¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 21% 3.70 24.74  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of VALENTINE ROSIE by CURLIN)
9  IT'SMYLUCKYTIME 8 9 118 108   911 820¼ (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 13.70  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LUCKYCALL by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
7  SO SMOOTH 7 11 1210½ 1210½   1013½ 920¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 16.04  
  (by CURLIN out of SPANISH HARLEM by MORE THAN READY)
3  SPECIAL ELEMENT 3 5 1nk 2nk   67 1021½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 9% 10.70 22.98  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of IT'S HIGH TIME by GONE ASTRAY)
10  NULLIFY 9 2 52¼ 73¼   1114 1126¾ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 119 20.00 45.01  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLAME IT ON ALPHIE by BLAME)
5  BLUE LINE 5 12 106½ 118   1219½ 1242¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 30.60  
  (by NYQUIST out of TAKECHARGEDELILAH by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  BANANA PLAN               (perez manny)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MONTANA NATIVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  LOU'S LEGACY               (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  WORLD FAIR               (moquett )SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FOXBEAU by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
KEE-6   10/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SKRATCH KAT 5 6 69 64¼ 51¼ 3.2 1nk (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 7.37  
2  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 2 2 34 32 31 4¼ 2nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.54 P
3  JAG WARRIOR 3 3 1½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 33 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00 25.25  
4  PUNCHBOWL 4 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 43¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 0.80 58% 0.70 0.49  
1  INSIGNIA 1 4 46 43 61¾ 64¾ 57½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 18% 4.50 3.59  
6  MUSIC STREET 6 5 56½ 54 41¼ 52¾ 68¾ (beckman whi)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 13.57  
 
KEE-7   10/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:143 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BEACH WALKN 9 8 95¾ 95½ 95½ 62¼ 1nk (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 20.14  
5  HOLA GATA 4 3 63 63½ 63½ 51¾ 2nk (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 30% 2.30 1.34 P
2  AROUND THE SUN 2 2 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 28.00  
4  OUR DOTSIE 3 5 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 4½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 18% 4.60 6.08  
1  EMPIRICAL VIEW 1 1 31 42 42 31 51¾ (divito jam)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 7% 14.00 6.29  
7  HOLY FOLEY 6 10 117¾ 116¼ 117¼ 84¼ 62 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 21% 3.70 5.37  
8  CHARLEE O 7 4 42 31½ 31 41½ 72¼ (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00 30.42  
9  MINT EDITION 8 7 52½ 53 53 73¾ 83½ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 48.81  
15  CONDONE 12 9 74½ 84½ 75 95¼ 93½ (oliver victori)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 8.61  
6  YARBOROUGH 5 12 1210¾ 128¼ 129¼ 106¾ 104¾ (reed r)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 47.19  
12  JENNY LIND 11 6 84¾ 74½ 85 117¾ 116¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 16.45  
11  LAKESIDE MUSIC 10 11 105¾ 105¾ 107 1210¼ 1214¼ (spicer james )LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 70.35  
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  EIVISSA               (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  TITUBA               (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
 
KEE-8   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KNICKS STORM 6 6 31½ 2½   13 15¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 20% 4.00 5.08 W
6  CATALINA CRUSH 5 9 52¼ 32   23 25¼ (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 51% 1.00 1.69 P
5  RUNAWAY JOKE 4 10 84¾ 53½   45 312¼ (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 20.99  
2  RUNNIN MUNNIN 1 5 63¾ 84¼   67 414 (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 6% 16.20 5.48  
10  ARMY KID 9 7 74¼ 73¾   56 514 (rosin coty )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 16.35  
3  TRACK LIGHT 2 4 21½ 43   77½ 616¼ (walsh br)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 8.51  
4  FINISH THE MISSION 3 2 11½ 1½   34½ 716½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 15.33  
9  WE MISS ARLINGTON 8 1 42 63½   810½ 822¾ (divito jam)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 21.74  
11  KARLWITHANARL 10 3 95¾ 99¼   913½ 923¾ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.63  
8  STERLING HONOR 7 8 107¾ 1011¾   1014½ 1024¼ (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 ★ 9.76  
SCR  ATOMIC               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  DROPTOP CADDY               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  HIGGINSVILLE               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
SCR  OZONE               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  THIS TIME BLUE               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.