Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - November 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $23.62 $17.62 294%
CD-2   WIN (7/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00  8 $62.58 $58.58 1465%
    DD (4/1/5)-(7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-8 $239.26 $233.26 3888%
CD-3   DD (7/8)-(6/7/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-7 $70.42 $62.42 780%
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(7/8)-(6/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-8-7 $269.06 $257.06 2142%
CD-5   WIN (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $21.12 $13.12 164%
CD-6   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $6.02 $2.02 51%
    DD (5/4/6/2)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-7 $29.98 $21.98 275%
CD-7   DD (2/7)-(3/2/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-3 $9.27 $1.27 16%
    PK3 (5/4/6/2)-(2/7)-(3/2/5/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00  2-7-3 $85.50 $69.50 434%
CD-8   WIN (1/9/12/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  12 $15.88 $5.88 59%
    DD (3/2/5/6)-(1/9/12/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-12 $44.46 $24.46 122%
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/2/5/6)-(1/9/12/7/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00  7-3-12 $60.07 $40.07 200%
CD-9   EXA (6/7/1/2/8)-(6/7/1/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-8 $64.80 $24.80 62%
    DD (1/9/12/7/5)-(6/7/1/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00  12-7 $32.29 $7.29 29%
    PK3 (3/2/5/6)-(1/9/12/7/5)-(6/7/1/2/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00  3-12-7 $64.82 $14.82 30%
CD-10   WIN (6/5/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.16 $3.16 53%
    EXA (6/5/10)-(6/5/10) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-10 $80.28 $68.28 569%
    PK3 (1/9/12/7/5)-(6/7/1/2/8)-(6/5/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50  12-7-6 $78.10 $40.60 108%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:15 1:404   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FERRYBOAT 4 4 11 11 11 12 12½ (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 121 5.00 5% 19.00 10.81 W
3  ELI 2 5 54½ 54 52½ 22 22½ (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 12.00  
6  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS 5 6 64½ 44 42 44 32½ (hill f)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 1.70  
1  RANDELLO 1 3 32 32 31 32½ 43½ (sharp joe)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 2.50 11% 7.80 0.83  
4  DEVOTED TO YOU 3 2 21 21 21 54½ 512 (alessi ja)CORREA L 121 4.50 62% 0.60 8.08  
7  SILVESTRE 6 1 44 67 67½ 68½ 612¾ (cambray igna)CRUZ JUAN 121 12.00 40.17  
SCR  MY BARILEY               (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00    
 
CD-2   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:31
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RAVEN'S NEST 8 3 54½ 41¾   12 13¼ (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 30.29 W
6  GABBYSONHOLIDAY 6 6 87½ 76¾   66½ 23¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 2.95  
7  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 7 7 66 31½   42½ 34¼ (fosdick stev)RAMOS D 124 5.00 71% 0.40 3.94 S
1  BATTLE BORN 1 5 32½ 2nk   22 44¼ (king l)TORRES A 124 8.00 9.62  
3  PACIFIC STATES 3 2 22 51¾   54½ 57¾ (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50 8.57  
5  TAMASHI 5 1 12 1nk   32 69½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 ★ 4.95  
2  GUADALAJARA 2 4 77 87¾   89¾ 79¾ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 ★ 4.41  
4  RATE CONFIRMATION 4 8 44 62¾   76¾ 812½ (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 4.73  
 
CD-3   11/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) 7 1 2½ 2½   2½ 1½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 14% 6.30 0.80 W
4  SOARING BIRD 4 2 42½ 41½   1½ 2½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 4.59  
6  TIGER DAD 6 3 1½ 1½   31 32¼ (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.50 54% 0.90 4.21 S
2  TIZ OF THEE 2 8 65 74½   43½ 42½ (hancock dana)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00 26.94  
3  LEADER OF MEN 3 6 76½ 64½   55 54¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 5% 19.00 17.31  
1  SENOR JOBIM 1 5 87 86   66½ 67 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
5  MINE OWN STAR 5 7 53½ 31   78½ 714 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 15.00 46.33  
8  TREASURY 8 4 31½ 53   813½ 835¾ (cano mu)TORRES A 120 10.00 16.97  
 
CD-4   11/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:131 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SKRATCH KAT 2 4 65 65½ 63½ 42 1nk (bauer phi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 4.09  
3  ICE ORCHID 3 2 42½ 43 52½ 11 2nk (ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 123 1.80 20% 3.90 1.03 P
4  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 4 1 11 12 11 21 33¾ (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 23.00  
5  SOUL OF AN ANGEL 5 5 32½ 32½ 21 31 46 (james gerald)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 18.15  
6  DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE 6 6 53 53 31 54 56¼ (brown chad)CORRALES GERARDO 121 1.40 52% 0.90 1.68  
1  FANNIE AND FREDDIE 1 3 21 22 41½ 64½ 66¾ (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
 
CD-5   11/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:112 1:242   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DEVIL BLUE DRESS 2 1 1½ 11 12 13½ 11¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.56 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of YOU CRACK ME UP by SLEW CITY SLEW)
8  RITA'S ONTHE BEACH 8 9 97¼ 106¾ 106¾ 56 21¾ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 11.37  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LAC DU PRINTEMPS by MEADOWLAKE)
4  LEAFLET 4 4 84¾ 84¾ 64 35 34½ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00 9% 10.70 7.59 S
  (by BLAME out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
9  UPSWELL 9 10 108¼ 96¾ 33 23½ 44¾ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 5.77  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of UPHOLDER by HENNY HUGHES)
1  LIFFEY 1 3 42 73¼ 75 87¼ 57 (stidham mi)CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00 15.12  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of VICTRESS by INCLUDE)
3  GATHER (ARG) 3 2 52½ 63 53½ 66¼ 611¾ (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 70.71  
  (by COLLECTED out of ONE TOO MANY by NUMEROUS)
10  CAUSE I'M WILD 10 5 2½ 21 22 45 712¼ (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 46.68  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of WILD POPPY by EL PRADO (IRE))
7  TAKE TIME TO DREAM 7 7 72¾ 42½ 43 76¾ 817½ (falcone robert)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 ★ 8.73  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MAGESTIC STINGER by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  SMASHING 6 6 31½ 31½ 96¾ 1011¾ 922½ (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 5% 19.00 13.18  
  (by OUTWORK out of BEAR ALL by KITALPHA)
5  HAPPY CHARGER 5 8 62½ 53 85¼ 911¼ 1032½ (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 2.50 60% 0.70 0.99  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of HAPPY WEEK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CD-6   11/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:221 :453 :572     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  REDIFINED 4 2 32 31½   12½ 13¼ (lovell mi)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 28% 2.60 2.01 W
8  JILL JITTERBUG 5 5 42½ 43   44½ 23¼ (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 8.69  
5  STONE SILENT 2 1 2½ 1nk   33 35¼ (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 3.24  
2  SASSY NATURE 1 4 1½ 2nk   22½ 45¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.09  
6  ERNA 3 3 55½ 57   57 56 (matejka pav)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 14.29  
SCR  L J'S EMMA               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.50    
SCR  LITTLE PRANKSTER               (bauer phil)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00    
SCR  MORNIN' BOSS               (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 111 20.00    
 
CD-7   11/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WEST OMAHA 3 1 1½ 1nk   13½ 14 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.00 36% 1.80 1.96 W
  (by WEST COAST out of BIRTHDAY BASH by SWING AND MISS)
9  PUN INTENDED 9 2 2½ 2nk   23½ 24 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 13.25  
  (by CURLIN out of KELLY'S HUMOR by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
10  PULA 10 3 31½ 3½   44½ 37 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 ★ 24.99 S
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CONQUEST SUPERSTEP by SUPER SAVER)
2  BANG BANG FURY 2 4 41½ 51¾   56 47 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 28% 2.50 1.89  
  (by VIOLENCE out of READY REPLY by MORE THAN READY)
8  HEY OLIVIA 8 5 51¾ 41½   34½ 58 (pitts helen)TORRES A 119 12.00 8.37  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHE'S A GYPSY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  VIABLE 4 10 84¾ 87¾   78½ 610¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 14.55  
  (by CURLIN out of RELEVANT by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
6  FUN LOVING 6 7 73¾ 62¼   68 711¼ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 27.08  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
1  CHURNING BERNI 1 8 107¼ 910¼   811 812¼ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 72.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  LITE IT UP LOUIE 5 9 63¼ 75¾   915 920¾ (maker j)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 14% 6.30 4.85  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FLAT OUT GITTIN IT by FLAT OUT)
7  SOCIAL AFFAIR 7 6 96¾ 1010¼   1019 1030¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 31.91  
  (by MUNNINGS out of ROAMING by QUALITY ROAD)
 
CD-8   11/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  NATURAL HARBOR 12 8 3½ 31   1½ 13¾ (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 7% 13.30 6.94 W
3  TIM TAL 3 2 1½ 1½   2½ 23¾ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 3.96  
9  A LA CARTE 9 9 51¾ 62   31½ 33¾ (diodoro rob)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.50 12% 7.30 3.60 S
6  SEAS OF NORMANDY 6 4 94¾ 105½   107 44½ (jones la)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00 20.11  
5  AUTO GLIDE 5 5 62¼ 51½   54 55 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.11  
2  SEEKING UNITY 2 3 41½ 41½   42 65¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 6.79  
4  FOREVER COOL 4 11 105¾ 95   75½ 76½ (scherer marianne)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 15.63  
8  FUNNY UNCLE 8 7 116¼ 116   65 87¼ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 10.00 14.12  
11  NIGHT EFFECT 11 10 84¼ 83½   119½ 912 (mott riley)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 9.04  
7  LUPO'S LEGACY 7 6 73¼ 72½   96½ 1012¾ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 6% 16.50 18.40  
10  IGNITIS 10 1 2½ 2½   85½ 1118¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 36.60  
1  WORK ORDER 1 12 1226¼ 1231   1227½ 1226¾ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 51% 1.00 7.91  
SCR  TIMELY PROSPECT               (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
 
CD-9   11/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:13 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FANCY MARTINI 7 4 35 34½ 35 33 1¼ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 30% 2.40 3.33 W
8  EXCELERINA (IRE) 8 6 14 14 13½ 13 2¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.06 P
3  ZAWISH 3 1 67½ 67 45 23 3¾ (pitts hele)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 4.00  
1  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 1 3 45½ 45½ 55½ 44 42½ (damato phil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 6% 15.20 8.48  
2  I'M SO SORRY 2 5 57 77 67½ 67 54½ (maker michael )CONNER TYLER 123 4.00 5% 19.00 6.31  
6  PERHAPS TONIGHT (IRE) 6 9 1014 1014 910¼ 77¼ 65 (drexler marti)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 35% 1.90 3.60  
5  NAVY GOAT 5 7 78½ 56½ 78 88¾ 78 (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 118 10.00 11.14  
4  LADY HIDEAWAY 4 2 24 24 23½ 54½ 88¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00 13.43  
10  AALIYAH EZRI 10 8 810½ 810½ 810 910¼ 910¾ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 39.26  
9  SWEETS MAKER 9 10 912 912 1013¾ 1012¼ 1011 (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 44.14  
SCR  FRAGRANT               (reed r)MCKEE J 121 4.00    
SCR  PRESENT MOMENT (IRE)               (beckman wh)RAMOS D 121 8.00    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS               (west w)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00    
SCR  THISNAMEISOKAY               (cooper steve)ROCCO S 123 8.00    
SCR  TWO ITEM SAVER               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 1.60    
SCR  WHITE LILACS               (pino mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
 
CD-10   11/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:112 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  INEXORABLE 4 6 52¼ 44 21 2nk 12¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.50 34% 2.00 3.58 W
10  MUCHO MOJO 7 5 4¼ 23 11 1nk 22¼ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00 11% 8.30 5.84 P
7  MASTER GAME 5 4 62¾ 66 64¾ 43½ 35 (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 3.68  
2  TRIGGER HAPPY 1 1 1nk 13 32½ 32½ 45½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 6.24  
8  JEDREK 6 7 78¼ 714 77¾ 78 57½ (hill f)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 24.96  
5  SANT' ANTIMO 3 2 2nk 54½ 44½ 55 612 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 27% 2.80 2.81  
4  SKATE TO HEAVEN 2 3 3.2 33 54½ 67 714½ (walden wi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 4.10  
SCR  LONG CROW               (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
SCR  PHILHARMONIC               (zito nicholas)MARTIN MATTIE 111 20.00    
SCR  PIGALLE               (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 115 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.