Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-4   WIN (8/2/6/11/16) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $41.82 $31.82 318%
    DD (7/5)-(8/2/6/11/16) 10 $1.00 $10.00  7-6 $19.59 $9.59 96%
CD-7   EXA (8/11/1/3/7)-(8/11/1/3/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-7 $156.34 $116.34 291%
CD-8   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.74 $1.74 29%
    DD (8/11/1/3/7)-(7/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00  8-7 $15.74 $0.74 5%
CD-9   WIN (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $13.78 $5.78 72%
    EXA (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-1 $40.58 $16.58 69%
    TRI (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-1-5 $45.23 $33.23 277%
    SFT (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-1-5-7 $53.17 $50.77 2115%
    DD (7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $27.91 $15.91 133%
    PK3 (8/11/1/3/7)-(7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-7-3 $95.18 $65.18 217%
CD-10   WIN (1/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $15.82 $7.82 98%
    DD (7/5/1/3)-(1/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-2 $66.71 $50.71 317%
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3)-(1/2/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-3-2 $121.02 $97.02 404%
    PK4 (8/11/1/3/7)-(7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3)-(1/2/4/3) 240 $0.50 $120  2/8/14-7-3-2 $918.95 $798.95 666%
    PK5 (8/2/1/9)-(8/11/1/3/7)-(7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3)-(1/2/4/3) 960 $0.50 $480  1/3/8-2/8/14-7-3-2 $3848 $3368 702%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:15 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUNNINGFORJOY 2 3 31½ 41½ 41½ 21 11½ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 3.52  
3  HERO'S MEDAL 3 4 42 31½ 3½ 31 21½ (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 0.80 43% 1.30 0.40 P
4  SURFACE TO AIR 4 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 11 33¼ (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 9.06  
6  WE WILL CONQUER 5 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 41¼ 44½ (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 27% 2.70 8.04  
1  TEXAS PRIDE 1 5 54 52½ 53½ 54¾ 56¾ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 13.23  
SCR  FEAR OF UNION               (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00    
SCR  FUNSTRUCK               (olivo k)MCKEE J 121 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/01/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:123 1:243   1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FIRE BRYAN 3 1 52¼ 72½   1nk 11 (patrick r )CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 5.00  
7  PLATINUM GHOST 7 5 1½ 2nk   2nk 21 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 5.39  
4  TROPIC STORM 4 2 2½ 1nk   3.2 31¼ (habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 120 5.00 5.83  
5  REWIRE 5 6 3½ 3½   45¼ 47½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 31% 2.20 0.80  
1  PUNCTUALITY 1 4 72¾ 62¼   57¼ 513 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 19% 4.30 7.13  
2  INVASIVE 2 3 62¼ 52¼   712¼ 618¼ (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 32.33  
6  P K WOOD 6 7 4¾ 42   611¼ 718¾ (esquivel )CORREA L 120 10.00 16% 5.20 26.79  
 
CD-3   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:213 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEST OF GREELEY 4 1 33 31   12½ 18¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.00 37% 1.70 0.37 W
6  IMPROBABLE STORY 3 4 44½ 44   45 28¼ (king l)TORRES A 120 15.00 11.15  
1  STEINBECK 1 2 1½ 1½   22½ 38¾ (cano muno)ELLIOTT JANE 120 10.00 2.85  
2  HILLBILLY LOGIC 2 3 2½ 2½   34½ 412½ (howard mar)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 6.02  
SCR  MO'S MOJO               (martinez )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  RIKIO               (cline robe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
SCR  SMOKIN RICHIE               (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
SCR  UNDER THE GUN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
 
CD-4   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TALKIN IN CURSIVE 6 2 31 11   13½ 16¾ (vosler euge)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 12% 7.10 19.91 W
1  WRECK IT RUBY 1 3 42½ 43½   35 26¾ (holsapple )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 10.83  
2  LADLE 2 5 2½ 32½   45 37 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 15% 5.70 4.57 S
3  PRIX 3 4 1½ 21   23½ 47¾ (wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 42.72  
5  COLLIER 5 9 99½ 810   89½ 510½ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 17.52  
15  RUN RUN RABBIT 10 10 88 78½   57½ 611 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 24.82  
14  GRACE AND FREEDOM 9 1 75½ 67½   68½ 711¼ (jones )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 112 12.00 30.76  
16  SPITE LITE 11 8 109½ 1012   912 811¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 11% 8.00 7.39  
4  MISS CLAUDETTE 4 7 53 55½   79 914½ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5.16  
11  FLATTERING HEART 8 11 1110½ 910½   1013 1017½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00 12% 7.10 9.47  
8  BROWN AS A BISCUIT 7 6 65 1114½   1118 1128¼ (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 25% 3.10 1.65  
SCR  FULLY ENTITLED               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN LAKE               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  HOT MOCHA               (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
SCR  INTERPOLLY               (morey e)FELIX E 119 8.00    
SCR  WHATTA WORLD               (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 3.50    
 
CD-5   11/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KICK A RHYME (IRE) 8 8 32 31½   1½ 11½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 4.34  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ADHWAA by DAAHER)
2  MO LANTERN 2 4 76¾ 78   54 21½ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 9.66  
  (by MO TOWN out of LANTERN by MINESHAFT)
3  MY LILY MAE 3 6 87¼ 88   65 32½ (kinmon keith)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 59% 0.70 10.73 S
  (by SKY MESA out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
5  GOING THE DISTANCE 5 1 1½ 2½   2½ 43¼ (shirer m)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 11% 7.80 1.13  
  (by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
4  CLASSIC CLAIRE 4 5 42 42½   33 53½ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 12.35  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLAIRENATION by BERNSTEIN)
9  THEROANRUNNER 9 7 64¼ 55   75½ 65¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 2.50 5% 17.80 4.15  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
1  LIPOCHROME 1 10 97¾ 99½   87½ 75¾ (torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 124 15.00 45.32  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CANARY DIAMOND by ALPHABET SOUP)
6  SOUL HEIR 6 3 54 66½   98½ 88¼ (fields christ)GUERERE ANGEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00 49.14  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of DANCE WITH GIANTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  VIOLET FLAME 10 9 109¼ 1011   1010 910 (wittek karyn)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 45.14  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FILA PRIMERA by WAR FRONT)
7  DREAM ON STORMY 7 2 2½ 1½   43½ 1011¾ (winston fred )CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.06  
  (by GET STORMY out of LU BATON by ROAR)
SCR  ALWAYSGOTOTHEPARTY               (michael bria)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MAXIE FORD by TAPIT)
SCR  CANDY BAR               (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUGAR BABE by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  SICKLE DANCE               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of DANCE SECRETARY by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
SCR  TIDAL TACTICS               (hill john)TORRES A 122 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
 
CD-6   11/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:111     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BARNSTORMING 6 1 21 2nk   2nk 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.85 W
5  PINELAND 3 3 11 1nk   1nk 2¾ (schultz lind)TORRES A 122 10.00 23.25  
6  VIGANO 4 4 63 63¾   36½ 39¼ (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 8.41  
4  BEAUMONT RED 2 2 52½ 43½   48 412¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 8.82  
9  SPEED INSTITUTE 7 6 32 32   59½ 517 (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 8% 11.00 5.43  
2  ENOUGH ALREADY 1 7 42 53¾   611½ 619 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 18% 4.50 3.90  
7  CHADRON 5 5 75½ 76¼   713½ 722 (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00 14.21  
SCR  MO HOPE               (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  SMOKE WAGON               (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
 
CD-7   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:214 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PILLBOX 7 8 72¾ 31½   13½ 19 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 31% 2.20 3.49 W
7  FILLY CRYSTAL 6 12 51¾ 73¾   33½ 29 (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.91 P
5  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 4 6 3.2 1nk   23½ 39½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00 24.29  
4  IN COLOR 3 11 41¼ 41¾   44 410¼ (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 3.56  
9  MEAN SUE 8 1 62¼ 51¾   65½ 511½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5.02  
13  ROYAL BLOOD 12 2 115¾ 84   77 612¾ (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 48.79  
3  BELPERRON 2 5 2nk 2nk   54½ 713½ (manley steve)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 10% 9.10 6.29  
10  MAZOKU 9 9 94¾ 97   99½ 815¾ (butcher james)GUERERE ANGEL 120 20.00 81.86  
1  WEATHER MAP 1 4 1nk 62¾   87½ 917 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 12% 7.70 4.54  
6  JACKIE'S SPIRIT 5 3 83¼ 107   1010½ 1021½ (kordenbrock mat)LANERIE J 118 12.00 26.03  
12  MOTOWN MIKA 11 7 104¾ 119   1112½ 1123¼ (o'connor robe)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 25.00  
11  ARGUMENTAL 10 10 1230¾ 12100   12100 12100 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 22% 3.50 8.85  
SCR  CALY BALI               (rosin cot)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  MAGNA MASSA               (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 5.00    
 
CD-8   11/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:133 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WATCH THIS BIRDIE 6 3 57½ 511½ 54 11½ 12½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.00 33% 2.00 2.87 W
2  STRIKINGLY SPUN 2 5 46½ 49½ 32½ 21½ 22½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.16  
4  NOM DE PLUME 3 4 35 39 44 33½ 32½ (lobo paul)TORRES A 118 10.00 17% 4.80 4.34 S
6  MO BILLS 5 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 43½ 46¾ (stidham michael)LANERIE J 120 4.00 20% 4.00 2.69  
1  BOLIVIE (IRE) 1 6 68 611½ 67 58 514¼ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 8.07  
5  ESSAOUIRA 4 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 68¼ 619¾ (motion gra)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 13.17  
SCR  GOLDCREST               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 3.50    
SCR  JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
 
CD-9   11/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:11 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SECRET STATEMENT 3 2 31½ 21½ 1½ 12 11¾ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 9% 10.20 5.89 W
1  AMBER CASCADE 1 5 53 42½ 32 22 21¾ (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 4.00 11% 8.00 1.71 P
5  CALL AGAIN 4 6 63¼ 64¾ 53 44½ 34 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 12% 7.30 6.82 S
7  SULTRY LASS 6 4 41½ 52¾ 42 55½ 48¼ (lovell mic)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 43% 1.30 3.43  
9  HER LADYSHIP 8 9 910¼ 99¾ 65½ 67½ 58¼ (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 6.14  
2  SHOPLIFTER 2 1 1½ 11½ 2½ 34 69¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 6.82  
10  VOTARY 9 7 75¼ 77¼ 76½ 77½ 712¾ (peach ch)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 25.04  
6  WANDA SUSIE DOOZY 5 3 2½ 32½ 88½ 816½ 832 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 20.00 72.06  
8  UP TO SOMETHING 7 8 87¾ 88¼ 912½ 920 934¾ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 38.14  
SCR  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE               (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00    
 
CD-10   11/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:122 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  I'M YOUR MAN 2 11 1110¼ 118¼ 87 62¼ 11¾ (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 13% 6.80 6.91 W
9  WALDRIP 9 10 72¾ 52 42 1½ 21¾ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8.16  
10  QUEBRANCHO 10 8 62½ 73 52½ 41½ 34 (gutierrez)TORRES A 119 12.00 33.51  
6  PRETTY FAST 6 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 2½ 45¾ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 40.93  
1  HONEST OPINION 1 1 104¼ 83½ 63½ 51¾ 57½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 54% 0.90 1.08  
7  QUIET RUSH 7 6 2nk 2½ 2nk 31½ 610 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 8.56  
5  QUENCIO 5 2 52 31 31 72¾ 712¼ (gutierrez faus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 24.19  
4  PERFORMANCE PLUS 4 5 93¾ 94 97½ 86¾ 815 (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 10% 8.60 78.50  
3  MASTER SWITCH 3 4 82¾ 62 76 98¾ 922¾ (contreras c)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 44.59  
11  THIS TIME BLUE 11 9 41½ 104¼ 119½ 1011¾ 1027½ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 8.41  
8  THEZELENSKYYFACTOR 8 7 3½ 41½ 108 1113¾ 1130 (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 ★ 5.32  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.