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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-4			WIN	(8/2/6/11/16)						5	$2.00	$10.00	6		$41.82			$31.82				318%
			DD	(7/5)-(8/2/6/11/16)						10	$1.00	$10.00	7-6		$19.59			$9.59				96%
CD-7			EXA	(8/11/1/3/7)-(8/11/1/3/7)						20	$2.00	$40.00	8-7		$156.34			$116.34				291%
CD-8			WIN	(7/6/4)						3	$2.00	$6.00	7		$7.74			$1.74				29%
			DD	(8/11/1/3/7)-(7/6/4)						15	$1.00	$15.00	8-7		$15.74			$0.74				5%
CD-9			WIN	(7/5/1/3)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$13.78			$5.78				72%
			EXA	(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-1		$40.58			$16.58				69%
			TRI	(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)						24	$0.50	$12.00	3-1-5		$45.23			$33.23				277%
			SFT	(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)						24	$0.10	$2.40	3-1-5-7		$53.17			$50.77				2115%
			DD	(7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3)						12	$1.00	$12.00	7-3		$27.91			$15.91				133%
			PK3	(8/11/1/3/7)-(7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3)						60	$0.50	$30.00	8-7-3		$95.18			$65.18				217%
CD-10			WIN	(1/2/4/3)						4	$2.00	$8.00	2		$15.82			$7.82				98%
			DD	(7/5/1/3)-(1/2/4/3)						16	$1.00	$16.00	3-2		$66.71			$50.71				317%
			PK3	(7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3)-(1/2/4/3)						48	$0.50	$24.00	7-3-2		$121.02			$97.02				404%
			PK4	(8/11/1/3/7)-(7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3)-(1/2/4/3)						240	$0.50	$120	2/8/14-7-3-2		$918.95			$798.95				666%
			PK5	(8/2/1/9)-(8/11/1/3/7)-(7/6/4)-(7/5/1/3)-(1/2/4/3)						960	$0.50	$480	1/3/8-2/8/14-7-3-2		$3848			$3368				702%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/01/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($75K)					Purse ($60K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	RUNNINGFORJOY									(tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 121						2.50						3.52
3	HERO'S MEDAL									(stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						0.80		43%		1.30		0.40	P
4	SURFACE TO AIR									(miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						10.00						9.06
6	WE WILL CONQUER									(medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 121						6.00		27%		2.70		8.04
1	TEXAS PRIDE									(lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 121						12.00						13.23
SCR	FEAR OF UNION									(stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						10.00
SCR	FUNSTRUCK									(olivo k)MCKEE J 121						15.00

CD-2			11/01/2023		4950ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	FIRE BRYAN									(patrick r )CORRALES GERARDO 118						4.00						5.00
7	PLATINUM GHOST									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118						6.00						5.39
4	TROPIC STORM									(habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 120						5.00						5.83
5	REWIRE									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						2.00		31%		2.20		0.80
1	PUNCTUALITY									(foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118						3.00		19%		4.30		7.13
2	INVASIVE									(kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118						12.00						32.33
6	P K WOOD									(esquivel )CORREA L 120						10.00		16%		5.20		26.79

CD-3			11/01/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($12.5K)					Purse ($39K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	BEST OF GREELEY									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120						2.00		37%		1.70		0.37	W
6	IMPROBABLE STORY									(king l)TORRES A 120						15.00						11.15
1	STEINBECK									(cano muno)ELLIOTT JANE 120						10.00						2.85
2	HILLBILLY LOGIC									(howard mar)CORRALES GERARDO 120						15.00						6.02
SCR	MO'S MOJO									(martinez )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						2.50		32%		2.10
SCR	RIKIO									(cline robe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						15.00
SCR	SMOKIN RICHIE									(lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 120						10.00
SCR	UNDER THE GUN									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						3.00

CD-4			11/01/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			2		F		PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	TALKIN IN CURSIVE									(vosler euge)PETERSON FERRIN 119						15.00		12%		7.10		19.91	W
1	WRECK IT RUBY									(holsapple )MURRILL MITCHELL 119						6.00						10.83
2	LADLE									(murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 119						6.00		15%		5.70		4.57	S
3	PRIX									(wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119						20.00						42.72
5	COLLIER									(ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119						20.00						17.52
15	RUN RUN RABBIT									(fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00						24.82
14	GRACE AND FREEDOM									(jones )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 112						12.00						30.76
16	SPITE LITE									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						8.00		11%		8.00		7.39
4	MISS CLAUDETTE									(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119						15.00						5.16
11	FLATTERING HEART									(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119						12.00		12%		7.10		9.47
8	BROWN AS A BISCUIT									(casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00		25%		3.10		1.65
SCR	FULLY ENTITLED									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						4.50
SCR	GOLDEN LAKE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						6.00
SCR	HOT MOCHA									(mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 119						10.00
SCR	INTERPOLLY									(morey e)FELIX E 119						8.00
SCR	WHATTA WORLD									(diodoro r)TORRES A 119						3.50

CD-5			11/01/2023		3630ft	TURF	RC5	GOOD	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	KICK A RHYME (IRE)									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						4.00						4.34
		(by UNKNOWN out of ADHWAA by DAAHER)
2	MO LANTERN									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122						8.00						9.66
		(by MO TOWN out of LANTERN by MINESHAFT)
3	MY LILY MAE									(kinmon keith)MACHADO LUAN 124						5.00		59%		0.70		10.73	S
		(by SKY MESA out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
5	GOING THE DISTANCE									(shirer m)SANTANA JR 122						3.50		11%		7.80		1.13
		(by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
4	CLASSIC CLAIRE									(foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122						15.00						12.35
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLAIRENATION by BERNSTEIN)
9	THEROANRUNNER									(sharp joe)TORRES A 122						2.50		5%		17.80		4.15
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
1	LIPOCHROME									(torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 124						15.00						45.32
		(by MOHAYMEN out of CANARY DIAMOND by ALPHABET SOUP)
6	SOUL HEIR									(fields christ)GUERERE ANGEL 115						20.00		5%		19.00		49.14
		(by FLINTSHIRE out of DANCE WITH GIANTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10	VIOLET FLAME									(wittek karyn)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						15.00						45.14
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of FILA PRIMERA by WAR FRONT)
7	DREAM ON STORMY									(winston fred )CANNON DECLAN 122						10.00		5%		19.00		21.06
		(by GET STORMY out of LU BATON by ROAR)
SCR	ALWAYSGOTOTHEPARTY									(michael bria)CALLEJA ANDRES 112						20.00
		(by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MAXIE FORD by TAPIT)
SCR	CANDY BAR									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						4.00
		(by CONSTITUTION out of SUGAR BABE by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR	SICKLE DANCE									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						5.00
		(by BEE JERSEY out of DANCE SECRETARY by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
SCR	TIDAL TACTICS									(hill john)TORRES A 122						10.00
		(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))

CD-6			11/01/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	BARNSTORMING									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122						2.00		42%		1.40		0.85	W
5	PINELAND									(schultz lind)TORRES A 122						10.00						23.25
6	VIGANO									(zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						8.00						8.41
4	BEAUMONT RED									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122						12.00						8.82
9	SPEED INSTITUTE									(miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						6.00		8%		11.00		5.43
2	ENOUGH ALREADY									(blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 124						5.00		18%		4.50		3.90
7	CHADRON									(mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 122						10.00						14.21
SCR	MO HOPE									(mcgee paul)LANERIE J 122						8.00		10%		8.80
SCR	SMOKE WAGON									(engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 122						6.00

CD-7			11/01/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($60K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	PILLBOX									(joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						4.00		31%		2.20		3.49	W
7	FILLY CRYSTAL									(puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118						15.00		5%		19.00		24.91	P
5	SUMMER OF MISCHIEF									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120						15.00						24.29
4	IN COLOR									(damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						6.00						3.56
9	MEAN SUE									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00						5.02
13	ROYAL BLOOD									(habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 118						10.00						48.79
3	BELPERRON									(manley steve)SAEZ LUIS 120						4.50		10%		9.10		6.29
10	MAZOKU									(butcher james)GUERERE ANGEL 120						20.00						81.86
1	WEATHER MAP									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						6.00		12%		7.70		4.54
6	JACKIE'S SPIRIT									(kordenbrock mat)LANERIE J 118						12.00						26.03
12	MOTOWN MIKA									(o'connor robe)CANNON DECLAN 118						15.00						25.00
11	ARGUMENTAL									(maker mi)SANTANA JR 120						3.50		22%		3.50		8.85
SCR	CALY BALI									(rosin cot)TORRES A 118						20.00
SCR	MAGNA MASSA									(irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118						5.00

CD-8			11/01/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC3	GOOD	Alw Opt Clm ($125K)					Purse ($134K)			3		F		PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	WATCH THIS BIRDIE									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120						4.00		33%		2.00		2.87	W
2	STRIKINGLY SPUN									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.00						2.16
4	NOM DE PLUME									(lobo paul)TORRES A 118						10.00		17%		4.80		4.34	S
6	MO BILLS									(stidham michael)LANERIE J 120						4.00		20%		4.00		2.69
1	BOLIVIE (IRE)									(walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118						5.00						8.07
5	ESSAOUIRA									(motion gra)GEROUX FLORENT 118						8.00						13.17
SCR	GOLDCREST									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 118						3.50
SCR	JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.50
SCR	NOMADIC PRIDE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						3.00

CD-9			11/01/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	SECRET STATEMENT									(baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						15.00		9%		10.20		5.89	W
1	AMBER CASCADE									(devaux ch)TORRES A 118						4.00		11%		8.00		1.71	P
5	CALL AGAIN									(mott i)GRAHAM J 118						3.50		12%		7.30		6.82	S
7	SULTRY LASS									(lovell mic)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						5.00		43%		1.30		3.43
9	HER LADYSHIP									(arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118						15.00						6.14
2	SHOPLIFTER									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00						6.82
10	VOTARY									(peach ch)RODRIGUEZ A 121						20.00						25.04
6	WANDA SUSIE DOOZY									(reed r)MCKEE J 121						20.00						72.06
8	UP TO SOMETHING									(oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118						20.00						38.14
SCR	HUNTRESS FOR HIRE									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118						3.00

CD-10			11/01/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			2		ALL		PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	I'M YOUR MAN									(casse no)SANTANA JR 119						8.00		13%		6.80		6.91	W
9	WALDRIP									(moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00						8.16
10	QUEBRANCHO									(gutierrez)TORRES A 119						12.00						33.51
6	PRETTY FAST									(foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119						15.00						40.93
1	HONEST OPINION									(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119						2.00		54%		0.90		1.08
7	QUIET RUSH									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119						4.00						8.56
5	QUENCIO									(gutierrez faus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						20.00						24.19
4	PERFORMANCE PLUS									(lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						20.00		10%		8.60		78.50
3	MASTER SWITCH									(contreras c)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119						15.00		5%		19.00		44.59
11	THIS TIME BLUE									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						12.00						8.41
8	THEZELENSKYYFACTOR									(stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						5.00		★				5.32



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.