The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
PID-2   Win (6/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
PID-3   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.60 -6.00
PID-4   Win (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
PID-5   Win (9/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.60 -6.00
PID-6   Win (4/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $19.60 -8.00
PID-7   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
PID-8   Win (12/14/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
PID-9   Win (3/11/12/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $25.40 $25.40 15.40

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
:241 :482 1:132 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNAR ICE 4 6 6 64 5 2½ 1(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 40% 1.50 1.60 W
PROTECTTHEWITNESS 1 3 3 3 41 1½ 2(rojas edua)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 19% 4.30 1.50 P
SUMMER AT THE SPA 6 5 43 4 3½ 31 3(lake a)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 4.00  
ANIPPE 5 4 2 21 1nk 41 4(markgraf david)ALLEN D 124 4.00 8% 12.00 4.90  
MIDNIGHT FROST 3 1 54 5 63 55(rojas edua)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 14.80  
WATERLOO SUNSET 2 2 1 11 2nk 6613½ (schneider kim)AYALA J 122 10.00 56.90  
 
PID-2   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
:22 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERY LITTLE BIT 6 1 11 11   11 1¼ (cheeks p)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 58% 0.70 4.90 W
WILD LOOKER 4 8 86 8   62¼ (skawinski carol)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00 38.80 P
FAIRY DREAMS 1 7 7 53   42 31 (girten ti)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50 8.80  
QUEEN OF CHILL 5 4 4 21   21 4(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 17% 4.80 1.00  
CINCO DE MANDEE 3 2 31 42   31 5(markgraf david)WALKER M 122 6.00 3.80  
CROSSTALK 2 3 21 74   865 (sells rachel)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 33.60  
DOWN TO EARTH 7 5 63 63   53 7(ruberto lo)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 6.10  
MONGOLIAN MISSION 8 6 52 3   78(cheeks p)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
 
PID-3   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
:22 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BONES 1 4 1½ 12   11 1(rice kevin)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 1.80  
REACTIVE 6 5 3 32   21 2(harty eoin)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 19% 4.30 2.60 P
BANG A RANG 5 1 7 5   333 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 17% 4.90 1.70 S
CASH BAIL 7 6 6 4   44(goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 6.00 20.90  
PAPA DEL CIELO 4 3 2½ 22   57 515¾ (gotera carlo)STANLEY O 121 10.00 54.20  
INSTIGATING 2 2 5 7   612½ 621¼ (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 15.00 93.60  
INSTINCTUAL 3 7 44 6   714 729 (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 3.50 41% 1.40 6.60  
SCR  ON AN ISLAND               (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 121 5.00    
 
PID-4   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
:223 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIA 4 1 1 1   11(stokes lan)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 36% 1.80 1.80 W
LADY YELLEN 7 8 7 3   22(fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 37% 1.70 2.00 P
MISS GETTY UP 1 5 4 5   43(girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 2.70  
AMAZON LIZZIE 5 3 3 2   34(russell randal)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
DANCE OR STROLL 3 6 57 6   56 58 (wilson b)SPIETH S 122 10.00 21.90  
11  STRAIGHT MADNESS 8 7 8 7   67 6(wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 8.00  
WINDY CITY GIRL 6 4 6 8   88 711¼ (musarro joseph)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 34.60  
LIGHT HEARTED 2 2 2 4   77 814¼ (herrington cal)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 27.00  
SCR  CLASSY HALO               (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PIRATE               (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
SCR  PARTY SWAGGER               (amaya joan)LUGO D 122 6.00    
 
PID-5   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
:223 :462 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMODORE BARRY 5 2 4 5   41nk (cooper thomas)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 0.80  
BIG CHICKEN MAN 7 3 1 1½   12nk (russell randal)AYALA J 122 3.50 20% 3.90 2.70 P
PRESS SNOOZE 3 6 6 6   53(martin n)ALLEN D 122 4.00 19% 4.20 7.10 S
FEVOLA 2 5 7 7   64(schaber debbie)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 23.90  
CHARLIE CHARLIE 6 1 3 2½   35(hayes w)SPIETH S 122 6.00 21.10  
UNBRIDLEDSELECTION 4 4 2 4   263 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 10.00 17% 4.70 19.40  
PAPA HONOR 1 7 5 31   777 (bernardin)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50 6.30  
SCR  GOLD WING               (guciardo j)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GOOD               (urieta johanna)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
 
PID-6   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:15
:22 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL TERRENO 8 1 11 11   14 111 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 8.80  
10  FLEUR DELACOUR 9 2 21 21   24 211 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 12.00 43.00  
WITH FEELING (GB) 3 10 10 9   68 313 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 23% 3.40 5.50 S
CANDY REWARD 4 8 74 7   7414 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 33% 2.10 0.60  
QUEEN OF HEARTS 2 3 6 5   47 514½ (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 10.00 54.10  
YELLOW FEATHERS 6 7 4 31   35 615¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 15.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
MOM'S OPAL 5 6 8 6   8716½ (trombetta )GALLARDO A 120 10.00 22% 3.60 18.00  
COSMIC THREAD 7 9 9 8   910¼ 818¾ (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00 53.60  
FIGHT IN THE DOG 1 4 32 4   57 919½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 12.00 38.70  
11  L. A. LADY 10 5 5 10   1017¼ 1029½ (walsh brendan )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.50 21.60  
SCR  DONATE LIFE               (schoenthal phil)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
 
PID-7   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
:243 :492 1:132 1:372   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER 4 5 3 3 31 1nk 1(rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 40% 1.50 0.60 W
MY ROMEO LIMA 2 1 21 21 2nk 3.2 2(camejo m)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 2.40  
SHY DA RUNNER 6 4 11 11 1nk 2nk 32 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 36% 1.80 4.60 S
NIGHT RIDE 5 3 4 4 6 54(stokes lance)ALLEN D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 3 2 5 6 42 4510 (wismer s)STANLEY O 119 8.00 32.10  
BEOWULF (IRE) 1 6 66 5 5 6617¾ (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 12.00 27.80  
SCR  AQUACAT               (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
 
PID-8   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
:241 :481 1:121 1:37   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  VIAREGGIO (IRE) 7 6 7 6 5 41¾ (walsh brendan )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00 42% 1.40 3.90 W
10  CANDY LIGHT 6 8 8 8 6 52¾ (motion g)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 14% 6.20 2.60 P
DANA'S BEAUTY 4 1 4 42 3½ 2nk 3¾ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 1 3 6 7 7 742 (delacour arna)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 12.00  
MESSIDOR (IRE) 3 7 5 5 4 65(clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 3.00  
14  PANAMA RED (IRE) 9 5 11 11 1nk 1nk 6(stidham michael)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 18% 4.40 12.90  
BUTTERBEAN 5 9 9 9 8 87(mcpeek g)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00 11.80  
13  HONEY HAULER 8 4 21 21 2nk 31 8(wismer gle)MARTINEZ A 114 20.00 46.40  
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 2 2 32 32 9 929¼ 950¾ (beattie m)AYALA J 120 12.00 58.20  
SCR  BABY NO WORRIES               (girten tim)TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  IN A SPIN               (matz r)TBA 120 12.00    
SCR  STREGA               (attard kevin)TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  YANKEE DOLLAR               (vitali j)TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  YES DAY               (wismer s)STANLEY O 114 20.00    
 
PID-9   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
:253 :504 1:154 1:403   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEN AND SHIMMY 5 10 107 108 5 1nk 1¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.70 W
YARDMAN 2 3 32 3 3 4¼ 2¼ (musarro joseph)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 4.00  
12  SECRETARY OF WAR 10 9 96 8 4 2nk 31 (kintz ma)GALLARDO A 121 10.00 14% 6.40 5.20 S
11  INAPPROPRIATE 9 4 65 55 6 54(gutterson katl)AYALA J 122 2.50 28% 2.50 2.90  
TEPPER 3 7 8 97 10 65(gotera carlo)STANLEY O 122 4.50 34% 2.00 8.40  
UP FOR THE CHANCE 6 5 11 11 1½ 3.2 6(fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 12.40  
REMEMBER NORMANDY 4 2 21 21 2½ 72 7(rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 6.50  
LYING JEFF 1 8 54 6 7 88(dowling william)SPIETH S 122 15.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
10  UPPITY UP 8 6 7 7 8 1097 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 116 12.00 18.30  
RAPA NUI 7 1 4 4 9 910(buhrow d)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 76.30  
SCR  BOSS HOLIDAY               (albright a)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00    
SCR  MUNGER               (cordero-lopez a)LUGO D 122 30.00    
SCR  SPIRITED DEBATE               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.