Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $14.00 $2.00 17%
PID-2   WIN (6/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    EXA (6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-4 $254.60 $230.60 961%
    DD (4/1/5)-(6/5/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-6 $27.80 $3.80 16%
PID-4   EXA (9/5/7)-(9/5/11/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-9 $21.00 $3.00 17%
PID-8   WIN (12/14/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    EXA (12/14/10/7)-(12/14/10/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  12-10 $29.60 $5.60 23%
    TRI (12/14/10/7)-(12/14/10/7)-(12/14/10/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00  12-10-7 $114.00 $66.00 138%
PID-9   WIN (3/11/12/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $25.40 $15.40 154%
    DD (12/14/10/7)-(3/11/12/1/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  12-6 $182.00 $142.00 355%
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(12/14/10/7)-(3/11/12/1/6) 60 $2.00 $120  4/6-12-6 $276.20 $156.20 130%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNAR ICE 4 6 6 64 5 2½ 1 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 40% 1.50 1.60 W
PROTECTTHEWITNESS 1 3 3 3 41 1½ 2 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 19% 4.30 1.50 P
SUMMER AT THE SPA 6 5 43 4 3½ 31 3 (lake a)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 4.00  
ANIPPE 5 4 2 21 1nk 41 4 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 124 4.00 8% 12.00 4.90  
MIDNIGHT FROST 3 1 54 5 63 5 5 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 14.80  
WATERLOO SUNSET 2 2 1 11 2nk 6 613½ (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 10.00 56.90  
 
PID-2   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERY LITTLE BIT 6 1 11 11   11 1¼ (cheeks p)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 58% 0.70 4.90 W
WILD LOOKER 4 8 86 8   6 2¼ (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00 38.80 P
FAIRY DREAMS 1 7 7 53   42 31 (girten )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50 8.80  
QUEEN OF CHILL 5 4 4 21   21 4 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 17% 4.80 1.00  
CINCO DE MANDEE 3 2 31 42   31 5 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 6.00 3.80  
CROSSTALK 2 3 21 74   8 65 (sells rach)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 33.60  
DOWN TO EARTH 7 5 63 63   53 7 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 8.00 6.10  
MONGOLIAN MISSION 8 6 52 3   7 8 (cheeks joseph )ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
 
PID-3   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BONES 1 4 1½ 12   11 1 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 1.80  
  (by KHOZAN out of UNVEIL THE MASK by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
REACTIVE 6 5 3 32   21 2 (harty eo)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 19% 4.30 2.60 P
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
BANG A RANG 5 1 7 5   3 33 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 17% 4.90 1.70 S
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LIVINGSTON'S LADY by MR. LIVINGSTON)
CASH BAIL 7 6 6 4   4 4 (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 6.00 20.90  
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of ZYZZYX by SAY UNCLE)
PAPA DEL CIELO 4 3 2½ 22   57 515¾ (gotera car)STANLEY O 121 10.00 54.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of QUANIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
INSTIGATING 2 2 5 7   612½ 621¼ (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 15.00 93.60  
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH TEA by TWINING)
INSTINCTUAL 3 7 44 6   714 729 (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 3.50 41% 1.40 6.60  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DELICATE AFFAIR by LANGFUHR)
SCR  ON AN ISLAND               (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 121 5.00    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
 
PID-4   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIA 4 1 1 1   1 1 (stokes l)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 36% 1.80 1.80 W
LADY YELLEN 7 8 7 3   2 2 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 37% 1.70 2.00 P
MISS GETTY UP 1 5 4 5   4 3 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 2.70  
AMAZON LIZZIE 5 3 3 2   3 4 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
DANCE OR STROLL 3 6 57 6   56 58 (wilson b)SPIETH S 122 10.00 21.90  
11  STRAIGHT MADNESS 8 7 8 7   67 6 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 8.00  
WINDY CITY GIRL 6 4 6 8   88 711¼ (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 34.60  
LIGHT HEARTED 2 2 2 4   77 814¼ (herrington c)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 27.00  
SCR  CLASSY HALO               (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PIRATE               (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
SCR  PARTY SWAGGER               (amaya joan)LUGO D 122 6.00    
 
PID-5   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:223 :462 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMODORE BARRY 5 2 4 5   4 1nk (cooper thomas)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 0.80  
BIG CHICKEN MAN 7 3 1 1½   1 2nk (russell rand)AYALA J 122 3.50 20% 3.90 2.70 P
PRESS SNOOZE 3 6 6 6   5 3 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 4.00 19% 4.20 7.10 S
FEVOLA 2 5 7 7   6 4 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 23.90  
CHARLIE CHARLIE 6 1 3 2½   3 5 (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 6.00 21.10  
UNBRIDLEDSELECTION 4 4 2 4   2 63 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 10.00 17% 4.70 19.40  
PAPA HONOR 1 7 5 31   7 77 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50 6.30  
SCR  GOLD WING               (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GOOD               (urieta johan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
 
PID-6   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL TERRENO 8 1 11 11   14 111 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 8.80  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PALMA by MALIBU MOON)
10  FLEUR DELACOUR 9 2 21 21   24 211 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 12.00 43.00  
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of NO SEE UM by GREATNESS)
WITH FEELING (GB) 3 10 10 9   68 313 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 23% 3.40 5.50 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CANDY REWARD 4 8 74 7   7 414 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 33% 2.10 0.60  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
QUEEN OF HEARTS 2 3 6 5   47 514½ (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 10.00 54.10  
  (by HEART TO HEART out of R VICARIOUS GIRL by VICAR)
YELLOW FEATHERS 6 7 4 31   35 615¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 15.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
  (by BAYERN out of BIG RELEASE by MR. BIG)
MOM'S OPAL 5 6 8 6   8 716½ (trombett)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 22% 3.60 18.00  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of COPPER GEM by GEMOLOGIST)
COSMIC THREAD 7 9 9 8   910¼ 818¾ (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00 53.60  
  (by AUDIBLE out of NAGAMBIE by FLATTER)
FIGHT IN THE DOG 1 4 32 4   57 919½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 12.00 38.70  
  (by LOST TREASURE out of GLAMOUR STAR by DYNAFORMER)
11  L. A. LADY 10 5 5 10   1017¼ 1029½ (walsh brenda)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.50 21.60  
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  DONATE LIFE               (schoenthal phi)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUARGENT by WAR FRONT)
 
PID-7   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:132 1:372   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER 4 5 3 3 31 1nk 1 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 40% 1.50 0.60 W
MY ROMEO LIMA 2 1 21 21 2nk 3.2 2 (camejo m)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 2.40  
SHY DA RUNNER 6 4 11 11 1nk 2nk 32 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 36% 1.80 4.60 S
NIGHT RIDE 5 3 4 4 6 5 4 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 3 2 5 6 42 4 510 (wismer s)STANLEY O 119 8.00 32.10  
BEOWULF (IRE) 1 6 66 5 5 6 617¾ (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 12.00 27.80  
SCR  AQUACAT               (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
 
PID-8   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:121 1:37   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  VIAREGGIO (IRE) 7 6 7 6 5 4 1¾ (walsh brenda)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00 42% 1.40 3.90 W
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of JUST JOAN by POUR MOI (IRE))
10  CANDY LIGHT 6 8 8 8 6 5 2¾ (motion h)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 14% 6.20 2.60 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEEN YOLANDA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
DANA'S BEAUTY 4 1 4 42 3½ 2nk 3¾ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CITY SIREN by CITY ZIP)
COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 1 3 6 7 7 7 42 (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 12.00  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RIMINI ROAD by DYNAFORMER)
MESSIDOR (IRE) 3 7 5 5 4 6 5 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 3.00  
  (by VADAMOS out of PYRENEAN QUEEN by ZOFFANY (IRE))
14  PANAMA RED (IRE) 9 5 11 11 1nk 1nk 6 (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 18% 4.40 12.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALLEGATION by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
BUTTERBEAN 5 9 9 9 8 8 7 (mcpeek g)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00 11.80  
  (by KLIMT out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
13  HONEY HAULER 8 4 21 21 2nk 31 8 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 114 20.00 46.40  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HONEY TALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 2 2 32 32 9 929¼ 950¾ (beattie todd)AYALA J 120 12.00 58.20  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of PERFECT LANDING by FROST GIANT)
SCR  BABY NO WORRIES               (girten tim)TBA 118 12.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
SCR  IN A SPIN               (matz r)TBA 120 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MYSTERIOUS WAYS by HAY HALO)
SCR  STREGA               (attard kevin)TBA 122 10.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of SET TO DANCE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  YANKEE DOLLAR               (vitali j)TBA 120 8.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of RED NECK SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  YES DAY               (wismer s)STANLEY O 114 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MAGNIFICENT MARGO by CONGRATS)
 
PID-9   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:253 :504 1:154 1:403   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEN AND SHIMMY 5 10 107 108 5 1nk 1¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.70 W
YARDMAN 2 3 32 3 3 4¼ 2¼ (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 4.00  
12  SECRETARY OF WAR 10 9 96 8 4 2nk 31 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 121 10.00 14% 6.40 5.20 S
11  INAPPROPRIATE 9 4 65 55 6 5 4 (gutterson ka)AYALA J 122 2.50 28% 2.50 2.90  
TEPPER 3 7 8 97 10 6 5 (gotera car)STANLEY O 122 4.50 34% 2.00 8.40  
UP FOR THE CHANCE 6 5 11 11 1½ 3.2 6 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 12.40  
REMEMBER NORMANDY 4 2 21 21 2½ 72 7 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 6.50  
LYING JEFF 1 8 54 6 7 8 8 (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 15.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
10  UPPITY UP 8 6 7 7 8 10 97 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 116 12.00 18.30  
RAPA NUI 7 1 4 4 9 9 10 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 76.30  
SCR  BOSS HOLIDAY               (albright)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00    
SCR  MUNGER               (cordero-lopez)LUGO D 122 30.00    
SCR  SPIRITED DEBATE               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.