Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(6/5/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(6/5/4/8)-(3/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8)-(6/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/8)-(3/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/8)-(3/7/6)-(9/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(9/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(9/5/7)-(9/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/7)-(9/5/11/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (9/5/7)-(9/5/11/7)-(9/5/11/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/5/7)-(9/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7)-(9/3/5)-(4/3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (9/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/5)-(9/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/5)-(9/3/5)-(9/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/3/5)-(4/3/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5)-(4/3/5/6)-(4/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/11/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/11/6)-(4/3/5/11/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/5/6)-(4/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/6)-(4/7/5)-(12/14/10/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(12/14/10/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(12/14/10/7)-(3/11/12/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-8   WIN (12/14/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/14/10/7)-(12/14/10/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (12/14/10/7)-(12/14/10/7)-(12/14/10/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/14/10/7)-(3/11/12/1/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-9   WIN (3/11/12/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/12/1/6)-(3/11/12/1/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/11/12/1/6)-(3/11/12/1/6)-(3/11/12/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Sep26 Sep06 Aug21 Aug01 Jul17 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 19% 4.30    
2  WATERLOO SUNSET Oct16 Sep25 Aug21 Aug02 Jul12 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 10.00    
3  MIDNIGHT FROST Oct16 Oct09 Sep26 Aug30 Aug14 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
4  LUNAR ICE Oct04 Sep19 Aug21 Aug10 Jul26 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  ANIPPE Oct09 Sep26 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 124 4.00 8% 12.00    
6  SUMMER AT THE SPA Sep26 Sep04 Aug24 Aug12 Jul29 (lake a)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
 
PID-2   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIRY DREAMS Jan26 Jan02 Dec02 Nov08 Oct18 (girten )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50    
2  CROSSTALK Oct04 Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 (sells rach)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00    
3  CINCO DE MANDEE Oct11 Sep25 Aug30 Aug14 Aug02 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 6.00    
4  WILD LOOKER Oct11 Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  QUEEN OF CHILL Oct03 Jul04 Jun14 May24 Mar24 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
6  EVERY LITTLE BIT Oct02 Sep05 Aug21 Aug02 Jul05 (cheeks p)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 58% 0.70    
7  DOWN TO EARTH Oct11 Sep27 Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
8  MONGOLIAN MISSION Oct11 Sep11 Aug22 Aug02 Jul10 (cheeks joseph )ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-3   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BONES         (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of UNVEIL THE MASK by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  INSTIGATING Oct12 Apr30 Apr14 Feb24   (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH TEA by TWINING)
3  INSTINCTUAL Oct19 Apr27 Mar19 Jan22 Dec24 (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DELICATE AFFAIR by LANGFUHR)
SCR  ON AN ISLAND Oct12 Sep19 Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 121 5.00    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
5  PAPA DEL CIELO Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 Aug13 May20 (gotera car)LEON A 121 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of QUANIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
6  BANG A RANG Oct12         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LIVINGSTON'S LADY by MR. LIVINGSTON)
7  REACTIVE Oct04 Sep13 Aug16 Jul25   (harty eo)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  CASH BAIL Oct05 Aug23 Oct17 Aug18 Jun29 (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 6.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of ZYZZYX by SAY UNCLE)
 
PID-4   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT PIRATE Oct11 Sep19 Jul17 Jun14 May17 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
2  MISS GETTY UP Oct04 Sep21 Sep11 Aug16 Feb16 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
3  LIGHT HEARTED Oct17 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 (herrington c)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
4  DANCE OR STROLL Oct02 Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 Jul24 (wilson b)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
5  ELIA Oct17 Sep25 Jul25 Jul05 Oct06 (stokes l)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  CLASSY HALO Oct17 Sep25 Sep13 Aug21 May09 (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 20.00    
7  AMAZON LIZZIE Oct17 Oct02 Sep25 Aug22 Aug09 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  WINDY CITY GIRL Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
9  LADY YELLEN Oct10 Sep26 Sep19 Aug28 Aug10 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  PARTY SWAGGER Sep27 Aug27 Jul11 Feb24 Oct04 (amaya joan)LUGO D 122 6.00    
11  STRAIGHT MADNESS Oct11 Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug14 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 ★    
 
PID-5   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA HONOR Oct11 Sep28 Sep10 Aug17 Jul23 (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 4.50    
2  FEVOLA Oct11 Sep19 Sep11 Aug13 Jul31 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
3  PRESS SNOOZE Oct09 Jul24 Apr23 Mar26 Feb03 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  GOLD WING Oct11 Sep21 Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
5  UNBRIDLEDSELECTION Oct09 Sep27 Sep05 Aug16 Jul26 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 10.00 17% 4.70    
6  COMMODORE BARRY Oct18 Sep28 Sep18 Aug23 Aug17 (cooper thomas)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
7  CHARLIE CHARLIE Sep28 Sep18 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GOOD Oct18 Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 Jun27 (urieta johan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
9  BIG CHICKEN MAN Oct09 Sep26 Sep18 Aug14 Jul12 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
PID-6   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT IN THE DOG Oct16         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 12.00    
  (by LOST TREASURE out of GLAMOUR STAR by DYNAFORMER)
2  QUEEN OF HEARTS Oct16 Oct02 Jul28     (fennessy john)WALES GARY 120 10.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of R VICARIOUS GIRL by VICAR)
3  WITH FEELING (GB) Oct10         (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  CANDY REWARD Oct16         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
5  MOM'S OPAL Oct02         (trombett)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 22% 3.60    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of COPPER GEM by GEMOLOGIST)
6  YELLOW FEATHERS         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAYERN out of BIG RELEASE by MR. BIG)
7  COSMIC THREAD         (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NAGAMBIE by FLATTER)
SCR  DONATE LIFE Oct10 Sep02 Jun11 Apr28   (schoenthal phi)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUARGENT by WAR FRONT)
9  EL TERRENO         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PALMA by MALIBU MOON)
10  FLEUR DELACOUR         (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 12.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of NO SEE UM by GREATNESS)
11  L. A. LADY         (walsh brenda)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.50 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
PID-7   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEOWULF (IRE) Aug25 Jun10 Nov13 Oct15 Sep05 (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
2  MY ROMEO LIMA Oct13 Sep14 May28 Apr15 Mar09 (camejo m)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
3  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Oct11 Sep27 Sep19 Jul24 Jul10 (wismer s)STANLEY O 119 8.00    
4  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Oct03 Sep18 Aug15 Jul31 Jul11 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
5  NIGHT RIDE Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AQUACAT Oct11 Aug09 Jul05 Jun07 May21 (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
7  SHY DA RUNNER Oct10 Sep25 Sep05 Aug07 Jul24 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
PID-8   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IN A SPIN Sep09 Aug21 Jul07 Jun02 May11 (matz r)NO RIDER 120 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MYSTERIOUS WAYS by HAY HALO)
SCR  YES DAY Oct06 Aug01 Jul07 Apr15 Mar18 (wismer s)STANLEY O 114 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MAGNIFICENT MARGO by CONGRATS)
3  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED Sep02 Jul15 Jun03 Oct20 Aug30 (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RIMINI ROAD by DYNAFORMER)
4  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Aug18 Jul21 Jun30 May25 Apr27 (beattie todd)AYALA J 120 12.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of PERFECT LANDING by FROST GIANT)
5  MESSIDOR (IRE) Sep17 Jul13 Jun09 May07 Nov20 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
  (by VADAMOS out of PYRENEAN QUEEN by ZOFFANY (IRE))
SCR  STREGA Oct22 Aug20 Jul08 Dec10 Nov18 (attard kevin)NO RIDER 122 10.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of SET TO DANCE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  DANA'S BEAUTY Sep25 Aug29 Aug08 Jul11 Jun19 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CITY SIREN by CITY ZIP)
8  BUTTERBEAN Jul07 Jun09 May19 Apr29 Mar17 (mcpeek g)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  YANKEE DOLLAR Oct05 Sep20 Aug06 Jul27 Jun21 (vitali j)NO RIDER 120 8.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of RED NECK SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  CANDY LIGHT Sep07 Jul15 Jun15 May21 Dec26 (motion h)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEEN YOLANDA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  BABY NO WORRIES Oct12 Sep24 Jul22 Jun03 May13 (girten tim)NO RIDER 118 12.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
12  VIAREGGIO (IRE) Sep07 Jul01 May29 Apr21   (walsh brenda)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of JUST JOAN by POUR MOI (IRE))
13  HONEY HAULER Sep15 Aug23 Aug07 Jul19 Jun19 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 114 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HONEY TALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
14  PANAMA RED (IRE) Mar17 Feb04       (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 18% 4.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALLEGATION by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
 
PID-9   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYING JEFF Aug19 Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 Nov20 (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  YARDMAN Oct12 Oct02 Sep20 Aug21 Aug08 (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00    
3  TEPPER Sep16 Jul14 Jun11 May20 Apr16 (gotera car)LEON A 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
4  REMEMBER NORMANDY Oct10 Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
SCR  MUNGER Oct08 Jul11 Mar10 Sep28 Sep05 (cordero-lopez)LUGO D 122 30.00    
6  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Oct17 Sep20 Aug21 Jul25 Jun12 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOSS HOLIDAY Oct05 Aug30 Aug06 Jul14 Jun23 (albright)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00    
8  UP FOR THE CHANCE Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 Jul31 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 6.00    
9  RAPA NUI Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
10  UPPITY UP Oct11 Oct02 Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 116 12.00    
11  INAPPROPRIATE Oct12 Oct02 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 (gutterson ka)AYALA J 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
12  SECRETARY OF WAR Oct05 Sep06 Dec03 Oct07 Aug19 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 121 10.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  SPIRITED DEBATE Oct19 Oct05 Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.