Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-4   TRI (4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00  4-1-8 $134.20 $86.20 180%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:253 :503 1:152 1:28   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIGERT 1 1 64 31 31½ 2½ 1hd (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.00 16% 5.10 1.80 W
7  VARSITY DOLL 7 3 11½ 11 1½ 1½ 2hd (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 120 10.00 74.80  
4  SUPER GEUSE 4 5 53½ 63½ 62¾ 51¼ 3¼ (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 124 8.00 35.00  
6  MULSANNE (IRE) 6 7 43 42 41½ 3½ 41¾ (hendriks)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.20  
2  KAGERO 2 4 75½ 74 52½ 62¼ 53½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.50 18% 4.40 1.40  
5  WOW LADY 5 6 21½ 21 2½ 41 67 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 11.30  
3  KIRRABON 3 2 32 52½ 75¼ 714¼ 731¼ (hodsdon danie)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 44.00  
 
PID-2   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:144 1:394   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PIZZA CHARLIE 7 7 12 12½ 1nk 1nk 11 (martin w)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 12% 7.20 1.60 W
2  YARDMAN 2 1 22 22½ 3.2 2nk 21 (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.00 1.90  
1  RAPA NUI 1 2 54 64¾ 41¼ 41¾ 33 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 12.00 30.90  
6  FLAT BUSTED 6 3 76 54½ 72 51¾ 43½ (stites w)STANLEY O 122 6.00 31.60  
5  GAMBLING MAN 5 6 44 44 51¼ 62¾ 54 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 122 3.50 23% 3.40 5.10  
4  NATHANIEL'S HOPE 4 4 32½ 32½ 2nk 31½ 64½ (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 40% 1.50 6.50  
3  LUDO 3 5 65 75¾ 61½ 73¾ 75½ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 6.80  
 
PID-3   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:13 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALEMAN 3 5 32 41¼ 31 2nk 11 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 121 1.60 45% 1.20 0.20 W
1  CERTAIN JUSTICE 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 21 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 10.00 36.10  
5  SAM STORMY 5 2 63¼ 52¼ 42½ 43 34¾ (lopez robert)SPIETH S 119 4.50 14.80  
2  MISCHIEF WARRIOR 2 3 21 2nk 2nk 31 46 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 119 2.00 33% 2.00 4.80  
6  INAPPROPRIATE 6 4 42 31 52¾ 55½ 59 (gutters)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
4  UNSTABLE PRINCE 4 6 53 62¼ 65¼ 68½ 611 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 16.10  
 
PID-4   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:23 :463 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  I STRONG 4 2 51¼ 3½   1½ 12¾ (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 3.00 34% 1.90 1.10 W
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
1  ON AN ISLAND 1 4 41¼ 1nk   2½ 22¾ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 121 4.00 12% 7.10 10.90 P
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
8  BANG A RANG 8 1 2nk 63   32 32¾ (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 121 8.00 8% 11.50 6.60 S
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LIVINGSTON'S LADY by MR. LIVINGSTON)
2  BRADY 2 6 83¾ 84¼   44 47¾ (antus lawr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 42.00  
  (by BRETHREN out of TIZ BOA by TIZNOW)
5  CACTUS KEVIN 5 8 72¾ 73¼   66 510 (walsh d)ALLEN D 121 3.50 10% 9.20 5.90  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CACTUS KRIS by CACTUS RIDGE)
7  WEEKEND CHARGE 7 5 3.2 2nk   55½ 611¾ (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 60.30  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of WEEKEND FANTASY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
6  LARRY'S LUNCHBOX 6 7 62¼ 52   76 712¼ (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50 1.90  
  (by MASTERY out of TRAJAN'S ARCH by ARCH)
3  INSTIGATING 3 3 1nk 41½   88 814¾ (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 15.00 68.80  
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH TEA by TWINING)
 
PID-5   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THAT'S MY CAT 5 6 55 66 43 2½ 15¼ (hardesty)MARTINEZ A 119 4.00 5.70  
1  PINK CHANNEL 1 5 65 55 54½ 32½ 25¼ (mardif james )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 15.00  
7  PATH TO VICTORY 6 7 76½ 76½ 64¾ 43 36¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 5% 19.00 1.30 S
3  MO NIGHEAN DONN 2 4 11 11½ 12 1½ 46¼ (tasso mark)STANLEY O 122 3.00 2.60  
4  WREAKING HAVOC 3 3 21 21½ 22 54 510½ (martin william)ALLEN D 119 3.50 22% 3.60 10.30  
5  SHE'S A KEEPER 4 2 32 33 33 67½ 625 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 49% 1.00 6.40  
8  MARVELETTE 7 1 42½ 44½ 76¾ 712½ 733¼ (coletti edwar)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 12.80  
SCR  ALHAAN               (bernardini jay )LEON A 119 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  POSH PLAYDAY 5 2 31½ 31   2nk 1½ (wismer s)STANLEY O 122 4.50 4.40  
1  VILLAGE QUEEN 1 4 55 42   41½ 2½ (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.00 30% 2.30 4.50 P
4  HALF BIRTHDAY 4 7 76 52¼   52½ 32¾ (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.00 26% 2.90 1.00 S
7  CHEROKEE CHATTER 7 1 2½ 2nk   31 43½ (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00 43.00  
6  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) 6 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 53½ (amaya jo)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 7.20  
2  BRISKY FROLIC 2 6 66 75¼   76¼ 68½ (englehart jer)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 5.70  
3  GOLDEN SUN DROPS 3 5 44 63¼   66 713 (vitali j)RIQUELME J 122 10.00 11% 8.30 17.80  
 
PID-7   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:23 :454 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY NO WORRIES 1 5 63½ 52   51¾ 1½ (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 6% 16.90 1.30 W
5  FORGOTTEN PEACE 5 1 21 2½   3.2 2½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 71% 0.40 1.90 P
6  TAP THE TITTLES 6 2 42 3½   41¼ 31 (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 119 4.00 3.80  
3  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA 3 3 11 1½   1nk 41½ (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 124 10.00 8.80  
4  SWEET AMY 4 6 52½ 41   2nk 53 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 11.50  
2  BERAVINA 2 4 31½ 65   69¾ 618 (sweezey kent)SPIETH S 122 15.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
 
PID-8   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:14 1:39   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FLIGHT TO PARADISE 2 5 33 42 51¾ 2nk 1¾ (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 ★ 3.70  
6  PHARAOH FANCY PANT 6 3 54½ 53 31½ 4¾ 2¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 4.00 23.40  
7  PONT DU GARD 7 4 44 32 41¾ 51¼ 31¾ (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 5.00 22.30  
8  MOUNTAIN TREE 8 8 76 74¾ 85 71¾ 43 (clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 124 20.00 13.60  
4  HEATHER'S GOLD 4 1 12½ 11 1nk 1nk 54¼ (rogers mic)AYALA J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 23.30  
5  EXPRESS PHAROAH 5 2 22½ 21 2nk 3½ 64¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 2.00 54% 0.80 1.50  
3  LEAVE 'EM LOADED 3 6 66 84¾ 63¾ 61¾ 74¾ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 3.70  
1  PREFECT 1 7 87 64½ 74 85¾ 89¾ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 21% 3.80 3.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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