The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
PID-2   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
PID-3   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
PID-4   Win (4/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
PID-5   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $13.40 -6.00
PID-6   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.80 -6.00
PID-7   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
PID-8   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.40 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
:253 :503 1:152 1:28   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIGERT 1 1 64 31 3 2½ 1hd (caramori eduar)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.00 16% 5.10 1.80 W
VARSITY DOLL 7 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 2hd (monserrate marisa)ROHENA JR 120 10.00 74.80  
SUPER GEUSE 4 5 5 6 6 53¼ (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 124 8.00 35.00  
MULSANNE (IRE) 6 7 43 42 4 3½ 4(hendriks r)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.20  
KAGERO 2 4 7 74 5 65(fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.50 18% 4.40 1.40  
WOW LADY 5 6 2 21 2½ 41 67 (amaya joan)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 11.30  
KIRRABON 3 2 32 5 7 714¼ 731¼ (hodsdon daniell)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 44.00  
 
PID-2   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
:25 :494 1:144 1:394   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIZZA CHARLIE 7 7 12 1 1nk 1nk 11 (martin wil)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 12% 7.20 1.60 W
YARDMAN 2 1 22 2 3.2 2nk 21 (musarro joseph)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.00 1.90  
RAPA NUI 1 2 54 6 4 433 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 12.00 30.90  
FLAT BUSTED 6 3 76 5 72 54(stites w)STANLEY O 122 6.00 31.60  
GAMBLING MAN 5 6 44 44 5 654 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 122 3.50 23% 3.40 5.10  
NATHANIEL'S HOPE 4 4 3 3 2nk 36(cheeks jo)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 40% 1.50 6.50  
LUDO 3 5 65 7 6 77(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 6.80  
 
PID-3   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
:243 :484 1:13 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEMAN 3 5 32 4 31 2nk 11 (rojas edua)GALLARDO A 121 1.60 45% 1.20 0.20 W
CERTAIN JUSTICE 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 21 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 119 10.00 36.10  
SAM STORMY 5 2 6 5 4 43 3(lopez roberto)SPIETH S 119 4.50 14.80  
MISCHIEF WARRIOR 2 3 21 2nk 2nk 31 46 (kulp l)MORALES PABLO 119 2.00 33% 2.00 4.80  
INAPPROPRIATE 6 4 42 31 5 559 (gutterson)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
UNSTABLE PRINCE 4 6 53 6 6 6611 (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 16.10  
 
PID-4   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
:23 :463 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I STRONG 4 2 5 3½   1½ 1(rice kevin)AYALA J 121 3.00 34% 1.90 1.10 W
ON AN ISLAND 1 4 4 1nk   2½ 2(weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 121 4.00 12% 7.10 10.90 P
BANG A RANG 8 1 2nk 63   32 3(hamm timothy)STANLEY O 121 8.00 8% 11.50 6.60 S
BRADY 2 6 8 8   44 4(antus lawren)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 42.00  
CACTUS KEVIN 5 8 7 7   66 510 (walsh d)ALLEN D 121 3.50 10% 9.20 5.90  
WEEKEND CHARGE 7 5 3.2 2nk   5611¾ (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 60.30  
LARRY'S LUNCHBOX 6 7 6 52   76 712¼ (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50 1.90  
INSTIGATING 3 3 1nk 4   88 814¾ (spanabel r)WALES GARY 121 15.00 68.80  
 
PID-5   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
:233 :471 1:122 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S MY CAT 5 6 55 66 43 2½ 1(hardesty l)MARTINEZ A 119 4.00 5.70  
PINK CHANNEL 1 5 65 55 5 32(mardif i)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 15.00  
PATH TO VICTORY 6 7 7 7 6 43 3(fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 5% 19.00 1.30 S
MO NIGHEAN DONN 2 4 11 1 12 1½ 4(tasso mark)STANLEY O 122 3.00 2.60  
WREAKING HAVOC 3 3 21 2 22 54 510½ (martin n)ALLEN D 119 3.50 22% 3.60 10.30  
SHE'S A KEEPER 4 2 32 33 33 6625 (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 122 6.00 49% 1.00 6.40  
MARVELETTE 7 1 4 4 7 712½ 733¼ (coletti edward )MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 12.80  
SCR  ALHAAN               (bernardini p)LEON A 119 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
:222 :453 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSH PLAYDAY 5 2 3 31   2nk 1½ (wismer s)STANLEY O 122 4.50 4.40  
VILLAGE QUEEN 1 4 55 42   42½ (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.00 30% 2.30 4.50 P
HALF BIRTHDAY 4 7 76 5   53(kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.00 26% 2.90 1.00 S
CHEROKEE CHATTER 7 1 2½ 2nk   31 4(carr-rozan)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00 43.00  
BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) 6 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 5(amaya joan)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 7.20  
BRISKY FROLIC 2 6 66 7   76(englehart jerem)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 5.70  
GOLDEN SUN DROPS 3 5 44 6   66 713 (vitali j)RIQUELME J 122 10.00 11% 8.30 17.80  
 
PID-7   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
:23 :454 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY NO WORRIES 1 5 6 52   51½ (girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 6% 16.90 1.30 W
FORGOTTEN PEACE 5 1 21 2½   3.2 2½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 71% 0.40 1.90 P
TAP THE TITTLES 6 2 42 3½   431 (trombetta michael )MARTINEZ W 119 4.00 3.80  
GENEVIEVE'S Z VA 3 3 11 1½   1nk 4(carr-rozantz cat)ALLEN D 124 10.00 8.80  
SWEET AMY 4 6 5 41   2nk 53 (wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 11.50  
BERAVINA 2 4 3 65   6618 (sweezey kent)SPIETH S 122 15.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
 
PID-8   10/12/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:243 :493 1:14 1:39   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIGHT TO PARADISE 2 5 33 42 5 2nk 1¾ (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 3.70  
PHARAOH FANCY PANT 6 3 5 53 3 4¾ 2¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 4.00 23.40  
PONT DU GARD 7 4 44 32 4 53(schaber debbie)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 5.00 22.30  
MOUNTAIN TREE 8 8 76 7 85 743 (clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 124 20.00 13.60  
HEATHER'S GOLD 4 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 5(rogers micha)AYALA J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 23.30  
EXPRESS PHAROAH 5 2 2 21 2nk 3½ 6(bowersock maria)ALLEN D 124 2.00 54% 0.80 1.50  
LEAVE 'EM LOADED 3 6 66 8 6 67(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 3.70  
PREFECT 1 7 87 6 74 88(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 21% 3.80 3.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.