The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.60 -4.00
PID-2   Win (5/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $5.80 -8.00
PID-3   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
PID-4   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
PID-5   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $17.20 -4.00
PID-6   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
PID-7   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
PID-8   Win (10/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.40 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:221 :45 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEANT TO BE LUCKY 5 2 14 1   11 1nk (bourke john)STANLEY O 121 3.00 0.80  
EVENLY DIVIDED 4 3 24 2   21 2nk (trombetta )GALLARDO A 119 3.00 3.20  
JOYFUL GHOST 3 1 35 4   43(barron ror)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 19% 4.20 4.30 S
SPAN OF CONTROL 1 5 5 3   343 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 2.00 49% 1.10 3.50  
TWELVETWO 2 4 4 55   55 56 (herrington a)RIQUELME J 119 6.00 27.50  
 
PID-2   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
:22 :452 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOVERNOR ATWOOD 4 3 42 32   32 1(russell randal)AYALA J 122 4.50 1.90  
CHIEF REIDER 6 5 21 2½   1½ 2(crook-dema)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.40 2.70 P
SPIRITED DEBATE 3 2 11 1½   2½ 32 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 14.20  
VELOCIMO 2 7 5 75   744 (sharp j)ALENCAR WALBER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 61.80  
VOORHEES 8 1 87 87   854 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 15% 5.50 4.60  
WORTHTHEMONEY 1 4 3 43   53 6(martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 50.90  
BLAME B B 7 8 75 53   43 7(weaver cassondra)STANLEY O 124 3.00 7.30  
VENEZUELANDREAMERS 5 6 65 64   68(gotera carlo)LEON A 122 5.00 44% 1.30 4.00  
 
PID-3   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
:23 :463 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEARED UP 4 1 24 2   1nk 1(potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.00 W
SO ARE YOU 2 5 46 44   32(goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 4.00 16.10  
RIA FORMOSA 1 6 5 5   43 3(fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00 12% 7.40 2.30 S
MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE 3 3 14 1   2nk 4(morris ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 3.70  
EXTESSA 5 4 3 33   559 (antus lawrence)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 10.00 16.40  
MY SHADOWS LIGHT 6 2 6 6   611½ 621 (roman d)STANLEY O 121 4.00 33% 2.00 9.80  
 
PID-4   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
:231 :452 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF BIRTHDAY 4 2 21 2nk   2nk 1¾ (kintz matthew)ALLEN D 122 3.00 57% 0.70 1.80 W
VALIANT VICTORIA 3 1 11 1nk   1nk 2¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 4.50 9.10  
SWEET AMY 5 3 3 3½   334 (wismer s)STANLEY O 122 3.50 3.40  
SERENADE A KITTEN 2 4 53 5   544 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 15% 5.90 1.10  
ABITIBI 1 5 42 4   45(rodriguez )GALLARDO A 122 8.00 13.80  
SCR  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE)               (amaya joan)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
 
PID-5   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
:244 :483 1:123 1:38   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHARD HOOTY 4 2 44 44 43 41 1¾ (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 6.00 7.60  
FASTBYTE 2 4 3 32 31 1½ 2¾ (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 119 4.00 5% 19.00 3.60 P
WORLDS ON HIGH 5 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 2½ 35 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.80 71% 0.40 0.50 S
SHOSHA 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 3½ 4(johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 122 10.00 7.00  
MCSTEAMY 3 5 56 5 56 56 512¾ (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 122 4.50 10.80  
SCR  CONRADO               (vitali mar)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50    
 
PID-6   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:224 :451 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILITARY DRILL 3 4 42 32   31 1nk (rojas edua)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 20% 4.10 2.20 W
SAMURAI LEGACY 2 3 11 11   11 2nk (markgraf david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 7.60  
GUACO 4 6 65 5   42 3.2 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 2.20  
LIFE MISSION 6 2 21 21   21 4(hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.10  
WAPITI WAY 5 5 5 64   554 (clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 18.80  
QUARTERMASTER 1 7 76 7   66(bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.50 28% 2.60 5.00  
LITTLE BIG 7 1 32 4   77(schneider )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 48.60  
 
PID-7   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
:221 :443 :562     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANYAN BREEZE 6 2 21 2nk   1nk 1(tasso mark)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 15% 5.60 2.50 W
GAMBLER ROCKET 2 3 3 3   32(martin n)ALLEN D 122 6.00 8.80  
GENERAL WINSTON 7 4 52 4   43(kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 3.00 41% 1.40 2.70 S
IRISH UNITY 5 1 11 1nk   2nk 4(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 2.80  
SUMMERFEST 4 7 7 5   55(urieta johanna)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 13.30  
UNFLAPPABLE MAX 3 6 42 7   76(ferraro anthon)COA J 122 12.00 23.70  
WOODCHUCK 1 5 63 6   67(rogers micha)AYALA J 122 4.00 13% 6.50 4.40  
 
PID-8   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:244 :493 1:14 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERONEANDONLY 1 2 22 2½ 1½ 12 15 (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 8.00 2.70  
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 3 1 44 4 31 22 25 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70 P
STRATEGYFORYOU 2 5 55 6 52 32 3(clarke dylan)ALLEN D 124 15.00 20.20  
QAADER 5 3 33 3 42 43 4(salazar marco)RIQUELME J 124 10.00 5.60  
NOBLE GEM 4 7 12 1½ 2½ 5514½ (morris ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 19% 4.30 7.60  
10  INSTINCTUAL 7 4 6 52 6 6616¾ (rice kevin)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 56% 0.80 1.20  
GRUIT 6 6 7 7 76 710 724½ (mckinley mary )ALENCAR WALBER 124 20.00 63.90  
SCR  CASH BAIL               (goodwin gabriel)STANLEY O 124 4.00    
SCR  FAST CHAD               (mccarthy michae)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80    
SCR  HE'S FANCY FREE               (albright)SMITH DANIEL 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.