Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $13.60 $1.60 13%
PID-7   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    DD (1/6/3)-(7/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-6 $29.20 $11.20 62%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MEANT TO BE LUCKY 5 2 14 11½   11 1nk (bourke john)STANLEY O 121 3.00 0.80  
4  EVENLY DIVIDED 4 3 24 21½   21 2nk (trombett)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 3.20  
3  JOYFUL GHOST 3 1 35 43½   42½ 32¾ (barron r)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 19% 4.20 4.30 S
1  SPAN OF CONTROL 1 5 57½ 33½   32½ 43 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 2.00 49% 1.10 3.50  
2  TWELVETWO 2 4 47½ 55   55 56 (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 119 6.00 27.50  
 
PID-2   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOVERNOR ATWOOD 4 3 42 32   32 11½ (russell rand)AYALA J 122 4.50 1.90  
6  CHIEF REIDER 6 5 21 2½   1½ 21½ (crook-de)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.40 2.70 P
3  SPIRITED DEBATE 3 2 11 1½   2½ 32 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 14.20  
2  VELOCIMO 2 7 53½ 75   74¼ 44 (sharp j)ALENCAR WALBER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 61.80  
8  VOORHEES 8 1 87 87   85¼ 54 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 15% 5.50 4.60  
1  WORTHTHEMONEY 1 4 31½ 43   53 64¾ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 50.90  
7  BLAME B B 7 8 75 53   43 75¾ (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 124 3.00 7.30  
5  VENEZUELANDREAMERS 5 6 65 64   63¼ 86¼ (gotera car)LEON A 122 5.00 44% 1.30 4.00  
 
PID-3   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GEARED UP 4 1 24 21½   1nk 12½ (potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.00 W
2  SO ARE YOU 2 5 46 44   31½ 22½ (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 4.00 16.10  
1  RIA FORMOSA 1 6 58½ 54½   43 33¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00 12% 7.40 2.30 S
3  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE 3 3 14 11½   2nk 44½ (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 3.70  
5  EXTESSA 5 4 35½ 33   54½ 59 (antus lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 10.00 16.40  
6  MY SHADOWS LIGHT 6 2 69½ 67½   611½ 621 (roman d)STANLEY O 121 4.00 33% 2.00 9.80  
 
PID-4   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:231 :452 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HALF BIRTHDAY 4 2 21 2nk   2nk 1¾ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 3.00 57% 0.70 1.80 W
3  VALIANT VICTORIA 3 1 11 1nk   1nk 2¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 4.50 9.10  
6  SWEET AMY 5 3 31½ 3½   32½ 34 (wismer s)STANLEY O 122 3.50 3.40  
2  SERENADE A KITTEN 2 4 53 53½   53¾ 44 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 15% 5.90 1.10  
1  ABITIBI 1 5 42 42½   42¾ 54¼ (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 13.80  
SCR  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE)               (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
 
PID-5   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:123 1:38   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RICHARD HOOTY 4 2 44 44 43 41 1¾ (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 6.00 7.60  
2  FASTBYTE 2 4 31½ 32 31 1½ 2¾ (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 5% 19.00 3.60 P
6  WORLDS ON HIGH 5 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 2½ 35 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.80 71% 0.40 0.50 S
1  SHOSHA 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 3½ 47½ (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 122 10.00 7.00  
4  MCSTEAMY 3 5 56 55½ 56 56 512¾ (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 122 4.50 10.80  
SCR  CONRADO               (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50    
 
PID-6   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MILITARY DRILL 3 4 42 32   31 1nk (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 20% 4.10 2.20 W
2  SAMURAI LEGACY 2 3 11 11   11 2nk (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 7.60  
4  GUACO 4 6 65 53½   42 3.2 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 2.20  
6  LIFE MISSION 6 2 21 21   21 42¼ (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.10  
5  WAPITI WAY 5 5 54½ 64   52½ 54 (clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 18.80  
1  QUARTERMASTER 1 7 76 75½   63½ 65¼ (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.50 28% 2.60 5.00  
7  LITTLE BIG 7 1 32 42½   74½ 79½ (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 48.60  
 
PID-7   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:221 :443 :562     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BANYAN BREEZE 6 2 21 2nk   1nk 12¼ (tasso ma)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 15% 5.60 2.50 W
2  GAMBLER ROCKET 2 3 31½ 31½   31½ 22¼ (martin william)ALLEN D 122 6.00 8.80  
7  GENERAL WINSTON 7 4 52 41¾   41¾ 32¼ (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 3.00 41% 1.40 2.70 S
5  IRISH UNITY 5 1 11 1nk   2nk 42½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 2.80  
4  SUMMERFEST 4 7 73½ 52¼   52¾ 52¾ (urieta johann)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 13.30  
3  UNFLAPPABLE MAX 3 6 42 73¼   74¼ 63¾ (ferraro anth)COA J 122 12.00 23.70  
1  WOODCHUCK 1 5 63 63¼   63¾ 74¾ (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.00 13% 6.50 4.40  
 
PID-8   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:14 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERONEANDONLY 1 2 22 2½ 1½ 12 15 (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 8.00 2.70  
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of SILENT NO MORE by SILENT NAME (JPN))
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 3 1 44 41½ 31 22 25 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70 P
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PRINCESS SARIAH by SUN KING)
3  STRATEGYFORYOU 2 5 55 62¼ 52 32 35¼ (clarke dylan)ALLEN D 124 15.00 20.20  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DISTORTED TYPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  QAADER 5 3 33 31½ 42 43 45½ (salazar marco)RIQUELME J 124 10.00 5.60  
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of REDINHA by DANSILI (GB))
6  NOBLE GEM 4 7 12 1½ 2½ 53½ 514½ (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 19% 4.30 7.60  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
10  INSTINCTUAL 7 4 65½ 52 62½ 65½ 616¾ (rice kev)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 56% 0.80 1.20  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DELICATE AFFAIR by LANGFUHR)
9  GRUIT 6 6 76½ 74¼ 76 710 724½ (mckinley mar)ALENCAR WALBER 124 20.00 63.90  
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
SCR  CASH BAIL               (goodwin gabriel)STANLEY O 124 4.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of ZYZZYX by SAY UNCLE)
SCR  FAST CHAD               (mccarthy mich)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of AWESOME BELLA by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  HE'S FANCY FREE               (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 121 20.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of SHE'S FANCY FREE by PETESKI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.