Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/6/8/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/6/8/2)-(6/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/2)-(6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/2)-(6/4/1)-(5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(5/2)-(6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(6/2)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(1/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(1/6/3)-(7/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(7/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(7/6/1)-(10/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(10/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (10/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/4)-(10/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/4)-(10/6/4)-(10/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPAN OF CONTROL Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 Aug10 Jul25 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 2.00 49% 1.10    
2  TWELVETWO Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 119 6.00    
3  JOYFUL GHOST Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Dec17 (barron r)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  EVENLY DIVIDED Oct05 Sep01 Aug04 Jun10 Nov19 (trombett)GALLARDO A 119 3.00    
5  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Sep27 Mar10 Feb17 Jan22 Jan05 (bourke john)STANLEY O 121 3.00    
 
PID-2   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORTHTHEMONEY Aug28 Jul22 Jun27 Jun03 May14 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
2  VELOCIMO Sep25 Sep14 Jul18 May30 May21 (sharp j)ALENCAR WALBER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPIRITED DEBATE Oct05 Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 Jul18 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
4  GOVERNOR ATWOOD Oct05 Sep25 Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 4.50    
5  VENEZUELANDREAMERS Sep25 Aug29 Aug15 Sep25 Jul10 (gotera car)LEON A 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
6  CHIEF REIDER Sep06 Aug18 Jul19 Jun09 Sep24 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
7  BLAME B B Oct05 Sep21 Aug02 Jul12 Jun16 (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 124 3.00    
8  VOORHEES Oct05 Sep04 Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
PID-3   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIA FORMOSA Oct04 Sep13 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
2  SO ARE YOU Sep03 Jul13 Nov01 Aug31 Jul06 (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 4.00    
3  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE Oct08 Aug02 Dec01 Oct05   (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
4  GEARED UP Sep26 Sep06 Aug10 Jul18 May22 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  EXTESSA Sep22 Aug26 Aug12 May14 Apr02 (antus lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 10.00    
6  MY SHADOWS LIGHT         (roman d)STANLEY O 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
 
PID-4   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABITIBI Sep16 Aug23 Jul07 Jun11 May04 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
2  SERENADE A KITTEN Sep27 Sep12 Sep05 Aug21 Apr21 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 15% 5.90    
3  VALIANT VICTORIA Oct09 Oct03 Sep19 Aug23 Aug10 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 4.50    
SCR  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
5  HALF BIRTHDAY Oct12 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 3.00 57% 0.70    
6  SWEET AMY Oct12 Sep18 Aug14 Jul05 Jun13 (wismer s)STANLEY O 122 3.50    
 
PID-5   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOSHA Sep13 Aug22 Jul16 Jun19 May30 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 122 10.00    
2  FASTBYTE Sep28 Jul23 Jul06 May22 Mar04 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONRADO Sep26 Aug28 Aug15 Jul17 Jun07 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50    
4  MCSTEAMY Sep13 Sep02 Aug23 Aug07   (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 122 4.50    
5  RICHARD HOOTY Oct10 Sep25 Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
6  WORLDS ON HIGH Sep27 Aug28 Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.80 71% 0.40    
 
PID-6   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARTERMASTER Oct04 Sep18 Aug17 Jul18 Jun20 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
2  SAMURAI LEGACY Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
3  MILITARY DRILL Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Aug10 Jul24 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  GUACO Sep05 Aug16 Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50    
5  WAPITI WAY Sep20 Aug30 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 (clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
6  LIFE MISSION Oct02 Sep18 Aug16 Jul05 Jun20 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  LITTLE BIG Sep18 Aug28 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODCHUCK Oct03 Sep13 Aug17 Jul31 Jul11 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
2  GAMBLER ROCKET Oct02 Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 Jul14 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
3  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Aug23 Jun26 May17 Apr22 Mar10 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 12.00    
4  SUMMERFEST Sep28 Sep20 Sep05 Aug17 Jul31 (urieta johann)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
5  IRISH UNITY Oct02 Aug29 Jul10 Jun05 May16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
6  BANYAN BREEZE Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 (tasso ma)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
7  GENERAL WINSTON Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 Jul12 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
PID-8   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERONEANDONLY Sep04 Aug19 Aug09 Jul08 Jun01 (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 8.00    
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of SILENT NO MORE by SILENT NAME (JPN))
SCR  HE'S FANCY FREE Jul19 Jun28 May26 May05 Apr19 (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 121 20.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of SHE'S FANCY FREE by PETESKI)
3  STRATEGYFORYOU Sep25 Sep04 Jul30 Jun04 May19 (clarke dylan)ALLEN D 124 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DISTORTED TYPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Oct04 Sep21 Aug09 Jul03 Nov05 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PRINCESS SARIAH by SUN KING)
SCR  CASH BAIL Oct05 Aug23 Oct17 Aug18 Jun29 (goodwin gabriel)STANLEY O 124 4.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of ZYZZYX by SAY UNCLE)
6  NOBLE GEM         (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
SCR  FAST CHAD Sep28 Sep03 Jul30 May29 May14 (mccarthy mich)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of AWESOME BELLA by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  QAADER Aug11 Jul05 Jun07 May28 Apr27 (salazar mar)JIMENEZ J 124 10.00    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of REDINHA by DANSILI (GB))
9  GRUIT Oct09 Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 (mckinley mar)ALENCAR WALBER 124 20.00    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
10  INSTINCTUAL Apr27 Mar19 Jan22 Dec24 Nov12 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DELICATE AFFAIR by LANGFUHR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.