Handicappers' Race Results

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Prairie Meadows
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PRM-4   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $7.00  
PRM-5   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
PRM-6   Win (7/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
PRM-7   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 4.80
PRM-8   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $9.80  
PRM-9   Win (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.60  

Simulator Race results

 
PRM-4   09/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:133 1:383   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELI'S GIRL 4 2 2nk 1½ 11 13 18 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00 2.50  
SASSY AIN'T I 3 4 3½ 31 21 23 28 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 121 5.00 39% 1.50 2.10 P
I GOT A NAME 1 1 4 42 34 36 315¾ (morse l)TOHILL S 120 3.00 5.00  
CAYMAN QUEEN 2 3 52 5 55 49 424 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 2.50 2.90  
RIGHT OF REFUSAL 5 5 1nk 2½ 45 513 536½ (rosin coty )DE CRUZ 120 8.00 28% 2.50 4.20  
SCR  WINZE               (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00    
 
PRM-5   09/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($22.5K) 2 F PT- 8:42
See original race card.
:231 :472       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
X RAY VISION 7 1 1nk 11   12 14 (rollins scott)EDWARDS JAVIS 114 4.00 14% 6.20 2.60 W
NO COST 5 4 4 3   4 24 (arceo salva)DE CRUZ 119 2.00 1.70  
KONA KINLEY 4 5 6 6   34 36 (murphy swa)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.00 3.40  
FULL MOON BEACH 1 3 2nk 21   22 4 (murphy travi)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 10.00 7.70  
TALL TALE 6 6 5 53   610½ 510¼ (arceo salvador)ZIMMERMAN R 119 6.00 26% 2.90 7.30  
R N B BABY 2 2 3.2 43   58 610½ (condon s)FLETCHER D 116 10.00 42.70  
PISTOLPACKINGAL 3 7 7 7   714½ 714½ (mcshane david )SALAZAR TERESA 114 4.50 25% 3.00 11.70  
 
PRM-6   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.725K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING CHIEF 5 3 4 32   12 11 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 2.00 22% 3.70 1.70 W
ACCELERITAS 2 5 3 4   22 21 (jordan ja)JORDAN R 120 10.00 7% 13.70 7.40 P
ONE LAST CHANT 6 8 7 54   55 3 (jacquot gene)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 5.00 7.10  
DAY MONEY 8 1 66 7   6 4 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 4.00 21% 3.80 9.40  
SOLE SURVIVOR 4 6 8 66   44 5 (tibbitts dav)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 15.00 18.80  
LET'S ROCK N ROLL 3 2 11 11   33 611¼ (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00 10.40  
LURCH 7 4 21 21   7 711½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 2.50 29% 2.50 2.10  
OPPOSITION 1 7 5 811   823½ 862¾ (condon s)FLETCHER D 120 15.00 22.30  
 
PRM-7   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE WRECKER 3 1 2 4   11 1 (jordan ja)JORDAN R 121 5.00 18% 4.70 3.40 W
AUNT NADINE 5 3 3 21   31 2 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 123 2.50 54% 0.90 1.20 P
FIREY EMBLEM 4 2 1 11   21 3 (ibarra jose)TOHILL S 121 4.00 5.10  
GLAMOROUS LIFE 2 4 55 57   44 4 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 123 8.00 9.00  
SWEET CONFUSION 1 5 4 32   5 5 (arnett jon )DE CRUZ 123 8.00 2.70  
SCR  RELIANT               (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 1.60    
 
PRM-8   09/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:111 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 2 2 32 3 11 11 1 (rollins scott)CORBETT W 124 2.00 3.90  
CARRY ON 1 4 43 4 3 3 2 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.00 3.00  
BAYLEYWICK 4 1 11 1nk 21 21 39 (foley sean )DE CRUZ 119 8.00 11.40  
ALL GOOD TIMES 3 5 54 54 5 4 414¾ (martin e)BIRZER E 124 1.40 38% 1.70 0.70  
SHE'S SO PRETTY 5 3 21 2nk 4 511½ 526 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00 27% 2.60 9.80  
 
PRM-9   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMA'S PRINCESS 5 5 6 5   22 1¾ (ibarra jose)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 3.80  
CANARY NATION 7 4 5 3   44 2¾ (anderson l)TOHILL S 121 3.00 2.90  
AUNT LOTTIE 6 3 11 2nk   32 31 (rodriguez m)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 35% 1.80 2.20 S
KENZIE LOU 2 6 4 1nk   12 4 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 37% 1.70 8.30  
FLAT OUT HOT 4 2 21 42   5 5 (rhodes lester)EDWARDS JAVIS 119 15.00 31.90  
EXTESSA 1 7 7 6   68 6 (figueroa nelson)ZIMMERMAN R 121 5.00 11.20  
BEACH BABY 8 1 31 7   712 7 (dieter dalto)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
CAT GOT LUCKY 3 8 8 8   814 821½ (swan pat)FLETCHER D 124 12.00 24.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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