Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $23.20 $11.20 93%
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-5-3 $18.62 $15.62 521%
FL-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-4 $43.00 $31.00 258%
    DD (3/2/5)-(3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-3 $24.80 $6.80 38%
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(3/2/5)-(3/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50  3-2-3 $17.00 $3.50 26%
FL-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $40.80 $28.80 240%
FL-7   EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-5 $26.60 $2.60 11%
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $44.60 $20.60 86%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:254 :512 1:162 1:422   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S MY BUSINESS 2 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 1 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 1.80 1.55  
MAKE IT IN NY 3 1 3 3 2½ 2 2 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 5.00 3.30  
EIGHT WEEKS LONG 5 6 44 4 4 3 33 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50 42% 1.40 2.30 S
NAVY PIER 4 4 54 6 55 410½ 411½ (chamberlin t)HARKIE K 122 12.00 21.60  
TAKE THE EDGE 6 5 6 5 6 510½ 514 (babcock edwar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 14% 6.00 4.90  
CRISTIANO'S DREAM 1 3 1½ 1½ 3 614½ 625¾ (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 6.00 16% 5.10 10.40  
 
FL-2   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICED MOCHA 3 2 21 3   3 1 (stidham michae)COA J 121 8.00 13% 6.50 0.75 W
  (by FROSTED out of CHOCOLATE SMOOTHIE by GHOSTZAPPER)
GLORY BOUND CLARA 1 6 54 2½   11 2 (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 4.00 13.40  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HEART OF NEW YORK by KITTEN'S JOY)
WITT LASTING SPEED 7 1 11 1½   21 3 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 3.00 26% 2.80 1.60 S
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 6 4 4 4   4 4 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 2.50 6.10  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ELEGANTER by LEEMATT)
MENILY 5 3 3 611½   5 59 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 40.75  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
CHOSEN BY GRACE 4 5 65 5   617½ 623¼ (beech eske)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 49.00  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of DANCE INTHE FOREST by DEHERE)
NAUGHTY PUMPKIN 2 7 715 725½   729½ 730¼ (ashley julius)DAVILA A 121 8.00 26% 2.80 43.25  
  (by BIG BROWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FL-3   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:252 :501 1:151 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERSTATE 2 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 1¼ (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 122 3.50 22% 3.50 2.40 W
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 5 4 5 4 2nk 2nk 2¼ (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 16% 5.20 3.25 P
TRISAETUM 3 2 3 3 32 34 31 (acquila)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 34% 2.00 7.80 S
MO DANCIN 6 5 6 6 64 45 4 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 6.00 3.90  
BERT BERT BERT 4 6 4 5 5 6 5 (barrera os)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00 2.30  
OLIVER WITHA TWIST 1 3 1½ 1½ 4 5 6 (clarke dylan)COA J 122 15.00 12.40  
SCR  HOT ROD LINCOLN               (huertas )DAVIS A 121 8.00    
 
FL-4   10/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:143 1:42   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY SHOT 3 6 53 5 32 11 1 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 54% 0.90 3.30 W
THANK YOU 4 7 79 712¾ 710¾ 7 2 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 2.50 19% 4.30 3.05 P
FLAT BILL 6 5 64 4 5 4 3 (gutterson katlynn)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 3.80  
RINGGOOD 7 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 31 4 (bond br)NAVARRO J 124 4.00 5.10  
GRIT AND GLORY 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 21 5 (clarke dylan)COA J 124 12.00 3.75  
STARINTHEMAKING 5 3 3½ 3½ 4 5 611¼ (murphy timot)HARKIE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00 28.25  
DUCK POND ROAD 1 2 4 6 6 6 714½ (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00 6.60  
 
FL-5   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:142 1:422   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAW COURAGE 9 9 78 55 22 1½ 1 (ashley julius)DAVILA A 124 8.00 23.90  
UP FOR ADVENTURE 8 5 56 66 5 3 2 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 6.00 17% 4.70 19.90 P
SHE SPEAKS WELL 3 7 913 910¼ 8 67 3 (maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 124 3.50 10% 8.70 3.60 S
STORMANDY 6 2 4 4 6 56 4 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 4.00 3.25  
REMEMBER NORMANDY 1 1 2 22 4 44 5 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 16% 5.20 3.35  
HARDLY WORKING 5 3 1 12 12 2½ 6 (lopez robert)HARKIE K 124 15.00 8.60  
LORENZEN 7 4 3 32 32 7 710½ (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 21% 3.70 3.85  
COMBATING 4 8 810 7 7 8 811 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 20.00 37.75  
TWO COLOR MAP 2 6 67 8 9 912½ 914 (clarke dylan)PEREZ E 124 12.00 7.40  
 
FL-6   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWICE SMITTEN 2 6 4 4   31 13 (barrow paul)DAVILA A 122 3.00 57% 0.80 4.90 W
SMART BROAD 4 3 5 5   2½ 23 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 8% 11.20 1.60 P
INVESTMENT GRADE 7 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 3 (morales)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 6.30  
CENTRAL CAPITAL 6 4 7 7   52 4 (rivera d)DAVIS A 122 20.00 16.60  
CHRISTMAS DINNER 5 5 6 6   42 59 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 8.30  
KATERI EMPIRE 1 7 3.2 3.2   63 617½ (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 4.00 11% 7.90 2.20  
FUNNY PURSUIT 3 2 2nk 2nk   74 721 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00 15.60  
SCR  LET'S MAGA               (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
 
FL-7   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:232 :471 :60     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREATHERLIKESTAR 1 6 1½ 1   1 1 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.05 W
LA LIMA 5 1 43 54   47 2 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 124 4.00 13% 6.70 7.00 P
SUBSIDIARY 4 2 31 2   2 3 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 8.00 19.60  
MISS PAB 2 7 53 3   37 4 (gutierre)DAVIS A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA 6 8 6 64   58 5 (lecesse)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 22% 3.50 8.50  
DO WHAT IT TAKES 8 4 7 76   711 6 (dean victor)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 28.00  
IM GONNA WIN 7 5 8 88   815 710½ (lecesse michae)COA J 124 20.00 44.75  
CAT GLASSES KATHY 3 3 2½ 4   69 810¾ (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 2.30  
 
FL-8   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:231 :47 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERSISTENT DANGER 5 3 31 31   1nk 1¼ (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 14% 6.40 2.55 W
COLOR COMMISH 9 4 5 42   3½ 2¼ (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 1.80 62% 0.60 0.95 P
HUTCH 6 6 2nk 1nk   2nk 3 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 7.80  
10  THIRTY OYSTERS 10 1 4 53   53 4 (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 121 15.00 33.50  
MAGIC PRO 2 8 9 8   8 5 (lopez arcadio)COA J 124 20.00 13.10  
KOBE'S LEGACY 7 10 8 6   7 610¼ (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 5.00 7.80  
1A  RILEY BEE 3 9 7 7   6 711 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 121 20.00 13.10  
ADIOS DINERO 8 2 1nk 2nk   4 812 (grusmark karl)DIAZ J 114 20.00 5% 19.00 59.00  
HANGOUT 1 7 10 10   913¼ 917¼ (mastin kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00 17.10  
SMART STORM 4 5 6 9   1016¼ 1022¼ (gutterson katly)ROHENA JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
SCR  GONNA BE DANCING               (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.