Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(3/2/5)-(3/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/4/5)-(7/8/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(7/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/3)-(7/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/3)-(7/8/1/3)-(7/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/3)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/6/5/2)-(9/5/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/2)-(9/5/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (9/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/8)-(9/5/4/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/8)-(9/5/4/7/8)-(9/5/4/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRISTIANO'S DREAM Sep19 Aug23 Mar21 Mar08 Feb21 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
2  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Sep26 Sep12 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 1.80    
3  MAKE IT IN NY Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Jul04 Jun12 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 5.00    
4  NAVY PIER Sep19 Aug22 Aug07 Jul05 Jun26 (chamberlin t)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
5  EIGHT WEEKS LONG Sep26 Sep13 Jul12 Apr22 Mar31 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  TAKE THE EDGE Sep13 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul12 (babcock edwar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
FL-2   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORY BOUND CLARA Sep12 Aug29 Aug08     (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 4.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HEART OF NEW YORK by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  NAUGHTY PUMPKIN         (ashley julius)DAVILA A 121 8.00 26% 2.80    
  (by BIG BROWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  ICED MOCHA         (stidham michae)COA J 121 8.00 13% 6.50    
  (by FROSTED out of CHOCOLATE SMOOTHIE by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  CHOSEN BY GRACE         (beech eske)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of DANCE INTHE FOREST by DEHERE)
5  MENILY Feb26 Jan05 Nov26 Apr10 Feb05 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul16 Jun15 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 2.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ELEGANTER by LEEMATT)
7  WITT LASTING SPEED Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jun26 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
 
FL-3   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVER WITHA TWIST Sep26 Sep05 Aug23 Jul25 Jul05 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00    
2  INTERSTATE Sep25 Sep12 Aug28 Aug16 Jul17 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  TRISAETUM Sep13 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 May24 (acquila)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 34% 2.00    
4  BERT BERT BERT Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 Jun01 (barrera os)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00    
5  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Sep25 Sep04 Jul19 Jun28 Jan12 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  HOT ROD LINCOLN Sep26 Sep13 Sep05 Aug21 Aug09 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 8.00    
7  MO DANCIN Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul12 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
 
FL-4   10/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUCK POND ROAD Sep26 Sep13 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00    
2  GRIT AND GLORY Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Jul31 Jul17 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00    
3  EASY SHOT Sep13 Aug23 Aug07 Jul17 Jun14 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
4  THANK YOU Jul31 Jul03 May29 Nov23 Oct26 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  STARINTHEMAKING Sep12 Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 Jul05 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLAT BILL Sep27 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 (gutterson katlynn)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
7  RINGGOOD Sep18 Sep04 Aug01 Jul19 Jul03 (bond br)NAVARRO J 124 4.00    
 
FL-5   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBER NORMANDY Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
2  TWO COLOR MAP Sep26 Aug29 Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00    
3  SHE SPEAKS WELL Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug16 Aug07 (maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 124 3.50 10% 8.70    
4  COMBATING Sep18 Aug17 Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
5  HARDLY WORKING Sep18 Sep06 Aug07 Jul18 Jul04 (lopez robert)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
6  STORMANDY Sep12 Aug21 Aug09 Jul10 Jun25 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 4.00    
7  LORENZEN Sep26 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
8  UP FOR ADVENTURE Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 Jul04 Jun20 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 6.00 17% 4.70    
9  RAW COURAGE Sep18 Sep04 May26 May20 Apr30 (ashley julius)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
 
FL-6   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATERI EMPIRE Sep26 Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 Jul05 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
2  TWICE SMITTEN Sep26 Jun14 May18 Apr13 Mar17 (barrow paul)DAVILA A 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  LET'S MAGA Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug15 Aug01 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
4  FUNNY PURSUIT Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
5  SMART BROAD Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 Jun21 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 8% 11.20    
6  CHRISTMAS DINNER Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jun27 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
7  CENTRAL CAPITAL Sep26 Sep18 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (rivera d)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
8  INVESTMENT GRADE Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 Jul19 (morales)NAVARRO J 122 6.00    
 
FL-7   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREATHERLIKESTAR Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 Nov21 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  MISS PAB Sep13 Aug21 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (gutierre)DAVIS A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAT GLASSES KATHY Sep12 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00    
4  SUBSIDIARY Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 May31 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
5  LA LIMA Sep13 Oct09 Sep27 Sep11 Sep04 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
6  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Aug30 May17 Apr20 Mar31 Feb19 (lecesse)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
7  IM GONNA WIN Aug30 Nov08 Oct26 Oct10 Jul26 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 20.00    
8  DO WHAT IT TAKES Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (dean victor)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00    
 
FL-8   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PRO Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (lopez arcadio)COA J 124 20.00    
1A  RILEY BEE Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 Jul18 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 121 20.00    
2  HANGOUT Sep20 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 (mastin kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  GONNA BE DANCING Sep20 Aug29 Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 10.00    
4  SMART STORM Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 (gutterson katly)ROHENA JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  PERSISTENT DANGER May24 May09 Apr25 Feb23 Feb05 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 14% 6.40    
6  HUTCH Sep18 Aug22 Aug09 Jul10 Jun21 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
7  KOBE'S LEGACY Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Nov23 Nov08 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 5.00 ★    
8  ADIOS DINERO Sep20 Jul29 Jun30 Jul23   (grusmark karl)DIAZ J 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  COLOR COMMISH Sep18 Aug15 Jul25 Jun28 Jan01 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 1.80 62% 0.60    
10  THIRTY OYSTERS Sep27 Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul05 (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.