The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $5.50 -6.00
KEE-2   Win (7/8/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 15 1 0 $11.98 -8.00
KEE-3   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $13.68 $13.68 7.68
KEE-4   Win (4/5/1/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $4.74 -10.00
KEE-5   Win (11/3/5/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 0 $58.86 -10.00
KEE-6   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.46 $7.46 1.46
KEE-7   Win (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $16.52 -8.00
KEE-8   Win (1/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $42.50 -4.00
KEE-9   Win (10/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $12.92 $12.92 4.92
KEE-10   Win (8/11/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $19.56 $19.56 9.56
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:222 :46 1:104     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BORN FLAWLESS 5 2 21 21   12½ 11¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 1.75  
4  JEWELSTOWN 3 5 34 32½   22½ 21¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 4.15  
2  BRUCE BANNER 2 4 56 54   34½ 34¾ (campbell michael)CASTANON L 121 15.00 5% 19.00 10.30 S
1  COX CANYON 1 6 610½ 68½   610½ 48¼ (o'connor rob)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 9.54  
5  CITY OF CLOUDS 4 3 44 44   47 58½ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 67% 0.50 4.20  
8  DREAMING OF SMARTY 6 1 11 11   58½ 616¾ (pino v)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 2.88  
SCR  LINE TO GAIN               (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 6.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  ROMAN GIANT               (mason ingri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
KEE-2   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
:23 :471 1:123 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  BUFFOON (FR) 11 10 32 32 32 1½ 12 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 4.99  
3  RAGUEL 3 3 42¼ 44 53½ 2½ 22 (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 ★ 3.94 P
7  LAT LONG 6 8 74¾ 87 85 3½ 32¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 54% 0.90 3.94 S
1  FORT THOMAS 1 1 85¾ 76½ 63½ 62½ 44¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 16.79  
2  DISATTACHED 2 2 107¼ 99½ 96 94 54½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6% 16.80 10.00  
6  TRANSCENDENTAL 5 6 53¼ 65½ 74½ 83½ 64½ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 11.11  
8  PUBLIUS 7 7 64¾ 54½ 42½ 73 76½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 18% 4.50 2.72  
11  COASTAL BRINK 9 5 1nk 1nk 1½ 41 87½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.29  
12  BATTLE OF DOVER 10 9 96¾ 109¾ 117½ 106½ 99 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 79.29  
4  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 4 4 2nk 2nk 2½ 51½ 109½ (mott riley)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 18.93  
10  CALON LAN 8 11 118¾ 1110¼ 107 1110½ 1117¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00 71.92  
SCR  CHAPERONE               (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  CREEK               (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
SCR  I'M YOUR MAN               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  J BIRD TIME               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
:24 :481 1:13 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DUBYUHNELL 3 4 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 11 (gargan danny)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 24% 3.30 5.84 W
5  DENINGTON 5 6 77 78½ 75 33 21 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 3.00 4.20  
2  PROMISE ME A RIDE 2 2 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 31¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 4.07  
4  BROMLEY 4 3 41½ 31½ 31 44 47 (lobo h)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 2.58  
6  KING ICE 6 7 65 66½ 52 66½ 58 (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 41% 1.40 3.56  
1  TAHOE RUN 1 1 31½ 42 41½ 54½ 68¼ (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00 25.89  
7  CURLY JACK 7 5 54 54½ 62 77½ 713½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 7.34  
 
KEE-4   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:223 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  HOWL 12 9 3½ 2½   12 17¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 1.37  
7  BOURBON TO BLAME 7 1 2½ 42   33 27¾ (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 15.99  
11  KID'S LAST LAUGH 11 8 82¾ 31½   43½ 38½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 14.64  
5  RUBIA 5 7 51½ 52   54 410¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 20% 4.00 16.86  
1  MUSICAL PRAYER 1 3 1½ 1½   22 510¾ (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 7% 14.00 4.58  
4  FOXFIRE 4 10 93¾ 119¾   89½ 611 (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50 44% 1.20 4.42  
2  A DOLLAR A DAY 2 12 117¼ 98   68 711½ (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00 81.48  
10  INSENSITIVE 10 5 104¼ 87½   79 812½ (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 9.59  
3  RARE AFFAIR 3 11 128¼ 1212¼   1113½ 920¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 56.05  
6  NIKKI M P 6 4 62 108¼   1011½ 1021 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 7% 14.40 21.44  
9  CRUSHED ICE 9 6 72½ 66   911 1121¾ (quartarolo anthony )SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 22.56  
8  ADIVA 8 2 41 76½   1214 1226¼ (puhich mike)TORRES A 121 30.00 5% 19.00 60.50  
SCR  ALWAYSGOTOTHEPARTY               (michael brian)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 30.00    
SCR  PORT TOWNSEND               (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00    
SCR  RITA'S ONTHE BEACH               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
 
KEE-5   10/28/2023 6270ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
:231 :473 1:122 1:363   1:56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  KIGALI 11 6 12 12 14 16½ 1¼ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 28.43  
5  HILLIARD 4 8 98 88¼ 66¾ 26½ 2¼ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 10% 9.50 3.44 P
9  CLEVER THOUGHT 7 10 1010½ 1010¾ 88¼ 37½ 3¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 7% 12.60 3.16 S
3  SPIRIT MAKER 2 3 87½ 910¼ 1010¼ 611 44¼ (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 21% 3.80 6.99  
11  TRULY QUALITY 9 7 66½ 78¼ 77¾ 712 55 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 42% 1.40 2.10  
7  OUR DREAM RYE'D 6 9 77 55¾ 46 48 66½ (wilkes r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 22.77  
10  BOCO 8 5 32 32 24 58½ 79¼ (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 122 50.00 83.92  
12  BRIGHT SPARK 10 11 1114½ 1116¼ 1114¼ 816 813½ (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 5% 19.00 69.91  
4  HORACE MANN 3 2 22 45½ 56¼ 916 919½ (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5.85  
6  JUST A PHOTO 5 4 55½ 67¼ 910¼ 1119½ 1020 (ramirez m)ROCCO S 118 30.00 48.10  
2  FLEET OF HOOF 1 1 42½ 22 34 1017½ 1122 (tracy tanner)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 30.00 97.52  
SCR  BABA VOSS               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  JUNGFRAU               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  KARMA DIRECTOR               (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR               (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
SCR  ST. ELMO               (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
KEE-6   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Bowman Mill Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
:222 :451 :573     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GLENGARRY 3 2 21½ 21   11 1½ (anderson l)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 24% 3.10 2.73 W
1  NORMANDY HERO 1 3 32 33   31½ 2½ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.50 33% 2.10 4.31 P
2  VALENTINE CANDY 2 5 43½ 44   43½ 33¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 4.82  
5  PATRIOT SPIRIT 4 6 54 54½   53½ 44¾ (campbell michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 2.26  
7  COWES 5 1 11½ 11   21 58¼ (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 19% 4.30 8.02  
8  MAYCOCKS BAY 6 7 74½ 78   66½ 68½ (stidham michael)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 7.13  
9  SWEET SODDY J 7 4 64½ 67   76¾ 78¾ (ginter j)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00 42.65  
SCR  MARKET STREET               (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL SLIPPER               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 115 4.00    
 
KEE-7   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:223 :451 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTIN HILL 1 9 41½ 41½   2½ 1¼ (lobo h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 7.26  
9  O BESOS 8 5 64½ 62¼   41½ 2¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 3.10  
2  TRAEGAR 2 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 3¼ (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 29% 2.40 3.51 S
7  PRO OXIDANT 7 2 31 31   31½ 45 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 16% 5.40 3.72  
4  CHASING TIME 4 6 74½ 73¾   64¾ 57½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 15% 5.50 6.36  
3  PAYNE 3 7 84¾ 85¾   74¾ 67¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 28.29  
6  DOCTOR OSCAR 6 1 1½ 1nk   51¾ 78¾ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50 10.26  
5  SURLY FURIOUS 5 8 97¼ 96¾   87¼ 812 (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 6% 16.80 19.44  
10  CADDO RIVER 9 4 52½ 52   97½ 913½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 10.79  
SCR  TOP GUNNER               (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
 
KEE-8   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Bryan Station Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
:234 :471 1:112 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RUNAWAY STORM 5 8 75¼ 64 2½ 2½ 1nk (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 20.25  
1  TALK OF THE NATION 1 3 31 31½ 52 42½ 2nk (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 68% 0.50 0.58 P
8  SANTORINI 7 4 2nk 1½ 1½ 1½ 3.15 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 37.29  
4  SMOKEY MANDATE 4 2 1nk 2½ 41½ 32 42 (maker j)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 ★ 7.43  
3  DUDE N COLORADO (GB) 3 1 41½ 52 63½ 65 52½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 ★ 12.31  
2  GIGANTE 2 7 85¾ 85¾ 73¾ 75 63 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 7.35  
7  WORTHINGTON 6 5 64¼ 74¼ 84¼ 86½ 73¼ (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 53.03  
10  APPRAISE (IRE) 8 6 51¾ 41½ 3½ 53½ 85¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 6% 15.80 5.45  
SCR  MO STASH               (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  MORE THAN LOOKS               (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.80    
 
KEE-9   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Hagyard Fayette Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
:233 :472 1:114 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  O'CONNOR (CHI) 6 4 63½ 73 52¼ 2nk 1nk (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 8% 11.60 5.46 W
7  IL MIRACOLO 4 5 42½ 42 42 3.2 2nk (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5.43  
6  SPEED BIAS 3 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 3.2 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 13.76  
5  TWILIGHT BLUE 2 1 1½ 1½ 3½ 54¼ 48¾ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 15% 5.60 9.61  
11  DASH ATTACK 8 7 75½ 83½ 84¾ 65¾ 511¼ (mcpeek kenneth )VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 6.63  
8  LAW PROFESSOR 5 3 32 31½ 2nk 43¼ 611¾ (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 12% 7.10 5.20  
10  TRADEMARK 7 6 53 52½ 62¾ 87¾ 713 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50 37% 1.70 2.30  
2  HAPPY AMERICAN 1 8 86 63 73¾ 77¼ 816 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 7.04  
SCR  BEST ACTOR               (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00    
SCR  FILM STAR               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
SCR  GASOLINE               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
SCR  GIANT GAME               (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
SCR  KING FURY               (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
SCR  TIME FOR TROUBLE               (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00    
 
KEE-10   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 5:48
:232 :482 1:133 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DEADPAN 5 4 32½ 32 32 32½ 1¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 13% 7.00 8.78 W
8  ACT OF MUTINY 7 5 54½ 73¾ 74½ 65½ 2¼ (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 26% 2.80 3.16 P
12  MO CALIENTE 11 9 86 43 42½ 54 3¼ (arnold r)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 3.43  
4  TIME SONG 4 1 21 21 2½ 22 41½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 6.33  
11  VIVALDI 10 6 118½ 129¼ 127¾ 87 51¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 25% 3.00 6.47  
6  DOMINGO 6 8 43 53 53 43½ 63 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 20.19  
2  SHERIFF JOE 2 7 76 84¾ 84½ 76 73½ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 8.53  
3  WAUHATCHIE 3 2 11 11 1½ 12 83¾ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 12% 7.30 29.47  
14  TAPITORO 12 12 129½ 117¼ 117¼ 99 97½ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 15.80  
10  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 9 11 97½ 95¼ 96½ 1011 108¾ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 60.27  
9  VERACRUZIN 8 10 108 105¼ 107 1215 1115¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 43.13  
1  TRIKARI 1 3 65 63¼ 64 1113½ 1215¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 13.50  
SCR  MERLIN'S MAGIC               (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  PHREDDIE MAC               (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  REAL MEN VIOLIN               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00    
SCR  UNO MAS BOURBON               (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.