Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-2   Win (7/8/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (4/5/1/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (11/3/5/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-7   Win (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (1/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-9   Win (10/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (8/11/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COX CANYON Sep15 Apr26 Apr08 Mar29 Feb26 (o'connor rob)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
BRUCE BANNER Sep09 Aug26 Aug04 Jun07 May11 (campbell michael)CASTANON L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LINE TO GAIN Sep13 Aug27 Jul30 Jul12 Jul02 (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 6.00 6% 16.30    
JEWELSTOWN Sep14 Jul21 Jun18 May04 Apr08 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00    
CITY OF CLOUDS Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 Aug24 Jul26 (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 67% 0.50    
SCR  ROMAN GIANT Sep22 Aug15 Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 (mason ingri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
BORN FLAWLESS Sep27 Sep14 Aug20 Jul31 Jun25 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50    
DREAMING OF SMARTY Aug23 Jul21 Jul08 May11 Mar27 (pino v)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80    
 
KEE-2   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT THOMAS Sep09 Aug12       (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
DISATTACHED         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6% 16.80    
RAGUEL Aug31         (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT Sep03         (mott riley)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
SCR  J BIRD TIME Sep22         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
TRANSCENDENTAL         (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
LAT LONG Oct14 Sep22       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 54% 0.90    
PUBLIUS Aug31         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Sep24 Jul15       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
10  CALON LAN         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
11  COASTAL BRINK Sep13 Aug27 Aug05 Jun18 Jun08 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  BATTLE OF DOVER         (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SCR  CREEK Sep24 Aug31 Aug05     (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
SCR  I'M YOUR MAN         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
15  BUFFOON (FR) Sep02         (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  CHAPERONE Sep15 Aug12       (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
KEE-3   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAHOE RUN Aug24 Jul09 Jun15 May28 May06 (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
PROMISE ME A RIDE Sep02 Aug04 Jul09 May06 Mar19 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
DUBYUHNELL Apr01 Feb11 Dec03 Oct02 Sep03 (gargan danny)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 24% 3.30    
BROMLEY Sep20 Mar04 Jan21 Dec28 Nov19 (lobo h)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
DENINGTON Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jul08 Jun11 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 3.00    
KING ICE Oct04 Aug23 Aug02 Jul08 Jun21 (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
CURLY JACK May29 May06 Mar25 Feb18 Nov26 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
 
KEE-4   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL PRAYER Sep24         (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 7% 14.00    
A DOLLAR A DAY         (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
RARE AFFAIR         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00    
FOXFIRE Sep24         (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50 44% 1.20    
RUBIA Apr22 Dec31       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
NIKKI M P May22 Apr15 Feb12     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 7% 14.40    
BOURBON TO BLAME         (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00    
ADIVA Feb03 Dec21 Nov04 Oct08 Sep17 (puhich mike)TORRES A 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
CRUSHED ICE Oct07 Sep03 Aug18     (quartarolo anthony )SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
10  INSENSITIVE Oct07 Jun24 May27 Apr22 Apr02 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
11  KID'S LAST LAUGH May05 Apr12 Jan21 Dec31 Nov18 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
12  HOWL         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
SCR  RITA'S ONTHE BEACH Oct08 Sep03 Aug01     (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
SCR  ALWAYSGOTOTHEPARTY Oct05         (michael brian)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 30.00    
SCR  PORT TOWNSEND Aug01         (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00    
 
KEE-5   10/28/2023 6270ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR Sep28 Sep03 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
FLEET OF HOOF Sep30 Sep09 Sep01 Jul28 Jun30 (tracy tanner)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 30.00    
SPIRIT MAKER Sep07 Aug13 Jun02 Apr28 Mar27 (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
HORACE MANN Sep04 Jul23 Jun17 Nov13 Oct07 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
HILLIARD Sep10 Aug05 Jul21 Jun22 Mar30 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 10% 9.50    
JUST A PHOTO Sep28 Sep03 Jul21 May06 Apr08 (ramirez m)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
OUR DREAM RYE'D Sep03 Aug13 May14 Apr21 Mar04 (wilkes r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  JUNGFRAU Sep17 Jun02 Apr01 Feb11 Dec31 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
CLEVER THOUGHT Sep03 Aug13 Jun02 Apr15 Mar18 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 7% 12.60    
10  BOCO Sep20 Aug17 Jul06 May15 Apr21 (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 122 50.00    
11  TRULY QUALITY Sep10 Jul07 May28 May17   (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 42% 1.40    
12  BRIGHT SPARK Oct19 Sep23 Sep11 Apr19 Feb25 (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
13  KIGALI Sep22 Aug30 Jul16 Jun24 May04 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
SCR  ST. ELMO Sep27 Aug26 Jul07 Jun10 Apr14 (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  BABA VOSS Sep07 Jul23 Jun22 Aug21   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  KARMA DIRECTOR Aug02 Jul12       (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bowman Mill Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORMANDY HERO Oct07 Sep15 Aug12 Jul01   (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
VALENTINE CANDY Oct07 Sep04 Jul22     (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 3.00    
SCR  ROYAL SLIPPER Oct06         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 115 4.00    
GLENGARRY Sep30 Aug28       (anderson l)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
PATRIOT SPIRIT Sep16 Aug25       (campbell michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
SCR  MARKET STREET Sep16 Aug31 Aug12 Jul15 Jun29 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
COWES Oct08 Sep03       (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 19% 4.30    
MAYCOCKS BAY Sep23 Aug13       (stidham michael)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SWEET SODDY J Oct07 Sep26 Sep02 Aug10   (ginter j)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
 
KEE-7   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTIN HILL Jul05 May06 Apr08 Nov05 Sep14 (lobo h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
TRAEGAR Jan15 Dec03 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
PAYNE Aug25 Apr15 Mar09 Jan28 Jan08 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00    
CHASING TIME Sep02 Jul22 Jun30 Jun01 May04 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
SURLY FURIOUS Sep18 Aug21 Aug06 Jul03 May06 (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 6% 16.80    
DOCTOR OSCAR Oct06 Sep09 Jul20 Jul03 May27 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50    
PRO OXIDANT Aug25 Jun01 Apr08 Feb12 Dec29 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  TOP GUNNER Oct06 Nov13 Oct07 Sep17 Jul08 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
O BESOS Sep30 Jul22 Nov05 Oct01 Apr09 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
10  CADDO RIVER Sep30 Jun01 May06 Apr01 Feb25 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 GOOD Bryan Station Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK OF THE NATION Sep02 Jul07 Jun03 Mar11 Feb04 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 68% 0.50    
GIGANTE Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jul01 May17 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
DUDE N COLORADO (GB) May17 Apr07 Mar04 Feb04 Dec24 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
SMOKEY MANDATE Sep30 Sep02 Jul07 May06 Mar25 (maker j)GRAHAM J 118 4.50    
SCR  MO STASH Sep09 Aug12 Jul01 May06 Apr07 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
RUNAWAY STORM Sep09 Aug03 Jun16 May11   (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
WORTHINGTON Sep30 Aug05 Jun21 May17 Mar25 (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
SANTORINI Sep07 Aug11 Jun01 Mar25 Mar04 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00    
SCR  MORE THAN LOOKS Sep30 Aug11 Jul07 Jun17 Apr28 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.80    
10  APPRAISE (IRE) Oct06 Aug11 Jul08 Sep17 Aug19 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 6% 15.80    
 
KEE-9   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Hagyard Fayette Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FILM STAR Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul16 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
HAPPY AMERICAN Sep30 Jul01 Jun03 Apr22 Mar25 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
SCR  KING FURY Sep28 Feb18 Jan14 Dec17 Oct29 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
SCR  GIANT GAME Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 May11 Apr01 (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
TWILIGHT BLUE Sep28 Aug13 Jun25 May13 Apr02 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 15% 5.60    
SPEED BIAS Sep21 Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 May19 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
IL MIRACOLO Sep23 Aug22 Jul21 Jun10 May11 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
LAW PROFESSOR Oct01 May19 Apr01 Feb18 Jan07 (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 12% 7.10    
O'CONNOR (CHI) Oct01 Aug25 Aug06 Apr01 Jan28 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 8% 11.60    
10  TRADEMARK Sep30 Aug19 Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
11  DASH ATTACK Sep28 Aug25 Jul27 Jun30 Jun11 (mcpeek kenneth )VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
SCR  BEST ACTOR Sep21 Aug13 Jun30 Sep25 Aug23 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00    
SCR  GASOLINE Sep21 Feb19 Jan05 Dec02 Sep29 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
SCR  TIME FOR TROUBLE Sep03 Jul27 May20 Apr20 Mar04 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00    
 
KEE-10   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIKARI         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
SHERIFF JOE Sep13 Aug25 Jul15     (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
WAUHATCHIE Sep21         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 12% 7.30    
TIME SONG Sep22 Aug27       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
DEADPAN Sep02         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 13% 7.00    
DOMINGO         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MERLIN'S MAGIC Sep14 Aug31       (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
ACT OF MUTINY Sep07 Aug19       (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
VERACRUZIN Sep24 Sep13 Aug25     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS Sep09 Aug28 Aug05     (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
11  VIVALDI Sep09         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
12  MO CALIENTE Sep24 Aug19       (arnold r)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  UNO MAS BOURBON Sep24 Aug05 Jul01     (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
14  TAPITORO Aug31         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SCR  PHREDDIE MAC Oct12 Sep15 Aug28 Jul21 Jun15 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  REAL MEN VIOLIN Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Jul14   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.