Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-3   EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $18.90 $12.90 215%
TDN-5   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.40 $1.40 23%
TDN-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $8.00 $4.00 100%
TDN-7   PK3 (6/1/4)-(7/1)-(1/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00  1-1-6 $58.30 $40.30 224%
TDN-9   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $9.40 $3.40 57%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:151     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GEH SCHNELL 5 1 42½ 4¾ 3.2 1½ 1hd (manning c)VELEZ J 123 3.00 16.50  
5  LUCKY ANDY 4 5 53½ 51¾ 52¾ 41 2hd (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 67% 0.50 0.60 P
2  EXALTED JOY 1 4 21½ 2nk 41¾ 52½ 33¼ (vecchio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 8% 11.80 3.80 S
4  DEER CREEK ROAD 3 3 32½ 3.2 2nk 2½ 46 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00 9.90  
3  ONLYATTHESHOE 2 2 11½ 1nk 1nk 3½ 56¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 123 4.50 3.00  
SCR  LAZARUS PROJECT               (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 2.00    
 
TDN-2   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OAKEN 5 2 54½ 53   21 13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.00 47% 1.10 0.70 W
6  KARAMEL CORN 6 1 43½ 42½   31 23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 10.00 4.20  
2  TIZ A RUSH 2 4 67 63¼   41¼ 33¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 4.30  
1  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 1 5 11 1½   11 44¾ (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 21% 3.70 4.50  
4  BUCKEYE RUCKUS 4 3 21 32½   63¼ 55¼ (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 5% 18.80 14.60  
3  OLE WATASHI 3 6 32½ 2½   51¾ 66½ (schuster rob)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 43.30  
 
TDN-3   10/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TIGER TRAIL 3 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 1¼ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 121 2.50 30% 2.40 2.10 W
2  SHOW SLIDING HOME 2 6 64½ 42   4¾ 2¼ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00 15% 5.90 7.80 P
4  BABA LOOEY 4 4 31 31   3½ 3¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 4.30  
5  PRIMITIVO 5 2 42 62¼   51¾ 42½ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 14.10  
6  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 6 1 52½ 52¼   62¾ 54¾ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 16% 5.40 3.60  
1  NEBULOSA 1 5 1½ 1nk   2½ 64¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 2.00  
 
TDN-4   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IT'S FATE 4 7 66½ 75¼ 51¾ 31 11 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 4.40  
7  SUDDEN SHIFT 7 5 43 32½ 31½ 41¼ 21 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 3.10  
3  SAY HEY KID 3 3 76¾ 64¼ 73¾ 53¼ 33¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 5.00 9.70  
1  PAT DADDY 1 1 54 52¾ 2nk 11 44½ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 58% 0.70 4.00  
6  DEBDURITE 6 4 31 21½ 41¾ 63¼ 56¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 17% 4.80 7.50  
5  SKIDSTREAM 5 6 2nk 11½ 1nk 21 66¾ (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 1.90  
2  TUFF ATTACK 2 2 1nk 42½ 63¼ 73½ 76¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.40  
 
TDN-5   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:153     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY MAN 1 5 42½ 31 2nk 12 14 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70 W
  (by FLATTER out of LAUGHING MATTERS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  C C'S CLEAR CREEK 5 1 11½ 11 31 32½ 24 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 10.80  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
6  SHORTLY 6 2 21½ 21 1nk 22 34½ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 1.80 38% 1.60 0.40 S
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  STREET MAX 2 6 63¾ 52¾ 65½ 65½ 47¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 9.70  
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  DONAHUE 4 4 53½ 64¼ 42 44 58 (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 41.70  
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of GADWALL by ESKENDEREYA)
3  TWELVE MINUS ONE 3 3 31½ 41¼ 54 55½ 69¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 17.50  
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
TDN-6   10/13/2023 7920ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:254 :523 1:181 1:444 2:11 2:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER CAM 1 510½ 57½ 59 3½ 1½ 14½ (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 21% 3.80 3.00 W
5  SHELL FIRE 4 35 34 48 1nk 2½ 24½ (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 8.70  
3  ROYAL DRAGOON 2 48 46 38 2nk 31 37¾ (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 2.20  
4  BOURBON WISDOM 3 21 2nk 14½ 41 45 49½ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 2.20  
7  ITASCA 5 11 1nk 24½ 55½ 511½ 524 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 5.00 54% 0.80 2.90  
SCR  CINDY'S STORM               (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
SCR  ZERO GRAVITY               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.50    
 
TDN-7   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIBERTY BELLE 6 2 2½ 1nk   2nk 1½ (londono odin )BRACHO A 121 2.50 25% 3.00 0.90 W
3  JEN'S BATTLE 3 6 63¾ 31½   1nk 2½ (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 10.30  
2  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 2 4 3½ 42½   44 38½ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 13% 6.70 24.60 S
5  CEVICHE 5 1 4¾ 63¾   54½ 49¼ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 13.30  
1  PROSPECTIVE FORUM 1 5 1½ 2nk   32 510 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 42% 1.40 1.10  
4  TURBIE 4 3 52¼ 53½   66½ 614¼ (rose norman)RIVERA R 119 12.00 20.00  
SCR  JOLIE RULER               (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
 
TDN-8   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OHIO EAGLE 3 6 810 73¾   4¼ 1¼ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 6.00 7.60  
6  CONDEMNATION 6 4 42 3½   1nk 2¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 20% 4.00 2.30 P
1  WILDCAT BILL 1 5 31½ 51¾   5¾ 3¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 3.80  
4  STUNT MAN 4 7 67 63¾   72¾ 43¾ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 10.00 9.20  
5  WORTHY OPPONENT 5 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 55 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 121 3.50 5% 17.50 3.90  
7  KEEPING SCORE 7 2 53½ 4¾   62¼ 66¼ (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 23.40  
8  CLASSIC MO 8 1 2½ 2nk   3.2 77 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 50% 1.00 3.60  
2  EL MARRO 2 8 79½ 86¾   84¾ 89½ (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.30  
 
TDN-9   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:123     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CYCLONE 7 4 43 52¼ 2½ 1nk 1¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 18% 4.50 3.70 W
2  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 2 1 11½ 11½ 1½ 2nk 2¼ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 2.50 6.00  
3  R CARDINAL PRINCE 3 7 76¾ 41¾ 42 32½ 32¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00 5.30  
6  CITY OF CLOUDS 6 2 31½ 31½ 52¼ 43 43¼ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 2.00 47% 1.10 1.10  
4  CENTSOFWANDER 4 6 64¾ 72¾ 63¾ 53¼ 54½ (huffman candace )RIVERA R 119 4.50 9% 10.60 6.30  
5  FALK 5 5 53¼ 62¾ 75¾ 65¾ 68 (londono odin )BRACHO A 115 12.00 27.20  
1  HURRY ON OUT 1 3 21½ 21½ 32 75¾ 713 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 12.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.