The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $35.00 -4.00
TDN-2   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
TDN-3   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TDN-4   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $10.80 -6.00
TDN-5   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
TDN-6   Win (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 4.00
TDN-7   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
TDN-8   Win (8/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $17.20 -8.00
TDN-9   Win (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
:25 :494 1:151     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEH SCHNELL 5 1 4 4¾ 3.2 1½ 1hd (manning c)VELEZ J 123 3.00 16.50  
LUCKY ANDY 4 5 5 5 5 41 2hd (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 67% 0.50 0.60 P
EXALTED JOY 1 4 2 2nk 4 53(vecchio c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 8% 11.80 3.80 S
DEER CREEK ROAD 3 3 3 3.2 2nk 2½ 46 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00 9.90  
ONLYATTHESHOE 2 2 1 1nk 1nk 3½ 5(spiess m)DIAZ I 123 4.50 3.00  
SCR  LAZARUS PROJECT               (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 123 2.00    
 
TDN-2   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:231 :464 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAKEN 5 2 5 53   21 13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.00 47% 1.10 0.70 W
KARAMEL CORN 6 1 4 4   31 23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 10.00 4.20  
TIZ A RUSH 2 4 67 6   43(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 4.30  
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 1 5 11 1½   11 4(shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 21% 3.70 4.50  
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 4 3 21 3   65(calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 5% 18.80 14.60  
OLE WATASHI 3 6 3 2½   56(schuster robin)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 43.30  
 
TDN-3   10/13/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:223 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER TRAIL 3 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 1¼ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 121 2.50 30% 2.40 2.10 W
SHOW SLIDING HOME 2 6 6 42   4¾ 2¼ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00 15% 5.90 7.80 P
BABA LOOEY 4 4 31 31   3½ 3¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 4.30  
PRIMITIVO 5 2 42 6   54(radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 14.10  
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 6 1 5 5   65(mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 16% 5.40 3.60  
NEBULOSA 1 5 1½ 1nk   2½ 6(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 2.00  
 
TDN-4   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:233 :471 1:123     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S FATE 4 7 6 7 5 31 11 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 4.40  
SUDDEN SHIFT 7 5 43 3 3 421 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 3.10  
SAY HEY KID 3 3 7 6 7 53(szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 121 5.00 9.70  
PAT DADDY 1 1 54 5 2nk 11 4(rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 58% 0.70 4.00  
DEBDURITE 6 4 31 2 4 65(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 17% 4.80 7.50  
SKIDSTREAM 5 6 2nk 1 1nk 21 6(faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 1.90  
TUFF ATTACK 2 2 1nk 4 6 77(canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.40  
 
TDN-5   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:252 :502 1:153     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY MAN 1 5 4 31 2nk 12 14 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70 W
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 5 1 1 11 31 324 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 10.80  
SHORTLY 6 2 2 21 1nk 22 3(zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 1.80 38% 1.60 0.40 S
STREET MAX 2 6 6 5 6 64(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 9.70  
DONAHUE 4 4 5 6 42 44 58 (meyers sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 41.70  
TWELVE MINUS ONE 3 3 3 4 54 56(daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 17.50  
 
TDN-6   10/13/2023 7920ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:254 :523 1:181 1:444 2:11 2:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BROTHER CAM 1 510½ 5 59 3½ 1½ 1(ray kevin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 21% 3.80 3.00 W
SHELL FIRE 4 35 34 48 1nk 2½ 2(castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 8.70  
ROYAL DRAGOON 2 48 46 38 2nk 31 3(urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 2.20  
BOURBON WISDOM 3 21 2nk 1 41 45 4(sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 2.20  
ITASCA 5 11 1nk 2 5 511½ 524 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 119 5.00 54% 0.80 2.90  
SCR  CINDY'S STORM               (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
SCR  ZERO GRAVITY               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.50    
 
TDN-7   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:222 :453 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY BELLE 6 2 2½ 1nk   2nk 1½ (londono j)BRACHO A 121 2.50 25% 3.00 0.90 W
JEN'S BATTLE 3 6 6 3   1nk 2½ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 10.30  
MAMBO DANCER 2 4 3½ 4   44 3(canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 13% 6.70 24.60 S
CEVICHE 5 1 4¾ 6   54(casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 13.30  
PROSPECTIVE FORUM 1 5 1½ 2nk   32 510 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 42% 1.40 1.10  
TURBIE 4 3 5 5   6614¼ (rose norman)RIVERA R 119 12.00 20.00  
SCR  JOLIE RULER               (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
 
TDN-8   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
:221 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO EAGLE 3 6 810 7   4¼ 1¼ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 6.00 7.60  
CONDEMNATION 6 4 42 3½   1nk 2¼ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 20% 4.00 2.30 P
WILDCAT BILL 1 5 3 5   5¾ 3¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 3.80  
STUNT MAN 4 7 67 6   74(gorham m)DIAZ I 119 10.00 9.20  
WORTHY OPPONENT 5 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 55 (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 121 3.50 5% 17.50 3.90  
KEEPING SCORE 7 2 5 4¾   66(castro raq)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 23.40  
CLASSIC MO 8 1 2½ 2nk   3.2 77 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 50% 1.00 3.60  
EL MARRO 2 8 7 8   88(romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.30  
 
TDN-9   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
:242 :48 1:123     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYCLONE 7 4 43 5 2½ 1nk 1¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 18% 4.50 3.70 W
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 2 1 1 1 1½ 2nk 2¼ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 2.50 6.00  
R CARDINAL PRINCE 3 7 7 4 42 33(daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00 5.30  
CITY OF CLOUDS 6 2 3 3 5 43 4(hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 2.00 47% 1.10 1.10  
CENTSOFWANDER 4 6 6 7 6 55(huffman m)RIVERA R 119 4.50 9% 10.60 6.30  
FALK 5 5 5 6 7 668 (londono j)BRACHO A 115 12.00 27.20  
HURRY ON OUT 1 3 2 2 32 7713 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 12.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.