Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/1/4)-(3/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(3/6/2)-(1/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(6/1/4)-(7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(7/1)-(1/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(1/6/2)-(8/6/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(8/6/5/2)-(6/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-8   WIN (8/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/2)-(6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-9   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAZARUS PROJECT Sep26 Sep18 Sep05 Aug29 Aug16 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 2.00    
2  EXALTED JOY Sep26 Sep18 Sep02 Jul12 Jun30 (vecchio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 8% 11.80    
3  ONLYATTHESHOE Sep26 Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 Jul30 (spiess m)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
4  DEER CREEK ROAD Sep07 Aug15 Jul31 Jun10 May15 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00    
5  LUCKY ANDY Aug22 Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 May03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 67% 0.50    
6  GEH SCHNELL Sep26 Sep11 Jul27 Jul03 Jun24 (manning c)VELEZ J 123 3.00    
 
TDN-2   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Aug01 Jul12 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  TIZ A RUSH Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 Jul11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80    
3  OLE WATASHI Sep27 Sep04 Aug21 Nov12 Oct11 (schuster rob)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00    
4  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Aug21 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 May08 (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 5% 18.80    
5  OAKEN Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 Jul31 Jul12 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
6  KARAMEL CORN Sep28 Sep07 Aug15 Aug03 Jul18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
 
TDN-3   10/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEBULOSA Sep04 Aug03 Jun13 May16 May09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00    
2  SHOW SLIDING HOME Sep04 Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 Jun06 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00 15% 5.90    
3  TIGER TRAIL Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  BABA LOOEY Sep04 Aug15 Jul18 Jun07 May25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
5  PRIMITIVO Sep25 Sep04 Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00    
6  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Jun13 May23 Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 16% 5.40    
 
TDN-4   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT DADDY Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 Jul20 Jun26 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 58% 0.70    
2  TUFF ATTACK Sep28 Aug30 Aug08 Jul20 Jul03 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAY HEY KID Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 Jun24 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 5.00    
4  IT'S FATE Sep27 Sep05 Aug16 Jul15 Jun24 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50    
5  SKIDSTREAM Sep27 Sep11 Aug31 Aug16 May23 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50    
6  DEBDURITE Oct04 Sep05 Aug16 Jul27 Jul18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 17% 4.80    
7  SUDDEN SHIFT Sep20 Jul25 May24 May08 Apr18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
 
TDN-5   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY MAN Sep25 Aug07 Jun12 Apr16 Mar03 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by FLATTER out of LAUGHING MATTERS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  STREET MAX Sep25 Sep04 Aug29 Aug01 Jul03 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  TWELVE MINUS ONE Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 Jul25 Jul10 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  DONAHUE Sep19 Aug29 Jul03     (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of GADWALL by ESKENDEREYA)
5  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Sep25 Sep06 Jul10 Jun19 May25 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
6  SHORTLY Sep25 Aug20 Jul09 Mar04 Feb04 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
TDN-6   10/13/2023 7920ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER CAM Sep26 Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 Jun14 (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  CINDY'S STORM Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
3  ROYAL DRAGOON Sep26 Sep05 Aug02 Jul24 Jul05 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
4  BOURBON WISDOM Sep18 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  SHELL FIRE Sep13 Aug16 Jul24 Jul12 Jun24 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00    
SCR  ZERO GRAVITY Oct09 Sep26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun05 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.50    
7  ITASCA Sep26 May30 Aug31 Aug16 Jul14 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 5.00 54% 0.80    
 
TDN-7   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSPECTIVE FORUM Sep20 Aug17 Jul25 Jun19 May30 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 Jul10 Jun01 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 13% 6.70    
3  JEN'S BATTLE Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 Oct20 Sep23 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
4  TURBIE Oct03 Sep06 Aug03 Jul18 Jul04 (rose norman)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
5  CEVICHE Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 Jul25 May30 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
6  LIBERTY BELLE Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 (londono odin )BRACHO A 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  JOLIE RULER Sep30 Sep14 Aug26 Aug15 Jul12 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
 
TDN-8   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCAT BILL Sep19 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 May25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
2  EL MARRO May20 Apr26 Mar30 Mar13 Feb20 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  OHIO EAGLE Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 Jun26 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
4  STUNT MAN Sep04 Jul13 Jun24 May17 Apr26 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 10.00    
5  WORTHY OPPONENT Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 121 3.50 5% 17.50    
6  CONDEMNATION Sep20 Sep04 Aug09 Jul18 Jul06 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  KEEPING SCORE Sep19 Sep04 Aug12 Jul12 Jun10 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
8  CLASSIC MO Sep20 Sep04 Aug03 Jun20 May31 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
TDN-9   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRY ON OUT Sep12 Aug22 Jul23 Jun15 Nov22 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
2  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Sep18 Dec05 Nov10 Oct27 Oct06 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 2.50    
3  R CARDINAL PRINCE Oct05 Sep26 Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00    
4  CENTSOFWANDER Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 Jul10 May30 (huffman candace )RIVERA R 119 4.50 9% 10.60    
5  FALK Oct05 Sep20 Aug23 Jul11 May29 (londono odin )BRACHO A 115 12.00    
6  CITY OF CLOUDS Sep26 Sep06 Aug24 Jul26 Jun21 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 2.00 47% 1.10    
7  CYCLONE Oct05 Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 Jul10 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.