Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-3   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $25.20 $13.20 110%
    DD (6/3/4/2)-(2/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-3 $22.10 $6.10 38%
LAD-4   WIN (8/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    EXA (8/10/5/2)-(8/10/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-10 $21.60 $5.60 35%
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(8/10/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-2 $37.70 $21.70 136%
    PK3 (6/3/4/2)-(2/3/1/5)-(8/10/5/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00  3-3-2 $54.30 $22.30 70%
LAD-5   WIN (3/2/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    SFT (3/2/10/11)-(3/2/10/7/11)-(3/2/10/7/11)-(3/2/10/7/11) 96 $0.10 $9.60  10-3-2-7 $20.47 $10.87 113%
    SFT (3/2/10/11)-(3/2/10/7/11)-(3/2/10/7/11)-(3/2/10/7/11) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-10-2-7 $10.82 $1.22 13%
    DD (8/10/5/2)-(3/2/10/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-10 $25.90 $9.90 62%
    PK3 (2/3/1/5)-(8/10/5/2)-(3/2/10/11) 64 $0.50 $32.00  3-2-10 $56.40 $24.40 76%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR FREDDIE MAC 7 2 4 3.2   11 1½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 3.40  
10  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS 8 3 6 6   21 2½ (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00 15% 5.70 2.20 P
12  SHARP CHARLIE 9 7 7 8   7 3 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 16% 5.10 8.10 S
BIG BELLA BROWN 5 8 86 7   3 4 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 3.50 37% 1.70 3.90  
SCHNELL 2 9 911 9   8 5 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 25.00 7% 14.20 5.30  
YES BAB 3 6 5 5   5 6 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 122 30.00 46.10  
DIABLO CAT 6 5 2½ 2nk   43 7 (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 10.00 21.70  
FAREWELL TIME 1 4 1½ 1nk   6 811½ (gonzalez adr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00 14.20  
GOLD MERRITT 4 1 3½ 4   9 914¾ (ellis randy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 8.00 12.60  
SCR  ADIEU LE CHAT               (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 15.00    
SCR  EASY RUNNER               (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 5.00    
SCR  GALLANT STAR               (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 25.00    
SCR  ZION               (hatc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
 
LAD-2   09/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:222 :444       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS UPON A STAR 3 6 53 4   3½ 1½ (husak j)VARGAS P 124 2.50 24% 3.10 1.60 W
HIDDEN LOVE 6 4 31 2   2nk 2½ (gelner scott)MAGNON H 120 2.00 30% 2.30 2.40 P
NEVER WALK ALONE 8 1 1½ 1   1nk 3 (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 124 6.00 4.70  
VIVI DID IT 2 8 7 6   42 45 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 12.00 6% 15.40 8.00  
LITTLE Z 1 3 810½ 8   8 5 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 21.10  
CHACHA TO CATALINA 7 5 41 3   6 6 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 15.00 12.10  
RUN AWAY SAMARI 4 7 64 54   7 7 (woodley j)THORNTON G 117 4.00 18% 4.60 10.90  
SHESTHEBIGGAME 5 2 2½ 7   53 811¾ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 16.10  
 
LAD-3   09/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:134     1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNANIMOUSLY 3 7 7 67 5 2½ 1¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 9% 10.20 4.90 W
RANDELLO 1 6 5 56 64 41 2¼ (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 6% 15.40 3.60 P
LIARS CLUB 9 4 2½ 13 11 1½ 3½ (hurley tina )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 16.70  
OAK HILL LG 2 2 32 3 4 5 4¾ (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 61% 0.70 0.90  
MEANT FOR ME 5 1 1½ 23 21 3½ 5 (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
TWITTY CITY 6 5 4 4 3 6 613 (hewitt michael)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 22.70  
VIM AND VIGOR 7 3 6 78 76 7 713¼ (wilson shane)BOREL H 122 12.00 11.60  
PROMISING SHOES 8 8 87 89 88 89 814 (duhon paul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 33.10  
KEYS INCLUDED 4 9 912 914 913 919 928¾ (zeringue j)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00 29.40  
 
LAD-4   09/02/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:13 1:251   1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN AT BETTY 2 10 8 4   22 11 (charles jonathan)ROSIER R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
10  BUD WON 10 8 2½ 1nk   12 21 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 21% 3.80 1.80 P
LAKESIDE RUMBLE 3 5 4 32   35 36 (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 30.00 17.70  
TAPIT TWICE 5 7 96 65   47 410¾ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 5% 19.00 4.00  
SWEET PRESENT 1 1 64 9   69 510¾ (rangel raul)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 5.00 7.30  
SPOONMAN 4 4 1½ 2nk   5 619 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 12.00 25.00  
ROCKALL 8 2 54 7   814 719¼ (wilson shane)TORRES HUGO 115 3.50 53% 0.90 4.30  
ALWAYS HAVE PARIS 9 9 107 10   712 819½ (wilson mel)ALBERT S 115 15.00 73.80  
12  DABOOGEYMAN 11 11 1112 1117¾   1016 922 (hewitt michael)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00 50.40  
STRIKE A BARGAIN 7 3 32 54   914½ 1027¾ (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 25.00 97.00  
KING SAUL 6 6 75 8   1117½ 1129½ (garza joaquin )GALVAN JHAIR 120 30.00 63.00  
SCR  MR LEO AND JOSE               (del eric)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
SCR  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE               (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
SCR  SOCIAL APPEAL               (hatc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 25.00    
 
LAD-5   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LOUISIANA COWGIRL 9 2 3 3   2½ 1 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 8% 11.20 4.90 W
  (by BIND out of GOLDEN COWGIRL by MY GOLDEN SONG)
HALFPRICED 3 1 1½ 1   1½ 1 (dunn r)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 4.50 43% 1.30 0.80 W
  (by HALF OURS out of VENDEUSE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
LAWLESS TIMES 2 8 45 4   42 3 (calhoun wil)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.50 26% 2.80 5.50 S
  (by CUPID out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BRIELLE EVANGELINE 6 6 88 5   3 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 17.40  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PINT by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
BAYOU BEAUTY 7 10 10 9   6 513½ (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 11.90  
  (by BERNARDINI out of FASHIONED GEM by OLD FASHIONED)
11  SASSY SPRY 10 7 77 7   914½ 616 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
  (by SASSICAIA out of SPRY by GOOD AND TOUGH)
TRIPLE THE GOLD 5 3 2½ 2   5 717¼ (pedigo rand)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 5.00 21.20  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of MISS GOLDWIN by GOLD TRIBUTE)
NIGHT TIZZY 4 9 11 6   8 817¾ (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 30.00 80.80  
  (by LUCKY TIZ out of NIGHT PARADE by PARADING)
LUCKY BEAD LADY 8 5 6 8   79 918½ (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 120 20.00 ######  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
13  DELTA NIGHTS 12 12 1213½ 1010¼   1016½ 1022 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 15.00 79.00  
  (by JAY GATSBY out of PROM by FESTIVAL OF LIGHT (GB))
12  CHUCHI 11 11 9 1110¾   1117 1123½ (ellis randy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 15.00 92.50  
  (by HALF OURS out of IDE'S CHILD by IDE)
JENNYSBIGBABY 1 4 55 1211¼   1217½ 1232½ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 29.90  
  (by HALF OURS out of FLAWLESS GOLD by GOLD TRIBUTE)
SCR  LUYV               (goins garl)ALBERT S 115 25.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of SOUTHPINE by LAABITY)
 
LAD-6   09/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:22 :451       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THE RAGE OF ART 9 6 4 4   4 1 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50 5.60  
LEXINGTON DIVA 2 8 7 6   6 2 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 11.20  
MY LADY LUNA 6 5 6 78   74 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 13.70  
LUNCH LADY 7 1 11 1   1nk 4 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
OOCHIE 5 2 3 3   32 5 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00 2.20  
TWO HANDS FULL 3 4 55 56   53 6 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 22% 3.50 9.20  
FLOWERS APRIORITY 1 3 21 2   2nk 73 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 121 4.50 43% 1.30 1.90  
LITTLE E 8 9 811½ 8   912 8 (schultz d)BOREL H 121 15.00 25.00  
SHARONS'MOONSHADOW 4 7 913 914   87 916¼ (schultz d)MELANCON G 121 15.00 9% 10.40 20.50  
SCR  JUMPIN JUDY               (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00    
 
LAD-7   09/02/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Super Derby Presented Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:132 1:383   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG DATA 4 7 5 53 43 31 1¾ (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 124 4.50 3.10  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MOXIE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
NO WHITE FLAGS 7 4 3 31 3 1½ 2¾ (woodley j)MCMAHON J 124 10.00 12% 7.40 9.70 P
  (by UNION RAGS out of TEJANA by CURLIN)
HOW DID HE DO THAT 5 6 63 4 5 4 3 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.80 32% 2.10 4.40 S
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STORMIN MAGGY by STORM CAT)
MACHINE GUN MAN 1 1 1nk 1nk 11 2½ 45 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 6.00 3.50  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SIEGE GUN by CONGRATS)
TIZ DONEGAL 2 5 2nk 2nk 21 5 5 (noel dane)POMPELL L 124 15.00 27% 2.80 29.00  
  (by TIZNOW out of MINERALOGIST by MINESHAFT)
PROMISE ME A RIDE 6 3 74 6 65 610½ 615 (cox h)THORNTON G 124 3.50 1.60  
  (by MASTERY out of PROMISE ME MORE by MORE PLEASURE)
DONEGAL ARROW 3 2 42 712½ 715 715½ 723¾ (noel dane)VARGAS P 124 12.00 18.10  
  (by ARROGATE out of THIS CAT CAN DANCE by VINDICATION)
 
LAD-8   09/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:102 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNYSJOURNEY 8 10 9 9 1nk 2 1 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 66.50  
CALICOCO 3 1 1 11 2nk 1 2 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50 5.70 P
ROCKET DOCTOR 2 5 4 63 44 5 35 (pish danny)MCMAHON J 118 15.00 23.10  
TENSAS ALL OURS 5 9 7 5 32 3 4 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00 5.80  
I DON'T VENMO 7 6 8 8 7 67 5 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00 13.00  
CHARLIE G 6 11 1110½ 119 8 1011 6 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 122 5.00 4.10  
10  ONEFORVIVI 10 8 10 10 11 1112 7 (klanfer alan)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.00 57% 0.70 10.20  
PEPPER JACK 1 7 3 4 10 7 8 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
CAJUN EDDIE 9 3 5 32 65 89 9 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50 21% 3.90 7.70  
11  STANDING MAN 11 4 65 7 9 911 10 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 12.00 18.90  
RIPITTOTHERIGHT 4 2 2 21 5 44 1110½ (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 3.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.