Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $74.06  
CD-2   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.36 $8.36 2.36
CD-3   Win (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $8.42 $8.42 2.42
CD-4   Win (3/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $21.40  
CD-5   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30
CD-6   Win (10/9/6/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $21.08  
CD-7   Win (2/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $42.28 $42.28 34.28
CD-8   Win (1/5/6/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $13.28 $13.28 3.28
CD-9   Win (8/1/5/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $3.76 $3.76  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:124 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LE COOP 2 5 514½ 510 54 2nk 18½ (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 36.03  
4  GILDED CRAKEN 3 4 44½ 43 2nk 1nk 28½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.00 27% 2.70 1.26 P
5  MO MOVES 4 1 13 12 3½ 3½ 310¼ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 5.24  
6  PEARSE 5 2 23 22 1nk 41½ 412½ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 3.50 11% 8.30 2.84  
2  CASHMEUP 1 3 33½ 32 43 56 523¼ (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 121 1.60 28% 2.50 2.09  
SCR  PHOTO OP               (hiles rick)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
 
CD-2   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  YOLANDA WHO 1 5 11 2nk   3.2 1¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 45% 1.20 3.18 W
3  SHIP IT 2 3 44 32½   2nk 2¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.50 13% 6.40 7.29 P
4  SONADOR 3 2 21 1nk   1nk 31¼ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 113 5.00 3.22  
7  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 6 6 65½ 55¼   43¾ 43½ (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 7.53  
6  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B 5 1 31½ 42¾   55¼ 57½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 21% 3.70 1.20  
5  BEACH KITTEN 4 4 54½ 66¼   67¾ 68 (miller jerome)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00 21.36  
SCR  BUCKEYE ROSE               (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 5.00    
 
CD-3   11/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:153 1:392   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KATTATH 6 1 11 11 1½ 12 1nk (schultz lin)TORRES A 121 4.50 35% 1.90 3.21 W
1  CODE RUNNER 1 5 54½ 34 32 22 2nk (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 6.12  
6  BOITANO 5 3 21 21 2½ 33½ 34½ (forster t)LANERIE J 121 10.00 10% 9.10 9.25 S
4  SHORTLIST 3 6 65 66 63¾ 54½ 45¼ (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 32% 2.10 8.92  
3  COUSIN LARRY 2 2 33 44½ 42 44½ 55¾ (lovell michell)TORRES A 121 6.00 5.23  
5  HUGE BIGLY 4 4 44 55½ 53½ 66½ 67¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.00 1.09  
SCR  DREAM KEEPER               (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 121 6.00    
 
CD-4   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:213 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OFFICER QUIGLEY 7 2 31½ 22   22½ 1¼ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 9.70  
3  GUCCI BOY 3 3 63½ 65   34 2¼ (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 44% 1.30 3.33 P
1  LUNDBERG 1 4 1½ 12   12½ 3¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 2.50 1.70  
5  SMOKE WAGON 5 7 74½ 54½   55 44 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 10% 9.20 8.39  
7  CITY OF LOVE 6 6 41½ 32½   44½ 57¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 10% 9.10 12.52  
9  STUDY COMMITTEE 8 5 53 75½   710½ 613½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 6.00 5.34  
4  PASSING JUDGMENT 4 8 85½ 88½   811 715¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6.66  
2  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 2 1 2½ 42½   69 819¼ (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00 6% 14.90 19.27  
SCR  HESS               (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00    
 
CD-5   11/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:232 :463 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRIVATE CREED 5 1 31 1nk   11½ 12 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 59% 0.70 2.15 W
3  BAL A KAZOO 3 3 2½ 3½   33½ 22 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 5.00 8.93  
6  SON OF A BIRCH 6 6 62¼ 63¼   45 32¾ (morley thomas)TORRES A 118 12.00 18.94  
2  CHISELER 2 2 1½ 2nk   21½ 42¾ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5% 19.00 13.77  
7  GASLIGHT DANCER 7 5 52 42½   55½ 54¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 7% 12.80 1.43  
4  MOUNSIEUR COCO 4 7 72¼ 75¼   68 68¼ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 4.00 3.70  
1  MONEY RUN 1 4 42 52¾   78½ 714¼ (barnett c)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 18.02  
SCR  RYVIT               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 1.20    
 
CD-6   11/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:114     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HEART HEADED 7 3 1½ 1nk   13 12¾ (walden wil)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 9.54  
4  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) 4 2 86 74¼   33½ 22¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 18.54  
9  KING ANTHONY 8 7 62 63¼   65¼ 34½ (hernandez a)TORRES A 119 10.00 17% 5.00 3.33 S
1  MIKEALICIOUS 1 5 31 41½   55 46¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6% 16.50 4.21  
10  BEAR RIVER 9 4 2½ 2nk   23 59½ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 1.80 37% 1.70 3.14  
5  EL MATADOR 5 10 108 86¾   88¾ 610 (mott riley)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 6% 16.80 9.11  
12  CHARGE THE CASTLE 11 6 41½ 3½   45 710 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 10.25  
3  WICKED MELODY 3 11 1111½ 1111¾   99¾ 810¾ (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 12.65  
6  FORMAL AFFAIR 6 1 51½ 51¾   77¼ 914¼ (trombetta mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 15% 5.60 7.69  
11  MIDNIGHT STORMY 10 9 96½ 98¼   1014¼ 1020 (minnock g)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 78.51  
2  BROADWAY RED 2 8 74 109¾   1115¾ 1126¼ (delong)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00 70.53  
SCR  SALMING               (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00    
 
CD-7   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PURE PANIC 6 2 32 32   2nk 1nk (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00 5% 19.00 20.14 W
2  W W HOTSHOT 2 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 2nk (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 44% 1.30 3.05 P
1  SOLIDIFY 1 8 54¾ 53½   32½ 32¼ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 114 5.00 5.18  
5  BLUE KENTUCKY 5 6 75¾ 66   43 42½ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 5.35  
4  LYKAN 4 5 88¼ 89   73¾ 53 (young terr)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 25.83  
9  TILTED TOWERS 8 7 44½ 42½   53¼ 67¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 4.00 6% 16.90 4.20  
3  TEE BURNS 3 4 1nk 1nk   63¼ 712¾ (hartman chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 26% 2.90 2.57  
7  LUCKY BOSS 7 1 65¼ 76½   88¼ 823 (contreras c)TORRES A 121 5.00 10.09  
SCR  FAITHFUL RULER               (watkins m)MCKEE J 121 15.00    
 
CD-8   11/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PARCHMENT PARTY 10 9 109½ 109½ 75¼ 41½ 11½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 8% 12.30 5.64 W
1  FIRST WORLD WAR 1 5 41½ 32 31 2½ 21½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 33% 2.00 2.82 P
2  LAGYNOS 2 2 2½ 42½ 42 1½ 31¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 29.72  
5  CATCHING FREEDOM 5 7 75½ 76 62¾ 51¾ 42¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 25% 2.90 1.09  
8  FOOTPRINT 8 10 87 98 85¾ 74¾ 54½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 16.48  
3  KHANATE 3 3 1½ 2nk 1nk 3½ 65 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 10.25  
7  WOODCOURT 7 4 52½ 64 52¼ 64¼ 711 (walsh brend)TORRES A 122 15.00 37.35  
9  MARKET STREET 9 6 97½ 87½ 96¼ 98¾ 816¾ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 24.51  
4  BARKSDALE 4 8 63½ 1nk 2nk 87¾ 927 (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00 5% 19.00 41.69  
6  MOZLZIL 6 1 31 53 106¾ 1014¾ 1040¾ (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 14% 6.20 16.95  
 
CD-9   11/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :493 1:151 1:403   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPARTAN QUEEN 5 3 42 31½ 2½ 13 13¼ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 12% 7.40 0.88 W
8  LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE) 8 7 95¼ 94¾ 84¼ 44½ 23¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 29% 2.50 5.94 P
1  KING'S SECRET (GB) 1 2 31½ 41½ 31½ 23 33¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 28% 2.60 3.40 S
9  NOBLE BERNADETTE 9 6 75 63¼ 52½ 33½ 44¼ (stall m)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 24.80  
11  CALL ME TONI 11 11 107¼ 84¾ 74 54½ 56½ (hughes g)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 29.99  
3  BRIC A BRAC 3 4 11 11 1½ 77¾ 614¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 34.56  
4  QUEEN RHAENYRA 4 10 117½ 117¼ 117¾ 810¼ 714¾ (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 31.49  
2  SILENT REVENGE 2 9 85¼ 105¼ 96¼ 911¼ 816¼ (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 64.62  
6  LASERJET 6 8 53½ 73¾ 106¼ 1016¼ 926¾ (shirer a)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 44.22  
10  MILAN MISCHIEF 10 5 21 21 42½ 1117¾ 1032 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 15.00 56.90  
7  ENGLISH TREASURE 7 1 63½ 53 63 64¾ 11100 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 12% 7.50 6.88  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.