Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (8/10/4/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $40.86 $40.86 30.86
CD-2   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $23.88 $23.88 17.88
CD-3   Win (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $11.38  
CD-4   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.66 $3.66  
CD-5   Win (7/12/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $7.88 $7.88 1.88
CD-6   Win (12/7/11/14) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $6.72 $6.72  
CD-7   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.06 $7.06 1.06
CD-8   Win (6/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.08 $4.08  
CD-9   Win (7/10/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $28.90 $28.90 20.90
CD-10   Win (6/11/4/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $10.54 $10.54 0.54
CD-11   Win (1/9/2/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $21.62  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:122 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 2 10 115 115¼ 85¾ 52¾ 1nk (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 20.00 5% 19.00 19.43 W
1  BRADFORD 1 6 128 129¼ 128¼ 84¼ 2nk (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 33.19  
6  REDHILL 6 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 2nk 3¾ (pittman bonni)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00 93.22  
5  JUL QUIST 5 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 41 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 9.98  
4  DARIO 4 1 72¾ 51½ 42¼ 32 51¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 5% 19.00 6.14  
11  COLONEL BARTON 11 8 61¾ 82¼ 75¼ 63¾ 61¼ (puhich mike)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.51  
7  COAL BOSS 7 4 83 62 64¼ 74¼ 71½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 22.55  
8  ABSOLUTE COURAGE 8 5 3.2 3½ 32 42½ 84 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.40 69% 0.40 1.01  
3  WINGER 3 12 93½ 104¼ 97¼ 97¼ 94¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 6.40  
10  GO CATS 10 7 104 93¾ 107¾ 107½ 106¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 5% 19.00 6.32  
12  TEXCOCO 12 9 51¼ 72¼ 117¾ 1111 1115¼ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 82.56  
9  VALUABLE CARGO 9 11 41¼ 41 53¾ 1212½ 1219 (miller f)COURT K 121 20.00 58.46  
SCR  GIVE HIM TIME               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00    
SCR  LEFT POCKET MONEY               (pittman bonni)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 20.00    
 
CD-2   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUMSETT 1 1 1½ 1nk   12 13¼ (egbert james)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 8.00 33% 2.00 10.94 W
3  SHANIAH 3 2 2½ 2nk   22 23¼ (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 4.99  
4  ENCHANTED NILE 4 7 62¼ 42   34 34¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00 1.23  
2  COEXIST 2 6 31½ 52¼   55 45¼ (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 5.88  
7  CHARGE ACCOUNT 7 4 52 31   44½ 55¼ (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 38% 1.70 2.87  
5  DOCS SEVEN 5 3 41½ 63¾   67½ 68¼ (manley steve)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 21.65  
6  A LOT OF SPUNK 6 5 75¼ 76¼   78 79¼ (foley greg)MCKEE J 121 12.00 14.19  
 
CD-3   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FRIAR LAURENCE 7 1 53½ 42½   31 12¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 4.69  
6  COLD AS HELL 6 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 22¼ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00 10% 9.50 8.81 P
1  HOWBEIT 1 8 64 65½   54½ 34¼ (morey e)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 1.91  
2  CAMP DAVID 2 4 1½ 2nk   2½ 44¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 13% 6.80 5.19  
3  TEXAS RED HOT 3 6 86½ 89¼   76½ 54½ (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 9.37  
5  DERBY DATE 5 5 42½ 31½   42 65 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 15% 5.80 5.44  
4  FLAGS UP 4 7 74½ 75¾   66½ 75¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 4.50 34% 1.90 5.77  
8  SWING SHIFT (GB) 8 3 32 54½   89 813¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 30.62  
 
CD-4   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dream Supreme Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WICKED HALO 5 4 52½ 41½   12 12 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 37% 1.70 0.83 W
4  LITTLE PRANKSTER 4 6 31½ 31   22 22 (bauer a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.80 21% 3.70 1.71 P
2  LAST LEAF 2 2 42½ 55½   56½ 34¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 13% 6.50 13.21 S
1  YOUR SO SILLEA 1 3 1½ 11   33 45¾ (sims a)LANERIE J 122 5.00 8.64  
3  FIRE ON TIME 3 5 2½ 21   46 512 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 8.70  
6  ROYAL COUNTY 6 1 63½ 65¾   69 612½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00 41.96  
 
CD-5   11/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TWIRL AROUND 8 6 11 1½   14½ 15½ (foley greg)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 25% 3.10 2.94 W
8  HAMBLE 5 4 63½ 31½   24½ 25½ (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 13.25  
10  SHORE WAR 7 5 53½ 42½   35 37½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 7.75  
9  DESTINY STAR 6 7 77½ 75½   68½ 47¾ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 ★ 8.12  
7  TAMMY LYNN 4 1 32 2½   45 58¼ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 48% 1.10 0.95  
1  RENFREW 1 3 21 52½   57 611½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.13  
3  BOYNE VALLEY 2 2 42½ 63½   710½ 718½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 48.77  
13  SPEIGHTFUL MISS 9 9 911 99   914 819 (servis c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 36.25  
5  SERENE WATERS 3 8 89 88   813 919¼ (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 39.31  
SCR  BARAYE               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
SCR  GOLD DEL MAR               (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  HOW SOON IS NOW               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
SCR  SHARPER GAL               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  TURF ROCKET               (o'dwyer jer)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
SCR  TWO SIP SALLY               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
SCR  WALK STREET               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:214 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  AUGUSTINE RED 10 5 31½ 31   2nk 11¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 44% 1.30 2.36 W
11  BIRCHTON 9 2 2nk 11   1nk 21¼ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 13% 6.70 8.96 P
2  STINGER BEE 2 10 53¼ 44   43½ 32 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 ★ 8.45 S
10  LATTA 8 4 1nk 21   32½ 46¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 8.02  
14  MIDNIGHT AMBITION 11 9 97¼ 77¾   67½ 57¼ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.08  
8  STORMIN LOVE 6 1 63¾ 55½   56½ 69¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 25.51  
9  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN 7 7 76¼ 812¼   813 714¼ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 14.23  
6  JIMMY THE HAT 4 6 86¾ 1014¾   914½ 817 (catalano way)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 8.97  
1  FASTER 1 11 108¼ 914¾   1016 918½ (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 55.27  
7  SUPERHERO 5 3 41¾ 65¾   78½ 1018¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 20% 3.90 4.89  
5  TAPITBOY 3 8 118¾ 1144¾   11100 11100 (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 7.04  
SCR  EXTRA HALO               (granitz ant)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00    
SCR  GOOGOL JOKE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00    
SCR  ONE RED CENT               (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
 
CD-7   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:22 :452 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EASY ACTION 5 3 21 2nk   11 13¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 38% 1.60 2.53 W
2  TUNISIAN SPRING 2 2 11 1nk   21 23¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.60 26% 2.80 0.86 P
1  PENSACOLA 1 4 32 41½   32½ 33¾ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 5.47  
3  UNDERHILL'S TAB 3 1 42 52   53½ 45¼ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 15.04  
7  ZAMBEZI 7 5 52¼ 31   43½ 56¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00 8% 11.80 10.84  
4  WHERE'S RANDY 4 7 65¾ 65   66½ 69¼ (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 22.91  
6  FLIPARINO 6 6 76¼ 77½   79½ 712¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 19.36  
 
CD-8   11/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:142 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SISTINA CHAPEL 5 5 42 31½ 2nk 12½ 1½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 1.80 69% 0.40 1.04 W
5  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED 4 3 52½ 62¾ 42 22½ 2½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 6.32  
8  AMY Z 7 1 21 2½ 1nk 34½ 34 (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.35 S
9  MONTCLAIR ROAD 8 8 84 73¼ 74½ 46½ 45 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 6.96  
4  CHEYENNE MOON 3 6 73½ 83¾ 86 69½ 511¼ (brennan terr)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.19  
3  DASH OF LEMON 2 9 95 95¼ 96½ 812½ 614½ (catalano m)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00 55.50  
2  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN 1 4 31½ 41½ 52½ 711½ 715½ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 17.18  
7  SAVE THE MISCHIEF 6 2 11 1½ 3½ 58½ 816¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 16.05  
11  CALLE REINA 9 7 62½ 51¾ 63½ 914 918 (beckman whitw)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 ★ 5.40  
SCR  PLUMERIA               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.50    
SCR  QUEEN LEXI               (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
 
CD-9   11/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:13 1:374   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  COMMANDPERFORMANCE 8 6 74 74½ 53 12 1nk (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 8% 11.50 13.45 W
3  ESCAPOLOGIST 3 8 87½ 87 85 32½ 2nk (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.37 P
7  MAGIC TAP 6 5 31½ 31½ 21 22 32 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 36% 1.80 0.52 S
2  GALT 2 4 21 21 31½ 55 44¼ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 15.00 15.62  
8  COOKE CREEK 7 1 52½ 63 74 65¼ 54½ (o'dwyer jeremia)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 9.50  
10  CREATIVE MINISTER 9 2 63 53 42½ 45 65¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 28% 2.60 4.71  
5  ROMAN CENTURIAN 5 9 910½ 911 910½ 99¼ 713 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 46.77  
4  UNINVITED GUEST 4 7 42½ 42½ 64 88¼ 813¼ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 121 20.00 42.42  
1  TIWANAKU 1 3 11 11 11 77¾ 917 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 16.69  
SCR  MR. BIG NEWS               (calhoun wi)SANTANA JR 121 30.00    
 
CD-10   11/11/2023 5940ft TURF RC12 GOOD River City Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:131 1:381   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SMOKIN' T 6 8 63½ 73¾ 63½ 1½ 11¾ (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 48% 1.10 4.27 W
12  HARLAN ESTATE 12 9 74 94¾ 95¼ 51¾ 21¾ (beckman whit)RAMOS D 121 15.00 15.05  
11  SIEGE OF BOSTON 11 11 117¼ 105¾ 116¼ 93¾ 32 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 121 4.50 18% 4.50 5.70 S
8  GRAND SONATA 8 3 42 52½ 53 31½ 42¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 15.11  
7  DOMINICAN PIONEER 7 2 11 11 1½ 2½ 53¼ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 17.45  
10  INJUNCTION 10 5 32 42 42 72¼ 63¾ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.75  
4  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) 4 10 96 84¾ 84¾ 83¼ 74 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 6% 15.40 3.21  
3  RED RUN 3 6 107 116 106¼ 115¼ 84 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 8.45  
5  KITODAN 5 12 129¼ 127½ 128¼ 126¼ 94¼ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 44.58  
2  F FIVE 2 1 52½ 32 32 41½ 104½ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 15.68  
1  CELLIST 1 7 85 63½ 73¾ 104¾ 114¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
9  STITCHED 9 4 21 21 2½ 61¾ 127 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 125 15.00 12.05  
SCR  ACCREDIT               (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  BEATBOX               (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 20.00    
SCR  STREET READY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   11/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  I'M A MESS 6 9 84¼ 106¼ 94¼ 1nk 11¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 9.81  
2  ENIGMATIC 2 6 31½ 32 51¾ 3.2 21¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 12% 7.10 8.47 P
9  GENETICS 9 11 104¾ 84¾ 104¼ 93½ 31¾ (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 25% 3.00 5.66 S
7  CLASS ACT 7 10 119¾ 119¼ 116¼ 72½ 43¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5.67  
5  AMERICA'S VOW 5 7 53 43 62¾ 62½ 54¾ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 44.08  
3  MURPHY'S GIFT 3 1 21 21½ 2nk 2nk 65¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 11.16  
11  HER BEST FRIEND 11 3 73¼ 73¾ 3.2 52¼ 75¾ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 66.83  
8  HAPPY TALK 8 8 94¼ 94¾ 73¼ 104 86¼ (lukas way)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.55  
4  CHARLOTTESAPPROVAL 4 5 63 63½ 83¾ 82½ 99 (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 25.68  
1  LOVELAND 1 2 11 11½ 1nk 4¼ 109¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 29% 2.40 2.62  
10  CARARRA 10 4 42 53 41¼ 1110 1118¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 10% 8.90 6.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.