Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - January 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (12/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/4/8/9)-(12/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/4/8/9)-(12/4/8/9)-(12/4/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/4/8/9)-(10/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/4/8/9)-(10/6/8/5)-(6/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (10/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/5)-(10/6/8/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/5)-(10/6/8/5/7)-(10/6/8/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/8/5)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/5)-(6/2/1)-(1/10/11/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(1/10/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(1/10/11/3)-(12/11/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-4   WIN (1/10/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/11/3)-(1/10/11/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/11/3)-(1/10/11/2/3)-(1/10/11/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/11/3)-(12/11/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/10/11/3)-(12/11/2/10)-(10/5/1/12) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-5   WIN (12/11/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/11/2/10)-(12/11/2/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/11/2/10)-(12/11/2/10/8)-(12/11/2/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/11/2/10)-(10/5/1/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/11/2/10)-(10/5/1/12)-(7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (10/5/1/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/1/12)-(10/5/1/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/1/12)-(10/5/1/12)-(10/5/1/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/1/12)-(7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/5/1/12)-(7/8/3)-(6/2/10/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/3)-(7/8/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/3)-(7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/3)-(6/2/10/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3)-(6/2/10/3/1)-(10/3/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-8   WIN (6/2/10/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/10/3/1)-(6/2/10/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/10/3/1)-(6/2/10/3/1)-(6/2/10/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/10/3/1)-(10/3/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-9   WIN (10/3/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/11/2)-(10/3/11/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/11/2)-(10/3/11/9/2)-(10/3/11/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BACKYARD HEN Dec06 Oct07 Sep27 Aug05 Jul08 (alessi j)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
GRAN CHEMIN Dec20 Dec02 Nov08 Sep30 Sep21 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
SACRED BEAUTY Dec20 Nov08 Oct20 Jul14 Jun23 (roberson de)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
MOONLIGHT RAIN Nov30 Nov17 Jul03 Jun05 May14 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  MAMITA LINDA Nov07 Oct07 Aug30 Aug12 Aug01 (rodriquez)CORREA L 120 20.00    
SCR  DIVINE EXCHANGE Dec28 Nov30 Nov13 Sep17 Sep09 (west m)CEDILLO ABEL 123 4.00    
JERSEY GOLD Dec01 Nov11 Oct21 Aug28 Jul31 (nesbitt amy)ORM CORY 120 30.00    
ADDISON Dec22 Sep23 Sep06 Aug15 Aug05 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00 9% 10.10    
COMPRESSED ENERGY Nov15 Oct17 Oct04 Sep25 Sep13 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 110 12.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  FORGLO Dec28 Nov13 Sep23 Aug05 Jul08 (nocero carmino)FELIX E 120 20.00    
11  I LIKEM Dec28 Sep23 Aug16 Jul27 Mar11 (shetron)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
12  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Dec06 Oct07 Sep10 Jul14 Jun21 (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
TP-2   01/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Dec01 Nov18 Nov07 Sep23 Sep09 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF ROSES Oct06 Sep20 Aug12 Aug03 Jun14 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 20.00    
MAC PANDOWDY Nov18 Oct31 Oct14 Sep26 Sep12 (quinonez max)FELIX E 120 30.00    
CODE RUNNER Dec09 Nov09 Oct13 Aug27 Jul20 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
STATESBORO Dec20 Dec06 Nov02 Sep26 Aug28 (londono odin )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00 12% 7.10    
VANBRUGH Dec15 Nov05 Sep02 Nov26 Oct23 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
MINE OWN STAR Dec14 Nov30 Nov03 Sep27 Sep14 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
BOITANO Dec14 Nov09 Oct15 Sep23 Sep09 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
GLOBAL SENSATION Dec22 Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50    
10  PARKLAND Dec21 Nov13 Oct19 Sep07 May25 (gonzalez lilia)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 32% 2.20    
 
TP-3   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST BOAT TO SKYE Dec14 Oct26 Sep08 Aug04 Jul28 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 6% 14.40    
RATE CONFIRMATION Dec20 Nov03 Aug28 Jul22 Jun16 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 123 6.00 8% 12.10    
STUDY COMMITTEE Dec07 Nov09 Oct08 Aug31 Aug04 (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 118 8.00    
ISOCLINE Jul29 Jul07 Jun15 May11 Apr18 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
MR. BALI Aug18 Jun29 Jun19 Jun01 May18 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00    
PARK PLACE Dec01 Oct22 Sep24 Aug31 Aug04 (sti)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 1.60 64% 0.60    
LIBERTANGO Dec16 Nov18 Aug30 Jun20 Apr26 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
SCR  LUPO'S LEGACY Dec07 Nov18 Nov03 Aug20 Jul31 (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 120 3.00    
 
TP-4   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENOR JOBIM Dec16 Dec07 Nov17 Nov03 Sep29 (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00 39% 1.60    
CAROM Dec22 Nov29 Sep20 Sep02 Aug17 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00    
J W RUCKUS Dec21 Dec06 Oct18 Oct02 Sep15 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WIMOWEH Dec22 Oct06 Aug17 Aug02 Feb18 (gorostieta ci)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00    
INHERENT POWERS Dec22 Dec06 Nov08 Oct24 Sep28 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 15.00    
JINGLE Nov08 Sep26 Sep14 Sep05 Jun15 (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 30.00    
SCR  SUPREME SONG Nov29 Oct03 Sep14 Aug23 Aug03 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 5.00    
FASTBYTE Dec22 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 Jul23 (esquivel )CORREA L 123 6.00    
JOB SECURITY Dec22 Dec13 Nov29 Oct30 Oct18 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00    
10  ROGUE ELEMENT Dec21 Dec01 Sep15 Sep02 Aug11 (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
11  JUANITA'S EXPRESS Dec14 Oct04 Sep09 Aug23 Aug01 (deegan c)MOJICA JR 121 12.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  FERRYBOAT Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 Sep29 Sep01 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00    
 
TP-5   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED MELODY Dec01 Nov09       (molloy thomas)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of COREOPSIS by MR. INTEGRITY)
TENNESSEE Oct29         (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 12% 7.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of ZINZAY by SMART STRIKE)
DANNER Nov19         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PIONEER QUEEN by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
ANTHEM KING Dec15 Nov25 Oct18     (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of VALENTINE ROSIE by CURLIN)
MR SCATTER Dec08         (correas ignac)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALLYALLYINCOMEFREE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
TIZ AVANT GARDE Dec08         (mccarthy micha)CONNER TYLER 120 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of QUALITY GIRL by TIZBUD)
BOLT AT MIDNIGHT Dec03 Nov10 Sep30     (ruis mi)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MY MIDNIGHT AFFAIR by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
OY VEY Nov18 Oct20       (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  ASK ARTHUR Dec22         (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 120 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of HEART OF MIDWAY by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
10  PROMISSIO Dec06 Nov04 Oct07     (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00 9% 10.60    
  (by MITOLE out of SPRING STREET by WILLIAMSTOWN)
11  SALTED CARMEL Dec06         (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 28% 2.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SAILONSILVERGIRL by MIZZEN MAST)
12  HOLD OUT Dec08         (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 110 5.00 29% 2.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of WIPE OUT by HARD SPUN)
SCR  GAMBLIN GEORGE Dec29 Dec01 Oct12 Sep10 Jul27 (kelley j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ROYAL COPENHAGEN by INCHINOR)
SCR  DRURY LANE         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CARELLA by TAPIT)
 
TP-6   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTERING Dec29 Nov15 Sep12 Jul12   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
FAMILY FACTOR Dec20 Nov15 Oct26 Sep12 Jun16 (sharp joe)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  BLAMEITONMYMOMMA Dec27 Oct24       (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  NEON DEION Dec29 Oct19 Sep27 Sep03 Aug20 (rivelli larry)CEDILLO ABEL 120 10.00    
AMERICUS Nov23 Oct31 Oct04     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  GREAT RICHIE M Dec28 Nov18 Oct11     (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50    
SCR  BLACK WHITE N GOLD Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 Sep25 Sep06 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00    
MOONLIGHT JOKER Dec28 Sep12 Aug26 Aug11 Aug03 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 15.00    
GAPPER Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct12 Oct05 (evans ii)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
10  WOKE UP QUICK Nov04 Oct04 Sep04     (molloy thoma)CARROLL DECLAN 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
11  JOE THE TAILOR Nov07 Oct17       (catalano wayne)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00    
12  M EIGHTY Nov29 Oct23       (reed r)MCKEE J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-7   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT THE WOAH Dec03 Apr14 Nov27 Nov04 Sep29 (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
SOUPER MUNNINGS Oct14 Sep07 Aug05 Jun16 May27 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
PURR SEA Dec07 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug30 (boyce michele)FELIX E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALTERED SHOT Dec07 Nov16 Sep30 Aug06 Jun22 (foley greg)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00    
UNIFIED ALLIANCE Nov25 Sep02 Jul14 Jun11 Apr29 (morley th)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
CURRENT CLIMATE Dec07 Nov16 Oct22 Sep24 Sep02 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00    
LAST LEAF Dec07 Nov11 Oct07 Sep07 Jul23 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
B G WARRIOR Dec02 Oct15 Sep23 Sep02 Jun11 (andrade hugo)RAMOS D 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  QUARIA COMET Dec02 Sep09 Aug05 May27 Mar17 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50    
 
TP-8   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXTROTANNA Dec01 Oct07 Sep13 Aug11 Jul13 (wojczynski )PETERSON FERRIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
PINFIRE Dec09 Nov04 Sep14 Jan21 Dec16 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
GOOD ON YA Dec21 Dec05 Nov01 Oct02 Sep11 (londono odin )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
STONEVICIOUS Dec30 Nov24 Nov05 Oct12 Sep22 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00    
TRUST DADDY Nov18 Oct26 Jun23 May19 Apr21 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
SHEFFLIN Dec15 Nov04       (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 121 1.40 45% 1.20    
MAILBOX MONEY May25 May11 Oct09 Aug26 Jul30 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 30.00    
SCR  RUSTLER May05 Feb17 Jan18 Sep13 May29 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
TRUE JEDI Dec29 Sep27 Aug29 Aug07 Jul22 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00    
10  RACE DRIVER Oct24 Oct04 Sep04 Jul14 May19 (martinez a)MCKEE J 121 10.00 6% 17.10    
11  CODE NAME Nov17 Oct28 Oct01 Sep01 Jul23 (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 121 8.00    
12  MILITARY FORCE Nov13 Oct24 Mar31 Mar11 Jan21 (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 30.00    
 
TP-9   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HILTON HEAD Dec20 Nov14 Oct09 Sep18 Aug09 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 8.00    
LET IT RIDE CLYDE Apr27 Mar10 Feb02 Jan19 Jan07 (kinmon keith)FELIX E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
REAL NAUGHTY Dec16 Sep16 Aug31 May06 Apr13 (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
REDHILL Nov29 Nov11 Oct16 Sep06 Aug17 (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 12.00    
COAL BOSS Dec29 Nov11 Oct15 Aug20 Jul21 (foley greg)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
JUL QUIST Dec08 Nov11 Oct15 Aug21   (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
ELECTRIC CHARGE Nov29 Nov14 Oct28 Sep20 Aug31 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
MY FRIEND LOUIE Dec29 Dec02       (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00    
UNWRAPPED Dec09 Oct25 Sep24 Jul23 Jun22 (engler jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00    
10  WHITEWALKER Nov29 Nov08 Nov25 Oct30 Sep18 (thomas jonatha)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
11  LYTE CRUDE Dec20 Nov14 Oct12 Sep10 Jul30 (short thoma)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 5% 17.30    
12  CACTUS KEVIN Dec16 Oct12 Sep11 Jul31 Jul12 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
SCR  PACE May16 Apr14 Mar17 Feb17 Jan21 (londono od)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  POGOERIACH Dec29 Oct18 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.