The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Saturday - November 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (8/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $5.00 -8.00
FG-2   Win (8/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
FG-3   Win (1/5/8/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -6.80
FG-4   Win (11/4/3/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -5.00
FG-5   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
FG-6   Win (9/10/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $38.00 $38.00 28.00
FG-7   Win (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 3.00
FG-8   Win (10/6/5/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 2.80
FG-9   Win (10/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $66.00 -6.00
FG-10   Win (9/3/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   11/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTION TO STRIKE 6 4 4 43   42 11 (falcone rober)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 1.50  
BREAKING NEWS (GB) 2 3 3 3   321 (rodriguez hu)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 10% 8.90 7.30 P
CHARLI MICHAEL 3 1 21 2½   1nk 3(terre david)CURTIS BEN 117 4.00 10% 9.20 12.60 S
MIDNIGHT HURRICANE 1 2 11 1½   2nk 4(claire alexis)TORRES A 122 4.00 12% 7.10 2.60  
GOTTA GO 5 6 6 6   54 5(henry eric)MELANCON G 120 12.00 30.40  
WIN YA WIN 8 8 7 7   66(bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.00 41% 1.50 4.20  
JRUE BREEZE 4 7 54 5   75 7(scherer gary)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00 9.90  
TWO DOT 7 5 87 8   87 8(duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 36.40  
 
FG-2   11/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:222 :463 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR REDEMPTION 5 3 3½ 2   1nk 1(scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 17% 4.90 3.10 W
LIKE THIS 6 1 1½ 1   2nk 2(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 5.60  
BOULDERING 1 6 62 76   46 36 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 12.50  
HOOSIER 4 8 8 87   64(camejo jose)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 17% 4.80 6.30  
ANDERS SMILE 8 4 41 4   35 59 (david b)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 25% 3.00 8.20  
STARPORT 7 2 2½ 32   569 (munoz yovani)HERNANDEZ K 119 6.00 26.00  
CHAD'S FLASH 2 7 7 66   812 724 (rodriguez eduard)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00 19.20  
CUSTOM BOBBY'S 3 5 5 54   79 828 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 18% 4.70 1.40  
 
FG-3   11/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:144 1:28   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABSOLUTE COURAGE 1 7 65 56 4 11(asmussen m)LANERIE J 123 2.50 54% 0.90 0.60 W
LARRY'S LUNCHBOX 6 2 12 1 1nk 22(rivelli l)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00 5.70  
ROCKALL 9 4 4 45 5 53(wilson shane)PARKER L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 36.50 S
FEELING FREE 7 1 22 2 2nk 34(stall alber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 10.00 20.00  
GOLDEN FLASH 5 3 33 34 3 42 56 (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 123 4.00 15% 5.60 3.70  
STORM STRATEGY 8 5 7 6 65 66 6(asmussen steve)TORRES A 123 4.50 5% 17.20 12.20  
MY TENNIS SHOES 3 6 5 78 7 7713½ (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 19.10  
SWEET PRESENT 4 8 8 810½ 87 8815 (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
10  MEET GEORGE JETSON 10 9 9 911½ 99 9918¾ (johnston lan)ALBERT S 123 15.00 82.30  
NEVER SORRY 2 10 1011 1016½ 1014 1015¼ 1021¾ (hernandez javier)COHEN DAVID 121 12.00 73.80  
 
FG-4   11/18/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYKAT 3 4 77 78 7 61¼ (cravens ronni)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 11% 8.00 1.50 W
QUINN MURPHY 4 9 8 8 8 1nk 2¼ (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 16% 5.40 6.30 P
BROADWAY PEARL 2 8 109 1011½ 10 95 3(mouton patrick)GRAHAM J 114 20.00 21.70  
XCARET 6 7 65 64 4¾ 2nk 43 (guillory jr)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00 9% 9.70 18.90  
MY LITTLE JEN 7 1 5 5 5 5¾ 5(richards corale )GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00 8.60  
10  WATRUGONNADOKAREN 8 3 21 2½ 2nk 3.2 6(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 8% 11.80 10.30  
12  SEAWARD 10 6 43 4 6 107(hernandez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 14.70  
STACK SHACK 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 4¼ 8(rivelli l)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 3.40  
FADED MEMORIES 5 10 9 99 9 89(duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00 51.50  
11  ANGEL OF VERDUN 9 5 3 32 3½ 7108 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 27% 2.60 12.20  
SCR  CAVE CREEK               (dussette al)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
SCR  HOT DAME               (hernandez javie)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
 
FG-5   11/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Joseph Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DINERO 3 9 912½ 9   53 11 (devereux jr)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 50% 1.00 2.70 W
POP'S PEPPYSTEPER 1 8 7 64   321 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50 P
STOVALL 7 2 2½ 2nk   11 32 (breaux samuel)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 2.20  
WESTERN AFLEET 4 5 3 3   42 48 (venzor jailinne)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00 86.90  
BLAME ME SERIOUSLY 8 7 810½ 7   859 (wilson sha)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00 5.00  
SUMMERTIME PEPPERS 6 1 1½ 1nk   21 69 (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 117 4.50 17.70  
RISING KOTO STAR 2 6 68 85   97 712¼ (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 15.40  
A THOUSAND DOLLARS 9 3 53 5   76 815½ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 12.30  
PRODIGY PARADISE 5 4 42 42   6917¼ (calhoun b)LANERIE J 122 4.50 22% 3.60 4.00  
 
FG-6   11/18/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :464 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU RAIN 7 6 1½ 1½   1nk 1¼ (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 120 4.50 5% 18.10 18.00 W
CABERNAYDO 8 9 8 6   33 2¼ (casse mark)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 44.40  
13  FINISH THE MISSION 12 2 2½ 2½   2nk 3(amoss m)LANERIE J 120 8.00 12.20  
ROCK N ROLL BOLT 2 8 9 9   64(camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 13.50  
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 9 1 33 3   45(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 35% 1.80 3.30  
10  NORWICH 10 3 43 4   56(devaux cherie)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 26% 2.90 5.50  
OY VEY 6 10 11 8   972 (cox h)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 8% 11.30 2.00  
12  LAST ATTACK 11 7 5 5   883 (gelner j)PARKER L 120 15.00 23.30  
SUGAR HOOK 5 5 7 10   105 9(amoss m)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00 15.40  
DO YOUR JOB 4 4 64 7   74 10(asmussen steve)TORRES A 120 6.00 10.00  
HOT WINGS 3 11 10 1110   1211(correas ign)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 22.20  
KING OF THE PALACE 1 12 12 1210½   1112(tracy tanner)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
SCR  CARRY THE FLAG               (courville ri)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
SCR  GAVEL               (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
SCR  NOTORIOUS               (stidham mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
SCR  SHARP STRIKE               (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00    
 
FG-7   11/18/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Jacob Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:132     1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANGUM 6 5 43 3 2 11 1¼ (delhomme jeff)LANERIE J 121 4.50 8% 11.30 4.50 W
WHO TOOK THE MONEY 7 6 7 7 7 21 2¼ (calhoun br)PARKER L 118 2.50 44% 1.30 2.50 P
BUDRO TALKING 3 9 99 8 86 76 33 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 18.50  
WOODS N WATER 1 7 65 5 43 32 43 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 118 6.00 8% 11.70 9.80  
COSMIC TRAIN 4 8 8 9 9 55 5(delhomme jerry)MELANCON G 118 12.00 23.70  
ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT 8 2 3½ 2 5 86(terre david)CURTIS BEN 117 5.00 5.40  
BEHEMAH STAR 2 3 5 6 64 6710 (wilson shane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 13% 6.50 2.10  
HIGHLAND CREEK 9 4 2nk 1 1 4810¾ (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 124 8.00 13.40  
DRILLING REPORT 5 1 1nk 4 33 98 916 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 62.60  
 
FG-8   11/18/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:13 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFANI 5 10 8 8 8 11(stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 117 4.00 9% 9.80 5.40 W
MUSICAL SCORE 6 4 55 6 6 52(cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00 16% 5.30 5.80 P
TASWEYA 2 2 33 23 22 42 34 (walsh brenda)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 7.80  
CREATIVE CAIRO 4 6 10 10 115 95 4(schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 2.70  
10  YANKEE DOLLAR 10 9 9 9 10 65(vitali marcus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 49% 1.00 5.30  
BRAMBLE BAY 1 1 6 5 5 32 6(falcone n)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 16.10  
RUSSIAN MAFIA 7 12 1110¾ 1211¼ 127 105 7(rodriguez eduardo)LANERIE J 120 20.00 34.60  
12  LADY JEOPARDY 12 3 13 13 12 285 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 36.20  
PRESENT MOMENT (IRE) 9 8 77 7 7 79(beckman whit)TORRES A 120 8.00 9.60  
TRYINMYHEARTOUT 8 11 1211¼ 11 9 1110(wilson shane)PARKER L 117 8.00 10.40  
ROSE PALACE 3 5 23 33 32 85 1113¾ (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 18.50 35.10  
11  SWEET CHABLIS 11 7 4 4 4 126 1216½ (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 117 15.00 27.70  
13  ROYA 13 13 1314¼ 1316¼ 1322 1326 1369½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 30.00 ######  
 
FG-9   11/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Larry Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:213 :451 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMNS STRONG MAN 6 5 34 3   2½ 1¼ (husak j)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 12.00 32.00  
LANGS DAY 4 9 915¼ 912½   92¼ (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 3.90 P
JAX MAN 5 8 812¼ 6   631 (david b)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 21.30  
MIKE J 1 1 1nk 1½   1½ 41 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 118 5.00 1.70  
HELAIRE 2 6 712 77   75 5(mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00 54.90  
11  RANCH BADGE 9 4 5 43   46(hodges jame)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 30.00 34.30  
BLACK SWORD 7 3 4 5   54 74 (averett ronnie)LANERIE J 118 10.00 15% 5.80 11.80  
10  JACK HAMMER 8 7 610½ 8   88(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 116 6.00 51% 1.00 2.80  
SCOOTERIA 3 2 2nk 2½   32 9(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
SCR  BERTIE'S GALAXY               (terre david)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00    
SCR  HALF AGAIN               (duhon paul)MELANCON G 118 30.00    
SCR  MANGUM               (delhomme jef)ALBERT S 122 4.00    
SCR  UNIFIED REPORT               (stewart dall)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
 
FG-10   11/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :471 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDERCOVER GIRL 8 9 8 7   64 1(cox h)LANERIE J 120 3.50 42% 1.40 1.10 W
12  A MISS DEAMEANOR 10 3 1½ 12   1½ 2(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60 P
10  ABOUT TO SET SAIL 9 10 1010½ 10   97 35 (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 23.90  
SACRED SAINT 3 4 4 55   108 4(asmussen steve)TORRES A 120 6.00 32% 2.20 7.10  
MO DIVA 4 11 1110¾ 9   75(stall albert)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 19.10  
13  OUR LAST HALF 11 1 3 33   42 6(foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 30.70  
PLATINUM MINIT 5 5 6 6   57(stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 3.60  
MOION 2 8 9 8   88(scherer gary)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
COUNTRY BELLE 7 7 5 45   3916½ (duke steven)MURRAY M 120 20.00 84.40  
GROUND CONTROL 1 2 2½ 22   2½ 1016½ (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 8.00 16.10  
OUR INDIAN GIRL 6 6 76 1111¼   1110½ 1142 (hargrave kenneth)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 30.00 69.10  
SCR  GOOD N SASSY               (henry eric)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
SCR  NO FEAR (IRE)               (bourgeois ke)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.