Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Saturday - November 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (8/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-2   Win (8/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-3   Win (1/5/8/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-4   Win (11/4/3/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-5   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-6   Win (9/10/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-7   Win (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-8   Win (10/6/5/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-9   Win (10/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-10   Win (9/3/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   11/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT HURRICANE Sep30 Aug23 Aug04 Jul15 Jan21 (claire alexis)TORRES A 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
BREAKING NEWS (GB) Oct30 Oct09 Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 (rodriguez hu)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
CHARLI MICHAEL Aug05 Jul03 Jun16 May03 Apr15 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 117 4.00 10% 9.20    
JRUE BREEZE Oct20 Sep13 Sep04 Aug16 Apr08 (scherer gary)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
GOTTA GO Oct13 Aug12 Jun09 May06 Mar23 (henry eric)MELANCON G 120 12.00    
MOTION TO STRIKE Oct06 Sep03 Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 (falcone rober)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
TWO DOT Jul04 Jun18 May27 Mar16 Mar03 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
WIN YA WIN Aug03 Jun30 May04 Apr19 Mar18 (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
FG-2   11/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOULDERING Sep10 Aug12 Jul13 Jun18 May03 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
CHAD'S FLASH Aug06 Jul13 Jun14 May28 Apr13 (rodriguez eduard)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00    
CUSTOM BOBBY'S Sep22 Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 Nov24 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 18% 4.70    
HOOSIER Nov04 Oct11 Aug10 Jul01 May22 (camejo jose)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
STAR REDEMPTION Sep03 Jul21 Jul16     (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
LIKE THIS Oct11 Aug10 Jul06 Jun08 Dec22 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00    
STARPORT Aug05 Jun05 May15 Mar22 Mar02 (munoz yovani)HERNANDEZ K 119 6.00    
ANDERS SMILE Feb24 Feb02 Jan12 Dec04 Nov19 (david b)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
FG-3   11/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABSOLUTE COURAGE Nov11 Aug18 Jul09 Jun23 May26 (asmussen m)LANERIE J 123 2.50 54% 0.90    
NEVER SORRY Oct14 Sep27 Sep09 Jul01 Jun15 (hernandez javie)HERNANDEZ K 121 12.00    
MY TENNIS SHOES Oct28 Oct14       (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
SWEET PRESENT Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jun19 Jun04 (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN FLASH Oct15 Sep28 Aug06 Jul04 Jun18 (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
LARRY'S LUNCHBOX Oct12         (rivelli l)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
FEELING FREE Oct27         (stall alber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 10.00    
STORM STRATEGY Oct25 Jul07 Jun16 May29 May05 (asmussen steve)TORRES A 123 4.50 5% 17.20    
ROCKALL Sep02 Jul24 May27 Feb17   (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MEET GEORGE JETSON Sep25 Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 (johnston lan)ALBERT S 123 15.00    
 
FG-4   11/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACK SHACK Sep28 Sep03 Aug23 Dec04 Nov25 (rivelli l)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
BROADWAY PEARL Aug14 Jun19 May30 May07 Feb28 (mouton patrick)GRAHAM J 114 20.00    
SKYKAT Nov04 Sep11 Jul01 Jun09 May29 (cravens ronni)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
QUINN MURPHY Jul29 Jul17 Jun18 Jun05 Mar08 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  CAVE CREEK Oct19 Oct07 Aug12 Aug03 Jul01 (dussette al)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
FADED MEMORIES Oct11 May21 Apr01 Mar17 Mar05 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
XCARET Nov03 Oct11 Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 (guillory jr)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00 9% 9.70    
MY LITTLE JEN Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 May18 Apr28 (richards corale )GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00    
SCR  HOT DAME Oct10 Sep20 Aug20 Aug05 Jul13 (hernandez javie)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
10  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Sep11 Aug20 Jul03 Jan13 Sep27 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 8% 11.80    
11  ANGEL OF VERDUN Oct13 Sep11 Aug12 Aug03 Jun02 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 27% 2.60    
12  SEAWARD Oct25 Oct03 Sep14 Aug16 Aug05 (hernandez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
 
FG-5   11/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Joseph Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POP'S PEPPYSTEPER Nov03 Oct06 Jun17     (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RISING KOTO STAR Oct13 Aug05 Jul20     (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
EL DINERO Oct13 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17   (devereux jr)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
WESTERN AFLEET Nov09 Aug19 Aug05 Jun05   (venzor jailinne)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
PRODIGY PARADISE Oct06         (calhoun b)LANERIE J 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Nov03 Oct06       (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 117 4.50    
STOVALL Nov09 Oct13 Aug29     (breaux samuel)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00    
BLAME ME SERIOUSLY         (wilson sha)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00    
A THOUSAND DOLLARS Sep09 Aug05       (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
 
FG-6   11/18/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF THE PALACE Sep29 Aug20 Jul17     (tracy tanner)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROCK N ROLL BOLT Aug04 Jul02       (camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
HOT WINGS Oct14         (correas ign)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
DO YOUR JOB Sep02 Jul30 Jul12     (asmussen steve)TORRES A 120 6.00    
SUGAR HOOK         (amoss m)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
OY VEY Oct20         (cox h)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 8% 11.30    
MALIBU RAIN Oct15 Aug26 Jul30 Jul09   (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 120 4.50 5% 18.10    
CABERNAYDO         (casse mark)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY Oct29 Oct07 Aug20     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 35% 1.80    
10  NORWICH Sep29         (devaux cherie)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  CARRY THE FLAG         (courville ri)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
12  LAST ATTACK Sep13         (gelner j)PARKER L 120 15.00    
13  FINISH THE MISSION Oct18         (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
SCR  NOTORIOUS Oct20         (stidham mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
SCR  GAVEL Sep03         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
SCR  SHARP STRIKE         (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00    
 
FG-7   11/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jacob Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODS N WATER Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 May19 Apr21 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 118 6.00 8% 11.70    
BEHEMAH STAR Sep15 Jul08 May06 Mar26 Feb04 (wilson shane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 13% 6.50    
BUDRO TALKING Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 May25 May05 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
COSMIC TRAIN Aug11 Jun23 May19 May05 Mar26 (delhomme jerry)MELANCON G 118 12.00    
DRILLING REPORT Jul07 Jun02 Apr21 Mar12 Feb20 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
MANGUM Oct06 Aug05 Jul08 Jun03 Mar25 (delhomme jeff)LANERIE J 121 4.50 8% 11.30    
WHO TOOK THE MONEY Oct06 Mar04 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 (calhoun br)PARKER L 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT Aug05 Jun03 May06 Mar25 Feb25 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 117 5.00    
HIGHLAND CREEK Oct20 Jun03 May06 Mar26 Mar04 (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 124 8.00    
 
FG-8   11/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAMBLE BAY Oct06 Jul27 Jul08 May20 Apr21 (falcone n)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
TASWEYA Oct18 Aug27 Jul19 Jun21 May09 (walsh brenda)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00    
ROSE PALACE Oct21 Jul21 Jun24 Apr27 Mar26 (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 18.50    
CREATIVE CAIRO Oct15 Sep16 Aug12 Nov12 Oct20 (schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
TUFANI Sep09 Jul15 Jun24 May24 Apr15 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 117 4.00 9% 9.80    
MUSICAL SCORE Oct26 Sep16 Aug05 May06   (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00 16% 5.30    
RUSSIAN MAFIA Sep03 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 May31 (rodriguez eduardo)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
TRYINMYHEARTOUT Sep02 Jul21 Jun22 Jun03 May13 (wilson shane)PARKER L 117 8.00    
PRESENT MOMENT (IRE) Oct09 Sep07 Jul08 Jun08 Apr23 (beckman whit)TORRES A 120 8.00    
10  YANKEE DOLLAR Oct05 Sep20 Aug06 Jul27 Jun21 (vitali marcus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 49% 1.00    
11  SWEET CHABLIS Aug12 Jul08 Apr27 Mar25 Feb18 (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 117 15.00    
12  LADY JEOPARDY Aug27 Jul08 Jun10 Mar26 Feb11 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
13  ROYA Sep29 Aug26 Jul31 Jun10 May21 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 30.00    
 
FG-9   11/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Larry Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKE J Aug05 Jul15 Jun03 Apr19 Mar05 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 118 5.00    
HELAIRE Aug05 May07 Mar01 Jan28 Jan07 (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
SCR  HALF AGAIN Sep12 Aug05 Jun25 May27 May06 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 118 30.00    
SCOOTERIA Aug27 Jul14 Mar26 Feb17   (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MANGUM Oct06 Aug05 Jul08 Jun03 Mar25 (delhomme jef)ALBERT S 122 4.00    
LANGS DAY Oct20 Mar05 Feb16 Feb04 Dec20 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 118 4.50    
JAX MAN Jul15 Feb02 Dec10 Aug04 Jun04 (david b)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Oct06 Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 (husak j)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
BLACK SWORD Oct26 Aug05 Jun03 May06 Apr19 (averett ronnie)LANERIE J 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
10  JACK HAMMER Feb25 Feb04 Dec31 Nov19   (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 116 6.00 51% 1.00    
11  RANCH BADGE Mar24 Mar01 Feb06 Jan15   (hodges jame)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 30.00    
SCR  BERTIE'S GALAXY Jun03 May06 Mar25 Dec10 Nov19 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00    
SCR  UNIFIED REPORT Dec10 Nov19 Oct28 Sep08 Jul02 (stewart dall)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
 
FG-10   11/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUND CONTROL         (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 8.00    
MOION Jul01 Jun03       (scherer gary)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SACRED SAINT         (asmussen steve)TORRES A 120 6.00 32% 2.20    
MO DIVA         (stall albert)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
PLATINUM MINIT Sep21 Aug20       (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
SCR  GOOD N SASSY Nov17 Oct13       (henry eric)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
OUR INDIAN GIRL Sep10         (hargrave kenneth)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 30.00    
COUNTRY BELLE Aug26 Aug06       (duke steven)MURRAY M 120 20.00    
UNDERCOVER GIRL         (cox h)LANERIE J 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
10  ABOUT TO SET SAIL         (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
SCR  NO FEAR (IRE) Nov04         (bourgeois ke)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
12  A MISS DEAMEANOR Sep10         (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
13  OUR LAST HALF Aug06 Jul17 Jun25     (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.