Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-2   WIN (7/12/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $27.40 $17.40 174%
    EXA (7/12/5/8/2)-(7/12/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-2 $202.20 $182.20 911%
    TRI (7/12/5/8/2)-(7/12/5/8/2)-(7/12/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-2-8 $788.25 $758.25 2528%
LAD-7   WIN (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    EXA (8/9/2)-(8/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  9-2 $7.10 $1.10 18%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   09/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JERSEY DOLL 6 4 11 11½   11 11½ (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 5.10  
5  NICELY UNIFIED 5 6 63½ 63¼   42½ 21½ (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 117 4.50 7.00  
10  LONG SHOT LOUISE 10 5 52½ 41¾   21 32 (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 25% 2.90 2.30 S
9  LAST PENALTY 9 7 74½ 74¼   52¾ 42½ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 25% 2.90 8.00  
1  E R'S MIREYA 1 1 32 31½   31 52¾ (ramirez julio)RAMIREZ JULIO 116 3.50 3.70  
3  SHORT STACK 3 8 87½ 97¾   87¾ 69 (player fletche)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 6% 15.10 7.50  
2  SHARE THE DOE 2 2 21 21½   64¾ 79¾ (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 116 10.00 33.00  
7  SHESTHEBIGGAME 7 3 42½ 52¾   76¾ 812¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 6% 16.20 7.80  
4  LIL PARTY CRASHER 4 9 97¾ 87¼   99¾ 912½ (garza joaquin )MUNOZ SERGIO 120 20.00 97.00  
8  HIDDEN CHARGE 8 10 1017¾ 1022¾   1029¾ 1058¼ (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 15.00 13% 6.70 33.80  
 
LAD-2   09/10/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:112 1:23   1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PREMIUM 5 7 84¼ 43½   1nk 11¾ (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 8.00 11% 7.90 12.70 W
2  CRIMSON STORM 2 8 42½ 32½   3½ 21¾ (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 122 20.00 5% 19.00 5.50 P
8  BELLO CREEDO 8 1 11 11½   2nk 32 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.10 S
4  ZULTAN 4 2 21 21½   43½ 47½ (modica oscar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 3.00  
7  CREME DE BALI 7 4 74¼ 85¼   56½ 59½ (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 37% 1.70 6.90  
3  DECLARE WAR 3 11 1110¼ 119¾   912¼ 613¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 25.00 14.00  
1  UNCLE BRAD 1 9 107¼ 96¾   89¼ 713¾ (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 117 10.00 17.40  
11  BIG ACE 10 5 52½ 75   68½ 814¼ (richard russ)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 30.00 26.60  
9  MORO MAFIA 9 3 31½ 54½   79 914½ (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 118 15.00 57.40  
6  OXXON 6 10 96¼ 107¾   1013¾ 1017¾ (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 122 25.00 41.80  
12  CURLIN EDGES 11 6 62¾ 65   1115¼ 1121¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 27% 2.70 3.00  
SCR  CHICKEN TRUCK               (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 4.50    
SCR  OPTIMUS KAT               (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
SCR  STOCKPILER               (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 30.00    
 
LAD-3   09/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:141 1:401   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ARCTIC ROSE 5 4 35 35 3.2 13 1¾ (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 122 6.00 3.00  
1  COOL INDIVIDUAL 1 3 69 68 63¼ 23 2¾ (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.20 P
6  STEAL IT BACK 6 5 48 58 53¼ 34 34½ (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 122 8.00 11.70  
2  PAYDAY TOO 2 6 59 46 42¼ 44½ 45¼ (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 122 2.00 28% 2.60 3.90  
3  SENATOR CON 3 1 22 23 2nk 55 59¼ (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 20% 3.90 4.50  
4  DONNA'S COURT 4 2 12 13 1nk 68 615½ (singh darla )MEDELLIN ERICK 122 12.00 22.10  
 
LAD-4   09/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:214 :443       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JAKE THE BAND MAN 2 1 12 12   13 1nk (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 ★ 2.90  
3  THE GREEN MO'STER 3 4 33 32½   23 2nk (singh )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 9% 10.40 8.50 P
10  AFLEET ASCENT 8 8 75¼ 64½   56 31¾ (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.00 S
5  TACTICAL PRIORITY 4 5 54 43   45 42 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 112 6.00 6.10  
6  ANALYZER 5 7 86¼ 76½   76½ 52¼ (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 36.60  
1  HURRICANE TIZWAY 1 2 22 22   34 62¾ (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 117 4.50 5% 19.00 5.10  
12  CABOT 10 6 65 54   66½ 74¼ (hewitt michael)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 7.10  
11  KING OF THE COURT 9 9 98¼ 98½   89½ 86¼ (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 56% 0.80 6.40  
9  MORRICONE 7 3 44 88½   913½ 913½ (villafranco mar)MCMAHON J 117 12.00 24.00  
8  TAPPIN FORA DANCE 6 10 1013¼ 1018½   1028½ 1048¾ (romero j)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 30.00 44.20  
SCR  PLATINUM EQUITY               (lorefice matt)STOKES J 120 30.00    
SCR  TRIPPER JOHN               (lorefice)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
 
LAD-5   09/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:122     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOULDERING 1 8 73¼ 2nk   13 16½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 4.20  
7  JAMAICAN ME 6 9 97¾ 96   56 26½ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 15.00 9% 9.70 5.50 P
2  SHADY GRADY 2 1 31 51¼   35 38¼ (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 22.10  
9  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS 8 5 2nk 1nk   23 48¾ (terre david)ROSIER R 122 6.00 18% 4.70 3.70  
3  DOUBLE PRIORITY 3 2 51¾ 73   46 511 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00 31.50  
5  FORGED IN STEEL 5 7 84¾ 84   89¼ 611¾ (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 16% 5.30 9.50  
8  PERFECT TOM 7 4 41½ 4¼   78¼ 716½ (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00 16.40  
10  OSCAR CHOICE 9 3 1nk 3.2   68 818¾ (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 20.00 52.20  
4  RISKTAKER 4 6 62¼ 62¾   99¼ 925¾ (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00 26% 2.90 1.40  
SCR  ONE MORE SLEEP               (magnon jason)POMPELL L 118 4.50    
 
LAD-6   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :463 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MAJESTIQUE JOUR 10 5 53¼ 41½   12 15¾ (devereux patr)VARGAS P 118 10.00 9.20  
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of GREAT MAJESTIC by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
9  TOMMIE G 9 3 31 3½   22 25¾ (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 20.00 9.60  
  (by COURT VISION out of ADRIANNE G by INDYGO SHINER)
7  BUCKSKIN JERRY 7 1 1nk 1½   32 37¼ (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 118 3.50 12% 7.20 9.10 S
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BUCKSKIN DOLL by DIXIE UNION)
6  A MISS DEAMEANOR 6 4 41¼ 51¾   54¼ 49¾ (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.00 6% 16.20 5.30  
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of A RUNNIN POP by SCREEN IDOL)
1  EVERLOVINGDEAL 1 8 86¼ 64¾   65¼ 511 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00 ★ 3.60  
  (by EL DEAL out of FLORIDA KEYS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  OVERCAST 8 2 2nk 2½   44 612 (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 118 2.50 60% 0.70 1.80  
  (by SKY MESA out of NOVIQUE by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  OUR INDIAN GIRL 4 9 96½ 75¾   78¼ 714 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 10.00 20.60  
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of SORCERER'S APPEAL by SORCERER'S STONE)
5  BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY 5 6 65¼ 86¾   812¼ 822 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 118 30.00 46.80  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
2  BIG STAR BABY 2 10 109½ 109¾   915¼ 927½ (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 8.00 9.20  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BIG GAME BABY by GOLD TRIBUTE)
3  INEZ 3 7 75¼ 98¾   1016¼ 1029 (nixon w)TORRES HUGO 113 30.00 5% 19.00 41.30  
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of TENSAS CIEL by LEESTOWN)
 
LAD-7   09/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:214 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  EVE'S DELIGHT 7 1 32 32   22 11¾ (goins garl)ALBERT S 114 3.50 5% 17.30 2.90 W
2  LAKE MARIE 2 3 1nk 11   12 21¾ (munoz yo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 0.70 P
1  HEATED ARGUMENT 1 5 53 43   34 34½ (gonzalez jaime )POMPELL L 122 15.00 20.80  
3  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN 3 4 42½ 54½   44½ 46½ (duhon paul)BOREL H 122 8.00 20.60  
6  COUNTRY LADY 5 7 63½ 65½   55½ 57 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 110 15.00 7.10  
8  MICHELLES LIL STAR 6 6 73¾ 76   76 69 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 115 3.00 68% 0.50 9.70  
4  DROP DEAD SEXY 4 2 2nk 21   66 714¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00 13.00  
SCR  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS               (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
SCR  SHE A HOT MESS               (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
SCR  SUMMER LIGHTNING               (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.