Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (9/10/8/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/3/7)-(9/10/8/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/3/7)-(9/10/8/3/7)-(9/10/8/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/8/3/7)-(7/12/5/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/10/8/3/7)-(7/12/5/8/2)-(1/2/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-2   WIN (7/12/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/12/5/8/2)-(7/12/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/12/5/8/2)-(7/12/5/8/2)-(7/12/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/12/5/8/2)-(1/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/12/5/8/2)-(1/2/3)-(11/3/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(11/3/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(11/3/1/10)-(4/9/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (11/3/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/1/10)-(11/3/1/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/3/1/10)-(11/3/1/2/10)-(11/3/1/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/3/1/10)-(4/9/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/3/1/10)-(4/9/5/7)-(8/7/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-5   WIN (4/9/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/7)-(4/9/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/7)-(4/9/5/7)-(4/9/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/5/7)-(8/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/5/7)-(8/7/6/3)-(8/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (8/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/1/3)-(8/7/6/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/6/3)-(8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/2)-(8/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/9/2)-(8/9/2)-(8/9/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E R'S MIREYA Aug28 Aug06 Jul09 Sep19 Jul26 (ramirez julio)RAMIREZ JULIO 116 3.50    
2  SHARE THE DOE Aug28 Aug12 Mar18 Feb11   (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 116 10.00    
3  SHORT STACK         (player fletche)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 6% 15.10    
4  LIL PARTY CRASHER Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 Jul01   (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00    
5  NICELY UNIFIED Aug13 Jul29 Jul14 May27 Dec02 (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 117 4.50    
6  JERSEY DOLL Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 Apr29   (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
7  SHESTHEBIGGAME Sep02 Jul20 Jun11 May30 Apr21 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 6% 16.20    
8  HIDDEN CHARGE         (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 15.00 13% 6.70    
9  LAST PENALTY Aug29 Aug05 Jul08 Jun01 May11 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
10  LONG SHOT LOUISE Aug28 Jul09 Jun04 May14 Apr15 (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
LAD-2   09/10/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE BRAD Aug19 Jun24 Jun04 May13 Feb16 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 117 10.00    
2  CRIMSON STORM Aug29 Aug04 Jul07 Jun11 Apr26 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DECLARE WAR Aug29 Jul31 Jun25 Jun05 May20 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 25.00    
4  ZULTAN Aug04 Jul15 Jun12 May19 Oct15 (modica oscar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50    
5  PREMIUM Jul31 Jun26 Jun04 May14 Apr29 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 8.00 11% 7.90    
6  OXXON Jun11 May08 Feb25 Feb09 Jun13 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 122 25.00    
7  CREME DE BALI Jul31 Jun03 May07 Mar03 Feb10 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
8  BELLO CREEDO Aug11 Jul28 Jul08 Jun12 May20 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MORO MAFIA Jul03 May13 Feb03 Dec16 Nov25 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 118 15.00    
SCR  CHICKEN TRUCK Aug29 Aug04 Jul08 May19 Apr29 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 4.50    
11  BIG ACE Aug12 Aug04 Jun02 May05 Jan27 (richard russ)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 30.00    
12  CURLIN EDGES Aug06 May21 Dec04 Oct26 Sep26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  STOCKPILER Aug29 Aug12 Jul17 Jun22 Jun10 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 30.00    
SCR  OPTIMUS KAT Aug19 Jun24 Jun02 Mar05 Feb26 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
 
LAD-3   09/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL INDIVIDUAL Aug11 Jul06 May20 May03 Apr15 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  PAYDAY TOO Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr14 (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  SENATOR CON Jul30 Jul03 May29 May15 Sep27 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  DONNA'S COURT Aug21 Jun25 Jun12 May07 Feb16 (singh darla )MEDELLIN ERICK 122 12.00    
5  ARCTIC ROSE Aug03 Jun09 Apr22 Mar24 Mar08 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 122 6.00    
6  STEAL IT BACK Jul30 Jun17 May18 Mar24 Mar04 (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 122 8.00    
 
LAD-4   09/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE TIZWAY Aug26 Aug06 Jul03 Jun18 May29 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  JAKE THE BAND MAN Aug13 Jul24 Jul08 May30 Feb02 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 ★    
3  THE GREEN MO'STER Aug21 Jul24 Nov24 Sep27 Aug14 (singh )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  TRIPPER JOHN Jul14 Jun18 May28 May06 Jan20 (lorefice)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
5  TACTICAL PRIORITY Aug20 Jul27 Jun15 May26 Apr14 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 112 6.00    
6  ANALYZER Jul29 Jul04 Jun18 Feb03 Jan15 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00    
SCR  PLATINUM EQUITY Jul29 Jul10 May28 Apr25 Apr01 (lorefice matt)STOKES J 120 30.00    
8  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Jun19 May30 May04 Apr14 Mar16 (romero j)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 30.00    
9  MORRICONE Aug12 Jul04 May30 May08 Mar12 (villafranco mar)MCMAHON J 117 12.00    
10  AFLEET ASCENT Aug04 Jul22 Jun29 May29 May04 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  KING OF THE COURT Jul04 May14 Mar19 Feb11 Jan05 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 56% 0.80    
12  CABOT Aug21 Jul24 Mar04 Feb20 Jan20 (hewitt michael)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
 
LAD-5   09/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOULDERING Aug12 Jul13 Jun18 May03 Apr07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
2  SHADY GRADY Aug29 Jul31 Jul01 Jun11 May20 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
3  DOUBLE PRIORITY Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 May22 Feb16 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00    
4  RISKTAKER Aug14 Jul23 Jun26 May22 May06 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  FORGED IN STEEL Jul28 Jun15 May19 Apr26 Mar04 (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  ONE MORE SLEEP Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jun30 Jun09 (magnon jason)POMPELL L 118 4.50    
7  JAMAICAN ME Aug10 Jul07 Jun10 May10 Apr14 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 15.00 9% 9.70    
8  PERFECT TOM Aug29 Aug13 Jul22 Jul03 Jun23 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
9  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Aug14 Jul13 Jun09 May10 Apr26 (terre david)ROSIER R 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
10  OSCAR CHOICE Aug29 Aug14 Jul23 Jun18 Oct29 (ramirez ros)RODRIQUEZ JARIO 122 20.00    
 
LAD-6   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVERLOVINGDEAL         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00 ★    
  (by EL DEAL out of FLORIDA KEYS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  BIG STAR BABY         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 8.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BIG GAME BABY by GOLD TRIBUTE)
3  INEZ         (nixon w)TORRES HUGO 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of TENSAS CIEL by LEESTOWN)
4  OUR INDIAN GIRL         (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 10.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of SORCERER'S APPEAL by SORCERER'S STONE)
5  BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Jun16   (alberto anto)MAGNON H 118 30.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
6  A MISS DEAMEANOR         (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.00 6% 16.20    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of A RUNNIN POP by SCREEN IDOL)
7  BUCKSKIN JERRY Aug04 Jul14       (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 118 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BUCKSKIN DOLL by DIXIE UNION)
8  OVERCAST Aug26 Aug06 Jul17     (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by SKY MESA out of NOVIQUE by BELLAMY ROAD)
9  TOMMIE G Aug06         (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of ADRIANNE G by INDYGO SHINER)
10  MAJESTIQUE JOUR         (devereux patr)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of GREAT MAJESTIC by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
LAD-7   09/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEATED ARGUMENT Jun09 May13 Apr30 Mar31 Mar04 (gonzalez jaime )POMPELL L 122 15.00    
2  LAKE MARIE Aug05 May08 Mar01 Jan16 Nov18 (munoz yo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN Mar25 Feb04 Jan16 Nov30 Sep25 (duhon paul)BOREL H 122 8.00    
4  DROP DEAD SEXY Jul24 Jun17 May08 Mar26 Feb04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
SCR  SUMMER LIGHTNING Jul21 Jun11 May21 Apr29 Apr02 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
6  COUNTRY LADY Aug04 Jun01 May11 Apr13 Mar08 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 110 15.00    
SCR  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS May26 Apr14 Feb18 Dec26 Dec07 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
8  MICHELLES LIL STAR Mar15 Feb04 Dec29 Nov18   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 115 3.00 68% 0.50    
9  EVE'S DELIGHT Aug27 Aug05 Jul01 Jun22 Jun03 (goins garl)ALBERT S 114 3.50 5% 17.30    
SCR  SHE A HOT MESS Jul30 Jun24 May13 Jan12 Sep19 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.