Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-7   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-6 $18.30 $12.30 205%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   08/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:16 1:43   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AVERI EVER AFTER 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 12½ (duke steven)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00 4.30  
4  ANN'S STORM 3 3 31 42 41¾ 32 22½ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 16% 5.10 3.00 P
6  BRI 5 4 41 3½ 3.2 1nk 32¾ (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 31% 2.20 2.40 S
5  BEAUX TOX 4 6 67 54 52¾ 43 43 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 21% 3.80 2.40  
2  EMMAS RULER 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 54½ 53¼ (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 5.10  
7  MEG AND CLAIR 6 5 54 64¼ 67¾ 610½ 622¾ (gomez jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 12.00 38.40  
SCR  REALITOS               (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
 
LAD-2   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  B W P SPIRIT 12 3 3.2 11   12 14¼ (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 2.70  
9  AMERICAN SMOOTH 8 6 52¼ 32   22 24¼ (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00 ★ 8.80 P
5  CHIEF CHEETAH 5 11 94¾ 74¼   34 36 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.50 12% 7.20 3.00 S
1  LET'S GO RANDOM 1 8 41¼ 53   45½ 411 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00 23.90  
4  MIDNIGHT OIL 4 7 83¾ 95¼   67½ 514¼ (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 22.00  
10  CLERIC 9 5 105¼ 128½   89 615 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 124 20.00 67.30  
8  WESLEYAN 7 10 62¾ 42   56½ 715¾ (martin kevin)BOREL H 124 20.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
6  WINGS FOR ENO 6 1 2nk 64   99 816½ (payne w)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 9.40  
12  OBVIOUSLY TOO 11 4 73¾ 21   78½ 916¾ (hornsby tammy)VARGAS P 124 15.00 7% 13.10 19.30  
11  J'S LITTLE MAN 10 9 1110¼ 107¼   109½ 1017¼ (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 23.20  
3  F J'S GEM 3 12 1211¼ 85¼   119¾ 1118¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 22.40  
2  LI MU BAI (IRE) 2 2 1nk 117½   1211¾ 1223½ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 54% 0.80 3.70  
SCR  COASTAL CHAOS               (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
SCR  FLY'N SEXY               (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
 
LAD-3   08/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:141 1:404   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SAENZ 4 1 11 11 14 15 16½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 11% 8.00 1.40 W
10  SAINT KENNEDY 10 9 97¾ 97¾ 57½ 35½ 26½ (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 25.00 29.80  
8  J Z'S FIRST 8 10 1112¼ 1112¾ 1012 47½ 39¼ (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 122 15.00 19.60  
3  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL 3 5 21 21 24 25 411 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00 9.00  
7  MUMBLEBEE 7 3 63½ 87¼ 78½ 58½ 511½ (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 11% 7.90 8.10  
11  CHROME SAVAGE 11 11 1011¾ 1010¾ 910 710½ 615½ (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 6% 16.40 13.90  
6  ISOLATION 6 8 73¾ 53 68½ 68½ 716½ (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 114 5.00 14% 6.00 14.20  
12  GEORGIA DAWN 12 2 41½ 42½ 89½ 811½ 819 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 10.00 6.40  
9  BEYOND THE HYPE 9 6 84¾ 76¼ 47 912 923 (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 8.00 32.00  
1  DIXIE LOVING 1 12 1215¼ 1214¾ 1215 1112¾ 1027 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 77.80  
5  FROSTY FLIRT 5 4 31½ 31 36 1012½ 1135½ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 36% 1.80 4.70  
2  SHE'S MY PRIORITY 2 7 52½ 63¼ 1113 1222¾ 1270¼ (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 65.80  
 
LAD-4   08/26/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:214 :443       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUSHED COURT ROOM 1 8 85 75¼   52¾ 1¼ (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 18% 4.50 2.80 W
4  HURRICANE TIZWAY 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 10.50  
2  FIRINGTOTHEFRONT 2 7 42 31   3½ 32¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 3.90  
9  HARRIET'S DREAM 8 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 43¼ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 38% 1.60 1.60  
6  GANGSTER RAP 5 9 98 96¼   83½ 54¼ (hurley tina )MAGNON H 122 20.00 25.70  
3  COLD NIGHT AIR 3 5 63½ 64¼   63¼ 66½ (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 25.60  
7  TRACK SMART 6 3 52½ 54   73¼ 76¾ (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00 16% 5.30 7.10  
10  THINKITASADONATION 9 6 74 85¼   95 89 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
8  CHARLIE'S PEAK 7 2 31 42   42½ 911 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 10.00 25.90  
SCR  SUMMERJUSTBET HER               (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
 
LAD-5   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KENTUCKY CAJUN 4 1 11 11½   13 12¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00 7.20  
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of SHELLY'S HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
5  OVERCAST 5 2 32 33   23 22¼ (jeansonne justi)TORRES HUGO 118 2.50 57% 0.70 1.00 P
  (by SKY MESA out of NOVIQUE by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  SHE BADGER 6 7 43½ 43½   35 39¾ (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50 14.60  
  (by MASTERY out of WINNING SAGA by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  COUNTRY BELLE 9 3 54½ 53½   55½ 412½ (duke steven)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 15.00 24.80  
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of BACKSIDE BLACKIE by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  COMMUNICATIONISKEY 8 8 74¾ 65½   67½ 518¼ (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.50 6% 16.90 4.90  
  (by EL DEAL out of TIZ A' GREELEY by TIZNOW)
1  MISS NIMBUS 1 4 21 21½   45½ 618¾ (alfortish )ALBERT S 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MISS INCLINED by PULPIT)
7  C C LLAM 7 9 97¾ 88½   89½ 720¾ (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00 57.90  
  (by ASTROLOGY out of FLASHY PRODUCT by RUN PRODUCTION)
2  DISCREET DEAL 2 6 64½ 76½   79 827 (reeves a)ROSIER R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 50.30  
  (by EL DEAL out of DISCREET CONTEST by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  GIGI'S LUV 3 5 87¾ 911½   911½ 928¾ (duhon o)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 5.70  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of EVENING MUSE by INVASOR (ARG))
 
LAD-6   08/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:151 1:422   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NOBLE CONNECTION 9 7 2nk 1nk 12 12 18½ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 11% 8.50 1.60 W
4  RED OCTOBER 4 9 103 104½ 75½ 54½ 28½ (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
6  THINKINGNDRINKING 6 5 93 93½ 64½ 34 39 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 14.80  
10  PROSPECTOR'S POINT 10 4 62¼ 72 44 44½ 410¼ (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00 24.20  
5  SHOETRICK 5 8 118 116½ 85¾ 75¼ 510¼ (brinkman bret)VARGAS P 124 3.50 35% 1.90 5.00  
8  MR CANDIDO 8 2 51¾ 2nk 33 22 611¾ (del eri)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 25.00 53.80  
11  ROYAL DE BE 11 1 1nk 5¾ 22 65 713½ (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 21.90  
3  LEVY BILL 3 3 72¼ 61¾ 95¾ 88¼ 814¾ (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 30.00 57.60  
1  VERO CAMPIONE 1 11 3.2 4¾ 106¼ 99¼ 918 (duke steve)ALBERT S 116 5.00 11% 8.30 8.00  
7  WINNING DANCE 7 6 41¼ 3½ 54 109¼ 1020¼ (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 31.50  
2  FLYING CAROLINA 2 10 82½ 83 118¼ 11100 11100 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 21% 3.70 3.90  
SCR  ANGOLA VACATION               (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 116 12.00    
SCR  SEEKING CHROME               (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00    
SCR  WILD FIST               (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 121 30.00    
 
LAD-7   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:23 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TENSAS CANDY 7 6 76 64½   22 14¼ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.00 57% 0.80 2.80 W
6  MISS TARGET 5 2 11 12   12 24¼ (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 6% 16.90 3.70 P
4  RUN NATALIE RUN 3 5 54 53½   42½ 34¼ (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 5.00 8.60  
1  SCRAPBOOK 1 1 32 33   53 46¼ (beavin judy)POMPELL L 122 6.00 13.50  
2  DANCE LIL DARLING 2 4 43 22   32½ 58¾ (garcia lu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 5.50  
5  A RUNNIN AFLEET 4 7 65½ 76½   66 610½ (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
7  SHES A LUCKY REBEL 6 3 21 43   78 714½ (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 2.00  
SCR  AGAMI               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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