Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/5/12/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/5/12/8)-(5/6/7/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (2/5/12/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/12/8)-(2/5/12/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/12/8)-(2/5/12/9/8)-(2/5/12/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/12/8)-(5/6/7/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/12/8)-(5/6/7/4/11)-(9/1/7/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/6/7/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4/11)-(5/6/7/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4/11)-(5/6/7/4/11)-(5/6/7/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4/11)-(9/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4/11)-(9/1/7/10)-(5/8/1/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (9/1/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/10)-(9/1/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/10)-(9/1/7/10)-(9/1/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/7/10)-(5/8/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/7/10)-(5/8/1/2)-(5/2/1/9/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/2)-(5/2/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/2)-(5/2/1/9/4)-(8/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-6   WIN (5/2/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/9/4)-(5/2/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/9/4)-(5/2/1/9/4)-(5/2/1/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/1/9/4)-(8/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/5)-(8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REALITOS Jun19 May15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
2  EMMAS RULER Jun19 Feb17 Feb04 Dec22 Nov22 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50    
3  AVERI EVER AFTER Jul01 Jun10 May21 Mar17 Feb17 (duke steven)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00    
4  ANN'S STORM Jul07 Jun10 May04 Apr21 Apr08 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
5  BEAUX TOX Jun12 May22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan28 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
6  BRI Jul02 Jun12 May11 Apr13 Feb28 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
7  MEG AND CLAIR Jun10 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 (gomez jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 12.00    
 
LAD-2   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO RANDOM Jul13 Jun30 Jun02 May03 Apr20 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00    
2  LI MU BAI (IRE) Jul31 Jun25 May26 Mar18 Feb24 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 54% 0.80    
3  F J'S GEM Apr22 Apr14 Mar05 Feb16 Jan27 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
4  MIDNIGHT OIL Aug10 Jul28 Jun08 Mar15 Feb11 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
5  CHIEF CHEETAH Aug12 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 Jul06 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.50 12% 7.20    
6  WINGS FOR ENO Jul31 Jul02 Jun17 Jun08 May27 (payne w)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00    
SCR  COASTAL CHAOS Jul22 Jun30 May15 Apr19 Mar10 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
8  WESLEYAN Aug12 Apr28 Apr14 Mar30 Mar11 (martin kevin)BOREL H 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  AMERICAN SMOOTH Aug12 Jun24 May29 May14 Apr30 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00 ★    
10  CLERIC Jul29 Jun24 May29 Feb23 Jan27 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 124 20.00    
11  J'S LITTLE MAN Jul29 Jun24 May29 May05 Apr23 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 119 8.00    
12  OBVIOUSLY TOO Jul31 Jun11 May20 May05 Apr23 (hornsby tammy)VARGAS P 124 15.00 7% 13.10    
13  B W P SPIRIT Aug10 Jul29 May26 May05 Apr22 (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
SCR  FLY'N SEXY Jun22 Jun10 May13 Apr21 Mar31 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
 
LAD-3   08/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE LOVING Jan26 Dec28 Dec15 Oct27 Sep06 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
2  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Jun29 Jun09 May27 May05 Apr15 (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
3  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Jul29 Jun19 Jun05 Apr28 Mar26 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
4  SAENZ Jun10 May06 Mar25 Jan28 Dec19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 11% 8.00    
5  FROSTY FLIRT Jul29 Jul17 Jun25 Jun05 May07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 36% 1.80    
6  ISOLATION Jun16 Jun01 Apr28 Mar17 Jan12 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 114 5.00 14% 6.00    
7  MUMBLEBEE Jul17 Jun18 Jun05 May04 Mar26 (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
8  J Z'S FIRST Aug12 Jul14 Jun09 Nov18 Oct27 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 122 15.00    
9  BEYOND THE HYPE Jun19 Jun05 Feb11 Dec09 Nov03 (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 8.00    
10  SAINT KENNEDY Aug03 Jul03 Jun05 May21 Sep19 (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 25.00    
11  CHROME SAVAGE Jul17 Jun10 May21 Apr21 Jan07 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 6% 16.40    
12  GEORGIA DAWN Jul14 Jun08 May18 Apr28 Feb04 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 10.00    
 
LAD-4   08/26/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUSHED COURT ROOM Aug03 Jul20 May29 May21 Apr01 (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Jul21 Jun01 Mar12 Sep24 Jul30 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50    
3  COLD NIGHT AIR May28 Apr21 Mar26 Feb20 Jan27 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00    
4  HURRICANE TIZWAY Aug06 Jul03 Jun18 May29 Feb17 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
SCR  SUMMERJUSTBET HER Jul15 Jun29 Mar12 Jan28 Dec30 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
6  GANGSTER RAP Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 Jun02 May14 (hurley tina )MAGNON H 122 20.00    
7  TRACK SMART Aug12 Jul04 May28 Feb24 Dec27 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00 16% 5.30    
8  CHARLIE'S PEAK Aug05 Jul15 Jun01 May06 Jan16 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 10.00    
9  HARRIET'S DREAM Aug06 Jul15 May29 Feb20 Jan14 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 38% 1.60    
10  THINKITASADONATION Aug06 Jul09 Jul01 Jun18 May27 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS NIMBUS         (alfortish sean)GREEN AUBRIE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MISS INCLINED by PULPIT)
2  DISCREET DEAL         (reeves a)ROSIER R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of DISCREET CONTEST by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  GIGI'S LUV Aug06         (duhon o)MCMAHON J 118 5.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of EVENING MUSE by INVASOR (ARG))
4  KENTUCKY CAJUN         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00    
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of SHELLY'S HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
5  OVERCAST Aug06 Jul17       (jeansonne just)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.50 57% 0.70    
  (by SKY MESA out of NOVIQUE by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  SHE BADGER         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50    
  (by MASTERY out of WINNING SAGA by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  C C LLAM Aug04 Jun03 May13     (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of FLASHY PRODUCT by RUN PRODUCTION)
8  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Aug06 Jul17 Jun25     (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.50 6% 16.90    
  (by EL DEAL out of TIZ A' GREELEY by TIZNOW)
9  COUNTRY BELLE Aug06         (duke steven)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 15.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of BACKSIDE BLACKIE by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
LAD-6   08/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERO CAMPIONE Jul30 Jul08 May22 Mar22 Jan07 (duke steve)ALBERT S 116 5.00 11% 8.30    
2  FLYING CAROLINA Jul14 Jul04 Jun23 May19 Mar19 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
3  LEVY BILL Aug12 Jul24 Jun17     (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 30.00    
4  RED OCTOBER Jul13 May20 Apr28 Mar25 Mar08 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHOETRICK Jul28 Jul15 Jun08 May11 Apr21 (brinkman bret)VARGAS P 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  THINKINGNDRINKING Jul29 Jun19 May27 Apr23 Mar23 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
7  WINNING DANCE Jul24 Jun26 Jun10 Feb11 Jan20 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
8  MR CANDIDO Jul22 Jul08       (del eri)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 25.00    
9  NOBLE CONNECTION Jul08 Jun26 May29 May12 Apr14 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
10  PROSPECTOR'S POINT Aug12 Jun25 May27     (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
11  ROYAL DE BE Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 May27 Jan21 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00    
SCR  SEEKING CHROME Jul22 Jul08 Jun08 May20 Apr22 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00    
SCR  ANGOLA VACATION Aug05 Jul14 Jun22 Jun01 May10 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 116 12.00    
SCR  WILD FIST Jul27 Jun30 Jun08 May10 Feb09 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 121 30.00    
 
LAD-7   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCRAPBOOK Jul17 Feb11 Dec09 Nov04 Jul03 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
2  DANCE LIL DARLING Apr26 Apr08 Jan14 Nov26 Oct13 (garcia lu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00    
SCR  AGAMI May26 Apr29 Mar18 Feb25 Jan13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
4  RUN NATALIE RUN Jul02 Jun12 May22 May04 Apr14 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 5.00    
5  A RUNNIN AFLEET Jul20 May26 Mar15 Feb04 Dec22 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS TARGET Jun12 Apr14 Dec17 Nov26 Jul24 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 6% 16.90    
7  SHES A LUCKY REBEL Jun19 Jun03 Apr13 Mar15 Feb18 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50    
8  TENSAS CANDY Feb04 Dec10 Nov11 Oct14 Aug06 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.00 57% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.