The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Louisiana Downs
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $7.60 -8.00
    Exacta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-1 2 0 $14.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-1-7 3 0 $28.05 -12.00
LAD-2   Win (1/3/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -6.80
    Exacta (1/3/7/8/9)-(1/3/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 9-4 2 0 $24.40 -20.00
    Trifecta (1/3/7/8/9)-(1/3/7/8/9)-(1/3/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 9-4-8 3 0 $49.00 -30.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5/7)-(1/3/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 2-9 2 0 $11.30 -20.00
LAD-3   Win (5/7/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 5.00
    Exacta (5/7/8/10)-(3/5/7/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 8-10 2 1 $12.10 $12.10 -3.90
    Trifecta (5/7/8/10)-(3/5/7/8/10)-(3/5/7/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 8-10-6 3 0 $122.40 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/3/7/8/9)-(5/7/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 9-8 2 1 $13.50 $13.50 -6.50
    Pick Three (3/4/5/7)-(1/3/7/8/9)-(5/7/8/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 2-9-8 3 0 $34.20 -40.00
LAD-4   Win (2/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
    Exacta (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-3 2 0 $19.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-3-2 3 0 $32.95 -12.00
    Daily Double (5/7/8/10)-(2/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 8-7 2 1 $19.90 $19.90 3.90
    Pick Three (1/3/7/8/9)-(5/7/8/10)-(2/4/6/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 9-8-7 3 1 $15.85 $15.85 -24.15
LAD-5   Win (1/3/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $10.80 -10.00
    Exacta (1/3/4/8/9)-(1/3/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 12-8 2 0 $21.20 -20.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4/8/9)-(1/3/4/8/9)-(1/3/4/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 12-8-7 3 0 $171.75 -30.00
    Daily Double (2/4/6/7)-(1/3/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 7-12 2 0 $33.40 -20.00
    Pick Three (5/7/8/10)-(2/4/6/7)-(1/3/4/8/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 8-7-12 3 0 $61.20 -40.00
LAD-6   Win (1/2/3/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $14.40 $14.40 4.40
    Exacta (1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 3-6 2 1 $36.60 $36.60 16.60
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 3-6-5 3 0 $100.10 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4/8/9)-(1/2/3/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 12-3 2 0 $23.30 -25.00
    Pick Three (2/4/6/7)-(1/3/4/8/9)-(1/2/3/6/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 7-12-3 3 0 $91.50 -50.00
LAD-7   Win (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (2/4/8)-(2/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 8-4 2 1 $6.70 $6.70 0.70
    Trifecta (2/4/8)-(2/4/8)-(2/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 8-4-7 3 0 $11.65 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/6/8)-(2/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 3-8 2 1 $25.60 $25.60 10.60
    Pick Three (1/3/4/8/9)-(1/2/3/6/8)-(2/4/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 12-3-8 3 0 $35.50 -37.50
LAD-8   Win (1/3/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $14.40 $14.40 4.40
    Exacta (1/3/4/6/10)-(1/3/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 10-4 2 1 $66.90 $66.90 46.90
    Trifecta (1/3/4/6/10)-(1/3/4/6/10)-(1/3/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 10-4-7 3 0 $309.30 -30.00
    Daily Double (2/4/8)-(1/3/4/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 8-10 2 1 $27.50 $27.50 12.50
    Pick Three (1/2/3/6/8)-(2/4/8)-(1/3/4/6/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 3-8-10 3 1 $91.45 $91.45 53.95

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   07/29/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:221 :453 1:094 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINN MURPHY 2 7 7 8 8 21 12 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50 2.80  
FROSTY FLIRT 1 6 6 5 3.2 11 22 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 5.00 3.70  
LIL ASHLEY B. 7 8 8 7 5½ 83(pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.10 S
HISSY MISSY 3 1 43 6 6 31 4(hewitt )MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 10.00 7% 12.60 8.40  
CARPE HORSESHOE 8 5 54 3 4¼ 45(broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 2.90  
FLOWERSFORSHANTELL 6 3 32 4 7 668 (hornsby tammy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 14.00  
GANGSTER RAP 5 4 2nk 1½ 2nk 57(hurley ren)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 62% 0.60 10.40  
CALAJA 4 2 1nk 2½ 1nk 7829 (foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
 
LAD-2   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
:223 :462 :591     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLENN'S JUMPER 8 1 1nk 11   12 14 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 53% 0.90 0.60 W
OJITOS 3 2 2nk 21   424 (hewitt )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 10.00 32.20  
BAYOU BEAUX 7 6 31 31   22 3(ward r)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 19% 4.30 4.70 S
10  J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN 9 8 7 7   56 47 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50 9.70  
PLATINUM EQUITY 6 4 6 42   33 58 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.60  
HOMEVIEW 4 3 42 6   66(duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00 24.50  
HULEN 2 9 8 8   88 711¾ (gonzalez adrie)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 7% 13.40 4.70  
SONIC CITY 5 7 9 9   910 814¼ (borel renay)BOREL H 124 20.00 25.00  
ANALYZER 1 5 5 5   7915 (villafranco mar)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00 35.10  
SCR  TANGO CHARLIE               (pomier chas)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 15.00    
 
LAD-3   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
:224 :461 1:124     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY BOY GOES 7 4 3½ 1nk   12 1¾ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 W
10  STELLAR TAP 9 8 7 4   22 2¾ (savoie sherman)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.00 53% 0.90 0.40 P
J'S LITTLE MAN 5 9 98 8   44 3(martin e)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 73.50  
MAJOR CONTENDER 2 1 1½ 2nk   33 4(asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 3.90  
CLERIC 4 5 6 7   65(beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
G'S STORM 1 6 4 32   55 6(dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00 19.80  
SOUTH AL SPARKY 8 7 84 5   7716 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 121 15.00 ######  
CRAFTY HEAT 3 2 5 9   813½ 828½ (hatcher na)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 75.80  
CHIEFWEAVE 6 3 2½ 6   915½ 933¾ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 24% 3.20 14.70  
SCR  DOUBLE TRAP               (ramirez rosa )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 4.50    
 
LAD-4   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:231 :47 1:124     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE 6 5 5 11   11(gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 58% 0.70 1.50 W
BROOK IS GOLDEN 2 1 1½ 21   22(singh s)SINGH R 124 5.00 11.30  
INSPECTOR ED 1 7 6 43   3312 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
LIT A SHUCK 3 2 2½ 32   45 415¼ (hatcher na)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
ALL OF US 4 3 3 5   58 524¼ (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 16.90  
LOWER CRETACEOUS 7 6 7 65   610 627¾ (lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 6.70  
LIFEASWEKNOWIT 5 4 4 76   730 7100 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.00 14% 5.90 1.80  
SCR  LONE STAR MAX               (balderas alfon)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
 
LAD-5   07/29/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
:233 :481 1:123 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  GOD'S GOLD 10 6 3 2½ 64 1nk 1¾ (martin b)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 25.00 4.40  
MR LEO AND JOSE 7 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 2¾ (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 34% 1.90 2.20 P
OWEN THE ICE MAN 6 2 4 3 43 533 (hatcher na)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 6.00 23.00  
RONALDS GATSBY 1 4 6 64 54 44(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50 23% 3.40 3.40  
MODOC 5 7 53 52 32 32 5(dodson clifford)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 11.60  
THINKINGNDRINKING 2 9 10 97 9 66(martin e)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 7.00  
TAPIT TWICE 4 10 9 86 10 87(dixon tim)BOREL H 120 20.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
10  CLEARLY A JET 9 8 7 75 8 108(dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 8.00 17.60  
LINCOLN PRODUCTION 8 3 2½ 4 2½ 79(duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00 19% 4.30 24.40  
SWEET PRESENT 3 5 8 10 75 910(rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
SCR  ALL TOGETHER               (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 117 20.00    
SCR  G'S LAW               (west patricia)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 25.00    
SCR  LONG COOL               (clary re)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
SCR  RAIL TOWN               (ashfor)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50    
 
LAD-6   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
:23 :471 1:134     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN FLEET 3 2 21 21   2½ 1(avant kell)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50 36% 1.70 6.20 W
BAILEY'S CHARM 6 4 42 11   1½ 2(lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 11% 8.20 2.10 P
BISTINEAU BELLE 5 8 6 4   32 3(romero gerald )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 12.20  
CALCITE 8 3 11 32   44 4(hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 30% 2.30 3.00  
OUR LIL SCANDAL 2 6 5 5   58 519 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
JIVIN ASTRO 7 5 8 6   611 621 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.50 26.20  
SAVANNAH BANANA 4 9 9 910½   712 722¾ (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 24.70  
TAKEOVER TIME 9 7 7 8   812 825¾ (jeansonne justi)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 5.50  
JAZZ JAZZ JAZZ 1 1 31 7   920 952¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 22.60  
 
LAD-7   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
:222 :46 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR LEO 6 3 34 34   34 13 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.50 43% 1.40 1.00 W
FIERY PLAYBOY 4 2 22 21   13 23 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 6% 16.00 2.20 P
LILRASCALMAN 5 6 6 55   46 3(meaux h)SINGH R 122 5.00 13.80  
SLITHER 1 5 44 45   59 4(ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 7.00  
BIBLEMAN 2 1 12 11   23 58 (larrosa a)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 21% 3.90 4.30  
TARGET PRACTICE 3 4 5 6   612 612½ (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 25.10  
SCR  MR. PRIORITY               (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
SCR  SY MICHAEL               (gibson jonas)MELANCON G 122 4.50    
 
LAD-8   07/29/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
:231 :47 1:112 1:234   1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SMART IZZY 10 6 8 8   711 (hatcher d)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00 5% 19.00 6.20 W
WARRIOR'S RETURN 4 3 4 52   521 (johnson b)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 25.00 20% 4.10 8.20 P
MARMO MOON 7 4 3 3   31 3(zeringue j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00 13.30  
SHEZA SHINING STAR 2 2 2½ 2½   2nk 4(asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 1.80  
MARK WITH AN E 3 7 6 63   65(del erick)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
CHARLIZE 5 10 9 96   86(prather jo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 30.00 6.20  
LITTLE Z 8 5 5 42   47(nelson r)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 15.00 41.10  
RON'S LAVENDER 9 9 10 109   9810½ (rangel raul)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00 73.40  
MISS SINGH ANGEL 6 8 7 7   10925½ (savoie sherman)GALVAN JHAIR 124 15.00 20% 4.10 31.70  
YOCKEY BETTERFLY 1 1 1½ 1½   1nk 10100 (balderas)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 34% 2.00 4.10  
SCR  GIRLS GOT GAME               (jacks k)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 12.00    
SCR  MORO NALA               (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50    
SCR  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL               (cruz eduardo)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  TOFFEE               (cangemi daniel )LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.