Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-3   WIN (10/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $13.00 $5.00 63%
LAD-4   DD (10/7/5/8)-(7/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-7 $19.90 $3.90 24%
LAD-6   WIN (3/8/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $14.40 $4.40 44%
    EXA (3/8/6/2/1)-(3/8/6/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-6 $36.60 $16.60 83%
LAD-7   EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-4 $6.70 $0.70 12%
    DD (3/8/6/2/1)-(8/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-8 $25.60 $10.60 71%
LAD-8   WIN (1/6/4/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $14.40 $4.40 44%
    EXA (1/6/4/10/3)-(1/6/4/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-4 $66.90 $46.90 235%
    DD (8/2/4)-(1/6/4/10/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  8-10 $27.50 $12.50 83%
    PK3 (3/8/6/2/1)-(8/2/4)-(1/6/4/10/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50  3-8-10 $91.45 $53.95 144%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   07/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:094 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUINN MURPHY 2 7 76¼ 86¾ 84½ 21 12 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50 2.80  
1  FROSTY FLIRT 1 6 64¼ 52½ 3.2 11 22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 5.00 3.70  
7  LIL ASHLEY B. 7 8 88¼ 73¾ 5½ 89¾ 32¾ (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.10 S
3  HISSY MISSY 3 1 43 63½ 61½ 31 44¼ (hewit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 10.00 7% 12.60 8.40  
8  CARPE HORSESHOE 8 5 54 31½ 4¼ 41¼ 56¾ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 2.90  
6  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL 6 3 32 42½ 72½ 63¾ 68 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 14.00  
5  GANGSTER RAP 5 4 2nk 1½ 2nk 53¼ 78¼ (hurley r)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 62% 0.60 10.40  
4  CALAJA 4 2 1nk 2½ 1nk 79¾ 829 (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
 
LAD-2   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GLENN'S JUMPER 8 1 1nk 11   12 14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 53% 0.90 0.60 W
4  OJITOS 3 2 2nk 21   44½ 24 (hewit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 10.00 32.20  
8  BAYOU BEAUX 7 6 31 31   22 34¼ (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 19% 4.30 4.70 S
10  J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN 9 8 75¾ 74¾   56 47 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50 9.70  
7  PLATINUM EQUITY 6 4 62¾ 42   33 58 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.60  
5  HOMEVIEW 4 3 42 63¾   66½ 68¾ (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00 24.50  
3  HULEN 2 9 85¾ 85¾   88 711¾ (gonzalez adr)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 7% 13.40 4.70  
6  SONIC CITY 5 7 97¾ 96¾   910 814¼ (borel renay)BOREL H 124 20.00 25.00  
1  ANALYZER 1 5 52¼ 53½   77½ 915 (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00 35.10  
SCR  TANGO CHARLIE               (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 15.00    
 
LAD-3   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:124     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FLASHY BOY GOES 7 4 3½ 1nk   12 1¾ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 W
10  STELLAR TAP 9 8 73¾ 42¼   22 2¾ (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.00 53% 0.90 0.40 P
6  J'S LITTLE MAN 5 9 98 86¼   44 31¼ (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 73.50  
3  MAJOR CONTENDER 2 1 1½ 2nk   33 44¾ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 ★ 3.90  
5  CLERIC 4 5 61¾ 76¼   65½ 56¼ (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
2  G'S STORM 1 6 41½ 32   55 68¾ (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00 19.80  
9  SOUTH AL SPARKY 8 7 84 53¼   78½ 716 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 121 15.00 ######  
4  CRAFTY HEAT 3 2 51¾ 98¼   813½ 828½ (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 75.80  
7  CHIEFWEAVE 6 3 2½ 64¼   915½ 933¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 24% 3.20 14.70  
SCR  DOUBLE TRAP               (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 4.50    
 
LAD-4   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:124     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE 6 5 52½ 11   11½ 16¾ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 58% 0.70 1.50 W
3  BROOK IS GOLDEN 2 1 1½ 21   21½ 26¾ (singh s)SINGH R 124 5.00 11.30  
2  INSPECTOR ED 1 7 63½ 43   34½ 312 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
4  LIT A SHUCK 3 2 2½ 32   45 415¼ (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
5  ALL OF US 4 3 31½ 53½   58 524¼ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 16.90  
8  LOWER CRETACEOUS 7 6 75½ 65   610 627¾ (lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 6.70  
6  LIFEASWEKNOWIT 5 4 42½ 76   730 7100 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.00 14% 5.90 1.80  
SCR  LONE STAR MAX               (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
 
LAD-5   07/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:123 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  GOD'S GOLD 10 6 31½ 2½ 64 1nk 1¾ (martin james)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 25.00 4.40  
8  MR LEO AND JOSE 7 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 2¾ (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 34% 1.90 2.20 P
7  OWEN THE ICE MAN 6 2 41½ 31½ 43 52¼ 33 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 6.00 23.00  
1  RONALDS GATSBY 1 4 63¼ 64 54 42¼ 43¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50 23% 3.40 3.40  
6  MODOC 5 7 53 52 32 32 53¼ (dodson cliffo)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 11.60  
2  THINKINGNDRINKING 2 9 106¾ 97 97¼ 64¼ 63¾ (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 7.00  
4  TAPIT TWICE 4 10 96¼ 86 107¼ 85½ 76½ (dixon tim)BOREL H 120 20.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
10  CLEARLY A JET 9 8 75¼ 75 85¼ 106½ 86¾ (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 8.00 17.60  
9  LINCOLN PRODUCTION 8 3 2½ 41½ 2½ 75¼ 97½ (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00 19% 4.30 24.40  
3  SWEET PRESENT 3 5 85¾ 107¼ 75 96½ 108¼ (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
SCR  ALL TOGETHER               (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 117 20.00    
SCR  G'S LAW               (west patric)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 25.00    
SCR  LONG COOL               (clary jaylan )LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
SCR  RAIL TOWN               (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50    
 
LAD-6   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:134     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OCEAN FLEET 3 2 21 21   2½ 11¼ (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50 36% 1.70 6.20 W
6  BAILEY'S CHARM 6 4 42 11   1½ 21¼ (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 11% 8.20 2.10 P
5  BISTINEAU BELLE 5 8 63½ 42½   32 35½ (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 12.20  
8  CALCITE 8 3 11 32   44 48¾ (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 30% 2.30 3.00  
2  OUR LIL SCANDAL 2 6 52½ 53½   58 519 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
7  JIVIN ASTRO 7 5 86½ 67½   611 621 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.50 26.20  
4  SAVANNAH BANANA 4 9 99½ 910½   712 722¾ (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 24.70  
9  TAKEOVER TIME 9 7 74½ 88½   812 825¾ (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 5.50  
1  JAZZ JAZZ JAZZ 1 1 31 77½   920 952¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 22.60  
 
LAD-7   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DOCTOR LEO 6 3 34 34   34 13 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.50 43% 1.40 1.00 W
4  FIERY PLAYBOY 4 2 22 21   13 23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 6% 16.00 2.20 P
7  LILRASCALMAN 5 6 64¾ 55   46 34¼ (meaux h)SINGH R 122 5.00 13.80  
1  SLITHER 1 5 44 45   59 46¼ (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 7.00  
2  BIBLEMAN 2 1 12 11   23 58 (larrosa juan)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 21% 3.90 4.30  
3  TARGET PRACTICE 3 4 54¼ 65½   612 612½ (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 25.10  
SCR  MR. PRIORITY               (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
SCR  SY MICHAEL               (gibson jonas)MELANCON G 122 4.50    
 
LAD-8   07/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:112 1:234   1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SMART IZZY 10 6 85¼ 84½   73¼ 11 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00 5% 19.00 6.20 W
  (by MO TOM out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
4  WARRIOR'S RETURN 4 3 41½ 52   51¾ 21 (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 25.00 20% 4.10 8.20 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of WARRIOR MAID by HOLY BULL)
7  MARMO MOON 7 4 31½ 31½   31 31¼ (zeringue j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00 13.30  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of REBALITE by MORE THAN READY)
2  SHEZA SHINING STAR 2 2 2½ 2½   2nk 41¾ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 1.80  
  (by CURLIN out of BERNINA STAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  MARK WITH AN E 3 7 62¾ 63   63¼ 55¼ (del eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
  (by TAPITURE out of KELLY'S PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
5  CHARLIZE 5 10 98¼ 96   84¼ 66¼ (prather )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 30.00 6.20  
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA'S STARLET by CONCORD POINT)
8  LITTLE Z 8 5 51¾ 42   41¼ 76¾ (nelson eric)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 15.00 41.10  
  (by MR. Z out of AHORITA by WOODMAN)
9  RON'S LAVENDER 9 9 108¼ 109   96¼ 810½ (rangel raul)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00 73.40  
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
6  MISS SINGH ANGEL 6 8 73¼ 73½   108¼ 925½ (savoie sherman)GALVAN JHAIR 124 15.00 20% 4.10 31.70  
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
1  YOCKEY BETTERFLY 1 1 1½ 1½   1nk 10100 (balder)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 34% 2.00 4.10  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of MISS MARIPOSA by ZARBYEV)
SCR  GIRLS GOT GAME               (jacks)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 12.00    
  (by WILBURN out of GIANTESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  MORO NALA               (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50    
  (by MORO TAP out of ZENDERELLA by ZENSATIONAL)
SCR  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL               (cruz eduardo)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I AM IRON WOMAN by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  TOFFEE               (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of IZARRA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.