Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (5/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/4)-(9/8/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/4)-(9/8/3/7/1)-(10/7/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-2   WIN (9/8/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/3/7/1)-(9/8/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/3/7/1)-(9/8/3/7/1)-(9/8/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/3/7/1)-(10/7/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/3/7/1)-(10/7/5/8)-(7/6/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-3   WIN (10/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/8)-(10/7/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/8)-(10/7/3/5/8)-(10/7/3/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/7/5/8)-(7/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/7/5/8)-(7/6/2/4)-(8/1/9/4/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (7/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/4)-(8/1/9/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/4)-(8/1/9/4/3)-(3/8/6/2/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-5   WIN (8/1/9/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/4/3)-(8/1/9/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/4/3)-(8/1/9/4/3)-(8/1/9/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/9/4/3)-(3/8/6/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9/4/3)-(3/8/6/2/1)-(8/2/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-6   WIN (3/8/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/2/1)-(3/8/6/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/2/1)-(3/8/6/2/1)-(3/8/6/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/6/2/1)-(8/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/2/1)-(8/2/4)-(1/4/6/10/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-7   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(1/4/6/10/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-8   WIN (1/4/6/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/10/3)-(1/4/6/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/10/3)-(1/4/6/10/3)-(1/4/6/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY FLIRT Jul17 Jun25 Jun05 May07 Apr01 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 5.00    
2  QUINN MURPHY Jul17 Jun18 Jun05 Mar08 Feb20 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50    
3  HISSY MISSY Jun24 Jun02 Apr28 Mar17 Mar03 (hewit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 10.00 7% 12.60    
4  CALAJA Jan12 Dec11 Sep06 Jul18 Jun04 (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GANGSTER RAP Jul17 Jul04 Jun02 May14 Apr30 (hurley r)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 62% 0.60    
6  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Jun19 Jun05 Apr28 Mar26 Mar03 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
7  LIL ASHLEY B. Jul17 Jun09 May11 Apr23 Apr01 (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CARPE HORSESHOE Jul08 Jun23 Jun09 May27 May07 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50    
 
LAD-2   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANALYZER Jul04 Jun18 Feb03 Jan15 Jan06 (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TANGO CHARLIE Jul01 Apr29 Feb23 Jan05 Dec10 (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 15.00    
3  HULEN Jul04 Jun05 May13 Apr30 Apr15 (gonzalez adr)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 7% 13.40    
4  OJITOS Jul01 Jun09 May20 May05 Apr23 (hewit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 10.00    
5  HOMEVIEW Jul04 May30 Apr29 Apr01 Mar18 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
6  SONIC CITY Feb28 Jan27 Jan07 Nov16 Oct21 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 20.00    
7  PLATINUM EQUITY Jul10 May28 Apr25 Apr01 Jan19 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BAYOU BEAUX Jul04 Jun16 Jun05 Feb09 Jan14 (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
9  GLENN'S JUMPER Jun18 May28 May14 Apr15 Dec31 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
10  J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN Jun10 May05 Apr23 Apr14 Mar23 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
 
LAD-3   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOUBLE TRAP Jul02 Jun04 Apr21 Jan06 Dec22 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 4.50    
2  G'S STORM Jul06 Jun08 May09 Apr12 Mar27 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00    
3  MAJOR CONTENDER Jun16 May14 Apr21 Mar25 Mar09 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 ★    
4  CRAFTY HEAT Jun24 May29 May16 May01 Dec29 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
5  CLERIC Jun24 May29 Feb23 Jan27 Jan14 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  J'S LITTLE MAN Jun24 May29 May05 Apr23 Mar30 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 119 15.00    
7  CHIEFWEAVE Jun17 May30 May14 Mar23 Mar05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
8  FLASHY BOY GOES Jul07 Jun23 Jun15 May25 May03 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SOUTH AL SPARKY Jun24 Jun11 May29 May21 May07 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 121 15.00    
10  STELLAR TAP Jun24 Apr28 Mar31 Feb11 Jan08 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
LAD-4   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LONE STAR MAX Jun04 May14 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
2  INSPECTOR ED Jun15 May10 Apr29 Mar22 Mar12 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BROOK IS GOLDEN Jul17 Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 Jul17 (singh s)SINGH R 124 5.00    
4  LIT A SHUCK Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May14 May06 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALL OF US Jul06 Jun04 Apr22 Apr12 Mar23 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
6  LIFEASWEKNOWIT Jun18 May27 Mar23 Mar08 Feb17 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.00 14% 5.90    
7  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Jul17 Jun26 Feb17 Feb02 Jan14 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
8  LOWER CRETACEOUS Jun24 Dec19 Nov25 Nov02 Aug20 (lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
 
LAD-5   07/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONALDS GATSBY Jul04 Jun19 May22 May06 Mar26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  THINKINGNDRINKING Jun19 May27 Apr23 Mar23 Mar03 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 10.00    
3  SWEET PRESENT Jun19 Jun04 May19 Apr20 Mar19 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAPIT TWICE Jun26 May27 Apr23     (dixon tim)BOREL H 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAIL TOWN Jun25 Apr15 Mar24 Feb12 Jul24 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50    
6  MODOC Jul04 Jun16 May21 Apr23   (dodson cliffo)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00    
7  OWEN THE ICE MAN Jun12 May22 Feb10 Feb02 Jan07 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 6.00    
8  MR LEO AND JOSE Jul04 May27       (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
9  LINCOLN PRODUCTION Jul02 Jan08 Nov27     (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00 19% 4.30    
10  CLEARLY A JET Jun19 May22 May06 Apr04 Mar07 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 8.00    
SCR  G'S LAW May20 Apr16 Mar19 Feb24 Feb10 (west patric)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 25.00    
12  GOD'S GOLD Jul08 Jun16 Jun02 May21 Apr29 (martin james)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 25.00    
SCR  LONG COOL Jun25 May27 May07     (clary jaylan )LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
SCR  ALL TOGETHER Jun15 May19 Apr28 Feb09 Jan15 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 117 20.00    
 
LAD-6   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZ JAZZ JAZZ Jul03 Jan13 Dec18 Nov27 Nov18 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  OUR LIL SCANDAL Jul10 Jun24       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  OCEAN FLEET Jul04 Jun02 May03 Apr12 Mar18 (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
4  SAVANNAH BANANA Jul04         (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00    
5  BISTINEAU BELLE Jul04 Jun17 May20 May07 Apr07 (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
6  BAILEY'S CHARM May27 May07 Feb23 Dec02 Nov18 (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 11% 8.20    
7  JIVIN ASTRO Jun11 May13 Jan14 Nov03 Oct06 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.50    
8  CALCITE Jul13 May19 Apr15 Mar25   (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
9  TAKEOVER TIME Jan13 Dec16 Nov27 Sep18 Sep04 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00    
 
LAD-7   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLITHER Jun05 May15 Feb10 Dec17 Dec01 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
2  BIBLEMAN Jul04 Jun18 Apr15 Feb04 Jan19 (larrosa juan)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 21% 3.90    
3  TARGET PRACTICE Jun25 May30 Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
4  FIERY PLAYBOY Jun25 May15 Mar16 Feb02 Dec01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  MR. PRIORITY Jun03 May22 May07 Apr21 Mar15 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
SCR  SY MICHAEL Feb18 Dec17 Nov02 Aug30 Aug03 (gibson jonas)MELANCON G 122 4.50    
7  LILRASCALMAN Jun25 May06 Mar18 Feb02 Dec17 (meaux h)SINGH R 122 5.00    
8  DOCTOR LEO Jun25 Jun11 May06 Apr20 Feb17 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.50 43% 1.40    
 
LAD-8   07/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOCKEY BETTERFLY Jul07 Jun04 May14 Mar24 Mar12 (balder)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 34% 2.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of MISS MARIPOSA by ZARBYEV)
2  SHEZA SHINING STAR Jun08 Sep03 Aug06 Jul04 Jun03 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of BERNINA STAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  MARK WITH AN E Jun19 May14 Jun08 May28 May06 (del eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of KELLY'S PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
4  WARRIOR'S RETURN Jul02         (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 25.00 20% 4.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WARRIOR MAID by HOLY BULL)
5  CHARLIZE Apr07 Mar05 Feb11     (prather )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 30.00    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA'S STARLET by CONCORD POINT)
6  MISS SINGH ANGEL         (savoie sherman)GALVAN JHAIR 124 15.00 20% 4.10    
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
7  MARMO MOON Jun12 Apr08 Mar16 Oct29 Oct13 (zeringue j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of REBALITE by MORE THAN READY)
8  LITTLE Z Jun12 May28 Feb15 Jan27 Jan14 (nelson eric)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 15.00    
  (by MR. Z out of AHORITA by WOODMAN)
9  RON'S LAVENDER Jul03 Jun11 Jun03 May12 Apr27 (rangel raul)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
10  SMART IZZY Jun04 May13 Apr15 Mar24 Mar02 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MORO NALA Jul03 Apr08 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50    
  (by MORO TAP out of ZENDERELLA by ZENSATIONAL)
SCR  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL Jul01 Jun08 May18 Apr16 Mar31 (cruz eduardo)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I AM IRON WOMAN by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  GIRLS GOT GAME May19 Apr08 Mar04 Feb10   (jacks)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 12.00    
  (by WILBURN out of GIANTESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  TOFFEE May27 May13 Apr13 Feb25 Jan26 (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of IZARRA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.