The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00
    Exacta (1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4 2 1 $14.20 $14.20 8.20
    Trifecta (1/4/8)-(1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-4-8 3 1 $14.85 $14.85 11.85
LAD-2   Win (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $37.60 $37.60 29.60
    Exacta (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-8 2 0 $195.90 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-8-4 3 0 $656.25 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/4/8)-(1/2/3/7) 1-1 2 1 $34.10 $34.10 34.10
    Daily Double (1/4/8)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-6 2 0 $2.20 -12.00
LAD-3   Win (1/2/6/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $11.60 -10.00
    Exacta (1/2/6/7/11)-(1/2/6/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 12-5 2 0 $69.80 -20.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6/7/11)-(1/2/6/7/11)-(1/2/6/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 12-5-1 3 0 $270.10 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/6/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-12 2 0 $272.20 -20.00
    Pick Three (1/4/8)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/6/7/11) 1-1-12 3 0 $165.90 0.00
    Pick Three (1/4/8)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/6/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 1-6-12 3 0 $8.60 -30.00
LAD-4   Win (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
    Exacta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-5 2 1 $6.00 $6.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-5-6 3 1 $12.45 $12.45 0.45
    Daily Double (1/2/6/7/11)-(1/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 12-2 2 0 $12.20 -20.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/6/7/11)-(1/2/5/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 1-12-2 3 0 $174.20 -40.00
LAD-5   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 9.40
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-3 2 1 $27.60 $27.60 21.60
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-3-10 3 0 $37.75 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5/6)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-4 2 1 $14.60 $14.60 2.60
    Pick Three (1/2/6/7/11)-(1/2/5/6)-(3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 12-2-4 3 0 $93.55 -30.00
LAD-6   Win (2/6/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $30.60 $30.60 22.60
    Exacta (2/6/9/10)-(2/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-5 2 0 $105.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/6/9/10)-(2/6/9/10)-(2/6/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-5-2 3 0 $109.95 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6)-(2/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-6 2 1 $126.90 $126.90 114.90
    Pick Three (1/2/5/6)-(3/4/6)-(2/6/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 2-4-6 3 1 $134.25 $134.25 110.25
LAD-7   Win (2/6/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
    Exacta (2/6/10/11)-(2/6/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 10-9 2 0 $9.90 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/6/10/11)-(2/6/10/11)-(2/6/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 10-9-11 3 0 $8.55 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/6/9/10)-(2/6/10/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 6-10 2 1 $58.20 $58.20 42.20
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(2/6/9/10)-(2/6/10/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-6-10 3 1 $367.80 $367.80 343.80

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
:243 :494 1:142 1:402   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARLING JOANNA 1 4 11 12 13 13 1(cates al)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 1.50 W
SHE'S TAKIN OVER 3 6 5 4 23 33 2(johnson b)MELANCON G 122 3.00 47% 1.10 5.10 P
LOVERS NEVER SAY 6 3 3 32 33 23 3(mojica a)BARRERA J 117 6.00 19% 4.30 1.20 S
KENYA STRIKE 5 2 42 22 44 44 4(romero ger)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 8.30  
GIFTED TALENT 2 5 6 6 5 55 514¾ (beavin j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 46.90  
PSEUDOSCIENCE 4 1 21 5 614¼ 620 645½ (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.50 11.20  
SCR  I DONT KNOW EITHER               (gomez jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 20.00    
SCR  SIMPLE SUNDAY               (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 10.00    
SCR  TARGET VISION               (schwandt emile)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  WHO DAT GREY               (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
 
LAD-2   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
:223 :462 :593     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFLEET CHARLENE 1 1 11 1½   1nk 12 (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80 W
NOWNOWDANCER 7 4 31 2½   2nk 22 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 14.10  
ADIAMONDINTHESTORM 4 2 21 3   33 3(dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 4.80  
GAP DADDY 2 6 7 6   54(cascio j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 27% 2.70 7.40  
GRACEFUL STREET 3 7 6 7   757 (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 115 2.50 40% 1.50 1.00  
OUR LIL SCANDAL 5 5 5 5   66(foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00 6.10  
BOSTON MILLIE 6 3 43 4   45 714 (schmidt denise)BOREL H 124 8.00 10% 8.60 4.50  
SCR  SMILING ANGEL               (dodson cliffor)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
 
LAD-3   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
:243 :483 1:133 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MAIN DUDE 9 3 1½ 11 1 13 1(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 4.80  
CROSSING IRIS 3 6 5 4 4 23 2(duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 25.00 15.60  
THISGUYCANFLY 1 5 8 9 6 45 38 (mallery von)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 14.70 S
11  PAPIRINGO 8 7 3 21 2 33 48 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 10% 9.50 1.20  
WESTERN STAR 2 9 9 6 5 57 511¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 5% 18.20 2.70  
MAGIC LIGHTNING 5 1 2½ 3 3 6617¼ (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 57% 0.80 7.50  
10  JUDGMENTAL 7 2 6 5 7 715½ 725 (cascio j)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 40.20  
KINGPRIN 4 8 75 76 89 817½ 831½ (romero ger)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8% 11.30 23.00  
YOU YOUR DADDY SON 6 4 4 86 912 927½ 957¼ (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 117 30.00 55.40  
SCR  FLOWER CAT               (ingram steve)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
SCR  MAKE YOUR DESTINY               (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  MY PAL SWEET               (thomas lee)MELANCON G 118 4.50    
SCR  TENSAS ALL OURS               (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
 
LAD-4   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
:222 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD VALENTINE 2 2 2nk 2½   22 13 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50 12% 7.40 0.90 W
ABBY THE BULL DAWG 5 5 63 6   712½ 23 (hornsby ta)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.80 P
WHAT CAN I SAY 6 6 5 5   53(foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00 31% 2.20 8.00 S
MISS DARLENE 1 1 1nk 1½   12 4(ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 2.00 36% 1.80 6.60  
CRYSTAL CRESCENT 7 7 711 711½   65(hewitt michael)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 12.60  
PREACH IT GIRL 3 3 31 3   34 6(dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 6.10  
MOODY RAFAELA 4 4 42 43   4717 (ramirez e)TORRES HUGO 116 15.00 29.00  
 
LAD-5   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
:241 :48 1:123 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEDUCTIVE U S A 2 6 54 5 3 31¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.50 34% 1.90 6.70 W
RIGHTANDJUST 1 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 1½ 2¼ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 23% 3.40 1.40 P
10  LOGICAL MYTH 6 4 31 3.2 2½ 2½ 31 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 1.90  
DUKE OF CARTHANIA 3 5 6 6 4 4410¾ (munoz yovani)VARGAS P 124 15.00 13.10  
RUM 'N TONIC 5 3 43 4 5 514½ 528¾ (altamirano eluete)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 6.50  
MILITARY BEARING 4 2 1nk 2nk 623½ 694½ 6108¾ (johnson b)MELANCON G 124 12.00 20% 3.90 6.80  
SCR  BRITTS A CLOSER               (wilson shane)MELANCON G 121 15.00    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL               (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00    
SCR  EXTIRPATOR               (turner patti)BARRERA J 119 15.00    
SCR  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY               (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
SCR  PAYNTER PARTY               (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
 
LAD-6   07/10/2023 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
:223 :46 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWITTY CITY 4 2 5 31   1½ 14 (altamirano eluete)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30 W
FOREVAMO 3 6 6 64   324 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50 9.60  
POST CLOSE 1 1 7 74   53(broussard jervo)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 61% 0.60 0.40 S
PLATINUM EQUITY 7 3 11 1½   2½ 4(lorefice matt)SINGH R 124 15.00 11% 7.80 38.50  
MR. UNUSUAL 2 8 811½ 87   75(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 20.00 60.40  
THE GRAY BLUR 6 5 34 53   66 6(hirdes john)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00 44.80  
CARL G 5 7 44 4   478 (swearingen tom)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 5.40  
10  ROCKDALE 8 4 21 2½   8812¼ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
SCR  FAR BEYOND               (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 119 3.00    
SCR  TAPPIN FORA DANCE               (romero j)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
 
LAD-7   07/10/2023 4950ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
:233 :48 1:131 1:402   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FIRST CLASS HARLOW 7 5 55 5 44 2½ 1(courville rick)MAGNON H 120 3.50 55% 0.80 2.00 W
HE GOTS TO GO 6 6 710½ 6 65 41 2(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 3.80  
11  STASIS 8 4 43 32 32 1½ 3(castel)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 1.90 S
RANSAM PAYNTER 1 3 11 11 1½ 31 48 (hewitt )MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 8.00 13.80  
LOOKIN AT BETTY 3 7 610 7 78 7511¼ (charles jo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 29.90  
KISSOFTHENILE 4 2 32 4 55 6615½ (villafranco martin)BOREL H 124 8.00 20.40  
COTTONWOOD 5 1 21 21 2½ 54 717¼ (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
SNAKEBIT 2 8 820½ 814½ 813 812¾ 837¾ (morris rowdy)TORRES HUGO 112 5.00 20% 4.10 14.10  
SCR  EL GABRIELO               (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
SCR  JOESDAMAN               (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
SCR  OLCZYK               (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.