Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-4-8 $14.85 $11.85 395%
LAD-2   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $37.60 $29.60 370%
    DD (4/8/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-1 $34.10 $22.10 184%
LAD-4   SFT (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-5-6-1 $11.73 $9.33 389%
LAD-5   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $15.40 $9.40 157%
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $27.60 $21.60 360%
    DD (1/6/2/5)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $14.60 $2.60 22%
LAD-6   WIN (2/9/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $30.60 $22.60 283%
    DD (4/3/6)-(2/9/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $126.90 $114.90 958%
    PK3 (1/6/2/5)-(4/3/6)-(2/9/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-4-6 $134.25 $110.25 459%
LAD-7   DD (2/9/6/10)-(10/2/6/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-10 $58.20 $42.20 264%
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(2/9/6/10)-(10/2/6/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-6-10 $367.80 $343.80 1433%
    PK4 (1/6/2/5)-(4/3/6)-(2/9/6/10)-(10/2/6/11) 192 $0.50 $96.00  2-4-6-10 $954.00 $858.00 894%
    PK6 (3/2/7/1)-(7/11/6/2/1)-(1/6/2/5)-(4/3/6)-(2/9/6/10)-(10/2/6/11) 3840 $0.20 $768  1-12-2-4-6-10 $877.92 $109.92 14%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:142 1:402   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARLING JOANNA 1 4 11 12 13 13 14½ (cates al)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 1.50 W
4  SHE'S TAKIN OVER 3 6 53½ 42¼ 23 33 24½ (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 3.00 47% 1.10 5.10 P
8  LOVERS NEVER SAY 6 3 31½ 32 33 23 34¾ (mojica edith)BARRERA J 117 6.00 19% 4.30 1.20 S
7  KENYA STRIKE 5 2 42 22 44 44 49½ (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 8.30  
3  GIFTED TALENT 2 5 66½ 65¼ 54¼ 55 514¾ (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 46.90  
5  PSEUDOSCIENCE 4 1 21 53¾ 614¼ 620 645½ (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.50 11.20  
SCR  I DONT KNOW EITHER               (gomez jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 20.00    
SCR  SIMPLE SUNDAY               (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 10.00    
SCR  TARGET VISION               (schwandt emile)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  WHO DAT GREY               (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
 
LAD-2   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFLEET CHARLENE 1 1 11 1½   1nk 12 (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80 W
8  NOWNOWDANCER 7 4 31 2½   2nk 22 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 14.10  
4  ADIAMONDINTHESTORM 4 2 21 32½   33 35½ (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 4.80  
2  GAP DADDY 2 6 74¼ 66½   55½ 45¾ (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 27% 2.70 7.40  
3  GRACEFUL STREET 3 7 64¼ 76¾   76¼ 57 (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 115 2.50 40% 1.50 1.00  
5  OUR LIL SCANDAL 5 5 53¼ 56½   65¾ 67¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00 6.10  
7  BOSTON MILLIE 6 3 43 44½   45 714 (schmidt denise)BOREL H 124 8.00 10% 8.60 4.50  
SCR  SMILING ANGEL               (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
 
LAD-3   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:133 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MAIN DUDE 9 3 1½ 11 11½ 13 15¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 4.80  
5  CROSSING IRIS 3 6 53½ 43½ 44½ 23 25¾ (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 25.00 15.60  
1  THISGUYCANFLY 1 5 85¼ 96¼ 66½ 45 38 (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 14.70 S
11  PAPIRINGO 8 7 31½ 21 21½ 33 48 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 10% 9.50 1.20  
2  WESTERN STAR 2 9 96¼ 65½ 55½ 57 511¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 5% 18.20 2.70  
7  MAGIC LIGHTNING 5 1 2½ 31½ 33½ 68½ 617¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 57% 0.80 7.50  
10  JUDGMENTAL 7 2 63½ 54½ 77½ 715½ 725 (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 40.20  
6  KINGPRIN 4 8 75 76 89 817½ 831½ (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8% 11.30 23.00  
9  YOU YOUR DADDY SON 6 4 42½ 86 912 927½ 957¼ (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 117 30.00 55.40  
SCR  FLOWER CAT               (ingram steve)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
SCR  MAKE YOUR DESTINY               (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  MY PAL SWEET               (thomas lee)MELANCON G 118 4.50    
SCR  TENSAS ALL OURS               (courville )MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
 
LAD-4   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PROUD VALENTINE 2 2 2nk 2½   22 13 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50 12% 7.40 0.90 W
5  ABBY THE BULL DAWG 5 5 63 66½   712½ 23 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.80 P
6  WHAT CAN I SAY 6 6 52½ 53½   55½ 34½ (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00 31% 2.20 8.00 S
1  MISS DARLENE 1 1 1nk 1½   12 44¾ (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 2.00 36% 1.80 6.60  
7  CRYSTAL CRESCENT 7 7 711 711½   65½ 55½ (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 12.60  
3  PREACH IT GIRL 3 3 31 32½   34 65¾ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 6.10  
4  MOODY RAFAELA 4 4 42 43   44½ 717 (ramirez e)TORRES HUGO 116 15.00 29.00  
 
LAD-5   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:123 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SEDUCTIVE U S A 2 6 54 52¼ 31½ 31½ 1¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.50 34% 1.90 6.70 W
3  RIGHTANDJUST 1 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 1½ 2¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 23% 3.40 1.40 P
10  LOGICAL MYTH 6 4 31 3.2 2½ 2½ 31 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 1.90  
5  DUKE OF CARTHANIA 3 5 64½ 62¾ 41½ 42½ 410¾ (munoz yovani)VARGAS P 124 15.00 13.10  
7  RUM 'N TONIC 5 3 43 41¼ 53½ 514½ 528¾ (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 6.50  
6  MILITARY BEARING 4 2 1nk 2nk 623½ 694½ 6108¾ (johnson b)MELANCON G 124 12.00 20% 3.90 6.80  
SCR  BRITTS A CLOSER               (wilson shane)MELANCON G 121 15.00    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL               (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00    
SCR  EXTIRPATOR               (turner patti)BARRERA J 119 15.00    
SCR  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY               (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
SCR  PAYNTER PARTY               (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
 
LAD-6   07/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TWITTY CITY 4 2 54½ 31   1½ 14 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30 W
5  FOREVAMO 3 6 65½ 64   33½ 24 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50 9.60  
2  POST CLOSE 1 1 76½ 74   55½ 34½ (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 61% 0.60 0.40 S
9  PLATINUM EQUITY 7 3 11 1½   2½ 44¾ (lorefice matt)SINGH R 124 15.00 11% 7.80 38.50  
3  MR. UNUSUAL 2 8 811½ 87   76¼ 56¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 20.00 60.40  
8  THE GRAY BLUR 6 5 34 53   66 66¾ (hirdes john)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00 44.80  
7  CARL G 5 7 44 42½   45½ 78 (swearingen t)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 5.40  
10  ROCKDALE 8 4 21 2½   86¾ 812¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
SCR  FAR BEYOND               (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 119 3.00    
SCR  TAPPIN FORA DANCE               (romero j)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
 
LAD-7   07/10/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131 1:402   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FIRST CLASS HARLOW 7 5 55 53½ 44 2½ 13¾ (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 3.50 55% 0.80 2.00 W
  (by MALIBU MOON out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  HE GOTS TO GO 6 6 710½ 66½ 65 41 23¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 3.80  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TRIZELLE by MALIBU MOON)
11  STASIS 8 4 43 32 32 1½ 34½ (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 1.90 S
  (by HALF OURS out of WELLOFAPRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
1  RANSAM PAYNTER 1 3 11 11 1½ 31 48 (hewit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 8.00 13.80  
  (by PAYNTER out of LIL VIE by THE FACTOR)
3  LOOKIN AT BETTY 3 7 610 77½ 78 74¾ 511¼ (charles )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 29.90  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BORN SPECIAL by EXUBERANT)
4  KISSOFTHENILE 4 2 32 42½ 55 64½ 615½ (villafranco marti)BOREL H 124 8.00 20.40  
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
6  COTTONWOOD 5 1 21 21 2½ 54 717¼ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
  (by STREET BOSS out of COLARFUL SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  SNAKEBIT 2 8 820½ 814½ 813 812¾ 837¾ (morris rowdy)TORRES HUGO 112 5.00 20% 4.10 14.10  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of VICTORY TOUGH by GOOD AND TOUGH)
SCR  EL GABRIELO               (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FLYING WENDY by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
SCR  JOESDAMAN               (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of JUSTA LADY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  OLCZYK               (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE COLLECTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.