Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-2   Win (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-3   Win (7/11/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-4   Win (1/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-5   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-6   Win (2/9/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-7   Win (10/2/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARLING JOANNA Sep10 Aug30 Jul03 May30 Apr23 (cates al)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I DONT KNOW EITHER Jul02 Jun12 May15 Mar19 Mar05 (gomez jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 20.00    
GIFTED TALENT Jun25 May15 Feb15 Jan18 Jan04 (beavin j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
SHE'S TAKIN OVER May29 May08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb02 (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
PSEUDOSCIENCE Jun16 May25 Apr26 Mar05 Jan27 (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.50    
SCR  SIMPLE SUNDAY May22 Dec20 Nov22 Jul11 Jun12 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 10.00    
KENYA STRIKE Jun25 Jun10 May14 Sep10 Aug21 (romero ger)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
LOVERS NEVER SAY Jun29 May13 Mar08 Feb11 Jan21 (mojica a)BARRERA J 117 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  WHO DAT GREY Jun12 May22 Feb28 Jan12 Dec16 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
SCR  TARGET VISION Apr22 Feb20 Jan29 Sep10 Aug21 (schwandt emile)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
 
LAD-2   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFLEET CHARLENE Jun24 May28 May07 Mar05 Nov26 (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
GAP DADDY         (cascio j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
GRACEFUL STREET Jun24 Jun04 May13 Apr15   (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
ADIAMONDINTHESTORM Jul01         (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00    
OUR LIL SCANDAL Jun24         (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  SMILING ANGEL Jun24 May30 May07 Mar18 Feb23 (dodson cliffor)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
BOSTON MILLIE Jun11 May28 Mar23 Feb20 Feb05 (schmidt denise)BOREL H 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
NOWNOWDANCER Jun11 May30 Feb16 Dec19 Nov26 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
 
LAD-3   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISGUYCANFLY Jun23 May28 Aug25 Aug07 Jul26 (mallery von)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
WESTERN STAR Jun25 Jun17 May20 May07 Apr29 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 5% 18.20    
SCR  MY PAL SWEET Jun25 Jun09 May19 Apr20 Mar22 (thomas lee)MELANCON G 118 4.50    
SCR  FLOWER CAT Jun25 May27 Mar09 Jan28 Dec27 (ingram steve)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
CROSSING IRIS Jun25 May15 Feb05 Dec31   (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 25.00    
KINGPRIN May30 May07 Sep27 Sep19 Aug30 (romero ger)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8% 11.30    
MAGIC LIGHTNING Jun25 May30 May21 Feb17 Jan08 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  MAKE YOUR DESTINY May20 May06 Apr22 Mar10 Feb22 (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
YOU YOUR DADDY SON May30 May07 Feb18 Jan11 Dec14 (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 117 30.00    
10  JUDGMENTAL Jun25 May30 May14 Jan27 Sep24 (cascio j)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
11  PAPIRINGO Jul01 May15 Feb28 Jan21 Dec16 (lara jor)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 10% 9.50    
12  MAIN DUDE Jun26 May06 Apr21 Mar22 Mar02 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
SCR  TENSAS ALL OURS Jun22 May18 Dec01 Nov09   (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
 
LAD-4   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS DARLENE Jul10 Feb23 Jan22     (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
PROUD VALENTINE Jun16 May18 Mar25 Feb12 Dec15 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50 12% 7.40    
PREACH IT GIRL Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 May03 Apr24 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
MOODY RAFAELA May08 Feb28 Feb02 Jan06 Dec07 (ramirez e)TORRES HUGO 116 15.00    
ABBY THE BULL DAWG Jun25 May21 May05 Apr21 Mar30 (hornsby ta)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHAT CAN I SAY Jun12 Mar23 Feb10 Dec22 Oct06 (foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00 31% 2.20    
CRYSTAL CRESCENT Jul01 Jun12 May14 Apr28 Apr14 (hewitt michael)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50    
 
LAD-5   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXTIRPATOR Jun24 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 Dec10 (turner patti)BARRERA J 119 15.00    
SCR  PAYNTER PARTY May03 Mar12 Sep09 Aug20 Jul22 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
RIGHTANDJUST May27 Apr08 Mar02 Jan26 Dec26 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
SEDUCTIVE U S A Jul02 Jun15 Jun04 May06 Apr08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
DUKE OF CARTHANIA May22 Jan19 Dec04 Nov13 Jul03 (munoz yovani)VARGAS P 124 15.00    
MILITARY BEARING Jun05 May27 Mar31 Feb25 Jan25 (johnson b)MELANCON G 124 12.00 20% 3.90    
RUM 'N TONIC Jun24 May27 May06 Apr30 Apr22 (altamirano eluete)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL May11 Feb24 Jan20 Nov08 Oct27 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00    
SCR  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Jun15 May29 May06 Apr15 Mar05 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
10  LOGICAL MYTH Jun24 May29 Apr22 Jan28 Dec17 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00    
SCR  BRITTS A CLOSER Jun04         (wilson shane)MELANCON G 121 15.00    
 
LAD-6   07/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAR BEYOND Jun17 May22 May07 Apr29 Feb17 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 119 3.00    
POST CLOSE Jun19 Jun03 May13 Nov18 Oct12 (broussard jervo)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 61% 0.60    
MR. UNUSUAL Jun25 Feb26 Jan22 Nov09 Oct19 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 20.00    
SCR  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Jun19 May30 May04 Apr14 Mar16 (romero j)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
FOREVAMO Apr29 Apr14 Mar24 Feb19 Jan08 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
TWITTY CITY Jun22 May27 Apr30 Apr08 Mar11 (altamirano eluete)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CARL G Jun17 Apr30 Apr23 Mar18 Mar04 (swearingen tom)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
THE GRAY BLUR Jun19 Apr29 Mar22 Mar01 Feb16 (hirdes john)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
PLATINUM EQUITY May28 Apr25 Apr01 Jan19 Jan05 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 124 15.00 11% 7.80    
10  ROCKDALE May22 Mar24 Mar10 Jan15 Dec15 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   07/10/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANSAM PAYNTER Jun18 May21 May06 Apr29 Apr16 (hewitt )MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 8.00    
SNAKEBIT Jun12 Feb22 Feb11 Jan26 Dec01 (morris rowdy)TORRES HUGO 112 5.00 20% 4.10    
LOOKIN AT BETTY Jun26 Jun02       (charles jo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
KISSOFTHENILE Jun24 Jun05 May05 Apr23 Mar25 (villafranco martin)BOREL H 124 8.00    
SCR  EL GABRIELO Jun24 May13 Apr26 Apr12 Apr02 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
COTTONWOOD Jul04 Jun10 May20 Mar25 Feb26 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OLCZYK Jun25 Jun02 May06 Mar31 Mar11 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00    
SCR  JOESDAMAN         (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
HE GOTS TO GO Jun26 May27 May10 Mar10 Feb03 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
10  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Jun10 May27 Apr27 Jan01 Dec02 (courville rick)MAGNON H 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
11  STASIS Jun25 Apr29 Feb10 Mar12   (castel)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.