Handicappers' Race Results

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
LAD-2   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 7.60
LAD-3   Win (6/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 11.20
LAD-4   Win (2/6/3/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $9.40  
LAD-5   Win (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
LAD-6   Win (9/12/2/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $21.20  
LAD-7   Win (5/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $26.60  

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROP DEAD SEXY 3 1 11 11   1 1 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 W
OURPERFECTPRINCESS 5 2 4 21   2 2 (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 19% 4.20 1.70 P
MISS PRIORITY 1 5 5 43   3 32 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 124 12.00 9% 10.50 4.30 S
SCAMPERING GRAYCE 4 4 31 32   4 46 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 11.50  
SUMITUP 2 3 21 5   5 510¾ (dandridge co)ALBERT S 119 2.50 7.00  
SCR  INAWIC               (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
 
LAD-2   07/24/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($18K) 2 F PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:23 :48       1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS MOON 5 4 4 34   31 1½ (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 5.00 12% 7.70 5.80 W
CINCO GAL 1 2 22 22   1½ 2½ (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 65% 0.50 0.40 P
DULCE AMANECER YG 4 6 67 4   42 3 (ortiz rui)MORA GERARDO 117 4.50 11.60  
SHE'S EXTRA 2 3 12 12   2½ 4 (bryant a)CABRERA DAVID 117 3.50 5.10  
LITTLE ELLIE 6 1 34 5   57 5 (rangel raul)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00 10.10  
SIBERIANA 3 5 5 610½   615 621¼ (venzor jail)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 117 6.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
SCR  BETONYA               (venzor jailinne)TORRES HUGO 112 8.00    
SCR  MARY WHO               (bryant george )MEDELLIN ERICK 117 4.50    
 
LAD-3   07/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:223 :444       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE THE BAND MAN 6 1 12 12   12 1 (felks r)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.00 35% 1.90 8.60 W
YOUNG TUSCAN 3 6 6 65   5 2 (munoz yovani)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 10.00 5% 19.00 2.80 P
LUCKY PROMISE 9 5 5 4   22 34 (gustafson austi)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 13.40  
THE GREEN MO'STER 8 4 4 3   32 4 (singh s)SINGH R 120 5.00 23.60  
SHARP CHARLIE 4 3 22 53   4 5 (foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 121 2.50 3.70  
CABOT 5 7 7 7   7 6 (hewitt michael)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 1.90  
JR'S PACIFICO 1 9 910¼ 910   9 7 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 17.10  
SHARK HARBOR 7 2 3 22   8 810¾ (lorefice)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 19% 4.40 23.70  
SALADO 2 8 8 88   6 912¼ (hewitt michael)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 15% 5.70 10.00  
 
LAD-4   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:124     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY JOYCE 4 1 1nk 11   12 11 (prather h)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 3.70  
TWISTED BRADE 1 6 4¼ 5   22 21 (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 37% 1.70 3.50 P
BOLD EXAGGERATION 6 7 3.2 21   35 312½ (tillis jerr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 25.00 42.70  
BODI ODI 7 10 7 31   4 413 (northrop debra)GALVAN JHAIR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
12  ABBEY CAKES 10 3 6 6   8 515¼ (dodson)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
11  MILU ROCKET 9 8 9 9   68 615¾ (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 63.80  
TEKANA 2 4 5 43   5 716¾ (duhon paul)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 12% 7.60 6.20  
10  SECRET MOMENT 8 2 8 8   7 817 (washington ri)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00 35.70  
MISCHIEVOUS ME 5 5 2nk 7   914½ 929 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 3.50 30% 2.40 3.30  
LIL PARTY CRASHER 3 9 1019¼ 1016¼   1018½ 1034¾ (garza joaqui)ALBERT S 120 15.00 42.10  
SCR  CALICO TABBY               (hornsby tammy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 25.00    
SCR  DAZZLING THE MOON               (ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
 
LAD-5   07/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:132 1:254   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEROUTANTE 3 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 1½ (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 14% 6.20 0.70 W
SUE'S LITTLE ZING 7 5 53 5 3½ 1nk 2½ (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 118 2.50 31% 2.20 7.80 P
ZEEROCK 2 6 65 6 4 32 34 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 120 12.00 62.60  
SMUGLERS BLUES 1 2 42 4 6 5 4 (foster m)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00 13.70  
T J'S FIRST 5 7 76 7 7 710¼ 5 (mouton patrick)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 10.00 17.60  
SWEET LITTLE ROSE 4 4 31 3½ 5 4 6 (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 16% 5.30 8.90  
WHERE'S AUNT J 6 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 6 712¼ (cates al)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.50 14% 5.90 2.70  
 
LAD-6   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:122     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIAM GUSTAVO 1 3 1nk 12   11 1 (del erick)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00 9.60  
CADILLAC COWBOY 8 2 3.2 32   21 2 (milligan a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 21.70  
WINDTAPPER WIN 3 11 7 5   32 37 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 20.90  
YOUNG JONESBORO 2 4 6 6   44 47 (hornsby tammy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00 10% 8.60 34.20  
ROULETTE 9 6 8 9   67 5 (johnson b)VARGAS P 124 4.50 31% 2.20 0.80  
STAR READY 5 1 2nk 22   56 612¾ (balderas alfonso)MORA GERARDO 117 3.50 7.00  
SPOONMAN 7 8 10 8   812 715½ (witt ii)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 9% 10.80 6.50  
WINNING DANCE 4 5 5 43   710 818¼ (gomez david )ALBERT S 115 20.00 75.00  
STRIKE A BARGAIN 6 12 128 1110¼   918 928 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00 85.00  
12  HALEY'S BEAU 12 7 4 7   1019 1033¾ (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 25.00 10% 8.60 8.70  
10  NATIVE MOONSHINE 10 10 9 10   1119½ 1135½ (wilson melton)MELANCON G 124 12.00 9% 10.60 17.90  
11  LEVY BILL 11 9 117 1210½   1221½ 1237¼ (northrop debra)GALVAN JHAIR 120 25.00 ######  
SCR  CRAZY MUGGS               (ramirez rosa )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 15.00    
SCR  PROSPECTOR'S POINT               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 25.00    
 
LAD-7   07/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:222 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALDINA DREAMS 7 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (payne w)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 15.00 12.30  
KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY 2 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.00 3.30  
STRUTTIN APRIORITY 4 4 6 43   45 32 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 2.50 22% 3.50 5.10 S
EGOR OTAY 1 2 3 31   32 4 (nelson r)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 10.40  
ROCKALL 5 5 5 6   58 5 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 27% 2.80 2.70  
FREEPORT 6 6 4 55   6 69 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00 21% 3.80 2.10  
ALWAYS HAVE PARIS 3 7 7 7   715¼ 722¼ (wilson melton)MORA GERARDO 120 10.00 8% 11.70 14.10  
SCR  CATCHEM IF YOU CAN               (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  SCRIMSHIRE               (villafranco ma)MAGNON H 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.