Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-2   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-3   Win (6/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-4   Win (2/6/3/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-5   Win (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-6   Win (9/2/12/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-7   Win (5/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PRIORITY Jul08 Jun17 May29 Feb22 Feb01 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 124 12.00 9% 10.50    
SUMITUP May28 Mar23 Mar01 Feb04 Jan12 (dandridge co)ALBERT S 119 2.50    
SCR  INAWIC Jul01 Jun17 May28 Apr27 Mar18 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
DROP DEAD SEXY Jun17 May08 Mar26 Feb04 Jan12 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCAMPERING GRAYCE May29 Jan29 Sep24 Aug20 Jul12 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00    
OURPERFECTPRINCESS Jul01 May29 May07 Mar26 Mar04 (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
LAD-2   07/24/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($18K) 2 F PT- 5:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO GAL May30         (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 65% 0.50    
SHE'S EXTRA Jul02 Jun03       (bryant a)CABRERA DAVID 117 3.50    
SIBERIANA May30         (venzor jail)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BETONYA Jun11 May30       (venzor jailinne)TORRES HUGO 112 8.00    
SCR  MARY WHO         (bryant george )MEDELLIN ERICK 117 4.50    
DULCE AMANECER YG Jul02 Jun16 May28     (ortiz rui)MORA GERARDO 117 4.50    
TEXAS MOON         (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 5.00 12% 7.70    
LITTLE ELLIE Jul08 Jun16 May28     (rangel raul)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00    
 
LAD-3   07/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JR'S PACIFICO Jun17 Jun02 May21 May05 Apr16 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
SALADO Jun25 May21 May01 Apr01 Mar12 (hewitt michael)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 15% 5.70    
YOUNG TUSCAN Jun25 May27 Mar16 Feb09 Jan15 (munoz yovani)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHARP CHARLIE Jul08 May21 Apr20 Mar11 Feb16 (foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 121 2.50    
CABOT Mar04 Feb20 Jan20 Nov12 Oct14 (hewitt michael)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00    
JAKE THE BAND MAN Jul08 May30 Feb02 Jan14 Dec28 (felks r)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.00 35% 1.90    
SHARK HARBOR Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May22 Apr02 (lorefice)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
THE GREEN MO'STER Nov24 Sep27 Aug14 Jul17 Jun27 (singh s)SINGH R 120 5.00    
LUCKY PROMISE Jul08 Jun10 Apr29 Apr14 Mar17 (gustafson austi)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50    
 
LAD-4   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALICO TABBY Mar17 Feb25       (hornsby tammy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 25.00    
TWISTED BRADE Jan27 Aug15 Jul21 Jun19 Jun05 (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
TEKANA Jul02         (duhon paul)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 12% 7.60    
LIL PARTY CRASHER Jul01         (garza e)MORA GERARDO 120 15.00    
LOVELY JOYCE Jun19 May30 May04 Apr15 Mar16 (prather h)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50    
MISCHIEVOUS ME Jun11 Apr29 Mar18     (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  DAZZLING THE MOON Jul03 Jun11 Mar05 Feb11   (ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
BOLD EXAGGERATION May29 May12       (tillis jerr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 25.00    
BODI ODI Jul01 Jun10 May28 Apr29 Apr15 (northrop debra)GALVAN JHAIR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SECRET MOMENT May13 May04 Oct06 Jul06 Jun11 (washington ri)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00    
11  MILU ROCKET May07 Jan21 Dec21 Jun07 May22 (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00    
12  ABBEY CAKES Apr15 Feb24 Jan26 Nov26   (dodson)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   07/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMUGLERS BLUES Jun11         (foster m)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00    
ZEEROCK Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 May29 May15 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 120 12.00    
DEROUTANTE Jul04 May21 Feb20 Sep25 Jul24 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
SWEET LITTLE ROSE Jul03 May30 May07 Mar23 Mar10 (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
T J'S FIRST Jun25 May29 Mar18 Jan27 Sep19 (mouton patrick)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 10.00    
WHERE'S AUNT J Jun12 Feb23 Feb04 Jan07 Nov16 (cates al)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.50 14% 5.90    
SUE'S LITTLE ZING Jul03 Jun17 May29 May08 Apr22 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
LAD-6   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIAM GUSTAVO Feb11 Jan20 Jan09     (del erick)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00    
YOUNG JONESBORO         (hornsby tammy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00 10% 8.60    
WINDTAPPER WIN Jul04 Jun26 Jun05 Apr23 Mar09 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
WINNING DANCE Jun26 Jun10 Feb11 Jan20 Jan07 (gomez david )ALBERT S 115 20.00    
STAR READY Jun19 May22 May06 Mar26 Feb09 (balderas alfonso)MORA GERARDO 117 3.50    
STRIKE A BARGAIN Jun24         (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00    
SPOONMAN         (witt ii)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 9% 10.80    
CADILLAC COWBOY Jun04 Apr22 Mar25 Mar12 Feb17 (milligan a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
ROULETTE Jun05 May13       (johnson b)VARGAS P 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
10  NATIVE MOONSHINE         (wilson melton)MELANCON G 124 12.00 9% 10.60    
11  LEVY BILL Jun17         (northrop debra)GALVAN JHAIR 120 25.00    
12  HALEY'S BEAU Aug22         (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 25.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  PROSPECTOR'S POINT Jun25 May27       (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 25.00    
SCR  CRAZY MUGGS Jun26         (ramirez rosa )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 15.00    
 
LAD-7   07/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGOR OTAY Jun24 May15 Dec17 Mar25 Mar09 (nelson r)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY May13 Mar23 Feb23     (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
ALWAYS HAVE PARIS         (wilson melton)MORA GERARDO 120 10.00 8% 11.70    
STRUTTIN APRIORITY Jul01 May28 May06 Jun15 May19 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
ROCKALL May27 Feb17       (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  SCRIMSHIRE Apr10 Mar27 Mar05 Dec09   (villafranco ma)MAGNON H 124 12.00    
SCR  CATCHEM IF YOU CAN May06         (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
FREEPORT Jun22 Jun04 May27 May06 Apr16 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
VALDINA DREAMS Jun22 May27 May11 Apr29 Apr13 (payne w)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.