Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-3   WIN (5/4/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $11.80 $1.80 18%
    EXA (5/4/3/2/7)-(5/4/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-3 $26.40 $6.40 32%
    TRI (5/4/3/2/7)-(5/4/3/2/7)-(5/4/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-3-5 $40.20 $10.20 34%
    SFT (5/4/3/2/7)-(5/4/3/2/7)-(5/4/3/2/7)-(5/4/3/2/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-3-5-4 $46.33 $34.33 286%
LAD-4   WIN (10/8/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $11.80 $1.80 18%
    EXA (10/8/1/5/7)-(10/8/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-7 $305.80 $285.80 1429%
    DD (5/4/3/2/7)-(10/8/1/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00  7-1 $26.90 $1.90 8%
LAD-5   WIN (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $18.80 $10.80 135%
    DD (10/8/1/5/7)-(1/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-7 $74.70 $54.70 274%
    PK3 (5/4/3/2/7)-(10/8/1/5/7)-(1/8/7/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00  7-1-7 $135.35 $85.35 171%
LAD-6   WIN (3/1/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $17.00 $7.00 70%
    DD (1/8/7/3)-(3/1/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-4 $120.80 $100.80 504%
    PK3 (10/8/1/5/7)-(1/8/7/3)-(3/1/4/2/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00  1-7-4 $539.90 $489.90 980%
LAD-7   WIN (4/1/13/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $14.20 $4.20 42%
    DD (3/1/4/2/6)-(4/1/13/12/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00  4-4 $88.20 $63.20 253%
    PK3 (1/8/7/3)-(3/1/4/2/6)-(4/1/13/12/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00  7-4-4 $244.65 $194.65 389%
LAD-8   PK4 (1/8/7/3)-(3/1/4/2/6)-(4/1/13/12/9)-(1/5/2/4/9) 500 $0.50 $250  7-4-4-1 $482.25 $232.25 93%
    PK5 (10/8/1/5/7)-(1/8/7/3)-(3/1/4/2/6)-(4/1/13/12/9)-(1/5/2/4/9) 2500 $0.50 $1250  1-7-4-4-1 $1736.40 $486.40 39%
    PK6 (5/4/3/2/7)-(10/8/1/5/7)-(1/8/7/3)-(3/1/4/2/6)-(4/1/13/12/9)-(1/5/2/4/9) 12500 $0.20 $2500  7-1-7-4-4-1 $7636 $5136 205%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   07/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:134     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OCEAN KISS 2 1 53¼ 41½   2nk 1½ (felks r)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 3.00 49% 1.10 2.20 W
4  VERO CAMPIONE 4 2 2nk 1½   1nk 2½ (duke steve)ALBERT S 119 6.00 9% 10.00 4.10 P
3  VALID EARLY 3 7 73¾ 52½   32 39½ (silkwood charl)GALVAN JHAIR 120 8.00 12.60  
1  TRIPLE 1 6 63¼ 64½   55½ 418¾ (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00 9.60  
6  ZAPAWAY 6 4 31 3½   44 524 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 3.50 14.70  
5  ALPHIN 5 3 1nk 2½   69½ 644¾ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 20% 4.00 1.80  
7  SOMMELIER 7 5 41¼ 77½   712½ 750½ (goins garland)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
 
LAD-2   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CRYSTAL CRESCENT 5 2 2nk 1nk   12 17 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00 8.30  
8  PREACH IT GIRL 8 3 31 3.2   22 27 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60 P
6  PAT HAND GIRL 6 7 52 52¾   43½ 310½ (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 51% 1.00 15.80 S
9  WAIT ON ME 9 4 41½ 4¾   33 412 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 2.50 16% 5.40 0.80  
4  SODDY DAISY 4 1 1nk 2nk   53½ 513¼ (villafranco)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00 4.90  
3  WHO DAT GREY 3 5 62¼ 74¾   66½ 616 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 10.00 41.90  
1  SIMPLE SUNDAY 1 8 96¾ 86¾   76¾ 716¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 4.50 9.80  
7  QUALITY BOW 7 6 73¼ 64¾   89¾ 818¼ (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 35.60  
2  GUEST IN MY HEART 2 9 86¼ 97   911¾ 921 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 117 5.00 5% 18.90 11.90  
 
LAD-3   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:132     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NON BINDING 6 4 73 4¾   12 1¾ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 15.00 6% 15.20 4.90 W
3  GUANAJUATO 3 9 84 61¾   32½ 2¾ (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.00 13% 6.70 3.70 P
5  CECE WAVE 5 3 2nk 3½   22 32 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 31% 2.20 2.40 S
4  LOYAL TO THE CHIEF 4 2 52¼ 83½   55½ 47¾ (martin kevin)MELANCON G 124 4.50 15% 5.70 12.10  
10  REINA ACES 9 7 62¾ 5¾   44½ 58¾ (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00 15.90  
2  BERNIECE 2 8 42¼ 73¼   67½ 612¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 11% 7.80 2.40  
1  DONTFORGETRDREAMS 1 1 95 93½   79 717¾ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 17.30  
9  SAVANNAH'S HERE 8 5 1nk 1½   810 820½ (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 124 8.00 24.80  
8  LUCKY GONE SWEET 7 6 3.2 2½   914 925½ (ingram steve)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00 65.70  
SCR  BLESS D'SOUTH               (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00    
 
LAD-4   07/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :473 1:113 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINT 1 3 11 11 11 1½ 12¾ (hewit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 12.00 6% 15.20 4.90 W
7  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 7 7 76½ 64 52½ 51¼ 22¾ (hirdes john)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00 5% 19.00 81.60 P
4  EGO 4 6 64½ 74½ 62¾ 61¼ 32¾ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 3.20  
5  LIARS CLUB 5 4 31½ 52 41½ 4¾ 43¼ (hurley tina )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
10  VINYL 10 5 53½ 42 31 2½ 53½ (wilson shane)BOREL H 120 4.00 49% 1.10 6.80  
8  LOVING LUCKY 8 1 42½ 21 21 3½ 65¾ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 15% 5.70 1.80  
3  SENATOR CON 3 9 89½ 86½ 74¼ 74¼ 76¾ (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 5.00 12.80  
2  MOUNT KENYA 2 10 1015½ 99½ 86¼ 86¼ 87 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 5.60  
9  STEAL IT BACK 9 8 911½ 1010 106¾ 910¼ 911¼ (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 117 15.00 62.40  
6  TEMPRANO 6 2 21 31½ 96¼ 1015¼ 1023½ (beavin jud)ALBERT S 112 8.00 69.80  
SCR  LEMON KICK               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
 
LAD-5   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHE A HOT MESS 6 3 33 3½   12 12¾ (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40 W
6  HAMAZING DEBATE 5 4 53¾ 51¾   22 22¾ (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 7.70  
3  PROUD VICTORIA 3 5 43½ 41½   43 38½ (altamirano e)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 20.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
1  REDEFINITION 1 2 2nk 1nk   32½ 48¾ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.40  
5  ABBY THE BULL DAWG 4 7 711¾ 68¾   67 510¾ (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 10.40  
2  GETONOUTTAHERE 2 1 1nk 2nk   57 619½ (rossi j)BOREL H 122 10.00 18.70  
8  LEGENDARY GIFT 7 6 610¾ 79¾   714 726 (bryant george)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 25% 3.00 2.20  
SCR  CARSON'S PRINCESS               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50    
SCR  IZEONPOINT               (borel renay)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
SCR  RUN FEARLESS               (fires william )GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
 
LAD-6   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:23 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOMBER COMMAND 4 6 52½ 41½   31 11½ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 10% 9.30 7.50 W
12  MIDNIGHT HUNTER 11 4 41½ 3½   2½ 21½ (hebert matt)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 29.00  
9  JERSEY JIM 8 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 32¾ (hebert matt)VARGAS P 120 25.00 2.20  
7  CLASSIC RUNNER 6 10 86½ 94   65½ 46½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 20.00 59.40  
8  COME ON COME ON 7 5 63½ 52½   55 58½ (hirdes joh)ALBERT S 119 15.00 18.40  
2  RAUL'S ENCANTO 2 1 1½ 1nk   43 69¾ (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50 9% 10.30 7.20  
10  SONGWRITER 9 7 75½ 83¾   76½ 710¾ (brya)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 5.90  
1  MIRI A COINCIDENCE 1 9 106¾ 73¾   913½ 812½ (prather )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 11% 7.90 2.90  
3  DIRECTIONAL 3 8 96½ 104½   88½ 914½ (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 45% 1.20 7.00  
6  MADMARTIGAN 5 11 1111¾ 116   1114½ 1022½ (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 45.60  
11  DANDY LOU 10 3 31 63½   1014½ 1123¼ (schmidt denis)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00 65.00  
SCR  MORO FLYBOY               (ramirez ros)RODRIQUEZ JARIO 124 12.00    
 
LAD-7   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LUNAR MODULE 4 7 64¼ 66¾   11 12½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50 35% 1.90 6.10 W
6  U. S. ARMY 5 10 107 97½   63 22½ (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 118 5.00 2.60  
8  BLING'S BELLWETHER 7 9 86¼ 87¼   73¼ 33¾ (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 30.00 45.40  
2  TAPIT'S SPIRIT 2 6 42¼ 42¼   52 44 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00 11.50  
13  LAURI'S WISH 11 8 75¼ 76¾   93¾ 54 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 12% 7.10 5.60  
9  SIDETOWN 8 3 3.2 3.2   41½ 64¾ (hewit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 25.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
14  DRIFTER 12 12 117½ 1110½   118¼ 74¾ (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 6.30  
3  FULL IMPACT 3 1 1nk 1nk   21 85 (villafranco ma)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 19.80  
7  PESO IN MY POCKET 6 2 2nk 2nk   31 95 (munoz yovan)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 20.00 11.90  
12  CREEKMORE 10 4 54¼ 56¼   83¾ 107½ (gonzalez adr)BARRERA J 117 8.00 11% 7.90 33.60  
1  MISTER K 1 5 96½ 108½   104¼ 1110½ (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 19% 4.30 6.80  
10  RUM 'N TONIC 9 11 129½ 1212   1214¼ 1219½ (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 12.00 11.00  
SCR  ORDER OF MERIT               (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
SCR  STOMPING HOTROD               (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
 
LAD-8   07/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:112 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO NALA 1 1 11 11 11 12 13¾ (hebert matt)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 33% 2.00 1.90 W
6  PINCHING PENNIES 6 3 32½ 32 32½ 22 23¾ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 9.90  
8  MISS ARKANSAS 8 6 64½ 43 43½ 32½ 34¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 3.70  
4  DR. WOODS MIRACLE 4 10 109¼ 95¾ 99 77½ 46¾ (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
3  LACEY'S STAR 3 5 75 84¾ 65½ 54½ 57 (avant kelly)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 15.00 25.90  
2  NOT ALONE 2 2 21 21 21 43½ 68½ (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 14% 6.20 2.40  
10  LA VALEDORA 10 9 85¼ 73¾ 54½ 65½ 710¼ (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 5.00 24.60  
7  MRS. MACOMBER 7 8 97¼ 106¾ 1010 1013½ 817¼ (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 18.10  
5  GOLD MEMORIES 5 4 43½ 53 75½ 812½ 918¾ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 30% 2.40 14.10  
9  HATZILU IVRIT 9 7 53½ 63½ 87 912½ 1018¾ (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 124 12.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
SCR  ANNA MARIE               (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 115 30.00    
SCR  NICAMINE               (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 25.00    
SCR  REAUX BINA               (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.