Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(6/9/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/7)-(6/9/2/8/7)-(5/4/3/2/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-2   WIN (6/9/2/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/8/7)-(6/9/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/8/7)-(6/9/2/8/7)-(6/9/2/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/2/8/7)-(5/4/3/2/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2/8/7)-(5/4/3/2/7)-(10/8/1/5/7) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LAD-3   WIN (5/4/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/2/7)-(5/4/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/2/7)-(5/4/3/2/7)-(5/4/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/2/7)-(10/8/1/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/2/7)-(10/8/1/5/7)-(1/8/7/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-4   WIN (10/8/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/1/5/7)-(10/8/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/1/5/7)-(10/8/1/5/7)-(10/8/1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/1/5/7)-(1/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/8/1/5/7)-(1/8/7/3)-(3/1/4/2/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/7/3)-(3/1/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/3)-(3/1/4/2/6)-(4/1/13/12/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-6   WIN (3/1/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/2/6)-(3/1/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/2/6)-(3/1/4/2/6)-(3/1/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/4/2/6)-(4/1/13/12/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/2/6)-(4/1/13/12/9)-(1/5/2/4/9) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LAD-7   WIN (4/1/13/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/13/12/9)-(4/1/13/12/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/13/12/9)-(4/1/13/12/9)-(4/1/13/12/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/13/12/9)-(1/5/2/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LAD-8   WIN (1/5/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/4/9)-(1/5/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/4/9)-(1/5/2/4/9)-(1/5/2/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE Jun10 May22 Jan20 Dec28 Dec15 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00    
2  OCEAN KISS May15 Mar10 Feb18     (felks r)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 3.00 49% 1.10    
3  VALID EARLY Mar22 Mar10 Feb16     (silkwood charl)GALVAN JHAIR 120 8.00    
4  VERO CAMPIONE Jul08 May22 Mar22 Jan07 Mar20 (duke steve)ALBERT S 119 6.00 9% 10.00    
5  ALPHIN Jul02 Jun10       (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  ZAPAWAY May06 Feb28 Feb04     (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 3.50    
7  SOMMELIER Feb01 Nov11 Sep27     (goins garland)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLE SUNDAY May22 Dec20 Nov22 Jul11 Jun12 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 4.50    
2  GUEST IN MY HEART Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 Jun03 May05 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 117 5.00 5% 18.90    
3  WHO DAT GREY Jun12 May22 Feb28 Jan12 Dec16 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 10.00    
4  SODDY DAISY Jul02 Jun17 Mar16 Feb19 Feb12 (villafranco)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00    
5  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Jul10 Jul01 Jun12 May14 Apr28 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00    
6  PAT HAND GIRL Jun10 May14 Mar23 Feb26 Feb05 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 51% 1.00    
7  QUALITY BOW Jul06 May19 May05 Apr30 Apr16 (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  PREACH IT GIRL Jul10 Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 May03 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  WAIT ON ME Jul17 Jun26 Mar18 Feb23 Feb04 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
LAD-3   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTFORGETRDREAMS Jun26 Jun10 May13 Nov03 Oct14 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
2  BERNIECE Jun12 Feb26 Dec29     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
3  GUANAJUATO Jul02 Mar11 Feb23 Jan27 Dec18 (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
4  LOYAL TO THE CHIEF Jun26 Jun10 Apr26 Sep25 Sep12 (martin kevin)MELANCON G 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
5  CECE WAVE Jul03 Jun12 May22 May07 Apr16 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  BLESS D'SOUTH Jul04 Jun11 Mar10 Feb17 Feb04 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00    
7  NON BINDING Jun24 Jun03 Apr07 Mar08 Feb01 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 15.00 6% 15.20    
8  LUCKY GONE SWEET Jul02 Jun10 Jul04 Jun12 May30 (ingram steve)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00    
9  SAVANNAH'S HERE Jun26 Jun12 May28 Feb23 Feb01 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 124 8.00    
10  REINA ACES Jun23 May11 Apr19 Mar23 Mar10 (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00    
 
LAD-4   07/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINT Jul09 May29 May15 Feb17 Dec30 (hewit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 12.00 6% 15.20    
2  MOUNT KENYA Jun22 Jun05 May28 Mar22 Feb24 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
3  SENATOR CON Jul03 May29 May15 Sep27 Sep03 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 5.00    
4  EGO Jun19 Jun03 May21 Apr15 Mar26 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50    
5  LIARS CLUB Jul13 Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 May05 (hurley tina )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TEMPRANO Jun19 May21 May08 Feb18 Jan28 (beavin jud)ALBERT S 112 8.00    
7  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Apr05 Feb13 Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 (hirdes john)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LOVING LUCKY Jun25 Jun05 May06 Apr14 Mar31 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
9  STEAL IT BACK Jun17 May18 Mar24 Mar04 Feb21 (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 117 15.00    
10  VINYL Jul02 May29 Sep27 Sep12 Jul17 (wilson shane)BOREL H 120 4.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  LEMON KICK Jul09 Jan14 Nov12 Oct26 Sep11 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
 
LAD-5   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDEFINITION Jun17 Apr23 Apr02 Feb24 Feb04 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
2  GETONOUTTAHERE Jun18 Feb20 Feb05 Jan14 Nov14 (rossi j)BOREL H 122 10.00    
3  PROUD VICTORIA May29 May04 Mar03 Feb18 Jan22 (altamirano e)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARSON'S PRINCESS Mar23 Jan15 Dec09 Sep25 Jul18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50    
5  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Jul10 Jun25 May21 May05 Apr21 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
6  HAMAZING DEBATE May29 May04 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
7  SHE A HOT MESS Jun24 May13 Jan12 Sep19 Aug30 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LEGENDARY GIFT Jul04 May13 Apr29 Apr15 Mar18 (bryant george)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  RUN FEARLESS May04 Mar31 Mar04 Feb20 Feb03 (fires william )GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
SCR  IZEONPOINT Jul17 Jun10 Apr29 Apr16 Mar23 (borel renay)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
 
LAD-6   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRI A COINCIDENCE Jun26 May06 Apr16 Mar23 Mar12 (prather )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
2  RAUL'S ENCANTO Jul03 Jun10 Apr26 Mar09 Oct15 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
3  DIRECTIONAL Jul03 Jan13 Dec02 Nov19 Nov08 (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  BOMBER COMMAND Jul08 May18 Apr07     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  MORO FLYBOY Feb03 Jan21 Dec08 Oct27 Oct14 (ramirez ros)RODRIQUEZ JARIO 124 12.00    
6  MADMARTIGAN Jun04 May06 Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CLASSIC RUNNER Jul03 Jun10 May20 May07 Mar24 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 20.00    
8  COME ON COME ON Dec09 Oct30 Aug25 Apr08   (hirdes joh)ALBERT S 119 15.00    
9  JERSEY JIM May12 Apr30 Mar04 Jan27 Nov22 (hebert matt)VARGAS P 120 25.00    
10  SONGWRITER Jul03 Jun11 May27 May07 Mar30 (brya)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
11  DANDY LOU Jul03 Jun09       (schmidt denis)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
12  MIDNIGHT HUNTER May27 May12 Apr27 Mar19 Feb23 (hebert matt)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00    
 
LAD-7   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER K Jun05 May14 Apr27 Feb25 Feb05 (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  TAPIT'S SPIRIT Jun17 May27 Apr29 Apr01 Mar03 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
3  FULL IMPACT Jul13 Apr08 Feb03 Jan14 Dec30 (villafranco ma)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
4  LUNAR MODULE Jun19 May22 May08 Apr08 Mar12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  ORDER OF MERIT Jun26 Jun04 May13 Apr07 Mar23 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
6  U. S. ARMY May28 Apr16 Mar04 Jan28 Nov22 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 118 5.00    
7  PESO IN MY POCKET Jun11 May08 Jan27 Jan07 Sep10 (munoz yovan)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 20.00    
8  BLING'S BELLWETHER Jun18 Jun03 May27 May13 Apr29 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
9  SIDETOWN Jun02 May18 Apr30 Apr07 Mar09 (hewit)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 25.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUM 'N TONIC Jul10 Jun24 May27 May06 Apr30 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 12.00    
SCR  STOMPING HOTROD Jun17 May30 May05 Apr23 Mar23 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
12  CREEKMORE Jun23 Jun05 May12 Feb22 Jan27 (gonzalez adr)BARRERA J 117 8.00 11% 7.90    
13  LAURI'S WISH Jul13 May20 Apr20 Mar25 Mar16 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 12% 7.10    
14  DRIFTER Jul15 Jun23 May26 Apr28 Mar23 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00    
 
LAD-8   07/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO NALA Jul03 Apr08 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 (hebert matt)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  NOT ALONE Jun04 May14 Feb24 Jan14   (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 14% 6.20    
3  LACEY'S STAR Jun15 May04 Apr20 Feb28   (avant kelly)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 15.00    
4  DR. WOODS MIRACLE Jun17 May27 Apr22 Mar30 Mar16 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLD MEMORIES Jul03 Jun11 May21 Apr30 Apr21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
6  PINCHING PENNIES Jun19 Jan26       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00    
7  MRS. MACOMBER Jun16 May26 Apr28 Mar30 Mar10 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
8  MISS ARKANSAS Jul03 May27 May14 Apr28 Apr12 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
9  HATZILU IVRIT May21 May28 Apr28 Mar19   (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  LA VALEDORA Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar24 Feb25 (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 5.00    
SCR  ANNA MARIE Jul03         (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 115 30.00    
SCR  REAUX BINA Jun29 May21 May13 Apr22 Mar30 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
SCR  NICAMINE Jul02 Jun18 May29     (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.