Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (7/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $13.00 $5.00 63%
    EXA (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $18.90 $6.90 58%
LAD-2   DD (7/8/3/2)-(12/13/10/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-7 $48.20 $28.20 141%
LAD-5   EXA (6/13/7/2/9)-(6/13/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  13-2 $28.70 $8.70 44%
    TRI (6/13/7/2/9)-(6/13/7/2/9)-(6/13/7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  13-2-6 $56.30 $26.30 88%
LAD-6   WIN (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    EXA (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $17.70 $5.70 48%
LAD-7   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    DD (7/3/4/5)-(1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-8 $40.00 $28.00 233%
    PK3 (6/13/7/2/9)-(7/3/4/5)-(1/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  13-4-8 $89.60 $59.60 199%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:13     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ONE MORE SLEEP 3 6 42 2½   1½ 1¾ (magnon jason)POMPELL L 120 4.50 7% 13.40 5.50 W
7  CALLEN FEELS GOOD 7 4 3½ 1½   2½ 2¾ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.30 P
1  PERFECT STRIKE 1 2 62¾ 64½   34½ 36¾ (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 15.90  
4  TOOCAN DANCE 4 7 75¾ 85¼   45½ 47½ (avant kelly)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 32.50  
8  OCEAN KISS 8 3 52¼ 41   67 514¾ (felks r)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00 27% 2.70 4.50  
2  BROOK IS GOLDEN 2 1 1nk 31   56 616¼ (singh darla )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 6% 16.50 4.70  
5  K V TARGET 5 8 87¾ 74¾   710 720½ (larrosa a)STOKES J 124 8.00 10.10  
6  LOWER CRETACEOUS 6 5 2nk 54   810½ 821¼ (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 9.30  
 
LAD-2   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:152 1:274   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TONTERIA 6 9 52½ 41¼ 31 12 11 (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 117 12.00 6% 16.70 2.50 W
12  ROULETTE 11 5 117¼ 31 42 32 21 (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 31% 2.30 3.10 P
5  TAPIT TWICE 4 10 74½ 83 52½ 42½ 32½ (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00 25.10  
8  SWEET PRESENT 7 4 21 2nk 2nk 22 42½ (rangel raul)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 25.00 43.90  
10  LOOKIN AT BETTY 9 12 85 72¾ 62¾ 53½ 53 (charles jonathan)ROSIER R 120 10.00 16% 5.20 8.80  
1  MODOC 1 11 32 104 74¾ 64½ 64¾ (dods)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
9  HOWL YEAH 8 8 129¼ 124½ 85¾ 86½ 76¾ (wilson melton)POMPELL L 124 15.00 5.30  
6  CHAMOIS' EMPIRE 5 3 11 1nk 1nk 75½ 87¾ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 12.00 20.50  
13  OWEN THE ICE MAN 12 6 63½ 51¼ 118 109¾ 910¾ (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.50 20% 4.00 8.20  
2  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE 2 1 95¼ 114 107¾ 99½ 1011 (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 25.00 55.50  
3  ALL TOGETHER 3 2 42 61¾ 97¾ 1110¼ 1111½ (beavin judy)LOZADA CARLOS 117 15.00 48.50  
11  WINDTAPPER WIN 10 7 106¼ 93 1211 1220¼ 1232 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 18.00  
SCR  HUMOR ME PLEASE               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
SCR  RONALDS GATSBY               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50    
 
LAD-3   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:224 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RAUL'S ENCANTO 9 3 2½ 1½   11 11¾ (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 1.20  
10  MARKETBOOK 10 5 31½ 31½   21 21¾ (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 124 8.00 22% 3.50 20.80 P
7  EMMA'S WALTZ 7 4 1½ 2½   32 34½ (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 50% 1.00 1.80 S
5  COME ON COME ON 5 11 109 75¼   45 44¾ (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
11  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 11 8 77 85¼   77 58¾ (kanhai jos)ALBERT S 119 15.00 67.30  
4  THURSDAY MORNING 4 6 1110 97¼   98 68¾ (espinoza edgar)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 8.00 37.10  
1  G E H GIANTS WAY 1 1 42½ 43   66 79 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 124 4.00 ★ 12.90  
8  CATALINA LATRINA 8 7 53½ 53   55½ 89¼ (thomas lee)POMPELL L 121 3.50 ★ 10.60  
3  D W STRONG 3 2 65½ 65   88 911½ (turner dennis)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00 70.60  
6  DEPUTY KNIGHT 6 9 99 118   1010 1013½ (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 23.90  
2  DANDY LOU 2 10 88 107¾   1112 1116¼ (schmidt den)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 20.00 53.30  
 
LAD-4   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:001     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WESTERN AFLEET 6 1 11 11½   12 13 (venzor ja)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 8.00 23.50  
  (by SAINT AFLEET out of WESTERN THEME by STORM AND A HALF)
4  THEBOYZ SECRET 4 8 98¾ 96   54½ 23 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 114 15.00 16.80  
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of FIJI D by LYDGATE)
1  LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN 1 6 21 31½   22 33¾ (martin kevin)MELANCON G 119 3.50 50% 1.00 6.20 S
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PATCHOFBADWEATHER by STORM AND A HALF)
11  HANDSOME HAROLD 11 4 61¾ 21½   32 45 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 ★ 2.40  
  (by SAINT AFLEET out of MIND BLOWING by FRIENDS LAKE)
9  I NITA WARRIOR 9 2 74¾ 65½   44 57½ (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50 ★ 12.50  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of ANITA BONITA by REDDING COLLIERY)
10  NATIVE REQUITE 10 3 51¼ 53½   78 614¾ (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 23.40  
  (by REQUITE out of NATIVE TRINKET by DOVE HUNT)
3  NOT LIKELY 3 9 86¾ 75¾   67½ 715¼ (zenon charle)MAGNON H 119 15.00 77.90  
  (by STAGE STREET out of DIAMONDS FOR GI GI by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
5  FRUIT CUP 5 10 109¾ 109   910¼ 815¾ (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of KILLERQUEEN by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
2  QUAIL 2 7 31 42½   88¼ 916¼ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00 2.50  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of POP SINGER by SCAT DADDY)
7  LUCKY IS MY NAME 7 11 1110 119   1011¼ 1016¾ (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 12.00 22.30  
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of INNER PEACE by SEATTLE SLEW)
8  BET ON BOBBY 8 5 41¼ 85¾   1118¼ 1133 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 7.40  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BET ON SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
LAD-5   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:132 1:251   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  DON'TASK DON'TTELL 11 5 96¼ 86 42 11½ 13 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 11% 8.50 2.30 W
2  MEN OF KYLE 2 10 107¼ 107½ 95¼ 21½ 23 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 124 3.50 7% 13.80 8.50 P
6  WHEN'S TEE TIME 4 9 85¾ 96½ 31½ 52¼ 34 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 39% 1.50 3.90 S
10  DARE TO FAIL 8 6 52½ 64½ 84¾ 63¼ 44¾ (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 24.40  
8  MR. TIN MAN 6 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 31½ 55¾ (romero geral)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 22.60  
11  COWBOY RIDGE 9 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 41¾ 66 (rang)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 43.20  
3  HALEYS SAILOR 3 8 74¼ 53½ 106¼ 74¾ 76 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.50 7.20  
7  OPTIMUS KAT 5 7 64 74½ 74¾ 95¾ 87¼ (villafranco )BARRERA J 119 6.00 8% 11.70 9.70  
9  CALLINGINTHENIGHT 7 2 41½ 42½ 53 85¾ 97½ (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
12  BEACHCOMBING 10 4 31½ 32 63¼ 1010¾ 1013¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 4.00  
1  PAPAWS BOY 1 11 118¼ 119½ 1111¼ 1114¾ 1118½ (de alex)STOKES J 124 20.00 57.70  
SCR  LIONS NOT SHEEP               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
SCR  SECOND OF JULY               (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
 
LAD-6   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alabama Cotton State Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:234 :473 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FIRED UP TIGER 4 2 2½ 2½   1½ 11¼ (devereux patr)VARGAS P 120 1.80 19% 4.20 4.80 W
  (by FIRING LINE out of LILY SO LOVELY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
7  FOOLISH STEVE 7 3 73¾ 54   31½ 21¼ (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00 39% 1.60 1.40 P
  (by MOSQUITO out of SHIRLEY'S BRITTNEY by SEA OF SECRETS)
3  LIKEN IT 3 4 1½ 1½   2½ 32 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 3.00 22% 3.60 1.10 S
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
6  UNCLE BRAD 6 1 52 42   41½ 44½ (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 12.50  
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
5  KELLYS THE BOSS 5 5 31½ 31½   52 57 (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
2  UNAFFILIATED 2 6 41½ 65   69 624 (schmidt denise)GREEN AUBRIE 118 15.00 31.60  
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
1  UNITEDAPPEAL 1 7 63½ 75   79¼ 737 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 12.00 49.90  
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of SOPHIA GRACE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
LAD-7   08/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:121 1:243   1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BEAUTIFUL ENDING 6 5 55½ 55   42½ 1hd (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 4.50 26% 2.90 6.10 W
6  SUMMERTIME BANDIT 4 1 1nk 11½   1nk 2hd (zenon shel)ALBERT S 119 10.00 5.70  
4  DADDY HEY DADDY 3 3 2nk 21½   2nk 32¼ (garcia)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 1.30  
1  LIL ASHLEY B. 1 6 45 43½   53 43¼ (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 38% 1.60 2.20  
7  CALAJA 5 2 32 33½   32 54½ (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
3  ASHLEY'S GIRL 2 4 610½ 611   610 611 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 11.90  
SCR  ANGELA'S CELERITY               (delany sarah)STOKES J 122 6.00    
SCR  OUR LITTLE GIRL               (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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