Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (7/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/2)-(12/13/10/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/2)-(12/13/10/7/1)-(7/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (12/13/10/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/13/10/7/1)-(12/13/10/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/13/10/7/1)-(12/13/10/7/1)-(12/13/10/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/13/10/7/1)-(7/10/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (12/13/10/7/1)-(7/10/5)-(1/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-3   WIN (7/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/5)-(7/10/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/5)-(7/10/1/8/5)-(7/10/1/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/10/5)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/10/5)-(1/2/5)-(6/13/7/2/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/9/11/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/9/11/5)-(1/2/9/11/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6/13/7/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(6/13/7/2/9)-(7/3/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/13/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/13/7/2/9)-(6/13/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/13/7/2/9)-(6/13/7/2/9)-(6/13/7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/13/7/2/9)-(7/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/13/7/2/9)-(7/3/4/5)-(1/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/5)-(1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT STRIKE Jul29 Jun24 May10 Apr14 Mar08 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
2  BROOK IS GOLDEN Jul29 Jul17 Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 (singh darla )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 6% 16.50    
3  ONE MORE SLEEP Aug05 Jul15 Jun30 Jun09 Apr27 (magnon jason)POMPELL L 120 4.50 7% 13.40    
4  TOOCAN DANCE Jun24 May14 Feb01 Jan21 Jan06 (avant kelly)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
5  K V TARGET Jul22 Jun15 May10 Apr29 Apr14 (larrosa a)STOKES J 124 8.00    
6  LOWER CRETACEOUS Jul29 Jun24 Dec19 Nov25 Nov02 (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
7  CALLEN FEELS GOOD Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 May19 Apr27 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  OCEAN KISS Jul30 May15 Mar10 Feb18   (felks r)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
LAD-2   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODOC Jul29 Jul04 Jun16 May21 Apr23 (dods)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE Jun22 Jan16       (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 25.00    
3  ALL TOGETHER Jun15 May19 Apr28 Feb09 Jan15 (beavin judy)LOZADA CARLOS 117 15.00    
SCR  HUMOR ME PLEASE Jun26 Jun04 May27 May07 Apr15 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
5  TAPIT TWICE Jul29 Jun26 May27 Apr23   (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00    
6  CHAMOIS' EMPIRE Jun24 Jun10       (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
7  TONTERIA Jul01         (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 117 12.00 6% 16.70    
8  SWEET PRESENT Jul29 Jun19 Jun04 May19 Apr20 (rangel raul)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 25.00    
9  HOWL YEAH Jul22 May21 May05 Apr07 Mar12 (wilson melton)POMPELL L 124 15.00    
10  LOOKIN AT BETTY Jul10 Jun26 Jun02     (charles jonathan)ROSIER R 120 10.00 16% 5.20    
11  WINDTAPPER WIN Jul24 Jul04 Jun26 Jun05 Apr23 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
12  ROULETTE Jul24 Jun05 May13     (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 31% 2.30    
13  OWEN THE ICE MAN Jul29 Jun12 May22 Feb10 Feb02 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  RONALDS GATSBY Jul29 Jul04 Jun19 May22 May06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50    
 
LAD-3   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G E H GIANTS WAY Jun23 May19 Apr20 Feb23 Feb09 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 124 4.00 ★    
2  DANDY LOU Jul30 Jul03 Jun09     (schmidt den)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 20.00    
3  D W STRONG May19         (turner dennis)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00    
4  THURSDAY MORNING Jun17 Jun03 Feb28 Feb17 Jan20 (espinoza edgar)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 8.00    
5  COME ON COME ON Jul30 Dec09 Oct30 Aug25 Apr08 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DEPUTY KNIGHT Aug04 Jul08 Jun23 May30 May21 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
7  EMMA'S WALTZ         (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 50% 1.00    
8  CATALINA LATRINA Jul13 Jul24 Jun17 May17 Jan17 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 121 3.50 ★    
9  RAUL'S ENCANTO Jul30 Jul03 Jun10 Apr26 Mar09 (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
10  MARKETBOOK Jun04 May14 May06 Feb18 Jan05 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
11  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Jul22 Jun18 May28 May14 May06 (kanhai jos)ALBERT S 119 15.00    
 
LAD-4   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Jul04 Jun05       (martin kevin)MELANCON G 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PATCHOFBADWEATHER by STORM AND A HALF)
2  QUAIL         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of POP SINGER by SCAT DADDY)
3  NOT LIKELY         (zenon charle)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
  (by STAGE STREET out of DIAMONDS FOR GI GI by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  THEBOYZ SECRET         (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 114 15.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of FIJI D by LYDGATE)
5  FRUIT CUP         (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of KILLERQUEEN by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
6  WESTERN AFLEET Aug05 Jun05       (venzor ja)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 8.00    
  (by SAINT AFLEET out of WESTERN THEME by STORM AND A HALF)
7  LUCKY IS MY NAME         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 12.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of INNER PEACE by SEATTLE SLEW)
8  BET ON BOBBY         (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BET ON SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
9  I NITA WARRIOR Jul20         (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50 ★    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of ANITA BONITA by REDDING COLLIERY)
10  NATIVE REQUITE         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
  (by REQUITE out of NATIVE TRINKET by DOVE HUNT)
11  HANDSOME HAROLD         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 ★    
  (by SAINT AFLEET out of MIND BLOWING by FRIENDS LAKE)
 
LAD-5   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPAWS BOY Oct26 Sep20 Sep11 Aug15 Aug02 (de alex)STOKES J 124 20.00    
2  MEN OF KYLE Jul23 May22 Apr01 Sep15 Aug26 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 124 3.50 7% 13.80    
3  HALEYS SAILOR Jul22 Jun05 Jan28 Dec04 Aug02 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
SCR  SECOND OF JULY Jun24 Jan08 Oct15 Sep08 Aug13 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
SCR  LIONS NOT SHEEP Jun19 May20 Apr14 Mar05 Feb23 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
6  WHEN'S TEE TIME Aug07 Jul14 Jun17 Sep27 Aug07 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 39% 1.50    
7  OPTIMUS KAT Jun24 Jun02 Mar05 Feb26 Feb04 (villafranco )BARRERA J 119 6.00 8% 11.70    
8  MR. TIN MAN Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 Nov26 Sep17 (romero geral)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
9  CALLINGINTHENIGHT Jul03 Jun03 Feb18 Dec21 Sep11 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DARE TO FAIL Jul31 Jun25 May20 May08 Apr02 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
11  COWBOY RIDGE Jul03 Jun10 May13 Apr22 Apr02 (rang)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
12  BEACHCOMBING Jul23 May15 Jan14     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00    
13  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Jul23 May11 Feb24 Jan20 Nov08 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 11% 8.50    
 
LAD-6   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alabama Cotton State Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNITEDAPPEAL Jun09 May13 Apr22 Jan21 Dec09 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of SOPHIA GRACE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
2  UNAFFILIATED Aug06 Jun24 May15 Feb24 Feb11 (schmidt denise)GREEN AUBRIE 118 15.00    
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
3  LIKEN IT Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 May13 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
4  FIRED UP TIGER Jul21 May13 Dec09 Nov12 Sep24 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 120 1.80 19% 4.20    
  (by FIRING LINE out of LILY SO LOVELY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
5  KELLYS THE BOSS Jan26 Dec30 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
6  UNCLE BRAD Jun24 Jun04 May13 Feb16 Jan20 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
7  FOOLISH STEVE Jul13 Jun10 May13 Jan07 Dec09 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MOSQUITO out of SHIRLEY'S BRITTNEY by SEA OF SECRETS)
 
LAD-7   08/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL ASHLEY B. Jul29 Jul17 Jun09 May11 Apr23 (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  OUR LITTLE GIRL Jul01 May21 May05 Apr08 Mar15 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
3  ASHLEY'S GIRL Jul06 May11 Apr26 Apr07 Mar15 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
4  DADDY HEY DADDY Apr22 Dec09 Oct13 Aug29 Aug02 (garcia)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50    
SCR  ANGELA'S CELERITY Aug05 Jul06 May18 May04 Apr08 (delany sarah)STOKES J 122 6.00    
6  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 May10 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 119 10.00    
7  CALAJA Jul29 Jan12 Dec11 Sep06 Jul18 (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEAUTIFUL ENDING Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 May04 Apr21 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.