Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (7/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-2   Win (12/13/10/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-3   Win (7/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-5   Win (6/13/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-6   Win (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-7   Win (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT STRIKE Jul29 Jun24 May10 Apr14 Mar08 (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
BROOK IS GOLDEN Jul29 Jul17 Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 (singh s)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 6% 16.50    
ONE MORE SLEEP Aug05 Jul15 Jun30 Jun09 Apr27 (magnon jason)POMPELL L 120 4.50 7% 13.40    
TOOCAN DANCE Jun24 May14 Feb01 Jan21 Jan06 (avant kelly)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
K V TARGET Jul22 Jun15 May10 Apr29 Apr14 (larrosa a)STOKES J 124 8.00    
LOWER CRETACEOUS Jul29 Jun24 Dec19 Nov25 Nov02 (lara jor)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
CALLEN FEELS GOOD Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 May19 Apr27 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
OCEAN KISS Jul30 May15 Mar10 Feb18   (felks r)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
LAD-2   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODOC Jul29 Jul04 Jun16 May21 Apr23 (dodson)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SIR LANCELOT RIDGE Jun22 Jan16       (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 25.00    
ALL TOGETHER Jun15 May19 Apr28 Feb09 Jan15 (beavin judy)LOZADA CARLOS 117 15.00    
SCR  HUMOR ME PLEASE Jun26 Jun04 May27 May07 Apr15 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
TAPIT TWICE Jul29 Jun26 May27 Apr23   (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00    
CHAMOIS' EMPIRE Jun24 Jun10       (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
TONTERIA Jul01         (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 117 12.00 6% 16.70    
SWEET PRESENT Jul29 Jun19 Jun04 May19 Apr20 (rangel raul)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 25.00    
HOWL YEAH Jul22 May21 May05 Apr07 Mar12 (wilson melton)POMPELL L 124 15.00    
10  LOOKIN AT BETTY Jul10 Jun26 Jun02     (charles jonathan)ROSIER R 120 10.00 16% 5.20    
11  WINDTAPPER WIN Jul24 Jul04 Jun26 Jun05 Apr23 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
12  ROULETTE Jul24 Jun05 May13     (johnson b)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 31% 2.30    
13  OWEN THE ICE MAN Jul29 Jun12 May22 Feb10 Feb02 (hatcher na)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  RONALDS GATSBY Jul29 Jul04 Jun19 May22 May06 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50    
 
LAD-3   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G E H GIANTS WAY Jun23 May19 Apr20 Feb23 Feb09 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 124 4.00    
DANDY LOU Jul30 Jul03 Jun09     (schmidt denis)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 20.00    
D W STRONG May19         (turner dennis)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00    
THURSDAY MORNING Jun17 Jun03 Feb28 Feb17 Jan20 (espinoza edgar)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 8.00    
COME ON COME ON Jul30 Dec09 Oct30 Aug25 Apr08 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DEPUTY KNIGHT Aug04 Jul08 Jun23 May30 May21 (lorefice matt)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
EMMA'S WALTZ         (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 50% 1.00    
CATALINA LATRINA Jul13 Jul24 Jun17 May17 Jan17 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 121 3.50    
RAUL'S ENCANTO Jul30 Jul03 Jun10 Apr26 Mar09 (del er)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
10  MARKETBOOK Jun04 May14 May06 Feb18 Jan05 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
11  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Jul22 Jun18 May28 May14 May06 (kanhai josep)ALBERT S 119 15.00    
 
LAD-4   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Jul04 Jun05       (martin kevin)MELANCON G 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
QUAIL         (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
NOT LIKELY         (zenon charles)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
THEBOYZ SECRET         (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 114 15.00    
FRUIT CUP         (asmussen s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
WESTERN AFLEET Aug05 Jun05       (venzor jail)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 8.00    
LUCKY IS MY NAME         (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 12.00    
BET ON BOBBY         (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
I NITA WARRIOR Jul20         (jeansonne just)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50    
10  NATIVE REQUITE         (duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
11  HANDSOME HAROLD         (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00    
 
LAD-5   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPAWS BOY Oct26 Sep20 Sep11 Aug15 Aug02 (de alex)STOKES J 124 20.00    
MEN OF KYLE Jul23 May22 Apr01 Sep15 Aug26 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 124 3.50 7% 13.80    
HALEYS SAILOR Jul22 Jun05 Jan28 Dec04 Aug02 (duhon o)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
SCR  SECOND OF JULY Jun24 Jan08 Oct15 Sep08 Aug13 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
SCR  LIONS NOT SHEEP Jun19 May20 Apr14 Mar05 Feb23 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
WHEN'S TEE TIME Aug07 Jul14 Jun17 Sep27 Aug07 (jeansonne justi)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 39% 1.50    
OPTIMUS KAT Jun24 Jun02 Mar05 Feb26 Feb04 (villafranco ma)BARRERA J 119 6.00 8% 11.70    
MR. TIN MAN Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 Nov26 Sep17 (romero gerald )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
CALLINGINTHENIGHT Jul03 Jun03 Feb18 Dec21 Sep11 (cascio j)VARGAS P 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DARE TO FAIL Jul31 Jun25 May20 May08 Apr02 (gomez davi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
11  COWBOY RIDGE Jul03 Jun10 May13 Apr22 Apr02 (rangel)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
12  BEACHCOMBING Jul23 May15 Jan14     (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00    
13  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Jul23 May11 Feb24 Jan20 Nov08 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 11% 8.50    
 
LAD-6   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alabama Cotton State Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNITEDAPPEAL Jun09 May13 Apr22 Jan21 Dec09 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
UNAFFILIATED Aug06 Jun24 May15 Feb24 Feb11 (schmidt denise)GREEN AUBRIE 118 15.00    
LIKEN IT Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 May13 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
FIRED UP TIGER Jul21 May13 Dec09 Nov12 Sep24 (devereux patric)VARGAS P 120 1.80 19% 4.20    
KELLYS THE BOSS Jan26 Dec30 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 (ward r)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE BRAD Jun24 Jun04 May13 Feb16 Jan20 (ward ron)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
FOOLISH STEVE Jul13 Jun10 May13 Jan07 Dec09 (terre dav)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
 
LAD-7   08/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL ASHLEY B. Jul29 Jul17 Jun09 May11 Apr23 (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  OUR LITTLE GIRL Jul01 May21 May05 Apr08 Mar15 (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
ASHLEY'S GIRL Jul06 May11 Apr26 Apr07 Mar15 (zenon she)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
DADDY HEY DADDY Apr22 Dec09 Oct13 Aug29 Aug02 (garcia j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50    
SCR  ANGELA'S CELERITY Aug05 Jul06 May18 May04 Apr08 (delany sarah)STOKES J 122 6.00    
SUMMERTIME BANDIT Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 May10 (zenon shelto)ALBERT S 119 10.00    
CALAJA Jul29 Jan12 Dec11 Sep06 Jul18 (foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTIFUL ENDING Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 May04 Apr21 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.