Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $19.00 $13.00 217%
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $27.50 $21.50 358%
LAD-5   EXA (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $14.00 $2.00 17%
    TRI (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-1-5 $17.85 $5.85 49%
LAD-7   EXA (11/2/3/10/12)-(11/2/3/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-10 $47.80 $27.80 139%
    TRI (11/2/3/10/12)-(11/2/3/10/12)-(11/2/3/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-10-3 $80.35 $50.35 168%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEO D'OR 1 1 1½ 11   14 1 (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 5% 18.80 8.50 W
MO CREDO 4 5 5 5   24 2 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 124 3.00 48% 1.10 1.40 P
REVERENT 2 2 2½ 21   3 38 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00 7.20  
MR. CROMWELL 3 4 4 3   4 414¾ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 23% 3.40 1.20  
FREE FROM GUILT 5 3 3 4   510½ 519 (pomier cha)ALBERT S 115 3.50 7.80  
SCR  IKNOWIDIDN'TDOTHAT               (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  KING OF CONTRABAND               (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50    
 
LAD-2   07/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:134 1:402   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIM AND VIGOR 6 3 6 6 45 1 15 (wilson shane)BOREL H 124 12.00 21.20  
SPHEROID 3 8 1011¾ 911 67 43 25 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 124 4.50 8% 11.70 17.80 P
OPTIMISTIC 8 2 3 32 22 2 3 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 30% 2.40 6.80 S
BIG POWER RED 7 7 4 44 56 55 410¼ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 8.90  
LORD DRAGON 2 10 911½ 810 88 66 511¾ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 20% 3.90 0.70  
ROCKDALE 1 1 1 12 12 33 612½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00 6% 16.60 16.50  
MAX PANDOWDY 4 9 7 79 9 89 716 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 40.80  
11  GET WITT GONE 10 6 2 22 3 78 817½ (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 8.00  
THE GRAY BLUR 5 4 810½ 1011¼ 1013½ 911 920¼ (hirdes john)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00 31.50  
10  RIVER KAT 9 5 5 56 77 1011¼ 1021¾ (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 5.00 6% 14.80 9.30  
SCR  BASSETT               (pomier cha)ALBERT S 116 20.00    
 
LAD-3   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKROLL 4 2 31 2nk   11 11 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 2.00 34% 2.00 1.10 W
RISKTAKER 1 1 1½ 1nk   21 21 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 2.50 10% 9.30 1.50 P
HALF A BUCK 7 4 2½ 3.2   32 3 (pedigo rand)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00 36.30  
OSCAR CHOICE 5 5 52 5   4 4 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00 35.40  
HEREWECOMETOGETYOU 6 7 7 6   65 5 (schmidt denise)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00 16.40  
SARAH'S VISION 3 3 42 4   54 6 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 122 4.50 30% 2.30 4.30  
SILKY'S DANCE 2 6 6 7   710 718¼ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 5% 17.30 20.00  
 
LAD-4   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:012     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANAS MULE 9 7 4 32   23 1½ (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 33% 2.00 1.70 W
BITSY'S DOUBLE DAY 7 2 1 12   13 2½ (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00 15.40  
DON'T BLINK TWICE 8 6 9 95   5 3 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 15.00 33.80  
BEAUCLAIRE 4 4 3 22   35 4 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 4.00 3.30  
CHATAIN'S EAGLE 5 11 11 117   911 5 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 119 3.50 18% 4.50 17.20  
10  QUEENS RIOT 10 8 7 7   68 6 (foster joseph )MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00 21% 3.90 16.70  
JESSOLOGY 2 1 2 4   46 710 (del eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 10.80  
11  PREPAID SPECIAL 11 9 5 105   1113 810¾ (gomez rafae)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00 15.00  
WHEELS LIKE NALA 6 5 10 5   89 912 (holloway math)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
TENSAS CLEAR 3 10 6 6   1012 1012¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 6% 16.90 9.60  
BONJOOR MADEMOISEL 1 3 8 8   79 1130 (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 124 12.00 32.20  
 
LAD-5   07/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:104 1:223   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMALUCKYCHARM 6 2 1½ 1½ 11 13 13 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 64% 0.60 1.40 W
BIRDIE CALL 1 3 3 32 42 34 23 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 8% 11.10 8.20 P
JUST PASSING THRU 4 6 5 54 32 23 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10 S
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 3 4 6 66 6 59 47 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 10.30  
JAN'S TURN TO WIN 7 1 2½ 2½ 21 46 5 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
IZATIZ 5 5 4 42 54 610½ 611¼ (gomez c)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 4.50 9.30  
GASTOWN 2 7 711¾ 714 711½ 712½ 712½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00 15.00  
SCR  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT               (jacks e)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50    
 
LAD-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOANA 8 4 32 42   11 1hd (hone bart)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.00 28% 2.50 0.60 W
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
HALFPRICED 1 1 11 11   21 2hd (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 26% 2.80 3.50 P
  (by HALF OURS out of VENDEUSE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
LEOPARD BAIT 4 2 6 32   33 36 (hebert matt)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 22.80 S
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MISS SPOT ON by UNION RAGS)
10  MY BUTTERFLY 10 6 5 53   55 411½ (heber)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 20.00 29.90  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of RUTLEDGE BALLADO by SAINT BALLADO)
LIBBIES BABY 2 7 7 7   6 512 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 20% 4.10 7.20  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LIBBIES MISSION by GLOBAL MISSION)
BELLE ELENA 5 3 21 21   45 612½ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 7.90  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLE OF PERINTOWN by DEHERE)
ILIMITADA 7 9 8 8   7 713¼ (escobar alison)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 72.90  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of ALAASIMA by KITTEN'S JOY)
RONA VISION 3 8 10 10   912¾ 820 (nixon w)GREEN AUBRIE 117 15.00 32.60  
  (by COURT VISION out of ETBAUER'S CHOICE by ETBAUER)
TALKABOUT 6 10 9 9   812½ 923½ (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00 5% 19.00 60.60  
  (by APRIORITY out of WELL SPOKEN by DUE DATE)
JERSEY DOLL 9 5 42 6   1014¼ 1025½ (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 10.00 40.00  
  (by WEST COAST out of SONIC CYSTER by TIZNOW)
 
LAD-7   07/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:111 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE ICE 2 10 104 10 105 4 11 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 9% 10.00 3.60 W
10  EASTER SNAP 10 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 21 21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 14.50 P
FREEDOM FACTOR 3 2 6 3 32 3 3 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00 9% 10.40 5.60 S
MEN OF KYLE 6 8 9 9 8 63 4 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 20.00 21.00  
CLIFF DIVER 4 1 4¾ 4 5 7 5 (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00 9.70  
11  DON'TASK DON'TTELL 11 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 6 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 50% 1.00 2.10  
DIAL IN FOR LUTE 5 9 8 8 7 5 7 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00 4.30  
TURN ON THE MAGIC 7 7 7 7 95 8 8 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 28.50  
EXETER 9 11 118 1110¼ 119 9 9 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 41.40  
JOHNNYSJOURNEY 8 5 5¾ 6 42 10 109 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00 51.00  
GUITAR SLIM 1 12 1210 1213¼ 1210 1110¼ 1115 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 114 12.00 21.60  
12  DRIED PEPPER 12 6 3½ 5 6 1214¼ 1219 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 25.00 5% 19.00 90.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.