Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(9/3/4/10/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(9/3/4/10/1)-(4/3/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (9/3/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/10/1)-(9/3/4/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/10/1)-(9/3/4/10/1)-(9/3/4/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/4/10/1)-(4/3/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/10/1)-(4/3/1/2)-(9/10/5/3/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/2)-(9/10/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/2)-(9/10/5/3/6)-(7/1/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (9/10/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/3/6)-(9/10/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/3/6)-(9/10/5/3/6)-(9/10/5/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/5/3/6)-(7/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/5/3/6)-(7/1/5/8)-(8/1/2/4/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-5   WIN (7/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/8)-(8/1/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/8)-(8/1/2/4/6)-(11/2/3/10/12) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-6   WIN (8/1/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/4/6)-(8/1/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/4/6)-(8/1/2/4/6)-(8/1/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/2/4/6)-(11/2/3/10/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LAD-7   WIN (11/2/3/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/3/10/12)-(11/2/3/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/3/10/12)-(11/2/3/10/12)-(11/2/3/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING OF CONTRABAND Jul01 May22 Feb28 Feb18 Jan20 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50    
2  THEO D'OR May15 Mar10 Feb28 Feb16 Feb02 (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 5% 18.80    
3  REVERENT Jul01 Jun12 May22 May06 Mar23 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
4  MR. CROMWELL Jul01 May27 Apr28 Mar26 Mar11 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  IKNOWIDIDN'TDOTHAT Sep13 Jan30 Jan08     (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
6  MO CREDO Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr29 Mar26 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
7  FREE FROM GUILT Jun16 Nov22 Oct15 Aug27 Jul09 (pomier cha)ALBERT S 115 3.50    
 
LAD-2   07/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKDALE Jul10 May22 Mar24 Mar10 Jan15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00 6% 16.60    
SCR  BASSETT Jun10 May13 Apr15 Mar26 Feb10 (pomier cha)ALBERT S 116 20.00    
3  LORD DRAGON Apr29 Mar19 Feb20 Jan20 Jan08 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 20% 3.90    
4  SPHEROID Jun29 Jun02 May03 Feb10 Jan25 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 124 4.50 8% 11.70    
5  MAX PANDOWDY Jun25 May28 May11 Apr14 Mar26 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
6  THE GRAY BLUR Jul10 Jun19 Apr29 Mar22 Mar01 (hirdes john)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
7  VIM AND VIGOR Jul02 Jun02 Apr01 Mar24 Mar04 (wilson shane)BOREL H 124 12.00    
8  BIG POWER RED Jun15 May27 Apr29 Apr14 Mar24 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00    
9  OPTIMISTIC Jun25 May22 Apr28 Apr13 Feb03 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
10  RIVER KAT Jun04 Mar10 Feb19 Jan21 Dec03 (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 5.00 6% 14.80    
11  GET WITT GONE Jul03 Apr14 Mar31 Mar11 Feb25 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
 
LAD-3   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKTAKER Jun26 May22 May06 Mar09 Feb18 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 2.50 10% 9.30    
2  SILKY'S DANCE Jun18 May29 May07 Feb23 Feb10 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 5% 17.30    
3  SARAH'S VISION Jun10 May20 Apr21 Feb23 Jan11 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
4  BANKROLL May21 Apr22 Mar26 Mar02 Feb17 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 2.00 34% 2.00    
5  OSCAR CHOICE Jun18 Oct29 Sep17 Aug20 Jul17 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00    
6  HEREWECOMETOGETYOU Jun18 May29 May21 Mar02 Feb03 (schmidt denise)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
7  HALF A BUCK Jul09 Jun18 May26 Apr20 Feb18 (pedigo rand)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00    
 
LAD-4   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONJOOR MADEMOISEL Jun05 May27 May28 May07 Apr16 (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 124 12.00    
2  JESSOLOGY Jul09 Jul15       (del eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
3  TENSAS CLEAR         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 6% 16.90    
4  BEAUCLAIRE Jul09 Jun25 May27 Feb24   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 4.00    
5  CHATAIN'S EAGLE Jul04 Jun05 May07 Feb18 Jan20 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  WHEELS LIKE NALA Oct19 Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 Jul03 (holloway math)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BITSY'S DOUBLE DAY May12 Apr26 Mar03 Feb03   (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
8  DON'T BLINK TWICE Jun11 May07 Feb22 Jan20 Dec08 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 15.00    
9  DANAS MULE         (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
10  QUEENS RIOT         (foster joseph )MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00 21% 3.90    
11  PREPAID SPECIAL Jun25 Sep19 Sep05     (gomez rafae)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00    
 
LAD-5   07/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDIE CALL May28 Sep25 Sep06 Aug21 Jul30 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 8% 11.10    
2  GASTOWN Jul08 Jun10 Apr13 Apr01 Mar12 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00    
3  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Jul08 Jun10 Apr07 Mar17 Feb12 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT May13 Apr16 Feb25 Jan15 Nov15 (jacks e)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50    
5  JUST PASSING THRU Jul08 Jun10 May04 Apr13 Feb09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  IZATIZ Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 (gomez c)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 4.50    
7  IMALUCKYCHARM Jul01 Jun24 Jun03 Mar25 Feb18 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
8  JAN'S TURN TO WIN Jul01 Jun25 Jun03 May27 Apr29 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALFPRICED Jul03         (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by HALF OURS out of VENDEUSE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
2  LIBBIES BABY Jun03 Apr30 Apr16 Mar26   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LIBBIES MISSION by GLOBAL MISSION)
3  RONA VISION Jun18         (nixon w)GREEN AUBRIE 117 15.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of ETBAUER'S CHOICE by ETBAUER)
4  LEOPARD BAIT Jun10 Sep30 Sep03 Jul17   (hebert matt)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MISS SPOT ON by UNION RAGS)
5  BELLE ELENA Jun18 Apr22 Mar26 Feb09 Dec30 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLE OF PERINTOWN by DEHERE)
6  TALKABOUT         (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of WELL SPOKEN by DUE DATE)
7  ILIMITADA Jul02         (escobar alison)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of ALAASIMA by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  LOANA Jul02 Jun18 May12 Mar21 Feb10 (hone bart)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
9  JERSEY DOLL Jun18 Apr29       (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SONIC CYSTER by TIZNOW)
10  MY BUTTERFLY Jun18 Apr25 Jun25     (heber)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of RUTLEDGE BALLADO by SAINT BALLADO)
 
LAD-7   07/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUITAR SLIM Jun12 May29 May14 Feb04 Dec30 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 114 12.00    
2  MORE ICE Jun19 May29 Sep27 Aug20 Aug08 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 9% 10.00    
3  FREEDOM FACTOR Jun24 May29 Apr12 Mar03 Feb10 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00 9% 10.40    
4  CLIFF DIVER Jun22 Jun02 May06 Apr15 Mar17 (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
5  DIAL IN FOR LUTE Jun18 Apr30 Apr23 Jan20 Jan08 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
6  MEN OF KYLE May22 Apr01 Sep15 Aug26 Jul17 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 20.00    
7  TURN ON THE MAGIC May21 May08 Apr14 Mar24 Mar11 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00    
8  JOHNNYSJOURNEY Jun19 Jun03 Feb28 Feb15 Nov22 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00    
9  EXETER Jun16 May28 Apr27 Mar11 Mar03 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
10  EASTER SNAP Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May14 Apr22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  DON'TASK DON'TTELL May11 Feb24 Jan20 Nov08 Oct27 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 50% 1.00    
12  DRIED PEPPER Jun19 Feb15 Jan11 Dec15 Dec03 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 25.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.