Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Gillespie County Fair
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GIL-1   WIN (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $50.20 $42.20 528%
    EXA (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-6 $101.60 $77.60 323%
GIL-8   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $16.40 $8.40 105%
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-4 $26.40 $2.40 10%
Simulator Race results
 
GIL-1   08/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:461         :461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR 5 5 41¼     2½ 1¾ (swift )HERNANDEZ A 125 12.00 5% 19.00 24.10 W
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of WINNING ARGUMENT by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
6  APPEAL GUY 6 2 11     1½ 2¾ (aguirre )MENDEZ A 128 2.50 23% 3.40 2.60 P
  (by LITTLEEXPECTATIONS out of THE GIRL ROCKS by WOLF POWER (SAF))
8  RIP RULES 8 6 31     31 31¼ (echeverria h)VERA T 125 4.00 4.20  
  (by BRADESTER out of GIRL'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
2  Z GLITTER CAPOTE 2 4 21     42½ 42¾ (hernandez ju)VIVANCO L 128 3.00 36% 1.80 4.50  
  (by WINTER GLITTER out of Z CAPOTE'S QUEEN by RIVER SQUALL)
3  FLYING IN HOT 3 7 76¼     65 55¾ (ech)URIETA MANUEL 128 8.00 6.10  
  (by EARLY FLYER out of HOT GLAM GIRL by INTO MISCHIEF)
1  A GIFT OF CANDY 1 3 65¼     54½ 66¼ (rodriguez m)GILES FRANCISCO 123 6.00 10.00  
  (by POWER STORM out of CANDY PAINT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  BIG BROWN NOW 7 1 54¾     76 78½ (ramirez paul)EDISON JOCELYN 115 8.00 3.50  
  (by BIG BROWN out of VOW ME OVER by BROKEN VOW)
4  KING SAUL 4 8 811¾     816 822 (garza joaq)MORALES X 125 10.00 19% 4.20 10.40  
  (by MORO TAP out of HIVE QUEEN by SHAKESPEARE)
 
GIL-8   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:063         1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOLD CAPO 7 1 32 31½   2½ 1hd (ech)URIETA MANUEL 128 3.00 9% 9.70 7.20 W
  (by BETA CAPO out of SATIN GOLD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
4  CAPOTE'S GLITTER 4 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 2hd (uriegas joe)VERA T 128 2.00 43% 1.30 2.80 P
  (by FLATTERING REPORT out of Z CAPOTE'S QUEEN by RIVER SQUALL)
8  ONEDRUNKNIGHT 8 2 2½ 2nk   31 33½ (t)ZUNIGA LANDEROS 125 15.00 4.50  
  (by DOME out of ALLEY'S LADY by IN EXCESSIVE BULL)
6  SMARTY'S BACK 6 8 86¼ 75¼   55½ 49½ (gavin tom)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 128 4.00 18% 4.60 3.80  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
3  Z GLITTER STREET 3 4 42 41¾   45 59¾ (her)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 128 12.00 20.20  
  (by WINTER GLITTER out of HOME TOWN GAL by REGAL REMARK)
2  CHIQUITA CHANNEL 2 5 65 65¼   75¾ 611½ (lloyd )HERNANDEZ A 123 20.00 8.60  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TOMICA'S SPIRIT by OFFICER)
5  IRON MOON 5 7 76 85½   85¾ 711¾ (hernandez )MORALES X 125 6.00 9% 9.90 3.20  
  (by IRON FIST out of DIXIE SUE by DIXIELAND BAND)
1  LIL PARTY CRASHER 1 6 53 53¾   65½ 812½ (garza joaqui)EDISON JOCELYN 120 20.00 14.20  
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of IRISH PARTY by TWINING)
SCR  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD               (schneider er)EDISON JOCELYN 120 8.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of I'M JULIETTE by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
GIL-9   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
1:072         1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHANGHAI GOLD 7 3 57 56½   1½ 12¼ (echeverria h)EDISON JOCELYN 123 15.00 10.80  
6  NATURAL HIGH 6 4 23 21½   2½ 22¼ (echeverria h)VERA T 128 4.00 25% 3.10 3.20 P
5  CLIPPER COVE 5 7 46½ 45   41½ 33¾ (del ol)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 41% 1.50 3.00 S
1  IMMA BLINGY LAD 1 1 13 11½   3½ 45¼ (ascencio j)MORALES X 125 5.00 7.50  
2  BLUEGRASS DIXIE 2 6 610½ 613½   66½ 57¾ (her)URIETA MANUEL 123 20.00 7% 13.10 7.60  
3  ROCKS A BLACK SUIT 3 2 33½ 35   53½ 67¾ (bolen br)MENDEZ A 128 3.00 7% 12.90 1.70  
4  ROCKET J. 4 5 711½ 716   77 78¼ (ben)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 128 20.00 15.00  
SCR  HARD CANDY               (hernandez)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 128 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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