Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gillespie County Fair
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GIL-1   WIN (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GIL-8   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GIL-9   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GIL-1   08/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A GIFT OF CANDY Aug13 Jul16 Jul02     (rodriguez m)GILES FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
  (by POWER STORM out of CANDY PAINT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  Z GLITTER CAPOTE Jul15 Aug27 Aug13 Jul16   (hernandez ju)VIVANCO L 128 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by WINTER GLITTER out of Z CAPOTE'S QUEEN by RIVER SQUALL)
3  FLYING IN HOT Jun18         (ech)URIETA MANUEL 128 8.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of HOT GLAM GIRL by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  KING SAUL Jul04         (garza joaq)MORALES X 125 10.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MORO TAP out of HIVE QUEEN by SHAKESPEARE)
5  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR Jul01 Jun24 Jun04 May18 Apr27 (swi)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of WINNING ARGUMENT by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
6  APPEAL GUY Jul15 Jul02       (aguirre )MENDEZ A 128 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by LITTLEEXPECTATIONS out of THE GIRL ROCKS by WOLF POWER (SAF))
7  BIG BROWN NOW Jul16 Aug19       (ramirez paul)EDISON JOCELYN 115 8.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of VOW ME OVER by BROKEN VOW)
8  RIP RULES Jul15 Apr15 Mar31     (echeverria h)VERA T 125 4.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of GIRL'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
 
GIL-8   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL PARTY CRASHER Jul24 Jul01       (garza jo)MENDEZ A 120 20.00    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of IRISH PARTY by TWINING)
2  CHIQUITA CHANNEL Jul16         (lloyd carol )VIVANCO L 123 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TOMICA'S SPIRIT by OFFICER)
3  Z GLITTER STREET Jul01 Aug28 Aug14     (her)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 128 12.00    
  (by WINTER GLITTER out of HOME TOWN GAL by REGAL REMARK)
4  CAPOTE'S GLITTER Jul16 Mar24       (uriegas joe)VERA T 128 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by FLATTERING REPORT out of Z CAPOTE'S QUEEN by RIVER SQUALL)
5  IRON MOON Jul16 May30 Apr27 Mar25 Feb24 (hernandez )MORALES X 125 6.00 9% 9.90    
  (by IRON FIST out of DIXIE SUE by DIXIELAND BAND)
6  SMARTY'S BACK         (gavin tom)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 128 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
7  GOLD CAPO Jul16 Jun04 May07 Apr29 Apr13 (ech)URIETA MANUEL 128 3.00 9% 9.70    
  (by BETA CAPO out of SATIN GOLD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
8  ONEDRUNKNIGHT Jun09         (t)ZUNIGA LANDEROS 125 15.00    
  (by DOME out of ALLEY'S LADY by IN EXCESSIVE BULL)
SCR  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Jul16 Jul04 May11     (schneider er)EDISON JOCELYN 120 8.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of I'M JULIETTE by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
GIL-9   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMA BLINGY LAD Jul01 May07 Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 (ascencio j)MORALES X 125 5.00    
2  BLUEGRASS DIXIE Jul16 Jul03 May20 May05 Apr23 (her)URIETA MANUEL 123 20.00 7% 13.10    
3  ROCKS A BLACK SUIT Jul16 Jun28 May22 Apr03 Jan30 (bolen br)MENDEZ A 128 3.00 7% 12.90    
4  ROCKET J. Jun25 Apr06 Mar16 Jan27 Dec08 (ben)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 128 20.00    
5  CLIPPER COVE Aug13 Jul17       (del olmo-rod)VIVANCO L 123 6.00 41% 1.50    
6  NATURAL HIGH Jul15 Jun22 May27 May07   (echeverria h)VERA T 128 4.00 25% 3.10    
7  SHANGHAI GOLD Jun25 Jun08 May06 Apr08 Mar24 (echeverria h)EDISON JOCELYN 123 15.00    
SCR  HARD CANDY Jun11 May26 May05 Apr08 Mar19 (hernandez)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 128 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.