Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-2   WIN (11/7/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    EXA (11/7/8/10)-(7/8/10/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-1 $43.90 $27.90 174%
    TRI (11/7/8/10)-(7/8/10/2/1)-(7/8/10/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-1-2 $93.45 $69.45 289%
    SFT (11/7/8/10)-(7/8/10/2/1)-(7/8/10/2/1)-(7/8/10/2/1) 96 $0.10 $9.60  8-1-2-7 $53.94 $44.34 462%
LAD-3   DD (11/7/8/10)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-6 $16.00 $4.00 33%
LAD-6   WIN (5/10/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.20 $5.20 65%
    DD (2/7/5/8)-(5/10/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-6 $44.30 $28.30 177%
LAD-7   EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    DD (5/10/6/8)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $26.40 $14.40 120%
    PK3 (2/7/5/8)-(5/10/6/8)-(4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-6-4 $144.85 $120.85 504%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :47 :60     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SEA FORCE 10 2 21 1nk   11 13 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 55% 0.80 0.10 W
MO HAWK MAN 8 3 32 31   21 23 (mouton patrick)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00 39.40  
10  ASTERN BANKER 9 7 87 6   33 35 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 124 4.50 17.00  
TEXAS ADOPTER 7 10 98 9   7 4 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 28.80  
ROCKY BOY 5 11 1113½ 10   88 510 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 25.00 11% 8.40 44.20  
KILO KEY 6 6 55 44   45 610¼ (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00 24.20  
PRATHER 2 4 44 55   67 713 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 13% 7.00 18.50  
12  SACRAMENT 11 1 11 2nk   56 815½ (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00 79.20  
CRAZY MUGGS 4 5 65 8   910 915¾ (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 25.00 89.30  
TRAFFIC BOSS 1 9 10 11   1011 1016 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 15.00 5% 19.00 62.40  
ALL IN GOOD TIME 3 8 7 7   1112 1119½ (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 19.10  
SCR  MORO TRENDSETTER               (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00    
 
LAD-2   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:222 :472 1:122 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY RIDGE 8 1 22 2nk 11 14 12 (rang)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 5% 19.00 3.90 W
ALLIGATOR CRAWL 1 6 10 94 85 4 22 (gomez a)FUSILIER C 124 8.00 10.20 P
THUNDER ROAD 2 7 86 7 64 24 3 (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 4.20 S
CHROME RUN 7 10 54 6 4 34 4 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 3.50 36% 1.80 3.00  
NINEJUANJUAN CALL 4 5 65 5 5 5 5 (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00 6.40  
KINGPRIN 9 2 33 3½ 21 66 612¾ (romero gera)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 25.00 27.30  
TEXAS TRILOGY 5 8 9 8 75 8 715 (coats t)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00 38.20  
PLENTY OF CENTS 6 9 4 4¾ 3 78 817½ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00 11.60  
BUCK'S GLORY 3 4 75 106 1011 918½ 938¼ (landry r)THORNTON G 117 15.00 5.00  
10  DIRECTIONAL 10 3 12 1nk 910 1021½ 1046 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP               (rossi j)BOREL H 124 12.00    
SCR  PINCH HITTER               (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
 
LAD-3   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUANAJUATO 6 1 2nk 1nk   13 1 (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.00 61% 0.60 0.60 W
GRACE'S SOLDIER 4 4 32 32   23 2 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 2.50  
PERIPHERAL VISION 2 2 44 43   44 311 (silva walte)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00 7% 13.80 14.70 S
SAVANNAH'S HERE 3 3 1nk 2nk   34 411½ (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50 10.40  
LIVVY LOU 5 6 55 54   55 513¼ (avant kell)ALBERT S 119 8.00 29.80  
DONTFORGETRDREAMS 1 5 6 65   68 618¾ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
 
LAD-4   08/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:121     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABBY THE BULL DAWG 8 10 910½ 8   3 1 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 2.60  
11  NAVAGATIONALBEACON 10 1 3 21   12 2 (wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 124 8.00 9.30 P
SODDY DAISY 6 4 43 5   22 3 (villafranco)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00 23.20  
GURKHA GOLD (IRE) 5 9 1012 9   5 45 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G null   46% 1.20 10.10  
INDY LOVER 3 7 7 7   6 5 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 124 20.00 5% 19.00 25.70  
10  MISS DARLENE 9 5 54 4   7 610 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 12.00 28% 2.60 18.50  
PEACEFUL MOMENT 1 2 2½ 11   4 710½ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 2.90  
FUHR MEO 2 3 1½ 3   810½ 820 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.00 6.40  
WAIT ON ME 4 8 66 6   913½ 923¼ (hatc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 6.30  
BATTLE OF WITS 7 6 8 1014¾   10100 10100 (modica oscar)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 9.60  
SCR  MARILYN'S MAGIC               (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 124 30.00    
 
LAD-5   08/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:151 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO WISHING 7 5 4 41 2nk 13 1 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 5% 19.00 2.10 W
MIND ON MY MONEY 3 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 23 2 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 6.80  
JUJU NINETEEN 6 4 64 63 33 36 311¼ (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 14% 6.20 5.00 S
UNFATHOMED 1 6 5 52 6 511 422¼ (landry r)THORNTON G 124 4.50 52% 0.90 1.50  
THE THIMBLE 2 1 1½ 1nk 44 410 525½ (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 6.00 12.40  
J B GRAY 5 2 3 3½ 5 612 629 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 5.00 25.30  
BODEE BODEE 4 7 711 710 712¾ 716 730¾ (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 3.50 8% 11.50 11.20  
SCR  SWEET RACHEL               (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 122 8.00    
 
LAD-6   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:111 1:231   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORAH G 5 2 12 11 11 13 12 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00 5.60 W
LADY JEOPARDY 8 4 22 21 21 23 22 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 9.70  
JUST PASSING THRU 3 10 1010¾ 10 4 33 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 4.80  
FOR HARPER 1 7 7 85 8 7 4 (ducoing stur)BARRERA J 110 8.00 23.20  
12  MONEY WELL SPENT 10 6 6 6 6 5 5 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 10.00 14.50  
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 6 8 8 75 9 8 66 (wilson shane)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 29.50  
NO MAS TEQUILA 4 5 5 5 7 6 77 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 68% 0.50 2.40  
EVE'S DELIGHT 2 1 33 42 5 45 8 (goins garland)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 7.80  
10  BIRDIE CALL 9 3 43 3 31 9 9 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 9% 10.80 3.50  
IZATIZ 7 9 9 96 10 1011¼ 1012½ (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 20.00 5% 19.00 37.20  
SCR  ANOTHER HOT MESS               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 12.00    
SCR  LUTIE MO               (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD               (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  TAYLORS TAP               (gelner j)FUSILIER C 118 15.00    
 
LAD-7   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOTERIA 4 2 33 3½   1 14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 45% 1.20 0.70 W
BETTABE BOURBON 6 3 2nk 1nk   2 24 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 13% 6.80 5.50 P
VETERANS DAY 5 4 45 4   4 3 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 4.00 6.80  
SONO 3 1 1nk 2nk   3 47 (calhoun willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.00 5.10  
BIG BOO 2 7 7 6   58 5 (singh darla )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 17% 4.90 14.30  
CALCULATED 1 6 6 7   610 614½ (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 13.00  
OCEOLA 7 5 5 5   712 717 (schultz d)BOREL H 122 10.00 23.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.